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Monika Piazzesi

Citations

Many of the citations below have been collected in an experimental project, CitEc, where a more detailed citation analysis can be found. These are citations from works listed in RePEc that could be analyzed mechanically. So far, only a minority of all works could be analyzed. See under "Corrections" how you can help improve the citation analysis.

Blog mentions

As found by EconAcademics.org, the blog aggregator for Economics research:

    Mentioned in:

    1. A story: Charging a small fee for not voting
      by UDADISI in udadisi on 2011-10-20 21:39:00
    2. Articles for Journal Clubs
      by Liam Delaney in Geary Behaviour Centre on 2010-06-22 22:50:00
    3. Preventing bank runs – a primer
      by ? in Bruegel blog on 2013-04-02 15:58:20
    4. Who will pay the bill in Sicily?
      by laurence-df in OFCE le blog on 2012-10-04 11:00:29
    5. H-Index for Journals
      by Francis Diebold in No Hesitations on 2018-03-08 17:47:00
  1. Fabian Kindermann & Julia Le Blanc & Monika Piazzesi & Martin Schneider, 2021. "Learning about Housing Cost: Survey Evidence from the German House Price Boom," NBER Working Papers 28895, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Mentioned in:

    1. The ECB's New Strategy: Codifying Existing Practice . . . plus
      by Steve Cecchetti and Kim Schoenholtz in Money, Banking and Financial Markets on 2021-08-16 11:00:01
  2. Monika Piazzesi & Martin Schneider, 2009. "Momentum traders in the housing market: survey evidence and a search model," NBER Working Papers 14669, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Mentioned in:

    1. Momentum traders and the housing market bubble
      by Economic Logician in Economic Logic on 2009-02-18 20:44:00
  3. Author Profile
    1. Are The Top Young Economists Largely European?
      by David Zaring in The conglomerate on 2010-08-11 14:55:00

RePEc Biblio mentions

As found on the RePEc Biblio, the curated bibliography of Economics:
  1. Ang, Andrew & Piazzesi, Monika & Wei, Min, 2006. "What does the yield curve tell us about GDP growth?," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 131(1-2), pages 359-403.

    Mentioned in:

    1. > Econometrics > Forecasting > Forecasting Economic Activity Using Financial Variables

Wikipedia or ReplicationWiki mentions

(Only mentions on Wikipedia that link back to a page on a RePEc service)
  1. John H. Cochrane & Monika Piazzesi, 2005. "Bond Risk Premia," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 95(1), pages 138-160, March.

    Mentioned in:

    1. Bond Risk Premia (AER 2005) in ReplicationWiki ()
  2. Monika Piazzesi, 2005. "Bond Yields and the Federal Reserve," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 113(2), pages 311-344, April.

    Mentioned in:

    1. Bond Yields and the Federal Reserve (JPE 2005) in ReplicationWiki ()

Working papers

  1. Shifrah Aron-Dine & Johannes Beutel & Monika Piazzesi & Martin Schneider, 2024. "Household Climate Finance: Theory and Survey Data on Safe and Risky Green Assets," NBER Working Papers 32615, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Cited by:

    1. Gormsen, Niels Joachim & Huber, Kilian & Oh, Sangmin S., 2024. "Climate capitalists," Working Paper Series 2990, European Central Bank.

  2. Theresa Kuchler & Monika Piazzesi & Johannes Stroebel, 2022. "Housing Market Expectations," NBER Working Papers 29909, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Cited by:

    1. McQuinn, Kieran & O'Toole, Conor & O'Shea, Dónal, 2024. "Quarterly Economic Commentary, Winter 2024," Forecasting Report, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI), number QEC2024WIN, March.
    2. Federica Ciocchetta & Elisa Guglielminetti & Alessandro Mistretta, 2024. "What Drives House Prices in Europe?," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 86(5), pages 1089-1121, October.
    3. Leung, Charles Ka Yui, 2022. "Housing and Macroeconomics," MPRA Paper 115500, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Bhatt, Vipul & Kishor, N. Kundan, 2022. "Role of credit and expectations in house price dynamics," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    5. Tobias Herbst & Moritz Kuhn & Farzad Saidi, 2024. "Army of Mortgagors: Long-Run Evidence on Credit Externalities and the Housing Market," ECONtribute Discussion Papers Series 293, University of Bonn and University of Cologne, Germany.
    6. Verma, Akhilesh Kumar & McQuinn, Kieran, 2024. "Assessing expectations of European house prices," Quarterly Economic Commentary: Special Articles, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI).
    7. Gorea, Denis & Kryvtsov, Oleksiy & Kudlyak, Marianna, 2022. "House Price Responses to Monetary Policy Surprises: Evidence from the U.S. Listings Data," IZA Discussion Papers 15481, IZA Network @ LISER.
    8. Low, Hamish & Sánchez-Marcos, Virginia, 2024. "Labour supply and the cost of house price booms and busts," Labour Economics, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    9. Wauters, Joris & Zekaite, Zivile & Garabedian, Garo, 2024. "Owner-occupied housing costs, policy communication, and inflation expectations," Research Technical Papers 3/RT/24, Central Bank of Ireland.
    10. Krivenko, Pavel, 2023. "The Role of Moving Shocks, Unemployment, and Policy in Understanding Housing Bust," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).
    11. Tokuoka, Kiichi, 2025. "Do lifelong experiences of land prices affect homeownership in Japan?," Japan and the World Economy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).

  3. Fabian Kindermann & Julia Le Blanc & Monika Piazzesi & Martin Schneider, 2021. "Learning about Housing Cost: Survey Evidence from the German House Price Boom," NBER Working Papers 28895, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Cited by:

    1. D'Acunto, Francesco & Hoang, Daniel & Weber, Michael, 2021. "Managing households' expectations with unconventional policies," Working Paper Series in Economics 148, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Department of Economics and Management.
    2. Francesco Capozza & Ingar Haaland & Christopher Roth & Johannes Wohlfart, 2021. "Studying Information Acquisition in the Field: A Practical Guide and Review," ECONtribute Discussion Papers Series 124, University of Bonn and University of Cologne, Germany.
    3. Sarah Kiesl-Reiter & Melanie Lührmann & Jonathan Shaw & Joachim Winter, 2025. "The formation of subjective house price expectations: the role of perceptions and local economic conditions," IFS Working Papers W25/58, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
    4. Berg, Tobias & Haselmann, Rainer & Kick, Thomas & Schreiber, Sebastian, 2023. "Unintended consequences of QE: Real estate prices and financial stability," IMFS Working Paper Series 196, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
    5. Cosmin L. Ilut & Martin Schneider, 2022. "Modeling Uncertainty as Ambiguity: a Review," NBER Working Papers 29915, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    6. Kiesl-Reiter, Sarah, 2024. "Subjective Expectations about Joint Return Distributions," VfS Annual Conference 2024 (Berlin): Upcoming Labor Market Challenges 302423, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    7. Niklas Gohl & Peter Haan & Claus Michelsen & Felix Weinhardt, 2022. "House Price Expectations," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 1994, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
    8. Beutel, Johannes & Metiu, Norbert & Stockerl, Valentin, 2021. "Toothless tiger with claws? Financial stability communication, expectations, and risk-taking," Discussion Papers 05/2021, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    9. Schnorpfeil, Philip & Weber, Michael & Hackethal, Andreas, 2024. "Households' response to the wealth effects of inflation," Working Paper Series 2904, European Central Bank.
    10. Le blanc, Julia & Slacalek, Jiri & White, Matthew N., 2025. "Housing Wealth Across Countries: The Role of Expectations, Institutions and Preferences," JRC Working Papers in Economics and Finance 2025-01, Joint Research Centre, European Commission.
    11. Geng Li & Nitish R. Sinha, 2023. "Are Real Assets Owners Less Averse to Inflation? Evidence from Consumer Sentiments and Inflation Expectations," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2023-058, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    12. Bachmann, Ruediger & Born, Benjamin & Goldfayn-Frank, Olga & Kocharkov, Georgi & Luetticke, Ralph & Weber, Michael, 2025. "A temporary VAT cut as unconventional fiscal policy," Discussion Papers 24/2025, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    13. Edika Quispe-Torreblanca & David Hume & John Gathergood & George Loewenstein & Neil Stewart, 2023. "At the Top of the Mind: Peak Prices and the Disposition Effect," Discussion Papers 2023-09, The Centre for Decision Research and Experimental Economics, School of Economics, University of Nottingham.
    14. Francesco Capozza & Ingar Haaland & Christopher Roth & Johannes Wohlfart, 2022. "Recent Advances in Studies of News Consumption," ECONtribute Discussion Papers Series 204, University of Bonn and University of Cologne, Germany.
    15. Sarah Kiesl-Reiter & Melanie Lührmann & Jonathan Shaw & Joachim Winter, 2024. "The Formation of Subjective House Price Expectations," Rationality and Competition Discussion Paper Series 491, CRC TRR 190 Rationality and Competition.
    16. Martin Groiss & Nicolas Syrichas, 2025. "Monetary Policy, Property Prices and Rents: Evidence from Local Housing Markets," Berlin School of Economics Discussion Papers 0058, Berlin School of Economics.
    17. Wauters, Joris & Zekaite, Zivile & Garabedian, Garo, 2024. "Owner-occupied housing costs, policy communication, and inflation expectations," Research Technical Papers 3/RT/24, Central Bank of Ireland.
    18. Charles Ka Yui Leung & (single author only), 2021. "Handbook of Real Estate and Macroeconomics: An Introduction," ISER Discussion Paper 1137, Institute of Social and Economic Research, The University of Osaka.

  4. Moritz Lenel & Monika Piazzesi & Martin Schneider, 2019. "The Short Rate Disconnect in a Monetary Economy," NBER Working Papers 26102, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Cited by:

    1. Nadav Ben Zeev & Noam Ben-Ze’ev & Daniel Nathan, 2025. "Capital Inflow Shocks and Convenience Yields," Working Papers 2503, Ben-Gurion University of the Negev, Department of Economics.
    2. Speck, Christian, 2023. "Pricing the Bund term structure with linear regressions – without an observable short rate," Discussion Papers 08/2023, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    3. Andreea Oprea, 2022. "The Use of Principal Component Analysis (PCA) in Building Yield Curve Scenarios and Identifying Relative-Value Trading Opportunities on the Romanian Government Bond Market," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 15(6), pages 1-37, May.
    4. George J. Bratsiotis, 2021. "Interest on Reserves as a Main Monetary Policy Tool," Economics Discussion Paper Series 2102, Economics, The University of Manchester, revised Feb 2022.
    5. Zhiguo He & Stefan Nagel & Zhaogang Song, 2020. "Treasury Inconvenience Yields during the COVID-19 Crisis," Working Papers 2020-79, Becker Friedman Institute for Research In Economics.
    6. Jia, Pengfei, 2021. "Understanding a New Keynesian Model with Liquidity," MPRA Paper 108286, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. William Chen & Gregory Phelan, 2023. "Should Monetary Policy Target Financial Stability," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 49, pages 181-200, July.
    8. Adrien D'Avernas & Quentin Vandeweyer, 2024. "Treasury Bill Shortages and the Pricing of Short‐Term Assets," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 79(6), pages 4083-4141, December.
    9. Sebastian Infante & Kyungmin Kim & Anna Orlik & André F. Silva & Robert J. Tetlow, 2022. "The Macroeconomic Implications of CBDC: A Review of the Literature," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2022-076, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    10. Vadim Elenev & Tim Landvoigt & Patrick J. Shultz & Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh, 2021. "Can Monetary Policy Create Fiscal Capacity?," NBER Working Papers 29129, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

  5. Monika Piazzesi & Martin Schneider, 2016. "Housing and Macroeconomics," NBER Working Papers 22354, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Cited by:

