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Monetary policy rules and the equity premium in a segmented markets model

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  • Peng, Yulei
  • Zervou, Anastasia

Abstract

We study the effect of different monetary policy rules on stock and bond risk using a segmented financial market model. The optimal monetary policy rule in our model is risk-sharing and countercyclical after shocks in the financial markets. Under that policy, equity is not risky, and its return is low. The optimal policy, however, implies inflation risk and thus high return for nominal bonds. On the other hand, under inflation targeting, there is no insurance against financial income risk and the equity return is high. At the same time, inflation targeting insures against inflation, resulting in nominal bonds becoming attractive assets. Our model suggests that monetary policy objectives play a key role in affecting risk sharing, asset returns, and the equity premium.

Suggested Citation

  • Peng, Yulei & Zervou, Anastasia, 2022. "Monetary policy rules and the equity premium in a segmented markets model," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:jmacro:v:73:y:2022:i:c:s0164070422000453
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jmacro.2022.103448
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Risk-sharing; Segmented financial markets; Asset prices;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates

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