IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/jouret/v99y2023i3p322-336.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Retailing in times of soaring inflation: What we know, what we don't know, and a research agenda

Author

Listed:
  • Dekimpe, Marnik G.
  • van Heerde, Harald J.

Abstract

Inflation is back – with a vengeance. Following the highly disruptive years of the pandemic, the world has experienced inflation levels not seen for many decades. A “perfect storm” of underlying causes including expansionary monetary and fiscal policies during the pandemic, pent‑up demand, supply-demand imbalances and commodity-driven cost pressures due to unfavorable weather conditions in various regions and Russia's invasion of Ukraine, all conspired to steeply increase consumer price levels around the world. While current inflation levels are not unprecedented (they were even higher in the 1970s and 1980s), the decades-long period of extremely low inflation experienced in most countries means that current inflation rates continue to shock consumers, manufacturers and retailers. Equally, academic research has very little to say about how to conduct marketing in inflationary times, and that is why this paper presents an overview of what we know, what we don't know and what we argue we should know in the form of a research agenda.

Suggested Citation

  • Dekimpe, Marnik G. & van Heerde, Harald J., 2023. "Retailing in times of soaring inflation: What we know, what we don't know, and a research agenda," Journal of Retailing, Elsevier, vol. 99(3), pages 322-336.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:jouret:v:99:y:2023:i:3:p:322-336
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jretai.2023.07.002
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0022435923000301
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.jretai.2023.07.002?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Wagner A. Kamakura & Rex Yuxing Du, 2012. "How Economic Contractions and Expansions Affect Expenditure Patterns," Journal of Consumer Research, Journal of Consumer Research Inc., vol. 39(2), pages 229-247.
    2. Francesco D'Acunto & Daniel Hoang & Maritta Paloviita & Michael Weber, 2019. "Cognitive Abilities and Inflation Expectations," AEA Papers and Proceedings, American Economic Association, vol. 109, pages 562-566, May.
    3. Shamir, Jacob, 1985. "Consumers' subjective perception of price in times of inflation," Journal of Economic Psychology, Elsevier, vol. 6(4), pages 383-398, December.
    4. Keller, Kristopher O. & Dekimpe, Marnik G. & Geyskens, Inge, 2022. "Adding budget and premium private labels to standard private labels: Established empirical generalizations, emerging empirical insights, and future research," Journal of Retailing, Elsevier, vol. 98(1), pages 5-23.
    5. Kaplan, Greg & Schulhofer-Wohl, Sam, 2017. "Inflation at the household level," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 19-38.
    6. Bolton, Lisa E & Warlop, Luk & Alba, Joseph W, 2003. "Consumer Perceptions of Price (Un)Fairness," Journal of Consumer Research, Journal of Consumer Research Inc., vol. 29(4), pages 474-491, March.
    7. Sridhar Moorthy & Ralph A.Winter, 2006. "Price-Matching Guarantees," RAND Journal of Economics, The RAND Corporation, vol. 37(2), pages 449-465, Summer.
    8. Ball, Laurence & Romer, David, 2003. "Inflation and the Informativeness of Prices," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 35(2), pages 177-196, April.
    9. Beck, Günter W. & Carstensen, Kai & Menz, Jan-Oliver & Schnorrenberger, Richard & Wieland, Elisabeth, 2023. "Nowcasting consumer price inflation using high-frequency scanner data: Evidence from Germany," Discussion Papers 34/2023, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    10. Bonfrer, André & Chintagunta, Pradeep & Dhar, Sanjay, 2022. "Retail store formats, competition and shopper behavior: A Systematic review," Journal of Retailing, Elsevier, vol. 98(1), pages 71-91.
    11. ter Braak, Anne & Geyskens, Inge & Dekimpe, Marnik G., 2014. "Taking private labels upmarket: Empirical generalizations on category drivers of premium private label introductions," Journal of Retailing, Elsevier, vol. 90(2), pages 125-140.
    12. Dora Gicheva & Justine Hastings & Sofia Villas-Boas, 2010. "Investigating Income Effects in Scanner Data: Do Gasoline Prices Affect Grocery Purchases?," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 100(2), pages 480-484, May.
    13. Michael Weber & Francesco D'Acunto & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Olivier Coibion, 2022. "The Subjective Inflation Expectations of Households and Firms: Measurement, Determinants, and Implications," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 36(3), pages 157-184, Summer.