    1. Caloia, Francesco G., 2024. "Borrower-based measures, house prices and household debt," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
    2. Martin, Carolin & Schmitt, Noemi & Westerhoff, Frank, 2021. "Heterogeneous expectations, housing bubbles and tax policy," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 183(C), pages 555-573.
    3. Lise Clain-Chamosset-Yvrard & Xavier Raurich & Thomas Seegmuller, 2022. "Rational housing demand bubble," AMSE Working Papers 2213, Aix-Marseille School of Economics, France.
    4. Jung Sakong, 2021. "Effect of Ownership Composition on Property Prices and Rents: Evidence from Chinese Investment Boom in US Housing Markets," Working Paper Series WP-2021-12, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
    5. Stijn Claessens & M Ayhan Kose, 2018. "Frontiers of macrofinancial linkages," BIS Papers, Bank for International Settlements, number 95, May.
    6. Charles Ka Yui Leung & Joe Cho Yiu Ng, 2018. "Macro Aspects of Housing," Globalization Institute Working Papers 340, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
    7. Cengiz Tunc, 2020. "The Effect of Credit Supply on House Prices: Evidence From Turkey," Housing Policy Debate, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(2), pages 228-242, March.
    8. Kasper Kragh Balke & Markus Karlman & Karin Kinnerud, 2024. "Winners and Losers from Property Taxation," Working Papers 04/2024, Centre for Household Finance and Macroeconomic Research (HOFIMAR), BI Norwegian Business School.
    9. Miles, David & Sefton, James, 2017. "Houses across time and across place," CEPR Discussion Papers 12103, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    10. Grossmann, Volker & Larin, Benjamin & Löfflad, Hans Torben & Steger, Thomas, 2021. "Distributional consequences of surging housing rents," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 196(C).
    11. Krzysztof Olszewski & Jacek Łaszek & Joanna Waszczuk, 2023. "An unequal reaction of housing starts to house prices in different regions of Poland," Bank i Kredyt, Narodowy Bank Polski, vol. 54(4), pages 437-458.
    12. Higgins, Brian E., 2024. "Mortgage borrowing limits and house prices: evidence from a policy change in Ireland," Working Paper Series 2909, European Central Bank.
    13. Alkis Blanz & Beatriz Gaitan, 2023. "Reducing residential emissions: carbon pricing vs. subsidizing retrofits," Papers 2310.15687, arXiv.org.
    14. Vanessa Schmidt & Hannah Magdalena Seidl, 2025. "Aggregate Lending Standards and Inequality," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 2140, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
    15. Matteo Leombroni & Monika Piazzesi & Martin Schneider & Ciaran Rogers, 2020. "Inflation and the Price of Real Assets," NBER Working Papers 26740, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    16. Martin, Carolin & Schmitt, Noemi & Westerhoff, Frank, 2019. "Housing markets, expectation formation and interest rates," BERG Working Paper Series 142, Bamberg University, Bamberg Economic Research Group.
    17. Carlos Cañizares Martínez & Gabe J. de Bondt & Arne Gieseck, 2023. "Forecasting housing investment," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(3), pages 543-565, April.
    18. Sandro Heiniger & Winfried Koeniger & Michael Lechner, 2022. "The Heterogeneous Response of Real Estate Asset Prices to a Global Shock," CESifo Working Paper Series 10083, CESifo.
    19. Zhou, Jing, 2022. "Collateral quality and house prices," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 145(C).
    20. Arigoni, Filippo & McCann, Fergal & Yao, Fang, 2022. "Mortgage credit and house prices: evidence to inform macroprudential policy," Financial Stability Notes 11/FS/22, Central Bank of Ireland.
    21. Karolis Bielskis, 2024. "Homeownership status and its effect for housing wealth - consumption channel in Europe," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 48(3), pages 668-684, September.
    22. Saleem Bahaj & Angus Foulis & Gabor Pinter & Paolo Surico, 2019. "Employment and the collateral channel of monetary policy," Bank of England working papers 827, Bank of England.
    23. Grzegorz Wesołowski, 2021. "Monetary Policy and House Price Volatility," Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, vol. 13(4), pages 359-379, December.
    24. Surico, Paolo & Bracke, Philippe & Croxson, Karen & Fakhri, Daoud & Valletti, Tommaso, 2020. "Mortgage Market Disruptions," CEPR Discussion Papers 15381, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    25. Michael Funke & Robert Kirkby & Petar Mihaylovski, 2017. "House Prices and Macroprudential Policy in an Estimated DSGE Model of New Zealand," CESifo Working Paper Series 6487, CESifo.
    26. Jinwoong Lee & Jihee Ann & Cheolbeom Park, 2021. "What Causes House Prices to Fluctuate? Evidence from South Korea," Discussion Paper Series 2103, Institute of Economic Research, Korea University.
    27. Mbazia Nadia & Djelassi Mouldi, 2019. "Housing Prices and Money Demand: Empirical Evidence in Selected MENA Countries," Review of Middle East Economics and Finance, De Gruyter, vol. 15(1), pages 1-18, April.
    28. Francesco Caloia & Mauro Mastrogiacomo, 2021. "The Housing Wealth Effect: a comparative study of Italy and the Netherlands," Working Papers 713, DNB.
    29. Brunetti, Roberto & Gaigné, Carl & Moizeau, Fabien, 2024. "Land, Wealth, and Taxation," Working Papers 348477, Institut National de la recherche Agronomique (INRA), Departement Sciences Sociales, Agriculture et Alimentation, Espace et Environnement (SAE2).
    30. Juan Carlos Cuestas & Merike Kukk, 2019. "Are there asymmetries in the interaction between housing prices and housing credit? Evidence from a country with rapid credit accumulation," Working Papers 2019/06, Economics Department, Universitat Jaume I, Castellón (Spain).
    31. Daniel A. Dias & Joao B. Duarte, 2019. "Monetary Policy, Housing Rents and Inflation Dynamics," International Finance Discussion Papers 1248, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    32. Koster, Hans R. A. & Pinchbeck, Edward W., 2018. "How do households value the future? Evidence from property taxes," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 91693, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    33. Michele Loberto & Andrea Luciani & Marco Pangallo, 2020. "What do online listings tell us about the housing market?," Papers 2004.02706, arXiv.org.
    34. Tom Schmitz & Enrique Moral-Benito & Alberto Martin, 2018. "The Financial Transmission of Housing Booms: Evidence from Spain," Working Papers 1044, Barcelona School of Economics.
    35. Bielskis, Karolis & Lastauskas, Povilas, 2024. "The role of housing market and credit on household consumption dynamics: Evidence from the OECD countries," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 228(C).
    36. Geoffrey Meen & Alexander Mihailov & Yehui Wang, 2022. "On the long-run solution to aggregate housing systems," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 59(1), pages 178-196, January.
    37. Volker Grossmann & Benjamin Larin & Hans Torben Löfflad & Thomas Steger, 2019. "Distributional effects of surging housing costs under Schwabe's Law," CESifo Working Paper Series 7684, CESifo.
    38. Eerola, Essi & Harjunen, Oskari & Lyytikäinen, Teemu & Saarimaa, Tuukka, 2021. "Revisiting the effects of housing transfer taxes," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 124(C).
    39. Jiang, Erica Xuewei & Zhang, Anthony Lee, 2025. "Collateral value uncertainty and mortgage credit provision," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 169(C).
    40. Francesco Caloia, 2022. "Borrower-Based Measures, House Prices and Household Debt," Working Papers 738, DNB.
    41. Muñoz, Manuel A., 2020. "Macroprudential policy and the role of institutional investors in housing markets," Working Paper Series 2454, European Central Bank.
    42. Charles Ka Yui Leung & Joe Cho Yiu Ng & Edward Chi Ho Tang, 2020. "Why is the Hong Kong housing market unaffordable? Some stylized facts and estimations," ISER Discussion Paper 1081, Institute of Social and Economic Research, The University of Osaka.
    43. Gabrovski, Miroslav & Ortego-Marti, Victor, 2019. "The cyclical behavior of the Beveridge Curve in the housing market," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 181(C), pages 361-381.
    44. Tang, Edward Chi Ho & Leung, Charles Ka Yui, 2024. "Icing on the cake: Can the Top-Floor Units serve as a status good and an investment simultaneously?," MPRA Paper 121937, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    45. Aaron Hedlund & Kieran Larkin & Kurt Mitman & Serdar Ozkan, 2025. "Mortgage Market Structure and the Transmission of Monetary Policy During the Great Inflation," Working Papers 2025-016, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
    46. Lake, A., 2020. "Behavioural Finance at Home: Testing Deviations of House Prices from their Fundamental Values," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 20104, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    47. Oikarinen, Elias & Bourassa, Steven C. & Hoesli, Martin & Engblom, Janne, 2018. "U.S. metropolitan house price dynamics," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 105(C), pages 54-69.
    48. Efe A. Ok & Andrei Savochkin, 2022. "Believing in forecasts, uncertainty, and rational expectations," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 74(3), pages 947-971, October.
    49. Ismir Mulalic & Holger Rasmussen & Jan Rouwendal & Hans Henrik Woltmann, 2017. "The Financial Crisis and Diverging House Prices: Evidence from the Copenhagen Metropolitan Area," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 17-084/VIII, Tinbergen Institute.
    50. Rebelo, Sérgio & Eichenbaum, Martin & Wong, Arlene, 2018. "State Dependent Effects of Monetary Policy: the Refinancing Channel," CEPR Discussion Papers 13223, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    51. Anastasiou, Dimitrios & Kapopoulos, Panayotis, 2021. "Dynamic linkages among financial stability, house prices and residential investment in Greece," MPRA Paper 107833, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    52. Rongsheng Tang & Yang Tang & Rongjie Zhang, 2024. "The Aggregate and Distributional Impacts of Residence Policy Relaxation," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 69(2), pages 343-376, August.
    53. Essi Eerola & Oskari Harjunen & Teemu Lyytikäinen & Tuukka Saarimaa, 2019. "Effects of Housing Transfer Taxes on Household Mobility," CESifo Working Paper Series 7750, CESifo.
    54. Gomes, Francisco J. & Haliassos, Michael & Ramadorai, Tarun, 2020. "Household finance," IMFS Working Paper Series 138, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
    55. Steger, Thomas & Grossmann, Volker & Larin, Benjamin & Löfflad, Hans Torben, 2019. "Distributional Effects of Surging Housing Costs under Schwabe`s Law of Rent," VfS Annual Conference 2019 (Leipzig): 30 Years after the Fall of the Berlin Wall - Democracy and Market Economy 203613, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    56. Denis Gorea & Oleksiy Kryvtsov & Marianna Kudlyak, 2022. "House Price Responses to Monetary Policy Surprises: Evidence from the U.S. Listings Data," Staff Working Papers 22-39, Bank of Canada.
    57. Graziano Moramarco, 2021. "Financial-cycle ratios and medium-term predictions of GDP: Evidence from the United States," Papers 2111.00822, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2024.
    58. Dimitris Anastasiou & Panayotis Kapopoulos & Kalliopi-Maria Zekente, 2023. "Sentimental Shocks and House Prices," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 67(4), pages 627-655, November.
    59. Takaaki Ohnishi & Takayuki Mizuno & Tsutomu Watanabe, 2020. "House price dispersion in boom–bust cycles: evidence from Tokyo," The Japanese Economic Review, Springer, vol. 71(4), pages 511-539, October.
    60. Robert J. Shiller & Rafal M. Wojakowski & M. Shahid Ebrahim & Mark B. Shackleton, 2017. "Continuous Workout Mortgages: Efficient Pricing and Systemic Implications," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 2116, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
    61. Winfried Koeniger & Benedikt Lennartz & Marc-Antoine Ramelet, 2021. "On the transmission of monetary policy to the housing market," Working Papers 2021-06, Swiss National Bank.
    62. Michael Carlos Best & James S Cloyne & Ethan Ilzetzki & Henrik J Kleven, 2020. "Estimating the Elasticity of Intertemporal Substitution Using Mortgage Notches," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 87(2), pages 656-690.
    63. Borys Grochulski & Yuzhe Zhang, 2019. "Wealth Effects with Endogenous Retirement," Economic Quarterly, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, issue 3Q, pages 173-200.
    64. Cokayne, Graeme & Gerba, Eddie & Kuchler, Andreas & Pank Roulund, Rasmus, 2024. "“Thank me later”: Why is (macro)prudence desirable?," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    65. Martin, Alberto & Moral-Benito, Enrique & Schmitz, Tom, 2019. "The financial transmission of housing bubbles: evidence from Spain," Working Paper Series 2245, European Central Bank.
    66. Haroon Mumtaz & Roman Sustek, 2023. "Global house prices since 1950," Discussion Papers 2307, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
    67. Kose, M. Ayhan & Claessens, Stijn, 2017. "Asset Prices and Macroeconomic Outcomes: A Survey," CEPR Discussion Papers 12460, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    68. Roman Sustek, 2022. "A Back-of-the-Envelope Analysis of House Prices: Czech Republic, 2013-2021," CERGE-EI Working Papers wp737, The Center for Economic Research and Graduate Education - Economics Institute, Prague.
    69. Daniel L. Tortorice, 2019. "Long-Run Expectations, Learning and the US Housing Market," Eastern Economic Journal, Palgrave Macmillan;Eastern Economic Association, vol. 45(4), pages 497-531, October.
    70. Gennaro Catapano & Francesco Franceschi & Valentina Michelangeli & Michele Loberto, 2021. "Macroprudential Policy Analysis via an Agent Based Model of the Real Estate Sector," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1338, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    71. Gergely Lakos & Tibor Szendrei, 2017. "Explanations of Asset Price Bubbles," Financial and Economic Review, Magyar Nemzeti Bank (Central Bank of Hungary), vol. 16(4), pages 122-150.
    72. Katja Gehr & Linus Kraft & Michael Pflüger, 2026. "Housing in Big Cities: The Capitalization Premium," CESifo Working Paper Series 12430, CESifo.
    73. Alessandro Piergallini, 2020. "Demographic change and real house prices: a general equilibrium perspective," Journal of Economics, Springer, vol. 130(1), pages 85-102, June.
    74. Gabrovski, Miroslav & Ortego-Marti, Victor, 2021. "Search and credit frictions in the housing market," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
    75. Miroslav Gabrovski & Victor Ortego-Marti, 2025. "Home Construction Financing and Search Frictions in the Housing Market," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 55, January.
    76. van Veldhuizen, Sander & Vogt, Benedikt & Voogt, Bart, 2020. "Negative home equity reduces household mobility: Evidence from administrative data," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 47(C).
    77. Alpanda, Sami & Zubairy, Sarah, 2017. "Addressing household indebtedness: Monetary, fiscal or macroprudential policy?," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 47-73.
    78. Francisco Amaral & Martin Dohmen & Sebastian Kohl & Moritz Schularick, 2021. "Superstar Returns," Working Papers hal-03881493, HAL.
    79. Volker Grossmann & Andreas Schäfer & Thomas Steger & Benjamin Fuchs, 2016. "Reversal of Migration Flows: A Fresh Look at the German Reunification," RFBerlin Discussion Paper Series 1622, ROCKWOOL Foundation Berlin (RFBerlin).
    80. Steger, Thomas Michael & Grossmann, Volker, 2016. "Das House-Kapital: A Theory of Wealth-to-Income Ratios," VfS Annual Conference 2016 (Augsburg): Demographic Change 145936, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    81. Shikong (Scott) Luo & Jun Ma, 2024. "International Housing Markets and the U.S. Subprime Crisis," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 56(2-3), pages 647-669, March.
    82. Ambrocio, Gene, 2019. "Measuring household uncertainty in EU countries," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 17/2019, Bank of Finland.
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    1. Bratu, Cristina & Harjunen, Oskari & Saarimaa, Tuukka, 2023. "JUE Insight: City-wide effects of new housing supply: Evidence from moving chains," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    2. Zhaohui Li & Qiang Li & Hua Sun & Li Sun, 2022. "Diffused effort, asset heterogeneity, and real estate brokerage," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 50(3), pages 707-742, September.
    3. Ngai, L. Rachel & Sheedy, Kevin D., 2023. "The Ins and Outs of Selling Houses: Understanding Housing-Market Volatility," IZA Discussion Papers 16603, IZA Network @ LISER.
    4. Yang, Jian & Tong, Meng & Yu, Ziliang, 2021. "Housing market spillovers through the lens of transaction volume: A new spillover index approach," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 351-378.
    5. Yanjiang Zhang & Yong Tu & Yongheng Deng, 2024. "Duration‐dependent transaction tax effects on sellers and their behaviors," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 52(1), pages 140-183, January.
    6. Timmermann, Allan & Møller, Stig & Pedersen, Thomas & Schütte, Erik Christian Montes, 2021. "Search and Predictability of Prices in the Housing Market," CEPR Discussion Papers 15875, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    7. Julien Pascal, 2023. "Rental housing market and directed search," BCL working papers 179, Central Bank of Luxembourg.
    8. Díaz, Antonia & Jerez, Belén & Rincón-Zapatero, Juan Pablo, 2022. "Housing prices and credit constraints in competitive search," UC3M Working papers. Economics 35536, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Economía.
    9. Kuchler, Theresa & Pagel, Michaela, 2021. "Sticking to your plan: The role of present bias for credit card paydown," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 139(2), pages 359-388.
    10. Hu, Maggie Rong & Kuang, Weida & Li, Xiaoyang & Shi, Yang, 2025. "Is the more the merrier? Buyers’ onsite viewing activities and housing search outcomes," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 180(C).
    11. Perry Singleton, 2015. "Health, Medical Innovation, and Disability Insurance: A Care Study of HIV Antiretroviral Therapy," Center for Policy Research Working Papers 182, Center for Policy Research, Maxwell School, Syracuse University.
    12. Elizabeth Bruch & Joffre Swait, 2019. "Choice Set Formation in Residential Mobility and Its Implications for Segregation Dynamics," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 56(5), pages 1665-1692, October.
    13. Marie-Laure Breuillé & Julie Le Gallo & Alexandra Verlhiac, 2022. "Residential Migration and the COVID-19 Crisis: Towards an Urban Exodus in France?," Economie et Statistique / Economics and Statistics, Institut National de la Statistique et des Etudes Economiques (INSEE), issue 536-37, pages 57-73.
    14. Fang, Yi & Wang, Yanru & Yuan, Yan & Zhang, Moyan, 2024. "Urban air pollution and systemic risk of the real estate market in China," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 96(PB).
    15. Qiyuan Wang, 2024. "For-Sale-by-Owner Platforms and Intermediation Pricing: Evidence from a Natural Experiment," Marketing Science, INFORMS, vol. 43(2), pages 346-359, March.
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    17. Miroslav Gabrovski & Victor Ortego-Marti, 2021. "On the Slope of the Beveridge Curve in the Housing Market," Working Papers 202105, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Department of Economics.
    18. Gong, Yifan & Leung, Charles Ka Yui, 2023. "Does space natter? The case of the housing expenditure cap," MPRA Paper 118686, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    19. Michael Bailey & Abhinav Gupta & Sebastian Hillenbrand & Theresa Kuchler & Robert Richmond & Johannes Stroebel, 2020. "International Trade and Social Connectedness," CESifo Working Paper Series 8248, CESifo.
    20. Paul M. Anglin & Yanmin Gao, 2023. "Value of Communication and Social Media: An Equilibrium Theory of Messaging," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 66(4), pages 861-903, May.
    21. Monika Piazzesi & Martin Schneider, 2016. "Housing and Macroeconomics," NBER Working Papers 22354, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    22. Jeffrey P. Cohen & Cletus C. Coughlin & Jonas C. Crews, 2018. "Interregional Migration and Housing Vacancy: Theory and Empirics," Working Papers 2018-007, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, revised 16 Oct 2020.
    23. Arefeva, Alina, 2025. "Housing markets: Auctions, granular shocks, and microstructure frictions," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 180(C).
    24. Miroslav Gabrovski & Victor Ortego-Marti, 2020. "Search and Credit Frictions in the Housing Market," Working Papers 202016, University of California at Riverside, Department of Economics.
    25. Horn, Keren & Merante, Mark, 2017. "Is home sharing driving up rents? Evidence from Airbnb in Boston," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 14-24.
    26. Giorgio Primiceri & Andrea Tambalotti & Alejandro Justiniano, 2017. "The Mortgage Rate Conundrum," 2017 Meeting Papers 471, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    27. Steffen Andersen & Kasper Meisner Nielsen, 2017. "Fire Sales and House Prices: Evidence from Estate Sales Due to Sudden Death," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 63(1), pages 201-212, January.
    28. Sumit Agarwal & John Grigsby & Ali Hortaçsu & Gregor Matvos & Amit Seru & Vincent Yao, 2020. "Searching for Approval," NBER Working Papers 27341, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
      • Sumit Agarwal & John Grigsby & Ali Hortaçsu & Gregor Matvos & Amit Seru & Vincent Yao, 2024. "Searching for Approval," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 92(4), pages 1195-1231, July.
      • Sumit Agarwal & John R. Grigsby & Ali Hortaçsu & Gregor Matvos & Amit Seru, 2020. "Searching for Approval," Working Papers 2020-1, Princeton University. Economics Department..
    29. George C Galster, 2024. "How digitalisation influences neighbourhood change," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 61(16), pages 3028-3049, December.
    30. Zhao, Yu & Yang, Yichen & Zhang, Ning, 2026. "Flood shocks, heterogeneous risk exposure, and housing market dynamics in China," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 178(C).
    31. Kyle Herkenhoff & Gordon Phillips & Ethan Cohen-Cole, 2017. "How Credit Constraints Impact Job Finding Rates, Sorting & Aggregate Output," Working Papers 2017-012, Human Capital and Economic Opportunity Working Group.
    32. Mense, Andreas, 2021. "Secondary housing supply," FAU Discussion Papers in Economics 05/2021, Friedrich-Alexander University Erlangen-Nuremberg, Institute for Economics.
    33. Miroslav Gabrovski & Victor Ortego-Marti, 2025. "Home Construction Financing and Search Frictions in the Housing Market," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 55, January.
    34. Baltagi, Badi H. & Li, Jing, 2015. "Cointegration of matched home purchases and rental price indexes — Evidence from Singapore," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 80-88.
    35. Fan, Ying & Fu, Yuqi & Yang, Zan & Chen, Ming, 2024. "Search frictions in rental markets: Evidence from urban China," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    36. Nishi, Hayato & Asami, Yasushi & Shimizu, Chihiro, 2021. "The illusion of a hedonic price function: Nonparametric interpretable segmentation for hedonic inference," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    37. Bø, Erlend Eide, 2018. "Housing match quality and demand: What can we learn from comparing buyer characteristics?," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 184-199.
    38. Levy, Daniel & Snir, Avichai, 2018. "Here Lives a Wealthy Man: Price Rigidity and Predictability in Luxury Housing Markets," MPRA Paper 85264, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    39. Guarini, Maria Rosaria & Roma, Antonella & Sabatelli, Emma & Segura-de-la-Cal, Alejandro, 2025. "Intrinsic and extrinsic attributes in real estate pricing: Insights for sustainable urban planning strategies," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 153(C).
    40. Mast, Evan, 2023. "JUE Insight: The effect of new market-rate housing construction on the low-income housing market," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    41. Ghent, Andra C., 2021. "What’s wrong with Pittsburgh? Delegated investors and liquidity concentration," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 139(2), pages 337-358.
    42. Guoying Deng & Xuyuan Zhang, 2024. "Digital Platform Consolidation and Offline Expansion: Strategic Convergence and Market Welfare in China's Second-hand Real Estate Market," Papers 2409.04326, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2025.
    43. William N Goetzmann & Christophe Spaenjers & Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh, 2021. "Real and Private-Value Assets [Gendered prices]," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 34(8), pages 3497-3526.
    44. Theresa Kuchler & Monika Piazzesi & Johannes Stroebel, 2022. "Housing Market Expectations," CESifo Working Paper Series 9665, CESifo.
    45. Lerbs, Oliver & Teske, Markus, 2016. "The house price-vacancy curve," ZEW Discussion Papers 16-082, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
    46. Fan, Ying & Fu, Yuqi & Yang, Zan, 2025. "Tour detour: Intermediaries’ search diversion in rental markets," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 236(C).
    47. Stefano Giglio & Bryan Kelly & Johannes Stroebel, 2020. "Climate Finance," CESifo Working Paper Series 8772, CESifo.
    48. N. Edward Coulson & Walter D'Lima & David Jinkins, 2022. "Job match and housing tenure," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 50(6), pages 1576-1595, November.
    49. Francisco Amaral & Martin Dohmen & Sebastian Kohl & Moritz Schularick, 2025. "Superstar Returns? Spatial Heterogeneity in Returns to Housing," Post-Print hal-05448313, HAL.
    50. Ströbel, Johannes & Kuchler, Theresa, 2020. "Social Finance," CEPR Discussion Papers 15556, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    51. Kristopher Gerardi & Franklin Qian & David Hao Zhang, 2024. "Mortgage Lock-in, Lifecycle Migration, and the Welfare Effects of Housing Market Liquidity," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 15, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
    52. Chibane, Messaoud & Poncet, Patrice, 2025. "Housing rare disaster events and asset prices," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 147(C).
    53. Ziqing Yuan & K. W. Chau & Xian Zheng, 2025. "Investors matter when prices are dispersed: the effects of investor activities on housing price dispersion," Humanities and Social Sciences Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 12(1), pages 1-14, December.
    54. Gaetano Lisi, 2025. "Homeownership and (un)employment: Search theory and empirical evidence from a system GMM," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 45(4), pages 1723-1734.
    55. Jian Yang & Meng Tong & Ziliang Yu, 2023. "Can volume be more informative than prices? Evidence from Chinese housing markets," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 61(2), pages 633-672, August.
    56. Kindström, Gabriella & Liang, Che-Yuan, 2024. "Does new housing for the rich benefit the poor? On trickle-down effects of new homes," SocArXiv u7hjv, Center for Open Science.
    57. Nicholas B. Irwin & Mitchell R. Livy, 2022. "Price and Liquidity Dynamics for Single and Multi-Family Homes during Housing Market Shocks," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 65(1), pages 22-47, July.
    58. Reher, Michael, 2021. "Finance and the supply of housing quality," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 142(1), pages 357-376.
    59. Miroslav Gabrovski & Victor Ortego-Marti, 2021. "Efficiency in the Housing Market with Search Frictions," Working Papers 202108, University of California at Riverside, Department of Economics.
    60. Michele Cascarano & Filippo Natoli, 2023. "Temperatures and search: evidence from the housing market," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1419, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    61. Hiller, Norbert & Lerbs, Oliver W., 2016. "Aging and urban house prices," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 276-291.
    62. Miroslav Gabrovski & Victor Ortego-Marti, 2021. "On the Positive Slope of the Beveridge Curve in the Housing Market," Working Papers 202113, University of California at Riverside, Department of Economics.
    63. Joan Monras & Jose G. Montalvo, 2023. "The Effect of Second-Generation Rent Controls: New Evidence from Catalonia," Working Paper Series 2023-28, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    64. Vandenbergh, Joren, 2024. "Seller and search behavior in the Belgian housing market," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    65. C. Guerriero, 2017. "Property Rights, Transaction Costs, and the Limits of the Market," Working Papers wp1110, Dipartimento Scienze Economiche, Universita' di Bologna.
    66. Antonio Gargano & Marco Giacoletti & Elvis Jarnecic, 2023. "Local Experiences, Search, and Spillovers in the Housing Market," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 78(2), pages 1015-1053, April.
    67. Elisa Guglielminetti & Michele Loberto & Giordano Zevi & Roberta Zizza, 2021. "Living on my own: the impact of the Covid-19 pandemic on housing preferences," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 627, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    68. Fan, Ying & Fu, Yuqi & Yang, Zan & Chen, Ming, 2023. "Search Frictions in Rental Markets: Evidence from Urban China," Working Paper Series 23/11, Royal Institute of Technology, Department of Real Estate and Construction Management & Banking and Finance.
    69. Erlend Eide Bø, 2019. "Buy to let. Investment buyers in a housing search model," Discussion Papers 896, Statistics Norway, Research Department.
    70. Daryl Fairweather & Matthew Kahn & Robert Metcalfe & Sebastian Sandoval-Olascoaga, 2025. "Expecting Climate Change: A Nationwide Field Experiment in the Housing Market," Natural Field Experiments 00818, The Field Experiments Website.
    71. Steven C. Bourassa & Martijn I. Dröes & Martin Hoesli, 2024. "Housing Market Segmentation: A Finite Mixture Approach," De Economist, Springer, vol. 172(4), pages 291-337, December.
    72. Badarinza, Cristian & Ramadorai, Tarun & Shimizu, Chihiro, 2022. "Gravity, counterparties, and foreign investment," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 145(2), pages 132-152.
    73. Mark Merante & Keren Mertens Horn, 2016. "Is Home Sharing Driving up Rents? Evidence from Airbnb in Boston," Working Papers 2016_03, University of Massachusetts Boston, Economics Department.
    74. Bratu, Cristina & Harjunen, Oskari & Saarimaa, Tuukka, 2021. "City-wide effects of new housing supply: Evidence from moving chains," Working Papers 146, VATT Institute for Economic Research.

