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Oil supply shocks and economic growth in the Mediterranean

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  • Bastianin, Andrea
  • Galeotti, Marzio
  • Manera, Matteo

Abstract

We study how oil supply shocks affect the output growth of selected countries in the Mediterranean region. We focus on the effects of oil supply shocks on economic activity, as measured by real gross value added, for the whole economy, as well as for specific industries. We show that the response of real gross value added growth is negative and often statistically significant for net energy importers, while for net energy exporters it is not distinguishable from zero. This result holds for the aggregate economies, as well as for the selected industries. Moreover, the effects of oil supply shocks increase with the degree of energy dependence in the Mediterranean countries belonging to the European Union. Our results have several policy implications. First, the European Union should encourage projects on the efficient use of energy in the Mediterranean area. Second, European financial markets should promote appropriate financial instruments to stimulate investments in the Mediterranean energy sector. Third, international investors should consider the country-specific reactions to major macroeconomic shocks in the Mediterranean region.

Suggested Citation

  • Bastianin, Andrea & Galeotti, Marzio & Manera, Matteo, 2017. "Oil supply shocks and economic growth in the Mediterranean," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 110(C), pages 167-175.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:enepol:v:110:y:2017:i:c:p:167-175
    DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2017.08.004
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    Cited by:

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    4. Jochen Güntner & Johannes Henßler, 2020. "Exogenous oil supply shocks in OPEC and non-OPEC countries," Economics working papers 2020-02, Department of Economics, Johannes Kepler University Linz, Austria.
    5. Walheer, Barnabé, 2018. "Labour productivity growth and energy in Europe: A production-frontier approach," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 152(C), pages 129-143.
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    7. Dash, Devi Prasad & Sethi, Narayan & Bal, Debi Prasad, 2018. "Is the demand for crude oil inelastic for India? Evidence from structural VAR analysis," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 552-558.
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    9. Afaq Aslanova & Simuzar Mammadova, 2023. "Econometric Analysis of the Effect of Energy Prices on Exchange Rates During War Period," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 13(4), pages 496-502, July.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Oil supply shocks; Mediterranean countries; Economic growth;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • Q43 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Energy and the Macroeconomy

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