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Taylor-Rule Exit Policies for the Zero Lower Bound

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  • Chattopadhyay, Siddhartha
  • Daniel, Betty C.

Abstract

The monetary authority loses the ability to implement the Taylor Rule at the zero lower bound. However, the promise to implement a Taylor Rule upon exit remains an effective policy instrument. We present two Taylor-Rule exit policies, each with different commitment requirements, as alternatives to a truncated Taylor Rule. A Taylor Rule with an optimally-chosen exit date and time varying inflation target delivers fully optimal policy, but requires a negative inflation target, possibly threatening the ability to commit. A Taylor Rule with only an optimally-chosen exit date delivers almost all the gains of fully optimal policy with no need to commit to the negative inflation target.

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  • Chattopadhyay, Siddhartha & Daniel, Betty C., 2015. "Taylor-Rule Exit Policies for the Zero Lower Bound," MPRA Paper 66076, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:66076
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    Cited by:

    1. Dufrénot, Gilles & Khayat, Guillaume A., 2017. "Monetary Policy Switching In The Euro Area And Multiple Steady States: An Empirical Investigation," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 21(5), pages 1175-1188, July.
    2. Siddhartha Chattopadhyay, 2021. "The Neo-Fisherianism to Escape Zero Lower Bound," International Symposia in Economic Theory and Econometrics, in: Environmental, Social, and Governance Perspectives on Economic Development in Asia, volume 29, pages 1-19, Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
    3. Chattopadhyay, Siddhartha & Ghosh, Taniya, 2016. "Cost Channel, Interest Rate Pass-Through and Optimal Policy under Zero Lower Bound," MPRA Paper 72762, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Siddhartha Chattopadhyay, 2016. "Cost Channel, Interest Rate Pass-Through and Optimal Monetary Policy under Zero Lower Bound," Working Papers id:11075, eSocialSciences.
    5. Chattopadhyay, Siddhartha & Ghosh, Taniya, 2020. "Taylor Rule implementation of the optimal policy at the zero lower bound: Does the cost channel matter?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 351-366.
    6. Siddhartha Chattopadhyay & Taniya Ghosh, 2016. "Cost channel, interest rate pass-through and optimal monetary policy under zero lower bound," Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai Working Papers 2016-012, Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai, India.
    7. Chattopadhyay, Siddhartha, 2020. "Forward guidance and quantitative easing at the Zero Lower Bound," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 197(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    New-Keynesian Model; Inflation Target; Liquidity Trap;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
    • E63 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Comparative or Joint Analysis of Fiscal and Monetary Policy; Stabilization; Treasury Policy

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