  7. Juliane Begenau & Monika Piazzesi & Martin Schneider, 2015. "Banks' Risk Exposures," NBER Working Papers 21334, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Cited by:

    1. Itamar Drechsler & Alexi Savov & Philipp Schnabl, 2021. "Banking on Deposits: Maturity Transformation without Interest Rate Risk," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 76(3), pages 1091-1143, June.
    2. Francesco Manaresi & Nicola Pierri, 2024. "The Asymmetric Effect of Credit Supply on Firm‐Level Productivity Growth," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 56(4), pages 677-704, June.
    3. Adriano A. Rampini & S. Viswanathan & Guillaume Vuillemey, 2019. "Risk Management in Financial Institutions," NBER Working Papers 25698, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    4. Ralph S.J. Koijen & Motohiro Yogo, 2017. "Risk of Life Insurers: Recent Trends and Transmission Mechanisms," NBER Working Papers 23365, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    5. Raymond Kim, 2021. "Disproportionate costs of uncertainty: Small bank hedging and Dodd‐Frank," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(5), pages 686-709, May.
    6. Claessens, Stijn & Coleman, Nicholas & Donnelly, Michael, 2018. "“Low-For-Long” interest rates and banks’ interest margins and profitability: Cross-country evidence," Journal of Financial Intermediation, Elsevier, vol. 35(PA), pages 1-16.
    7. Sebastian Di Tella & Pablo Kurlat, 2017. "Why are Banks Exposed to Monetary Policy?," NBER Working Papers 24076, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    8. Celso Brunetti & Agostino Capponi & Christoph Frei, 2017. "Managing Counterparty Risk in OTC Markets," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2017-083, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    9. Adriano A. Rampini & S. Viswanathan & Guillaume Vuillemey, 2020. "Retracted: Risk Management in Financial Institutions," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 75(2), pages 591-637, April.
    10. Begenau, Juliane, 2020. "Capital requirements, risk choice, and liquidity provision in a business-cycle model," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 136(2), pages 355-378.
    11. Guillaume Arnould & Catherine Bruneau & Zhun Peng, 2015. "Liquidity and Equity Short term fragility: Stress-tests for the European banking system," Post-Print halshs-01254729, HAL.
    12. Acharya, Viral V. & Gündüz, Yalin & Johnson, Tim, 2018. "Bank use of sovereign CDS in the eurozone crisis: Hedging and risk incentives," Discussion Papers 26/2018, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    13. Kirti, Divya, 2024. "When gambling for resurrection is too risky," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 162(C).
    14. Claessens, Stijn & Coleman, Nicholas & Donnelly, Michael, 2017. ""Low-For-Long†Interest Rates and Banks’ Interest Margins and Profitability: Cross-Country Evidence," CEPR Discussion Papers 11842, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    15. Foos, Daniel & Lütkebohmert, Eva & Markovych, Mariia & Pliszka, Kamil, 2017. "Euro area banks' interest rate risk exposure to level, slope and curvature swings in the yield curve," Discussion Papers 24/2017, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    16. J. Christina Wang, 2017. "Banks' search for yield in the low interest rate environment: a tale of regulatory adaptation," Working Papers 17-3, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
    17. Klenio Barbosa & Dakshina De Silva & Liyu Yang & Hisayuki Yoshimoto, 2020. "Bond Losses and Systemic Risk," Working Papers 288072615, Lancaster University Management School, Economics Department.
    18. Valentin Haddad & David Sraer, 2020. "The Banking View of Bond Risk Premia," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 75(5), pages 2465-2502, October.
    19. Glode, Vincent & Opp, Christian C. & Zhang, Xingtan, 2018. "Voluntary disclosure in bilateral transactions," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 175(C), pages 652-688.
    20. Guillaume Vuillemey, 2019. "Bank Interest Rate Risk Management," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 65(12), pages 5933-5956, December.
    21. Kučinskas, Simas, 2019. "Aggregate risk and efficiency of mutual funds," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 101(C), pages 1-11.

