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Sticky Information and Inflation Persistence: Evidence from U.S. Data

Author

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  • Benedetto Molinari

    () (Department of Economics, Universidad Pablo de Olavide)

Abstract

This paper provides a novel single equation estimator of the Sticky Information Phillips Curve (SIPC), which permits to estimate the exact model without any approximation or truncation. In detail, information stickiness is estimated by employing a GMM estimator that matches the theoretical with the actual covariances between current inflation and the lagged exogenous shocks that affect firms’ pricing decisions, which are considered the moments that measure inflation persistence. The main result of the paper is to show that the SIPC model can match inflation persistence only at the cost of mispredicting the variance of inflation, which is a novel finding in the empirical literature on the SIPC.

Suggested Citation

  • Benedetto Molinari, 2010. "Sticky Information and Inflation Persistence: Evidence from U.S. Data," Working Papers 10.09, Universidad Pablo de Olavide, Department of Economics.
  • Handle: RePEc:pab:wpaper:10.09
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    File URL: http://www.upo.es/serv/bib/wps/econ1009.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    3. N. Gregory Mankiw & Ricardo Reis, 2002. "Sticky Information versus Sticky Prices: A Proposal to Replace the New Keynesian Phillips Curve," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, Oxford University Press, vol. 117(4), pages 1295-1328.
    4. Ignazio Angeloni & Luc Aucremanne & Michael Ehrmann & Jordi Galí & Andrew Levin & Frank Smets, 2006. "New Evidence on Inflation Persistence and Price Stickiness in the Euro Area: Implications for Macro Modeling," Journal of the European Economic Association, MIT Press, vol. 4(2-3), pages 562-574, 04-05.
    5. N. Gregory Mankiw & Ricardo Reis, 2007. "Sticky Information in General Equilibrium," Journal of the European Economic Association, MIT Press, vol. 5(2-3), pages 603-613, 04-05.
    6. Pengfei Wang & Yi Wen, 2006. "Solving linear difference systems with lagged expectations by a method of undetermined coefficients," Working Papers 2006-003, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
    7. Khan, Hashmat & Zhu, Zhenhua, 2006. "Estimates of the Sticky-Information Phillips Curve for the United States," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 38(1), pages 195-207, February.
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    Cited by:

    1. Orlando Gomes, 2012. "Transitional Dynamics in Sticky-Information General Equilibrium Models," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 39(4), pages 387-407, April.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Sticky Information; Inflation Persistence; two-stage GMM estimator;

    JEL classification:

    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • C51 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Construction and Estimation

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