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Updating inflation expectations: Evidence from micro-data

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  • Dräger, Lena
  • Lamla, Michael J.

Abstract

Utilizing the Michigan Household Consumer survey’s rotating panel microstructure we can identify if individuals have adjusted their expectations towards inflation. This allows us to directly capture the updating behavior of individual consumers regarding their short- and long-run inflation expectations.

Suggested Citation

  • Dräger, Lena & Lamla, Michael J., 2012. "Updating inflation expectations: Evidence from micro-data," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 117(3), pages 807-810.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecolet:v:117:y:2012:i:3:p:807-810
    DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2012.08.033
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Andrade, Philippe & Le Bihan, Hervé, 2013. "Inattentive professional forecasters," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 60(8), pages 967-982.
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    4. Michael J. Lamla & Samad Sarferaz, 2012. "Updating inflation expectations," KOF Working papers 12-301, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich.
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    7. Souleles, Nicholas S, 2004. "Expectations, Heterogeneous Forecast Errors, and Consumption: Micro Evidence from the Michigan Consumer Sentiment Surveys," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 36(1), pages 39-72, February.
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    11. Sims, Christopher A., 2003. "Implications of rational inattention," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 50(3), pages 665-690, April.
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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • D84 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Expectations; Speculations
    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation

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