  8. Tim Landvoigt & Monika Piazzesi & Martin Schneider, 2012. "The Housing Market(s) of San Diego," NBER Working Papers 17723, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Cited by:

    1. Norman Loayza & Amine Ouazad & Romain Ranciere, 2017. "Financial Development, Growth, and Crisis: Is There a Trade-Off?," Working Papers 114, Peruvian Economic Association.
    2. Zhenyu Gao & Michael Sockin & Wei Xiong, 2019. "Economic Consequences of Housing Speculation," NBER Working Papers 26457, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    3. Graeme Guthrie, 2023. "Land Hoarding and Urban Development," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 67(4), pages 753-793, November.
    4. Caplin, Andrew & Leahy, John, 2020. "Comparative statics in markets for indivisible goods," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 80-94.
    5. Shuguang Xiao & Xinglin Lai & Jiamin Peng, 2021. "China's Easily Overlooked Monetary Transmission Mechanism: Monetary Reservoir," Papers 2111.15327, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2022.
    6. Elenev, Vadim & Landvoigt, Tim & Van Nieuwerburgh, Stijn, 2016. "Phasing out the GSEs," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 111-132.
    7. Gadi Barlevy & Jonas Fisher, 2021. "Why were interest only mortgages so population during U.S. housing boom?," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 41, pages 205-224, July.
    8. H. Spencer Banzhaf & Kyle Mangum, 2019. "Capitalization as a Two-Part Tariff: The Role of Zoning," NBER Working Papers 25699, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    9. Shimizu, Chihiro, 2019. "Gravity, Counterparties, and Foreign Investment," CEPR Discussion Papers 13491, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    10. Sumit Agarwal & Gene Amromin & Itzhak Ben-David & Souphala Chomsisengphet & Tomasz Piskorski & Amit Seru, 2012. "Policy Intervention in Debt Renegotiation: Evidence from the Home Affordable Modification Program," NBER Working Papers 18311, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    11. Sergi Basco & Jair N. Ojeda-Joya, 2024. "House Prices and International Remittances: Evidence from Colombia," Borradores de Economia 1273, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    12. Christopher Heiberger & Daniel Fehrle, 2020. "The return on everything and the business cycle in production economies," Discussion Paper Series 338, Universitaet Augsburg, Institute for Economics.
    13. Kelly, Robert & McCann, Fergal & O’Toole, Conor, 2018. "Credit conditions, macroprudential policy and house prices," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 153-167.
    14. Gong, Yifan & Yao, Yuxi, 2022. "Demographic changes and the housing market," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
    15. Willem P Sijp & Anastasios Panagiotelis, 2024. "Estimating granular house price distributions in the Australian market using Gaussian mixtures," Papers 2404.05178, arXiv.org.
    16. Gomes, João F. & Grotteria, Marco & Wachter, Jessica A., 2023. "Foreseen risks," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 212(C).
    17. Piskorski, Tomasz & Seru, Amit, 2021. "Debt relief and slow recovery: A decade after Lehman," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 141(3), pages 1036-1059.
    18. Adelino, Manuel & Schoar, Antoinette & Severino, Felipe, 2025. "Credit supply and house prices: Evidence from mortgage market segmentation," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 163(C).
    19. Carl Gaigne & Hans R.A. Koster & Fabien Moizeau & Jacques-Francois Thisse, 2017. "Amenities and the Social Structure of Cities," HSE Working papers WP BRP 162/EC/2017, National Research University Higher School of Economics.
    20. Òscar Jordà & Moritz Schularick & Alan M. Taylor, 2019. "The Total Risk Premium Puzzle," NBER Working Papers 25653, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    21. Chandler S. Reilly & Christopher J. Coyne, 2025. "The Political Economy of Military Base Redevelopment," Eastern Economic Journal, Palgrave Macmillan;Eastern Economic Association, vol. 51(1), pages 7-26, January.
    22. Hussain, Iftikhar, 2023. "Housing market and school choice response to school quality information shocks✰," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 138(C).
    23. Ren Ren & Siu Kei Wong & Kwong Wing Chau, 2025. "A Revisit of Supply Elasticity and Within-city Heterogeneity of Housing Price Movements," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 70(4), pages 609-636, May.
    24. Leung, Charles Ka Yui, 2022. "Housing and Macroeconomics," MPRA Paper 115500, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    25. Daniel McMillen & Chihiro Shimizu, 2021. "Decompositions of house price distributions over time: The rise and fall of Tokyo house prices," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 49(4), pages 1290-1314, December.
    26. Isaiah Hull & Conny Olovsson & Karl Walentin & Andreas Westermark, 2022. "Manufacturing Decline and House Price Volatility," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 45, pages 264-281, July.
    27. Badarinza, Cristian & Ramadorai, Tarun, 2018. "Home away from home? Foreign demand and London house prices," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 130(3), pages 532-555.
    28. Dominik Menno & Tommaso Oliviero, 2014. "Financial Intermediation, House Prices and the Welfare Effects of the U.S. Great Recession," CSEF Working Papers 373, Centre for Studies in Economics and Finance (CSEF), University of Naples, Italy, revised 04 Oct 2016.
    29. Laura Bakkensen & Toan Phan & Russell Wong, 2023. "Leveraging the Disagreement on Climate Change: Theory and Evidence," Working Paper 23-01, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond.
    30. Escobari, Diego & Damianov, Damian & Bello, Andres, 2012. "A time series test to identify housing bubbles," MPRA Paper 44360, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    31. Takaaki Ohnishi & Takayuki Mizuno & Tsutomu Watanabe, 2020. "House price dispersion in boom–bust cycles: evidence from Tokyo," The Japanese Economic Review, Springer, vol. 71(4), pages 511-539, October.
    32. Piazzesi, M. & Schneider, M., 2016. "Housing and Macroeconomics," Handbook of Macroeconomics, in: J. B. Taylor & Harald Uhlig (ed.), Handbook of Macroeconomics, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 1547-1640, Elsevier.
    33. Adam M. Guren & Alisdair McKay & Emi Nakamura & Jón Steinsson, 2020. "Housing Wealth Effects: The Long View," Staff Report 593, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
    34. Dong, Ding & Liu, Zheng & Wang, Pengfei & Zha, Tao, 2022. "A theory of housing demand shocks," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 203(C).
    35. Määttänen, Niku & Terviö, Marko, 2014. "Income distribution and housing prices: An assignment model approach," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 151(C), pages 381-410.
    36. Giorgio Primiceri & Andrea Tambalotti & Alejandro Justiniano, 2017. "The Mortgage Rate Conundrum," 2017 Meeting Papers 471, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    37. Amina Enkhbold, 2023. "Monetary Policy Transmission, Bank Market Power, and Wholesale Funding Reliance," Staff Working Papers 23-35, Bank of Canada.
    38. Deeksha Gupta, 2018. "Too Much Skin-in-the-Game? The Effect of Mortgage Market Concentration on Credit and House Prices," 2018 Meeting Papers 512, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    39. Harding, John P. & Rosenthal, Stuart S., 2017. "Homeownership, housing capital gains and self-employment," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 99(C), pages 120-135.
    40. Bulent Guler, 2015. "Innovations in Information Technology and the Mortgage Market," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 18(3), pages 456-483, July.
    41. Jaqueson Galimberti & Lydia Cheung & Philip Vermeulen, 2022. "Evidence on the variation of idiosyncratic risk in house price appreciation," Working Papers 2022-05, Auckland University of Technology, Department of Economics.
    42. Mense, Andreas, 2021. "Secondary housing supply," FAU Discussion Papers in Economics 05/2021, Friedrich-Alexander University Erlangen-Nuremberg, Institute for Economics.
    43. Emil Verner & Amir Sufi & Atif Mian, 2017. "Household Debt and Business Cycles Worldwide," 2017 Meeting Papers 673, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    44. Yongqiang Chu, 2014. "Credit constraints, inelastic supply, and the housing boom," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 17(1), pages 52-69, January.
    45. Marcin Bielecki & Michał Brzoza-Brzezina & Marcin Kolasa & Krzysztof Makarski, 2017. "Could the boom-bust in the eurozone periphery have been prevented?," NBP Working Papers 263, Narodowy Bank Polski.
    46. Quincy, Sarah, 2022. "Income shocks and housing spillovers: Evidence from the World War I Veterans’ Bonus," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    47. Yu Zhou & Shigehiro Serizawa, 2019. "Minimum price equilibrium in the assignment market," ISER Discussion Paper 1047, Institute of Social and Economic Research, The University of Osaka.
    48. Marcelo M. de Oliveira & Alexandre C. L. Almeida, 2014. "Testing for rational speculative bubbles in the Brazilian residential real-estate market," Papers 1401.7615, arXiv.org.
    49. Ma, Xutao & Zhang, Zhen, 2022. "Expectations, credit conditions, and housing boom-bust: Evidence from SVAR with sign and zero restrictions," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
    50. Andrew Demers & Andrea L. Eisfeldt, 2022. "Total returns to single‐family rentals," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 50(1), pages 7-32, March.
    51. Manuel Adelino & William B. McCartney & Antoinette Schoar, 2020. "The Role of Government and Private Institutions in Credit Cycles in the U.S. Mortgage Market," NBER Working Papers 27499, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    52. Thisse, Jacques-François & Gaigtné, Carl & Koster, Hans & Moizeau, Fabien, 2017. "Who Lives Where in the City? Amenities, Commuting and Income Sorting," CEPR Discussion Papers 11958, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    53. Takaaki Ohnishi & Takayuki Mizuno & Tsutomu Watanabe, 2019. "House Price Dispersion in Boom-Bust Cycles: Evidence from Tokyo," CARF F-Series CARF-F-461, Center for Advanced Research in Finance, Faculty of Economics, The University of Tokyo.
    54. Gene Amromin & Jennifer Huang & Clemens Sialm & Edward Zhong, 2018. "Complex Mortgages [Why don’t lenders renegotiate more home mortgages? Redefaults, self-cures, and securitization]," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 22(6), pages 1975-2007.
    55. Xuan Wei & Hayk Khachatryan & Alan Hodges & Charlie Hall & Marco Palma & Ariana Torres & Robin Brumfield, 2023. "Exploring market choices in the US ornamental horticulture industry," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(1), pages 65-109, January.
    56. Marcel Fischer & Roland Füss & Simon Stehle, 2021. "Local house price comovements," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 49(S1), pages 169-198, March.
    57. Ruben Tarne & Dirk Bezemer, 2023. "ousing affordability in a monetary economy: an agent-based model of the Dutch housing market," IMK Working Paper 222-2023, IMK at the Hans Boeckler Foundation, Macroeconomic Policy Institute.
    58. Diamond, William & Landvoigt, Tim, 2022. "Credit cycles with market-based household leverage," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 146(2), pages 726-753.
    59. Jaccard, Ivan, 2021. "Leveraged property cycles," Working Paper Series 2539, European Central Bank.
    60. Genevieve Nelson, 2025. "Securitization and House Price Growth," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 57, July.
    61. Manuel Adelino & W. Ben McCartney & Antoinette Schoar, 2020. "The Role of Government and Private Institutions in Credit Cycles in the U.S. Mortgage Market," Working Papers 20-40, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
    62. Guangyang Chen & Kai Dong & Shaonan Wang & Xiuli Du & Ronghua Zhou & Zhongwei Yang, 2022. "The Dynamic Relationship among Bank Credit, House Prices and Carbon Dioxide Emissions in China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(16), pages 1-18, August.
    63. Lydia Cheung & Jaqueson K. Galimberti & Philip Vermeulen, 2023. "Evidence on the Determinants and Variation of Idiosyncratic Risk in Housing Markets," Working Papers in Economics 23/13, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance.
    64. R diger Bachmann & Sebastian R th, 2017. "Systematic Monetary Policy And The Macroeconomic Effects Of Shifts In Loan-To-Value Ratios," Working Papers of Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Ghent University, Belgium 17/934, Ghent University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration.
    65. Reher, Michael, 2021. "Finance and the supply of housing quality," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 142(1), pages 357-376.
    66. Yoshiyuki Kikuchi & Meng Li & Yuxiong Xiao & Hangtian Xu & Yiming Zhou, 2025. "Financial Crisis and Within-City Heterogeneity in Land Prices: The Role of REIT Penetration," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 70(1), pages 144-187, January.
    67. Amine Ouazad & Romain Rancière, 2017. "City Equilibrium with Borrowing Constraints: Structural Estimation and General Equilibrium Effects," NBER Working Papers 23994, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    68. Joan Monras & Jose G. Montalvo, 2023. "The Effect of Second-Generation Rent Controls: New Evidence from Catalonia," Working Paper Series 2023-28, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    69. Gete, Pedro, 2020. "Expectations and the housing boom and bust. An open economy view," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 49(C).
    70. Andrea Ferrero & Richard Harrison & Benjamin Nelson, 2022. "House price dynamics, optimal LTV limits and the liquidity trap," Bank of England working papers 969, Bank of England.
    71. Lars Nesheim & Florian Oswald & Jonathan Halket, 2015. "A Selection Model of Hedonic House Values and Rents," 2015 Meeting Papers 961, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    72. Gamber, William & Graham, James & Yadav, Anirudh, 2023. "Stuck at home: Housing demand during the COVID-19 pandemic," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 59(PB).
    73. Paul Goldsmith‐Pinkham & Kelly Shue, 2023. "The Gender Gap in Housing Returns," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 78(2), pages 1097-1145, April.
    74. Eric Smith, 2020. "High and Low Activity Spells in Housing Markets," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 36, pages 1-28, April.
    75. Josue Cox & Sydney C. Ludvigson, 2018. "Drivers of the Great Housing Boom-Bust: Credit Conditions, Beliefs, or Both?," NBER Working Papers 25285, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    76. Mense, Andreas & Michelsen, Claus & Kholodilin, Konstantin A., 2023. "Rent Control, Market Segmentation, and Misallocation: Causal Evidence from a Large-Scale Policy Intervention," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
    77. Martin Schneider, 2015. "Comment on "Demystifying the Chinese Housing Boom"," NBER Chapters, in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2015, Volume 30, pages 167-175, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    78. Mayock, Tom & Malacrida, Rachel Spritzer, 2018. "Socioeconomic and racial disparities in the financial returns to homeownership," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 80-96.
    79. Gillitzer, Christian & Prasad, Nalini, 2025. "The effects of macroprudential policy restricting housing investor credit supply," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 149(C).
    80. Peter Chinloy & Cheng Jiang & Kose John, 2022. "Spreads and Volatility in House Returns," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 15(8), pages 1-16, August.
    81. Josue Cox & Sydney C. Ludvigson, 2021. "Drivers of the great housing boom‐bust: Credit conditions, beliefs, or both?," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 49(3), pages 843-875, September.
    82. Liu, Crocker H. & Nowak, Adam & Rosenthal, Stuart S., 2016. "Housing price bubbles, new supply, and within-city dynamics," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 96(C), pages 55-72.
    83. Pangallo, Marco & Nadal, Jean-Pierre & Vignes, Annick, 2019. "Residential income segregation: A behavioral model of the housing market," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 159(C), pages 15-35.
    84. Krivenko, Pavel, 2023. "The Role of Moving Shocks, Unemployment, and Policy in Understanding Housing Bust," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).
    85. Senay Agca & Pablo Slutzky & Stefan Zeume, 2021. "Anti-Money Laundering Enforcement, Banks, and the Real Economy," Working Papers 2021-20, The George Washington University, Institute for International Economic Policy.
    86. Mitra, Aruni & Wei, Mengying, 2025. "Long shadow of the U.S. mortgage expansion: Evidence from local labour markets," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 172(C).
    87. Steven C. Bourassa & Martijn I. Dröes & Martin Hoesli, 2024. "Housing Market Segmentation: A Finite Mixture Approach," De Economist, Springer, vol. 172(4), pages 291-337, December.
    88. Damianov, Damian S & Escobari, Diego, 2015. "Long-Run Equilibrium Shift and Short-Run Dynamics of U.S. Home Price Tiers during the Housing Bubble," MPRA Paper 65765, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    89. Rappaport, Jordan & Humann, McKenzie, 2025. "A better delineation of U.S. metropolitan areas," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 149(C).

