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Currency Volatility and Global Technological Innovation

Author

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  • Taylor, Mark
  • Hsu, Po-Hsuan
  • Wang, Zigan
  • Xu, Qi

Abstract

We investigate the real effects of foreign exchange (FX) volatility on technological innovation. Using a 32-market, three-decade sample, we show that heightened FX volatility associates with significantly lower firm-level R&D expenditures, patents granted, and forward citations. The negative FX volatility-innovation relation can be attributed to precautionary savings needs and trade slowdown. The relationship is stronger for firms with financial constraints, with the use of foreign debt, and in more open economies; it is weaker for firms with derivatives hedging, with higher sales, and in countries with better financial development. We also use FX regime changes and the collapse of the European Exchange Rate Mechanism to support a causal interpretation

Suggested Citation

  • Taylor, Mark & Hsu, Po-Hsuan & Wang, Zigan & Xu, Qi, 2021. "Currency Volatility and Global Technological Innovation," CEPR Discussion Papers 16611, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    • Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:16611
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    2. Sadeghi, Abdorasoul & Tayebi, Seyed Komail & Roudari, Soheil, 2023. "Financial markets, inflation and growth: The impact of monetary policy under different political structures," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 45(5), pages 935-956.
    3. Fang, Chao & Wu, Peng & Yu, Xiaoyan & Zhang, Chao, 2025. "IT liberalization, trade expansion, and firm innovation: Evidence from China," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 25-36.

    More about this item

    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • O30 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Innovation; Research and Development; Technological Change; Intellectual Property Rights - - - General
    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill

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