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Financial Stability and the Fed: Evidence from Congressional Hearings

Author

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  • Arina Wischnewsky
  • David-Jan Jansen
  • Matthias Neuenkirch

Abstract

This paper retraces how financial stability considerations interacted with U.S. monetary policy before and during the Great Recession. Using text-mining techniques, we construct indicators for financial stability sentiment expressed during testimonies of four Federal Reserve Chairs at Congressional hearings. Including these text-based measures adds explanatory power to Taylor-rule models. In particular, negative financial stability sentiment coincided with a more accommodative monetary policy stance than implied by standard Taylor-rule factors, even in the decades before the Great Recession. These findings are consistent with a preference for monetary policy reacting to financial instability rather than acting pre-emptively to a perceived build-up of risks.

Suggested Citation

  • Arina Wischnewsky & David-Jan Jansen & Matthias Neuenkirch, 2019. "Financial Stability and the Fed: Evidence from Congressional Hearings," Research Papers in Economics 2019-08, University of Trier, Department of Economics.
  • Handle: RePEc:trr:wpaper:201908
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Andres Algaba & David Ardia & Keven Bluteau & Samuel Borms & Kris Boudt, 2020. "Econometrics Meets Sentiment: An Overview Of Methodology And Applications," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 34(3), pages 512-547, July.
    2. Klodiana Istrefi & Florens Odendahl & Giulia Sestieri, 2021. "Fed communication on financial stability concerns and monetary policy decisions: revelations from speeches," Working Papers 2110, Banco de España.
    3. Odendahl Florens & Sestieri Giulia, 2020. "Fed Communication on Financial Stability Concerns and Monetary Policy Decisions: Revelations from SpeechesAuthor-Name: Istrefi Klodiana," Working papers 779, Banque de France.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    monetary policy; financial stability; Taylor rule; text mining;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
    • N12 - Economic History - - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics; Industrial Structure; Growth; Fluctuations - - - U.S.; Canada: 1913-

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