  9. Monika Piazzesi & Martin Schneider, 2009. "Trend and cycle in bond premia," Staff Report 424, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.

    Cited by:

    1. Yu-chin Chen & Kwok Ping Tsang & Wen Jen Tsay, 2010. "Home Bias in Currency Forecasts," Working Papers 272010, Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research.
    2. Zhu, Xiaoneng, 2011. "Revisiting the expectations hypothesis: The Japanese term structure and regime shifts," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 63(3), pages 237-249, May.
    3. Caldeira, João F. & Moura, Guilherme V. & Santos, André A.P., 2016. "Predicting the yield curve using forecast combinations," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 79-98.
    4. Zhu, Xiaoneng, 2011. "A note on the predictability of excess bond returns and regime shifts," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 8(2), pages 101-109, June.
    5. Karnaukh, Nina & Vokata, Petra, 2022. "Growth forecasts and news about monetary policy," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 146(1), pages 55-70.
    6. Taeyoung Doh, 2008. "Long run risks in the term structure of interest rates: estimation," Research Working Paper RWP 08-11, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.
    7. Babiak, Mykola & Kozhan, Roman, 2024. "Parameter learning in production economies," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
    8. Kristoffer Nimark, 2009. "Speculative dynamics in the term structure of interest rates," Economics Working Papers 1194, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, revised Sep 2012.

  10. Monika Piazzesi & Martin Schneider, 2009. "Inflation and the price of real assets," Staff Report 423, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.

    Cited by:

    1. Dragomir Stefanov & Maria Dimitrova, 2022. "Study Of Labor Productivity In The Construction Sector In Bulgaria During 2007-2021 Period," INTERNATIONAL SCIENTIFIC AND PRACTICAL CONFERENCE "CONSTRUCTION ENTREPRENEURSHIP AND REAL PROPERTY", University of Economics - Varna, issue 1, pages 79-88.
    2. Silvia Gospodinova, 2022. "Dynamics And Structure Of Main Economic Indicators For The Construction Sector In Bulgaria For The Period 2000-2019," INTERNATIONAL SCIENTIFIC AND PRACTICAL CONFERENCE "CONSTRUCTION ENTREPRENEURSHIP AND REAL PROPERTY", University of Economics - Varna, issue 1, pages 120-128.
    3. Lyubomir Tsvetanov, 2022. "Analysis Of The New Possibilities For The Construction Of Energy Facilities For The Production Of Electrical Energy From Renewable Sources On Roof And Facade Structures Of Buildings, The Energy From Which Will Be Used Only For Own Consumption," INTERNATIONAL SCIENTIFIC AND PRACTICAL CONFERENCE "CONSTRUCTION ENTREPRENEURSHIP AND REAL PROPERTY", University of Economics - Varna, issue 1, pages 87-191.
    4. Ivaylo Ivanov & Nadya Gilina & Konstantin Bobchev, 2022. "Conflicts And Conflict Areas In The Real Estate Transaction," INTERNATIONAL SCIENTIFIC AND PRACTICAL CONFERENCE "CONSTRUCTION ENTREPRENEURSHIP AND REAL PROPERTY", University of Economics - Varna, issue 1, pages 89-96.
    5. Bartscher, Alina K. & Kuhn, Moritz & Schularick, Moritz & Steins, Ulrike I., 2025. "The distribution of household debt in the United States, 1950-2022," Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy 324154, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
    6. Bisserka Marinova, 2022. "Specific Condition Cases Characteristics," INTERNATIONAL SCIENTIFIC AND PRACTICAL CONFERENCE "CONSTRUCTION ENTREPRENEURSHIP AND REAL PROPERTY", University of Economics - Varna, issue 1, pages 71-78.
    7. Miglena Stoyanova, 2022. "Applicability Of Blockchain Technology For Digital Transformation Of Construction," INTERNATIONAL SCIENTIFIC AND PRACTICAL CONFERENCE "CONSTRUCTION ENTREPRENEURSHIP AND REAL PROPERTY", University of Economics - Varna, issue 1, pages 137-144.
    8. Milena Ivanova, 2022. "Cultural Routes And The Immovable Cultural Heritage Of Varna," INTERNATIONAL SCIENTIFIC AND PRACTICAL CONFERENCE "CONSTRUCTION ENTREPRENEURSHIP AND REAL PROPERTY", University of Economics - Varna, issue 1, pages 113-119.
    9. Schnorpfeil, Philip & Weber, Michael & Hackethal, Andreas, 2025. "Inflation and Trading," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 173(C).
    10. Bozhidar Chaparov, 2022. "Comprehensive Approach To The Analysis Of The Solvency Of Construction Companies," INTERNATIONAL SCIENTIFIC AND PRACTICAL CONFERENCE "CONSTRUCTION ENTREPRENEURSHIP AND REAL PROPERTY", University of Economics - Varna, issue 1, pages 55-60.
    11. Izabela Racka & Malgorzata Krajewska, 2022. "Resources Of The Socialist Economy As A Part Of Industrial Real Estate Market," INTERNATIONAL SCIENTIFIC AND PRACTICAL CONFERENCE "CONSTRUCTION ENTREPRENEURSHIP AND REAL PROPERTY", University of Economics - Varna, issue 1, pages 61-70.
    12. Kinga Szopinska, 2022. "Environmental Aspects Of Spatial Planning On The Example Of Road Traffic Noise," INTERNATIONAL SCIENTIFIC AND PRACTICAL CONFERENCE "CONSTRUCTION ENTREPRENEURSHIP AND REAL PROPERTY", University of Economics - Varna, issue 1, pages 105-112.
    13. Kristian Valchev, 2022. "Need To Audit The National Housing Strategy In The Context Of Improving The Efficiency Of The Social Housing Policy," INTERNATIONAL SCIENTIFIC AND PRACTICAL CONFERENCE "CONSTRUCTION ENTREPRENEURSHIP AND REAL PROPERTY", University of Economics - Varna, issue 1, pages 181-186.
    14. Kindermann, Fabian & Le Blanc, Julia & Piazzesi, Monika & Schneider, Martin, 2021. "Learning about Housing Cost: Survey Evidence from the German House Price Boom," VfS Annual Conference 2021 (Virtual Conference): Climate Economics 242386, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    15. Schnorpfeil, Philip & Weber, Michael & Hackethal, Andreas, 2024. "Households' response to the wealth effects of inflation," Working Paper Series 2904, European Central Bank.
    16. Jeongwoo Kim, 2019. "Optimally adjusted last cluster for prediction based on balancing the bias and variance by bootstrapping," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 14(11), pages 1-31, November.
    17. Blagovest Iliev, 2022. "Is Property Investment A Successful Hedge Against Inflation – Data From Bulgaria," INTERNATIONAL SCIENTIFIC AND PRACTICAL CONFERENCE "CONSTRUCTION ENTREPRENEURSHIP AND REAL PROPERTY", University of Economics - Varna, issue 1, pages 192-199.
    18. Todor Raychev, 2022. "Some Beneficial Aspects Of Product Innovation In Construction," INTERNATIONAL SCIENTIFIC AND PRACTICAL CONFERENCE "CONSTRUCTION ENTREPRENEURSHIP AND REAL PROPERTY", University of Economics - Varna, issue 1, pages 49-54.
    19. Lovisa Reiche & Gabriele Galati & Richhild Moessner & Maarten van Rooij, 2026. "Who’s on Fire? Household Characteristics and the Formation of Inflation Expectations," CESifo Working Paper Series 12450, CESifo.
    20. Piazzesi, M. & Schneider, M., 2016. "Housing and Macroeconomics," Handbook of Macroeconomics, in: J. B. Taylor & Harald Uhlig (ed.), Handbook of Macroeconomics, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 1547-1640, Elsevier.
    21. Shtelyan Kalchev, 2022. "Current Government Stimuli In United States To Support Investor’S Activity," INTERNATIONAL SCIENTIFIC AND PRACTICAL CONFERENCE "CONSTRUCTION ENTREPRENEURSHIP AND REAL PROPERTY", University of Economics - Varna, issue 1, pages 166-173.
    22. Nicolae B. Gârleanu & Stavros Panageas, 2020. "Heterogeneity and Asset Prices: A Different Approach," NBER Working Papers 26607, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    23. Yana Stoencheva, 2022. "Opportunities For Assessment The Housing Conditions In Bulgaria," INTERNATIONAL SCIENTIFIC AND PRACTICAL CONFERENCE "CONSTRUCTION ENTREPRENEURSHIP AND REAL PROPERTY", University of Economics - Varna, issue 1, pages 157-165.
    24. Mathias Hoffmann & Thomas Nitschka, 2008. "Securitization of Mortgage Debt, Asset Prices and International Risk Sharing," IEW - Working Papers 376, Institute for Empirical Research in Economics - University of Zurich.
    25. Tsvetomir Manolov, 2022. "Influence Of The Crises On The Working Capital Of The Construction Companies In Varna Region," INTERNATIONAL SCIENTIFIC AND PRACTICAL CONFERENCE "CONSTRUCTION ENTREPRENEURSHIP AND REAL PROPERTY", University of Economics - Varna, issue 1, pages 145-151.
    26. Geng Li & Nitish R. Sinha, 2023. "Are Real Assets Owners Less Averse to Inflation? Evidence from Consumer Sentiments and Inflation Expectations," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2023-058, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    27. Demary, Markus, 2009. "The Link between Output, Inflation, Monetary Policy and Housing Price Dynamics," MPRA Paper 15978, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    28. Monika Piazzesi & Martin Schneider, 2006. "Equilibrium Yield Curves," NBER Working Papers 12609, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    29. Theresa Kuchler & Monika Piazzesi & Johannes Stroebel, 2022. "Housing Market Expectations," CESifo Working Paper Series 9665, CESifo.
    30. Velina Yordanova, 2022. "Economic Efficiency Of Leasing In The Construction Company," INTERNATIONAL SCIENTIFIC AND PRACTICAL CONFERENCE "CONSTRUCTION ENTREPRENEURSHIP AND REAL PROPERTY", University of Economics - Varna, issue 1, pages 152-156.
    31. Benjamin Moll, 2025. "The Trouble with Rational Expectations in Heterogeneous Agent Models: A Challenge for Macroeconomics," Papers 2508.20571, arXiv.org.
    32. Ilian Minkov, 2022. "Manifestations Of Corporate Culture Published On The Internet Of The Construction Companies In The Varna Region," INTERNATIONAL SCIENTIFIC AND PRACTICAL CONFERENCE "CONSTRUCTION ENTREPRENEURSHIP AND REAL PROPERTY", University of Economics - Varna, issue 1, pages 97-104.
    33. Yachko Ivanov, 2022. "Sustainable Development And The National Plan For Recovery And Sustainability – A Challenge For The Construction Industry," INTERNATIONAL SCIENTIFIC AND PRACTICAL CONFERENCE "CONSTRUCTION ENTREPRENEURSHIP AND REAL PROPERTY", University of Economics - Varna, issue 1, pages 25-33.
    34. Stoyan Stoyanov, 2022. "Problems In The Maintenance Of The Easement Zones Of The Road Infrastructure In Bulgaria," INTERNATIONAL SCIENTIFIC AND PRACTICAL CONFERENCE "CONSTRUCTION ENTREPRENEURSHIP AND REAL PROPERTY", University of Economics - Varna, issue 1, pages 34-36.
    35. Gioia M. Mariani & Eleonora Porreca & Concetta Rondinelli, 2025. "How do households adjust house price expectations in an era of high inflation? Experimental evidence," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 940, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    36. Naga Pillada & Sangeetha Rangasamy, 2023. "An empirical investigation of investor sentiment and volatility of realty sector market in India: an application of the DCC–GARCH model," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 3(2), pages 1-16, February.
    37. Rumen Kalchev, 2022. "Trends In Housing Provision Of The Population In Bulgaria," INTERNATIONAL SCIENTIFIC AND PRACTICAL CONFERENCE "CONSTRUCTION ENTREPRENEURSHIP AND REAL PROPERTY", University of Economics - Varna, issue 1, pages 37-42.
    38. Dimitria Karadimova, 2022. "The Labour Market In The Construction Sector," INTERNATIONAL SCIENTIFIC AND PRACTICAL CONFERENCE "CONSTRUCTION ENTREPRENEURSHIP AND REAL PROPERTY", University of Economics - Varna, issue 1, pages 129-136.
    39. Stefan Ivanov, 2022. "Factors Influencing The Investment Policy Of Resorts On The Bulgarian Black Sea Coast," INTERNATIONAL SCIENTIFIC AND PRACTICAL CONFERENCE "CONSTRUCTION ENTREPRENEURSHIP AND REAL PROPERTY", University of Economics - Varna, issue 1, pages 210-219.
    40. Kiril Stoyanov, 2022. "The Role Of The State In Counteract The Depopulation Of Rural Areas In Bulgaria," INTERNATIONAL SCIENTIFIC AND PRACTICAL CONFERENCE "CONSTRUCTION ENTREPRENEURSHIP AND REAL PROPERTY", University of Economics - Varna, issue 1, pages 200-209.
    41. Matteo Iacoviello & Stefano Neri, 2007. "Housing Market Spillovers: Evidence from an Estimated DSGE Model," Boston College Working Papers in Economics 659, Boston College Department of Economics, revised 23 Oct 2009.
    42. Yanitsa Yankova, 2022. "Spatial Data For Effective Planning And Management," INTERNATIONAL SCIENTIFIC AND PRACTICAL CONFERENCE "CONSTRUCTION ENTREPRENEURSHIP AND REAL PROPERTY", University of Economics - Varna, issue 1, pages 174-180.
    43. Alina Bartscher & Moritz Kuhn & Moritz Schularick & Ulrike Steins, 2025. "The Distribution of Household Debt in the United States, 1950-2022," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 57, July.
    44. Rosen Nikolaev & Tanka Milkova, 2022. "Analysis Of The Formation Of Annuity Contributions For Mortgage Loans," INTERNATIONAL SCIENTIFIC AND PRACTICAL CONFERENCE "CONSTRUCTION ENTREPRENEURSHIP AND REAL PROPERTY", University of Economics - Varna, issue 1, pages 43-48.
    45. Krivenko, Pavel, 2023. "The Role of Moving Shocks, Unemployment, and Policy in Understanding Housing Bust," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).
    46. Stefan Byanov & Ivo Kostov, 2022. "Rent And Lease In Agriculture And Their Relation To The Value Of The Agricultural Land. Dynamics And Trends In Their Development For 2001 – 2022 In Two Dobrudzha Regions," INTERNATIONAL SCIENTIFIC AND PRACTICAL CONFERENCE "CONSTRUCTION ENTREPRENEURSHIP AND REAL PROPERTY", University of Economics - Varna, issue 1, pages 13-24.
    47. Melanie Koch & Thomas Scheiber, 2022. "Household savings in CESEE: expectations, experiences and common predictors," Focus on European Economic Integration, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue Q1/22, pages 29-54.

