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Investment in an increasingly uncertain global landscape

Author

Listed:
  • Matthias Burgert
  • Michael Chui
  • Denis Gorea
  • Fabrizio Zampolli

Abstract

Private business fixed investment has fallen or remained flat in advanced economies for decades, with a recent levelling-off also observed in several emerging market economies. The recent increase in uncertainty due to trade tensions will dampen investment while also reducing the effectiveness of monetary policy. In the long run, the outlook for private business investment depends on the potential need to reconfigure supply chains disrupted by higher trade tariffs as well as governments' efforts to boost public investment and implement structural reforms.

Suggested Citation

  • Matthias Burgert & Michael Chui & Denis Gorea & Fabrizio Zampolli, 2025. "Investment in an increasingly uncertain global landscape," BIS Bulletins 103, Bank for International Settlements.
    • Handle: RePEc:bis:bisblt:103
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    7. Matias Covarrubias & Germán Gutiérrez & Thomas Philippon, 2019. "From Good to Bad Concentration? US Industries over the Past 30 Years," NBER Chapters, in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2019, volume 34, pages 1-46, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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    Cited by:

    1. Emanuel Kohlscheen & Phurichai Rungcharoenkitkul & Dora Xia & Fabrizio Zampolli, 2025. "Macroeconomic impact of tariffs and policy uncertainty," BIS Bulletins 110, Bank for International Settlements.

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