    14. Marnik G. Dekimpe & Barbara Deleersnyder, 2018. "Business cycle research in marketing: a review and research agenda," Journal of the Academy of Marketing Science, Springer, vol. 46(1), pages 31-58, January.
    15. ter Braak, Anne & Deleersnyder, Barbara & Geyskens, Inge & Dekimpe, Marnik G., 2013. "Does private-label production by national-brand manufacturers create discounter goodwill?," International Journal of Research in Marketing, Elsevier, vol. 30(4), pages 343-357.
    16. Parks, Richard W, 1978. "Inflation and Relative Price Variability," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 86(1), pages 79-95, February.
    17. Volpe, Rickard James, 2014. "National Brands, Private Labels, and Food Price Inflation," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 46(4), pages 575-591, November.
    18. Grewal, Dhruv & Marmorstein, Howard, 1994. "Market Price Variation, Perceived Price Variation, and Consumers' Price Search Decisions for Durable Goods," Journal of Consumer Research, Journal of Consumer Research Inc., vol. 21(3), pages 453-460, December.
    19. Francesco D’Acunto & Ulrike Malmendier & Juan Ospina & Michael Weber, 2021. "Exposure to Grocery Prices and Inflation Expectations," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 129(5), pages 1615-1639.
    20. Pushan Dutt & V. Padmanabhan, 2011. "Crisis and Consumption Smoothing," Marketing Science, INFORMS, vol. 30(3), pages 491-512, 05-06.
    21. Volpe III, Rickard James, 2014. "National Brands, Private Labels, and Food Price Inflation," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 46(4), pages 1-16, November.
    22. Richards, Timothy J. & Allender, William J. & Hamilton, Stephen F., 2012. "Commodity price inflation, retail pass-through and market power," International Journal of Industrial Organization, Elsevier, vol. 30(1), pages 50-57.
    23. Guillaume Vandenbroucke, 2023. "How Inflation and Relative Price Increases Differ," On the Economy 95651, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
    24. Sridhar Moorthy & Ralph A. Winter, 2006. "Price‐matching guarantees," RAND Journal of Economics, RAND Corporation, vol. 37(2), pages 449-465, June.
    25. Sethuraman, Raj & Gielens, Katrijn, 2014. "Determinants of Store Brand Share," Journal of Retailing, Elsevier, vol. 90(2), pages 141-153.
    26. Kachersky, Luke, 2011. "Reduce Content or Raise Price? The Impact of Persuasion Knowledge and Unit Price Increase Tactics on Retailer and Product Brand Attitudes," Journal of Retailing, Elsevier, vol. 87(4), pages 479-488.
    27. Dekimpe, Marnik G., 2020. "Retailing and retailing research in the age of big data analytics," International Journal of Research in Marketing, Elsevier, vol. 37(1), pages 3-14.
    28. Ranyard, Rob & Missier, Fabio Del & Bonini, Nicolao & Duxbury, Darren & Summers, Barbara, 2008. "Perceptions and expectations of price changes and inflation: A review and conceptual framework," Journal of Economic Psychology, Elsevier, vol. 29(4), pages 378-400, August.
    29. Lisa E. Bolton & Joseph W. Alba, 2006. "Price Fairness: Good and Service Differences and the Role of Vendor Costs," Journal of Consumer Research, Journal of Consumer Research Inc., vol. 33(2), pages 258-265, July.
    30. Kalyanaram, Gurumurthy & Winer, Russell S., 2022. "Behavioral response to price: Data-based insights and future research for retailing," Journal of Retailing, Elsevier, vol. 98(1), pages 46-70.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. van der Plas, Joep & Dekimpe, Marnik G. & Geyskens, Inge, 2024. "Mind the gap: National brands’ sensitivity to price and line-length differentials at hard discounters versus conventional retailers," Journal of Retailing, Elsevier, vol. 100(2), pages 199-216.
    2. Steenkamp, Jan-Benedict E.M., 2024. "What is holding private label back in the United States and in emerging markets?," Journal of Retailing, Elsevier, vol. 100(1), pages 56-69.
    3. Claudimar Pereira da Veiga & Cássia Rita Pereira da Veiga & Felipe Mendes Girotto & Diego Antonio Bittencourt Marconatto & Zhaohui Su, 2024. "Implementation of the ARIMA model for prediction of economic variables: evidence from the health sector in Brazil," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 11(1), pages 1-11, December.