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    1. Klaus Adam & Pei Kuang & Albert Marcet, 2011. "House Price Booms and the Current Account," NBER Working Papers 17224, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. Martin, Carolin & Schmitt, Noemi & Westerhoff, Frank, 2021. "Heterogeneous expectations, housing bubbles and tax policy," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 183(C), pages 555-573.
    3. Fernando Ferreira & Joseph Gyourko, 2011. "Anatomy of the Beginning of the Housing Boom: U.S. Neighborhoods and Metropolitan Areas, 1993-2009," NBER Working Papers 17374, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    4. Ströbel, Johannes & Kuchler, Theresa & Dávila, Eduardo & Bailey, Michael, 2017. "House Price Beliefs And Mortgage Leverage Choice," CEPR Discussion Papers 12476, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    5. Penasse, J.N.G. & Renneboog, L.D.R., 2014. "Bubbles and Trading Frenzies : Evidence from the Art Market," Other publications TiSEM 386dd5e7-e672-4d9d-829c-6, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    6. Miroslav Gabrovski & Victor Ortego-Marti, 2018. "Housing Market Dynamics with Search Frictions," Working Papers 201804, University of California at Riverside, Department of Economics.
    7. Li Gan & Qinghua Zhang, 2013. "Market Thickness and the Impact of Unemployment on Housing Market Outcomes," NBER Working Papers 19564, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    8. Francesco D'Acunto & Daniel Hoang & Michael Weber & Michael Weber, 2016. "Unconventional Fiscal Policy, Inflation Expectations, and Consumption Expenditure," CESifo Working Paper Series 5793, CESifo.
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    244. Andrea J. Heuson & Gary Painter, 2014. "The Impact of the Taxpayer Relief Act of 1997 on Housing Turnover in the U.S. Single-Family Residential Market," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 42(4), pages 869-899, December.
    245. Dieci, Roberto & Westerhoff, Frank, 2015. "Heterogeneous expectations, boom-bust housing cycles, and supply conditions: A nonlinear dynamics approach," BERG Working Paper Series 99, Bamberg University, Bamberg Economic Research Group.
    246. Eunseong Ma & Sarah Zubairy, 2021. "Homeownership And Housing Transitions: Explaining The Demographic Composition," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 62(2), pages 599-638, May.
    247. Guo, Zi-Yi, 2017. "Information heterogeneity, housing dynamics and the business cycle," Economics Discussion Papers 2017-17, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
    248. Lasse Bork & Stig V. Møller & Thomas Q. Pedersen, 2020. "A New Index of Housing Sentiment," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 66(4), pages 1563-1583, April.
    249. Hambel, Christoph & Kraft, Holger & Meyer-Wehmann, André, 2020. "When should retirees tap their home equity?," SAFE Working Paper Series 293, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE.
    250. Josue Cox & Sydney C. Ludvigson, 2021. "Drivers of the great housing boom‐bust: Credit conditions, beliefs, or both?," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 49(3), pages 843-875, September.
    251. Stefano Giglio & Matteo Maggiori & Johannes Stroebel, 2014. "No-Bubble Condition: Model-free Tests in Housing Markets," NBER Working Papers 20154, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    252. Lisi, Gaetano, 2012. "On the theoretical derivation of a functional form for the hedonic price function," MPRA Paper 37066, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    253. Makridis, Christos A., 2022. "The social transmission of economic sentiment on consumption," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 148(C).
    254. Malmendier, Ulrike M. & Botsch, Matthew J., 2020. "The Long Shadows of the Great Inflation: Evidence from Residential Mortgages," CEPR Discussion Papers 14934, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    255. Sebastian Schmidt, 2014. "Dealing with a liquidity trap when government debt matters," Research Bulletin, European Central Bank, vol. 21, pages 8-11.
    256. Daryl Fairweather & Matthew Kahn & Robert Metcalfe & Sebastian Sandoval-Olascoaga, 2025. "Expecting Climate Change: A Nationwide Field Experiment in the Housing Market," Natural Field Experiments 00818, The Field Experiments Website.
    257. Andreas Fuster & Basit Zafar, 2014. "The sensitivity of housing demand to financing conditions: evidence from a survey," Staff Reports 702, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    258. Alter, Adrian & Mahoney, Elizabeth M., 2021. "Local house-price vulnerability: Evidence from the U.S. and Canada," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    259. Favara, Giovanni & Song, Zheng, 2014. "House price dynamics with dispersed information," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 149(C), pages 350-382.
    260. Luz, Valentin & Schauer, Victor & Viehweger, Martin, 2024. "Beyond preferences: Beliefs in sustainable investing," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 220(C), pages 584-607.
    261. Ozhegov, Evgeniy M. & Sidorovykh, Aleksandra S., 2017. "Heterogeneity of sellers in housing market: Difference in pricing strategies," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 42-51.
    262. Rünstler, Gerhard & Balfoussia, Hiona & Burlon, Lorenzo & Buss, Ginters & Comunale, Mariarosaria & De Backer, Bruno & Dewachter, Hans & Guarda, Paolo & Haavio, Markus & Hindrayanto, Irma & Iskrev, Nik, 2018. "Real and financial cycles in EU countries - Stylised facts and modelling implications," Occasional Paper Series 205, European Central Bank.
    263. Hodula, Martin & Melecký, Martin & Pfeifer, Lukáš & Szabo, Milan, 2023. "Cooling the mortgage loan market: The effect of borrower-based limits on new mortgage lending," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    264. Damianov, Damian S & Escobari, Diego, 2015. "Long-Run Equilibrium Shift and Short-Run Dynamics of U.S. Home Price Tiers during the Housing Bubble," MPRA Paper 65765, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    265. Halket, Jonathan & Pignatti Morano di Custoza, Matteo, 2015. "Homeownership and the scarcity of rentals," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 107-123.

  12. Monika Piazzesi & Martin Schneider, 2008. "Bond positions, expectations, and the yield curve," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 2008-02, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.

    Cited by:

    1. Schmeling, Maik & Schrimpf, Andreas & Steffensen, Sigurd A.M., 2022. "Monetary policy expectation errors," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 146(3), pages 841-858.
    2. Luis Gil-Alana & Antonio Moreno & Fernando Pérez de Gracia, 2011. "Exploring Survey-Based Inflation Forecasts," Faculty Working Papers 05/11, School of Economics and Business Administration, University of Navarra.
    3. Philippe Mueller & Mikhail Chernov, 2008. "The Term Structure of Inflation Expectations," 2008 Meeting Papers 346, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    4. Stefano Eusepi & Bruce Preston, 2011. "Expectations, Learning, and Business Cycle Fluctuations," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 101(6), pages 2844-2872, October.
    5. Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko, 2010. "Information Rigidity and the Expectations Formation Process: A Simple Framework and New Facts," Working Papers 102, Economics Department, William & Mary.
    6. Michael D. Bauer & Glenn D. Rudebusch, 2011. "The signaling channel for Federal Reserve bond purchases," Working Paper Series 2011-21, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    7. Josh Stillwagon, 2014. "Testing the Expectations Hypothesis with Survey Forecasts: The Impacts of Consumer Sentiment and the Zero Lower Bound in an I(2) CVAR," Working Papers 1401, Trinity College, Department of Economics.
    8. Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko, 2008. "What Can Survey Forecasts Tell Us About Informational Rigidities?," NBER Working Papers 14586, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    9. Jonas Dovern & Ulrich Fritsche & Jiri Slacalek, 2009. "Disagreement among Forecasters in G7 Countries," Macroeconomics and Finance Series 200906, University of Hamburg, Department of Socioeconomics.
    10. Jonathan H. Wright, 2008. "Term premiums and inflation uncertainty: empirical evidence from an international panel dataset," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2008-25, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).

  13. Andrew Ang & Sen Dong & Monika Piazzesi, 2007. "No-Arbitrage Taylor Rules," NBER Working Papers 13448, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Cited by:

