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Taylor-Rule Exit Policies for the Zero Lower Bound

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  • Chattopadhyay, Siddhartha
  • Daniel, Betty C.

Abstract

The monetary authority loses the ability to implement the Taylor Rule at the zero lower bound. However, the promise to implement a Taylor Rule upon exit remains an effective policy instrument. We present two Taylor-Rule exit policies, each with different commitment requirements, as alternatives to a truncated Taylor Rule. A Taylor Rule with an optimally-chosen exit date and time varying inflation target delivers fully optimal policy, but requires a negative inflation target, possibly threatening the ability to commit. A Taylor Rule with only an optimally-chosen exit date delivers almost all the gains of fully optimal policy with no need to commit to the negative inflation target.

Suggested Citation

  • Chattopadhyay, Siddhartha & Daniel, Betty C., 2015. "Taylor-Rule Exit Policies for the Zero Lower Bound," MPRA Paper 66076, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:66076
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    Cited by:

    1. Dufrénot, Gilles & Khayat, Guillaume A., 2017. "Monetary Policy Switching In The Euro Area And Multiple Steady States: An Empirical Investigation," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 21(5), pages 1175-1188, July.
    2. Chattopadhyay, Siddhartha & Ghosh, Taniya, 2016. "Cost Channel, Interest Rate Pass-Through and Optimal Policy under Zero Lower Bound," MPRA Paper 72762, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Siddhartha Chattopadhyay, 2016. "Cost Channel, Interest Rate Pass-Through and Optimal Monetary Policy under Zero Lower Bound," Working Papers id:11075, eSocialSciences.
    4. Chattopadhyay, Siddhartha & Ghosh, Taniya, 2020. "Taylor Rule implementation of the optimal policy at the zero lower bound: Does the cost channel matter?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 351-366.
    5. Siddhartha Chattopadhyay & Taniya Ghosh, 2016. "Cost channel, interest rate pass-through and optimal monetary policy under zero lower bound," Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai Working Papers 2016-012, Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai, India.
    6. Chattopadhyay, Siddhartha, 2020. "Forward guidance and quantitative easing at the Zero Lower Bound," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 197(C).
    7. Chattopadhyay, Siddhartha, 2019. "The Neo-Fisherianism to Escape Zero Lower Bound," MPRA Paper 92669, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    New-Keynesian Model; Inflation Target; Liquidity Trap;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
    • E63 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Comparative or Joint Analysis of Fiscal and Monetary Policy; Stabilization; Treasury Policy

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