    4. van Heerde, Harald J. & Dekimpe, Marnik G., 2024. "Household and retail panel data in retailing research: Time for a renaissance?," Journal of Retailing, Elsevier, vol. 100(1), pages 104-113.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Viral V. Acharya & Matteo Crosignani & Tim Eisert & Christian Eufinger, 2023. "How Do Supply Shocks to Inflation Generalize? Evidence from the Pandemic Era in Europe," NBER Working Papers 31790, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. Alberto Prati, 2024. "The Well‐Being Cost of Inflation Inequalities," Review of Income and Wealth, International Association for Research in Income and Wealth, vol. 70(1), pages 213-238, March.
    3. Michael Weber & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Olivier Coibion, 2023. "The Expected, Perceived, and Realized Inflation of US Households Before and During the COVID19 Pandemic," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 71(1), pages 326-368, March.
    4. Michael Weber & Francesco D'Acunto & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Olivier Coibion, 2022. "The Subjective Inflation Expectations of Households and Firms: Measurement, Determinants, and Implications," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 36(3), pages 157-184, Summer.
    5. Lena Dräger & Klaus Gründler & Niklas Potrafke, 2022. "Political Shocks and Inflation Expectations: Evidence from the 2022 Russian Invasion of Ukraine," ifo Working Paper Series 371, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
    6. Lu, Zhi & Bolton, Lisa E. & Ng, Sharon & Chen, Haipeng (Allan), 2020. "The Price of Power: How Firm’s Market Power Affects Perceived Fairness of Price Increases," Journal of Retailing, Elsevier, vol. 96(2), pages 220-234.
    7. Michael Weber, 2022. "Subjective inflation expectations of households," Business Economics, Palgrave Macmillan;National Association for Business Economics, vol. 57(4), pages 217-221, October.
    8. Choi, S. Chan & Turut, Ozge, 2023. "National brand’s competition with premium private labels: The role of context-dependent preferences," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 165(C).
    9. ter Braak, Anne & Deleersnyder, Barbara, 2018. "Innovation Cloning: The Introduction and Performance of Private Label Innovation Copycats," Journal of Retailing, Elsevier, vol. 94(3), pages 312-327.
    10. Sarantis Tsiaplias, 2024. "Inflation as a 'bad', heuristics and aggregate shocks: New evidence on expectation formation," Melbourne Institute Working Paper Series wp2024n03, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, The University of Melbourne.
    11. Brancatelli, Calogero & Inderst, Roman, 2021. "Income and Consumption over the Business Cycle: Evidence from Matched Administrative Data," EconStor Preprints 253665, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
    12. Marnik G. Dekimpe & Barbara Deleersnyder, 2018. "Business cycle research in marketing: a review and research agenda," Journal of the Academy of Marketing Science, Springer, vol. 46(1), pages 31-58, January.
    13. Jean-Pierre Dubé & Günter J. Hitsch & Peter E. Rossi, 2018. "Income and Wealth Effects on Private-Label Demand: Evidence from the Great Recession," Marketing Science, INFORMS, vol. 37(1), pages 22-53, January.
    14. Keller, Kristopher O. & Dekimpe, Marnik G. & Geyskens, Inge, 2022. "Adding budget and premium private labels to standard private labels: Established empirical generalizations, emerging empirical insights, and future research," Journal of Retailing, Elsevier, vol. 98(1), pages 5-23.
    15. Bombaij, Nick, 2021. "Effectiveness of loyalty programs," Other publications TiSEM 095c506d-5b5c-4ea3-9b41-a, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    16. Kiss, Regina & Strasser, Georg, 2024. "Different household – different inflation rate," Research Bulletin, European Central Bank, vol. 121.
    17. Lehmann-Hasemeyer, Sibylle & Neumayer, Andreas & Streb, Jochen, 2023. "Heterogeneous inflation and deflation experiences and savings decisions during German industrialization," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).
    18. Chua, Chew Lian & Tsiaplias, Sarantis, 2024. "The influence of supermarket prices on consumer inflation expectations," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 219(C), pages 414-433.
    19. Nikoleta Anesti & Vania Esady & Matthew Naylor, 2024. "Food prices matter most: Sensitive household inflation expectations," Discussion Papers 2434, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
    20. Gregory D. Hess & Charles S. Morris, 1996. "The long-run costs of moderate inflation," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, vol. 81(Q II), pages 71-88.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:jouret:v:99:y:2023:i:3:p:322-336. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.journals.elsevier.com/journal-of-retailing .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.