    1. Ielpo, Florian & Guégan, Dominique, 2006. "Further evidence on the impact of economic news on interest rates," MPRA Paper 3425, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Jun 2007.
    2. Matsumura, Marco & Moreira, Ajax & Vicente, José, 2011. "Forecasting the yield curve with linear factor models," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 20(5), pages 237-243.
    3. Dominique Guegan & Florian Ielpo, 2007. "Further evidence on the impact of economic news on interest rates," Post-Print halshs-00188331, HAL.
    4. Carlo A. Favero & Linlin Niu & Luca Sala, 2007. "Term Structure Forecasting: No-arbitrage Restrictions vs. Large Information Set," Working Papers 318, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
    5. Andrew Atkeson & Patrick J. Kehoe, 2008. "On the need for a new approach to analyzing monetary policy," Working Papers 662, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
    6. Francesco Audrino, 2012. "What Drives Short Rate Dynamics? A Functional Gradient Descent Approach," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 39(3), pages 315-335, March.
    7. Eijffinger, S.C.W. & Mahieu, R.J. & Raes, L.B.D., 2010. "The Bond Yield Conundrum : Alternative Hypotheses and the State of the Economy," Discussion Paper 2010-121, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.
    8. Mehmet Pasaogullari, 2015. "Forecasts from Reduced-form Models under the Zero-Lower-Bound Constraint," Working Papers (Old Series) 1512, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
    9. Timmermann, Allan & Pettenuzzo, Davide & Gargano, Antonio, 2014. "Bond Return Predictability: Economic Value and Links to the Macroeconomy," CEPR Discussion Papers 10104, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    10. Marco Matsumara & Ajax R.B. Moreira, 2005. "Can Macroeconomic Variables Account for the Term Structure of Sovereign Spreads? Studying the Brazilian Case," Discussion Papers 1106, Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada - IPEA.
    11. Byrne, Joseph & Cao, Shuo & Korobilis, Dimitris, 2015. "Term Structure Dynamics, Macro-Finance Factors and Model Uncertainty," MPRA Paper 63844, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    12. Don H. Kim, 2008. "Challenges in macro-finance modeling," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2008-06, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    13. Taboga, Marco & Pericoli, Marcello, 2008. "Bond risk premia, macroeconomic fundamentals and the exchange rate," MPRA Paper 9523, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    14. Laurini, Márcio P. & Caldeira, João F., 2016. "A macro-finance term structure model with multivariate stochastic volatility," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 68-90.
    15. Cortés Espada Josué Fernando & Ramos Francia Manuel, 2008. "A Macroeconomic Model of the Term Structure of Interest Rates in Mexico," Working Papers 2008-10, Banco de México.
    16. Jotikasthira, Chotibhak & Le, Anh & Lundblad, Christian, 2015. "Why do term structures in different currencies co-move?," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 115(1), pages 58-83.
    17. Sharon Kozicki & Peter A. Tinsley, 2005. "Term structure transmission of monetary policy," Research Working Paper RWP 05-06, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.
    18. Alfonso Mendoza Velazquez & Peter N. Smith, 2013. "Equity Returns and the Business Cycle: The Role of Supply and Demand Shocks," CAMA Working Papers 2013-22, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    19. Balduzzi, Pierluigi, 2007. "Money and asset prices in a continuous-time Lucas and Stokey cash-in-advance economy," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 31(8), pages 2713-2743, August.
    20. Ethan Struby, 2018. "Macroeconomic Disagreement in Treasury Yields," Working Papers 2018-04, Carleton College, Department of Economics.
    21. Marco S. Matsumura, 2015. "Impact of Macro Shocks on Sovereign Default Probabilities," Discussion Papers 0173, Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada - IPEA.
    22. Joslin, Scott & Le, Anh & Singleton, Kenneth J., 2013. "Why Gaussian macro-finance term structure models are (nearly) unconstrained factor-VARs," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 109(3), pages 604-622.
    23. Mr. Calixte Ahokpossi & Pilar Garcia Martinez & Laurent Kemoe, 2016. "Monetary and Fiscal Policies and the Dynamics of the Yield Curve in Morocco," IMF Working Papers 2016/103, International Monetary Fund.
    24. Rui Liu, 2019. "Forecasting Bond Risk Premia with Unspanned Macroeconomic Information," Quarterly Journal of Finance (QJF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 9(01), pages 1-62, March.
    25. Márcio Laurini & João Frois Caldeira, 2012. "Some Comments on a Macro-Finance Model with Stochastic Volatility," IBMEC RJ Economics Discussion Papers 2012-04, Economics Research Group, IBMEC Business School - Rio de Janeiro.
    26. Josephine M. Smith & John B. Taylor, 2007. "The Long and the Short End of the Term Structure of Policy Rules," NBER Working Papers 13635, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    27. Marco Shinobu Matsumura & Ajax Reynaldo Bello Moreira & José Valentim Machado Vicente, 2010. "Forecasting the Yield Curve with Linear Factor Models," Working Papers Series 223, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
    28. Linlin Niu, 2013. "An Affine Term Structure Model with Auxiliary Stochastic Volatility-Covolatility," Working Papers 2013-10-14, Wang Yanan Institute for Studies in Economics (WISE), Xiamen University.
    29. Peter Lildholdt & Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou & Chris Peacock, 2007. "An affine macro-factor model of the UK yield curve," Bank of England working papers 322, Bank of England.
    30. Narek Ohanyan & Aleksandr Grigoryan, 2021. "Measuring monetary policy: rules versus discretion," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 61(1), pages 35-60, July.
    31. James D. Hamilton & Seth Pruitt & Scott Borger, 2010. "Estimating the Market-Perceived Monetary Policy Rule," NBER Working Papers 16412, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    32. Ireland, Peter N., 2015. "Monetary policy, bond risk premia, and the economy," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 124-140.
    33. Haitao Li & Tao Li & Cindy Yu, 2013. "No-Arbitrage Taylor Rules with Switching Regimes," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 59(10), pages 2278-2294, October.
    34. David Bolder & Yuliya Romanyuk, 2008. "Combining Canadian Interest-Rate Forecasts," Staff Working Papers 08-34, Bank of Canada.
    35. Martijn Boons & Frans de Roon & Fernando M. Duarte & Marta Szymanowska, 2013. "Time-Varying Inflation Risk and Stock Returns," Staff Reports 621, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    36. María-Dolores, Ramon & Vázquez, Jesús & Londoño, Juan M., 2009. "On the informational role of term structure in the US monetary policy rule," UMUFAE Economics Working Papers 4699, DIGITUM. Universidad de Murcia.
    37. Smith, Josephine M. & Taylor, John B., 2009. "The term structure of policy rules," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 56(7), pages 907-917, October.
    38. Gregory Bauer & Antonio Diez de los Rios, 2012. "An International Dynamic Term Structure Model with Economic Restrictions and Unspanned Risks," Staff Working Papers 12-5, Bank of Canada.
    39. Yin, Weiwei & Li, Junye, 2014. "Macroeconomic fundamentals and the exchange rate dynamics: A no-arbitrage macro-finance approach," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 46-64.
    40. Massimo Guidolin & Manuela Pedio, 2019. "Forecasting and Trading Monetary Policy Effects on the Riskless Yield Curve with Regime Switching Nelson†Siegel Models," Working Papers 639, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
    41. John B. Taylor, 2007. "The Explanatory Power of Monetary Policy Rules," NBER Working Papers 13685, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    42. David K. Backus & Federico Gavazzoni & Christopher Telmer & Stanley E. Zin, 2010. "Monetary Policy and the Uncovered Interest Parity Puzzle," NBER Working Papers 16218, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    43. Massimo Guidolin & Manuela Pedio, 2019. "Forecasting and Trading Monetary Policy Switching Nelson-Siegel Models," BAFFI CAREFIN Working Papers 19106, BAFFI CAREFIN, Centre for Applied Research on International Markets Banking Finance and Regulation, Universita' Bocconi, Milano, Italy.
    44. Haroon Mumtaz & Paolo Surico, 2009. "Time-varying yield curve dynamics and monetary policy," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 24(6), pages 895-913.
    45. Halberstadt, Arne & Stapf, Jelena, 2012. "An affine multifactor model with macro factors for the German term structure: Changing results during the recent crises," Discussion Papers 25/2012, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    46. Francesco Audrino & Marcelo C. Medeiros, 2008. "Smooth Regimes, Macroeconomic Variables, and Bagging for the Short-Term Interest Rate Process," University of St. Gallen Department of Economics working paper series 2008 2008-16, Department of Economics, University of St. Gallen.
    47. Januj Amar Juneja, 2022. "A Computational Analysis of the Tradeoff in the Estimation of Different State Space Specifications of Continuous Time Affine Term Structure Models," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 60(1), pages 173-220, June.
    48. Hong, Zhiwu & Niu, Linlin & Zhang, Chen, 2022. "Affine arbitrage-free yield net models with application to the euro debt crisis," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 230(1), pages 201-220.
    49. Francisco Palomino, 2012. "Bond Risk Premiums and Optimal Monetary Policy," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 15(1), pages 19-40, January.
    50. Kim, Hwagyun & Park, Hail, 2013. "Term structure dynamics with macro-factors using high frequency data," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 22(C), pages 78-93.
    51. Matsumura, Marco S. & Vicente, José Valentim Machado, 2010. "The role of macroeconomic variables in sovereign risk," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 11(3), pages 229-249, September.
    52. Bruno Feunou & Jean-Sébastien Fontaine, 2012. "Forecasting Inflation and the Inflation Risk Premiums Using Nominal Yields," Staff Working Papers 12-37, Bank of Canada.
    53. John Y. Campbell & Carolin Pflueger & Luis M. Viceira, 2013. "Macroeconomic Drivers of Bond and Equity Risks," Harvard Business School Working Papers 14-031, Harvard Business School, revised Aug 2018.
    54. Martin Møller Andreasen, 2008. "Explaining Macroeconomic and Term Structure Dynamics Jointly in a Non-linear DSGE Model," CREATES Research Papers 2008-43, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    55. Iryna Kaminska & Dimitri Vayanos & Gabriele Zinna, 2011. "Preferred-habitat investors and the US term structure of real rates," Bank of England working papers 435, Bank of England.
    56. Michael D. Bauer, 2015. "Restrictions on Risk Prices in Dynamic Term Structure Models," CESifo Working Paper Series 5241, CESifo.
    57. Gabriele Zinna, 2016. "Price Pressures on UK Real Rates: An Empirical Investigation," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 20(4), pages 1587-1630.
    58. Junye Li & Gabriele Zinna, 2014. "On bank credit risk: systemic or bank-specific? Evidence from the US and UK," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 951, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    59. Ricardo J. Caballero, 2010. "Macroeconomics after the Crisis: Time to Deal with the Pretense-of-Knowledge Syndrome," NBER Working Papers 16429, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    60. Mirkov, Nikola & Sutter, Barbara, 2012. "Central Bank Reserves and the Yield Curve at the ZLB," Working Papers on Finance 1208, University of St. Gallen, School of Finance.
    61. Iryna Kaminska, 2008. "A no-arbitrage structural vector autoregressive model of the UK yield curve," Bank of England working papers 357, Bank of England.
    62. Lioui, Abraham & Tarelli, Andrea, 2019. "Macroeconomic environment, money demand and portfolio choice," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 274(1), pages 357-374.
    63. C. N. V. Krishnan & Peter H. Ritchken & James B. Thomson, 2007. "On forecasting the term structure of credit spreads," Working Papers (Old Series) 0705, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
    64. Glenn Rudebusch & Michael Bauer, 2013. "The Shadow Rate, Taylor Rules, and Monetary Policy Lift-off," 2013 Meeting Papers 691, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    65. Bruno Feunou & Jean-Sébastien Fontaine, 2014. "Bond Risk Premia and Gaussian Term Structure Models," Staff Working Papers 14-13, Bank of Canada.
    66. Glenn D. Rudebusch, 2006. "Monetary Policy Inertia: Fact or Fiction?," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 2(4), December.
    67. Billio, M. & Busetto, F. & Dufour, A. & Varotto, S., 2025. "Bond supply expectations and the term structure of interest rates," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 150(C).
    68. Zhao, Guo, 2014. "Dynamic Production Theory under No-Arbitrage Constraints," MPRA Paper 56091, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    69. Marco S. Matsumura, 2006. "Impact of Macro Shocks on Sovereign Default Probabilities," Discussion Papers 1241, Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada - IPEA.
    70. Fan, Longzhen & Johansson, Anders C., 2009. "What Moves Bond Yields In China?," Working Paper Series 2009-9, Stockholm School of Economics, China Economic Research Center.
    71. Ravi Bansal & Ivan Shaliastovich, 2012. "A Long-Run Risks Explanation of Predictability Puzzles in Bond and Currency Markets," NBER Working Papers 18357, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    72. Don H. Kim, 2009. "Challenges in macro-finance modeling," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, vol. 91(Sep), pages 519-544.
    73. Ramón Maria-Dolores & Jesus Vazquez, 2006. "The relative importance of Term Spread, Policy Inertia and Persistent Monetary Policy Shocks in Monetary Policy Rules," Computing in Economics and Finance 2006 6, Society for Computational Economics.
    74. Bjørn Eraker, 2008. "Affine General Equilibrium Models," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 54(12), pages 2068-2080, December.
    75. William T. Gavin & Benjamin D. Keen & Michael R. Pakko, 2007. "Inflation risk and optimal monetary policy," Working Papers 2006-035, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
    76. Barbedo, Claudio H.S. & de Melo, Eduardo F.L., 2012. "Joint dynamics of Brazilian interest rate yields and macro variables under a no-arbitrage restriction," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 64(5), pages 364-376.
    77. Dewachter, Hans & Iania, Leonardo, 2009. "An Extended Macro-Finance Model with Financial Factors," MPRA Paper 18840, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    78. Jerry Tsai, 2013. "Rare Disasters and the Term Structure of Interest Rates," Economics Series Working Papers 665, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
    79. Michael D. Bauer & Glenn D. Rudebusch, 2011. "The signaling channel for Federal Reserve bond purchases," Working Paper Series 2011-21, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    80. Hamilton, James D. & Wu, Jing Cynthia, 2012. "Identification and estimation of Gaussian affine term structure models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 168(2), pages 315-331.
    81. Zongwu Cai & Jiazi Chen & Linlin Niu, 2021. "A Semiparametric Model for Bond Pricing with Life Cycle Fundamental," Working Papers 2021-01-06, Wang Yanan Institute for Studies in Economics (WISE), Xiamen University.
    82. Troy Davig & Jeffrey R. Gerlach, 2006. "State-Dependent Stock Market Reactions to Monetary Policy," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 2(4), December.
    83. Lemke, Wolfgang, 2008. "An affine macro-finance term structure model for the euro area," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 19(1), pages 41-69, March.
    84. Carlo Altavilla & Riccardo Costantini & Raffaella Giacomini, 2013. "Bond returns and market expectations," CeMMAP working papers CWP20/13, Centre for Microdata Methods and Practice, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
    85. Carlo A. Favero & Arie E. Gozluklu & Haoxi Yang, 2016. "Demographics and the Behavior of Interest Rates," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 64(4), pages 732-776, November.
    86. Chung, Tsz-Kin & Iiboshi, Hirokuni, 2015. "Prediction of Term Structure with Potentially Misspecified Macro-Finance Models near the Zero Lower Bound," MPRA Paper 85709, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    87. Marco S. Matsumura & Ajax R. B. Moreira, 2015. "Identification of Affine Term Structure Models with Observed Factors: Economic Shocks on Brazilian Yield Curves," Discussion Papers 0178, Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada - IPEA.
    88. Wright, Jonathan & Gürkaynak, Refet, 2010. "Macroeconomics and the Term Structure," CEPR Discussion Papers 8018, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    89. Scott C. Borger & James D. Hamilton & Seth Pruitt, 2009. "The market-perceived monetary policy rule," International Finance Discussion Papers 982, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    90. Morita, Hiroshi & Okimoto, Tatsuyoshi, 2021. "The interest rate determination when economic variables are partially observable," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    91. Michiel de Pooter & Francesco Ravazzolo & Dick van Dijk, 2010. "Term structure forecasting using macro factors and forecast combination," Working Paper 2010/01, Norges Bank.
    92. Marcos S. Matsumura & Ajax R. B. Moreira, 2006. "Macro Factors and the Brazilian Yield Curve With no Arbitrage Models," Discussion Papers 1210, Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada - IPEA.
    93. Werner, Thomas & Lemke, Wolfgang, 2009. "The term structure of equity premia in an affine arbitrage-free model of bond and stock market dynamics," Working Paper Series 1045, European Central Bank.
    94. Taeyoung Doh, 2007. "What does the yield curve tell us about the Federal Reserve's implicit inflation target?," Research Working Paper RWP 07-10, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.
    95. Marco Matsumura & Ajax Moreira, 2011. "Assessing macro influence on Brazilian yield curve with affine models," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 43(15), pages 1847-1863.
    96. Abdymomunov, Azamat & Gerlach, Jeffrey, 2014. "Stress testing interest rate risk exposure," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 287-301.
    97. Marco Matsumura & Ajax R. B. Moreira, 2015. "Can Macroeconomic Variables Account for the Term Structure of Sovereign Spreads? Studying the Brazilian Case," Discussion Papers 0152, Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada - IPEA.
    98. Nobuyuki Oda & Takashi Suzuki, 2007. "A Macro-Finance Analysis of the Term Structure and Monetary Policy in Japan: Using a Model with Time-Variant Equilibrium Rates of Real Interest and Inflation and with the Zero Lower Bound of Nominal Interest Rates," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series 07-E-17, Bank of Japan.
    99. Gregory R. Duffee, 2012. "Bond pricing and the macroeconomy," Economics Working Paper Archive 598, The Johns Hopkins University,Department of Economics.
    100. Cortés Espada Josué Fernando & Ramos Francia Manuel & Torres García Alberto, 2008. "An Empirical Analysis of the Mexican Term Structure of Interest Rates," Working Papers 2008-07, Banco de México.
    101. Francesco Audrino & Marcelo Cunha Medeiros, 2010. "Modeling and Forecasting Short-term Interest Rates: The Benefits of Smooth Regimes, Macroeconomic Variables, and Bagging," Textos para discussão 570, Department of Economics PUC-Rio (Brazil).
    102. Guidolin, Massimo & Pedio, Manuela, 2019. "Forecasting and trading monetary policy effects on the riskless yield curve with regime switching Nelson–Siegel models," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 107(C), pages 1-1.
    103. Marcos S. Matsumura & Ajax R. B. Moreira, 2015. "Macro Factors and the Brazilian Yield Curve with no Arbitrage Models," Discussion Papers 0171, Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada - IPEA.
    104. Zongwu Cai & Jiazi Chen & Linlin Liu, 2021. "Estimating Impact of Age Distribution on Bond Pricing: A Semiparametric Functional Data Analysis Approach," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS 202102, University of Kansas, Department of Economics, revised Jan 2021.
    105. Gabriele Zinna, 2014. "Price pressures in the UK index-linked market: an empirical investigation," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 968, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    106. Vázquez Pérez, Jesús, 2006. "The Importance of Stock Market Returns in Estimated Monetary Policy Rules: a Structural Approach," DFAEII Working Papers 1988-088X, University of the Basque Country - Department of Foundations of Economic Analysis II.
    107. Marco S. Matsumura, 2007. "Impact Of Macro Shocks On Sovereign Default Probabilities," Anais do XXXV Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 35th Brazilian Economics Meeting] 060, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].
    108. Matsumura, Marco & Moreira, Ajax & Vicente, Jose Valentim Machado, 2011. "Identification of Gaussian Term Structure Models with Observable Factors," Brazilian Review of Econometrics, Sociedade Brasileira de Econometria - SBE, vol. 31(2), December.

  14. Monika Piazzesi & Martin Schneider, 2007. "Inflation Illusion, Credit, and Asset Pricing," NBER Working Papers 12957, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Cited by:

    1. Gwangheon Hong & Bong Lee, 2013. "Does Inflation Illusion Explain the Relation between REITs and Inflation?," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 47(1), pages 123-151, July.
    2. Jianjun Miao & Danyang Xie, "undated". "Monetary Policy and Economic Growth under Money Illusion," Boston University - Department of Economics - Working Papers Series wp2007-045, Boston University - Department of Economics.
    3. Chung-Fu Lai, 2015. "Money Illusion and Exchange Rate Dynamics in a Small Open Economy," Research in World Economy, Research in World Economy, Sciedu Press, vol. 6(1), pages 199-207, March.
    4. Eden Hatzvi & Glenn Otto, 2008. "Prices, Rents and Rational Speculative Bubbles in the Sydney Housing Market," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 84(267), pages 405-420, December.
    5. Sébastien Frappa & Jean-Stéphane Mésonnier, 2009. "The housing price boom of the late 90s: did inflation targeting matter?," Working papers 255, Banque de France.
    6. Wei Xiong & Hongjun Yan, 2006. "Heterogeneous Expectations and Bond Markets," NBER Working Papers 12781, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    7. Torous Walter N, 2009. "Comments on "The Mortgage Market Meltdown and House Prices"," The B.E. Journal of Economic Analysis & Policy, De Gruyter, vol. 9(3), pages 1-3, March.
    8. Frappa, Sébastien & Mésonnier, Jean-Stéphane, 2010. "The housing price boom of the late 1990s: Did inflation targeting matter?," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 6(4), pages 243-254, December.
    9. Matteo Iacoviello & Stefano Neri, 2007. "Housing Market Spillovers: Evidence from an Estimated DSGE Model," Boston College Working Papers in Economics 659, Boston College Department of Economics, revised 23 Oct 2009.
    10. G.C. Lim & Sarantis Tsiaplias, 2018. "Interest Rates, Local Housing Markets and House Price Over†reactions," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 94(S1), pages 33-48, June.
    11. Benedetto Manganelli & Francesco Tajani, 2015. "Macroeconomic Variables and Real Estate in Italy and in the usa," SCIENZE REGIONALI, FrancoAngeli Editore, vol. 2015(3), pages 31-48.

  15. Monika Piazzesi & Martin Schneider, 2006. "Expectations and Asset Prices with Heterogeneous Households," 2006 Meeting Papers 828, Society for Economic Dynamics.

    Cited by:

    1. Horváth, Ferenc, 2017. "Essays on robust asset pricing," Other publications TiSEM e54d7b33-1f27-4b0e-9f84-f, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.

  16. Monika Piazzesi & Martin Schneider & Selale Tuzel, 2006. "Housing, Consumption, and Asset Pricing," NBER Working Papers 12036, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Cited by:

    1. Martin Lettau & Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh, 2006. "Reconciling the Return Predictability Evidence," 2006 Meeting Papers 29, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    2. Sing, Tien Foo & Zou, Yiheng, 2022. "Mortgage payments and equity premium puzzle," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 376-388.
    3. Marjorie Flavin & Shinobu Nakagawa, 2004. "A Model of Housing in the Presence of Adjustment Costs: A Structural Interpretation of Habit Persistence," NBER Working Papers 10458, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    4. Winters, John V., 2009. "Wages and prices: Are workers fully compensated for cost of living differences?," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 39(5), pages 632-643, September.
    5. Hanno Lustig & Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh, 2003. "Housing Collateral, Consumption Insurance and Risk Premia: An Empirical Perpective," NBER Working Papers 9959, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    6. Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Ricardo M. Sousa, 2011. "Are Stock and Housing Returns Complements or Substitutes? Evidence from OECD Countries," NIPE Working Papers 33/2011, NIPE - Universidade do Minho.
    7. Jung Sakong, 2021. "Effect of Ownership Composition on Property Prices and Rents: Evidence from Chinese Investment Boom in US Housing Markets," Working Paper Series WP-2021-12, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
    8. Havranek, Tomas & Horvath, Roman & Irsova, Zuzana & Rusnak, Marek, 2015. "Cross-country heterogeneity in intertemporal substitution," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 96(1), pages 100-118.
    9. Zhang, Xiang & Liu, Yangyi & Wu, Kun & Maillet, Bertrand, 2021. "Tradable or nontradable factors—what does the Hansen–Jagannathan distance tell us?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 853-879.
    10. Daniel Jonas Schmidt, "undated". "Property transfer taxes, residential mobility, and welfare," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 22-042/VI, Tinbergen Institute.
    11. Jiang, Yuexiang & Fu, Tao & Long, Huaigang & Zaremba, Adam & Zhou, Wenyu, 2022. "Real estate climate index and aggregate stock returns: Evidence from China," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    12. Geert Bekaert & Eric Engstrom & Yuhang Xing, 2006. "Risk, Uncertainty and Asset Prices," NBER Working Papers 12248, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    13. Gabor Pinter, 2018. "Macroeconomic Shocks and Risk Premia," Discussion Papers 1812, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
    14. Andrea Ferrero, 2012. "House price booms, current account deficits, and low interest rates," Staff Reports 541, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    15. Bobasu, Alina & Ciccarelli, Matteo & Notarpietro, Alessandro & Ambrocio, Gene & Auer, Simone & Bonfim, Diana & Bottero, Margherita & Brázdik, František & Buss, Ginters & Byrne, David & Casalis, André , 2025. "Monetary policy transmission: a reference guide through ESCB models and empirical benchmarks," Occasional Paper Series 377, European Central Bank.
    16. Donghyun Park & Qin Xiao, 2009. "Housing Prices and the Role of Speculation: The Case of Seoul," ADB Economics Working Paper Series 146, Asian Development Bank.
    17. Erdem Basci & Ismail Saglam, 2008. "On Roots of Housing Bubbles," Working Papers 0801, TOBB University of Economics and Technology, Department of Economics.
    18. Falato, Antonio, 2009. "Happiness maintenance and asset prices," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 33(6), pages 1247-1262, June.
    19. Marton Lotz & Daniel Ruf & Johannes Strobel, 2023. "Uncertainty premia in REIT returns," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 51(2), pages 372-407, March.
    20. Otto Van Hemert, 2010. "Household Interest Rate Risk Management," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 38(3), pages 467-505, September.
    21. Ivan Jaccard, 2010. "Asset Pricing and Housing Supply in a Production Economy," 2010 Meeting Papers 605, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    22. Sandra Gomes, 2011. "Housing Market Dynamics: Any News?," Working Papers w201121, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department.
    23. Aydilek, Asiye, 2016. "The allocation of time and puzzling profiles of the elderly," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 515-526.
    24. Anisha Ghosh & Christian Julliard & Alex P. Taylor, 2017. "What Is the Consumption-CAPM Missing? An Information-Theoretic Framework for the Analysis of Asset Pricing Models," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 30(2), pages 442-504.
    25. José Fillat & Stefania Garetto, 2010. "Risk, returns, and multinational production," Supervisory Research and Analysis Working Papers QAU10-5, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
    26. Luisa Lambertini & Caterina Mendicino & Maria Teresa Punzi, 2012. "Expectations-Driven Cycles in the Housing Market," Discussion Papers 12/08, University of Nottingham, Centre for Finance, Credit and Macroeconomics (CFCM).
    27. Daniel L. Greenwald & Tim Landvoigt & Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh, 2021. "Financial Fragility with SAM?," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 76(2), pages 651-706, April.
    28. Kenneth K. Chow & Matthew S. Yiu & Charles Ka Yui Leung & Dickson C. Tam, 2008. "Does the DiPasquale-Wheaton Model Explain the House Price Dynamics in China Cities?," Working Papers 212008, Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research.
    29. Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Ricardo M. Sousa, 2011. "Consumption, Wealth, Stock and Housing Returns: Evidence from Emerging Markets," NIPE Working Papers 32/2011, NIPE - Universidade do Minho.
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    38. Hanno Lustig, "undated". "Exploring the Link between Housing and the Value Premium (joint with Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh)," UCLA Economics Online Papers 389, UCLA Department of Economics.
    39. Ravi Bansal & Shane Miller & Dongho Song & Amir Yaron, 2019. "The Term Structure of Equity Risk Premia," NBER Working Papers 25690, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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    42. Sousa, João & Sousa, Ricardo M., 2013. "Asset returns under model uncertainty: evidence from the euro area, the U.S. and the U.K," Working Paper Series 1575, European Central Bank.
    43. Bielecki, Marcin & Stähler, Nikolai, 2018. "Labor tax reductions in Europe: The role of property taxation," Discussion Papers 30/2018, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    44. Margot Quijano, 2013. "Consumption, change in expectations and equity returns," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(24), pages 1839-1851, December.
    45. Ali, Amjad & Audi, Marc & Al-Masri, Razan, 2022. "The role of environmental conditions and purchasing power parity in determining quality of life among big Asian cities," MPRA Paper 115166, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 26 Oct 2022.
    46. de Oliveira Souza, Thiago, 2019. "Macro-finance and factor timing: Time-varying factor risk and price of risk premiums," Discussion Papers on Economics 7/2019, University of Southern Denmark, Department of Economics.
    47. Christopher Heiberger & Daniel Fehrle, 2020. "The return on everything and the business cycle in production economies," Discussion Paper Series 338, Universitaet Augsburg, Institute for Economics.
    48. Theresa Kuchler & Johannes Stroebel, 2009. "Foreclosure and Bankruptcy--Policy Conclusions from the Current Crisis," Discussion Papers 08-037, Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research.
    49. Sunil S. Poshakwale & Pankaj Chandorkar, 2019. "The Impact of Aggregate and Disaggregate Consumption Shocks on the Equity Risk Premium in the United Kingdom," Annals of Economics and Finance, Society for AEF, vol. 20(2), pages 489-524, November.
    50. Souza, Thiago de Oliveira, 2020. "Dollar carry timing," Discussion Papers on Economics 10/2020, University of Southern Denmark, Department of Economics.
    51. Bekaert, Geert & Engstrom, Eric & Grenadier, Steve, 2006. "Stock and Bond Returns with Moody Investors," CEPR Discussion Papers 5951, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    52. Geoffrey Meen & Alexander Mihailov & Yehui Wang, 2022. "On the long-run solution to aggregate housing systems," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 59(1), pages 178-196, January.
    53. Erdem Basci & Ismail Saglam, 2009. "Sticky Rents and the Stability of Housing Cycles," Working Papers 0901, TOBB University of Economics and Technology, Department of Economics.
    54. Morrisy, Stephen D., 2017. "Efficient estimation of macroeconomic equations with unobservable states," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 408-423.
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    56. Michael Funke & Yu-Fu Chen & Aaron Mehrota, 2011. "Global warming and extreme events: Rethinking the timing and intensity of environment policy," Quantitative Macroeconomics Working Papers 21105, Hamburg University, Department of Economics.
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    67. Dan Cao & Roger Lagunoff, 2016. "The Design of Optimal Collateralized Contracts," Working Papers gueconwpa~16-16-01, Georgetown University, Department of Economics, revised 01 Jun 2017.
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    204. James D. Hamilton, 2008. "Assessing monetary policy effects using daily federal funds futures contracts," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, vol. 90(Jul), pages 377-394.
    205. Bo Young Chang & Bruno Feunou, 2013. "Measuring Uncertainty in Monetary Policy Using Implied Volatility and Realized Volatility," Staff Working Papers 13-37, Bank of Canada.
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    209. Michael Callaghan, 2017. "Is the market always right? Improving federal funds rate forecasts by adjusting for the term premium," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Analytical Notes series AN2017/08, Reserve Bank of New Zealand.
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  19. Francis X. Diebold & Monika Piazzesi & Glenn D. Rudebusch, 2005. "Modeling Bond Yields in Finance and Macroeconomics," Working Paper Series 2005-04, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.

    Cited by:

    1. Rafael Barros de Rezende, 2011. "Giving Flexibility to the Nelson-Siegel Class of Term Structure Models," Brazilian Review of Finance, Brazilian Society of Finance, vol. 9(1), pages 27-49.
    2. Olesya Grishchenko & Sarah Mouabbi & Jean‐Paul Renne, 2019. "Measuring Inflation Anchoring and Uncertainty: A U.S. and Euro Area Comparison," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 51(5), pages 1053-1096, August.
    3. Hautsch, Nikolaus & Yang, Fuyu, 2010. "Bayesian inference in a stochastic volatility Nelson-Siegel Model," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2010-004, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
    4. Matteo Manera & Massimiliano Serati & Michele Plotegher, 2008. "Modeling Electricity Prices: From the State of the Art to a Draft of a New Proposal," Working Papers 2008.9, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei.
    5. Eric Hillebrand & Huiyu Huang & Tae-Hwy Lee & Canlin Li, 2018. "Using the Entire Yield Curve in Forecasting Output and Inflation," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 6(3), pages 1-27, August.
    6. Stijn Claessens & M Ayhan Kose, 2018. "Frontiers of macrofinancial linkages," BIS Papers, Bank for International Settlements, number 95, May.
    7. Matsumura, Marco & Moreira, Ajax & Vicente, José, 2011. "Forecasting the yield curve with linear factor models," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 20(5), pages 237-243.
    8. Glenn D. Rudebusch & Eric T. Swanson, 2008. "Examining the bond premium puzzle with a DSGE model," Working Paper Series 2007-25, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    9. Hautsch, Nikolaus & Ou, Yangguoyi, 2009. "Analyzing interest rate risk: Stochastic volatility in the term structure of government bond yields," CFS Working Paper Series 2009/03, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
    10. Diebold, Francis X. & Li, Canlin & Yue, Vivian Z., 2008. "Global yield curve dynamics and interactions: A dynamic Nelson-Siegel approach," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 146(2), pages 351-363, October.
    11. Chadha, Jagjit S. & Waters, Alex, 2014. "Applying a macro-finance yield curve to UK quantitative Easing," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 68-86.
    12. Josué Cortés Espada & Carlos Capistrán & Manuel Ramos-Francia & Alberto Torres, 2009. "An empirical analysis of the mexican term structure of interest rates," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 29(3), pages 2300-2313.
    13. Kaminska, Iryna & Mumtaz, Haroon & Šustek, Roman, 2021. "Monetary policy surprises and their transmission through term premia and expected interest rates," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 124(C), pages 48-65.
    14. Galvao, Ana Beatriz & Costa, Sonia, 2013. "Does the euro area forward rate provide accurate forecasts of the short rate?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 29(1), pages 131-141.
    15. Marco Matsumara & Ajax R.B. Moreira, 2005. "Can Macroeconomic Variables Account for the Term Structure of Sovereign Spreads? Studying the Brazilian Case," Discussion Papers 1106, Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada - IPEA.
    16. Aguiar-Conraria, Luís & Martins, Manuel M.F. & Soares, Maria Joana, 2012. "The yield curve and the macro-economy across time and frequencies," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 36(12), pages 1950-1970.
    17. Sensarma, Rudra & Bhattacharyya, Indranil, 2015. "Measuring monetary policy and its impact on the bond market of an emerging economy," MPRA Paper 81067, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    18. Lange, Ronald H., 2014. "The small open macroeconomy and the yield curve: A state-space representation," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 1-21.
    19. Margherita Bottero & Stefano schiaffi, 2022. "Firm liquidity and the transmission of monetary policy," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1378, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    20. Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Luis A. Gil-Alana & Carlos Poza, 2021. "The Covid-19 Pandemic and the Degree of Persistence of US Stock Prices and Bond Yields," CESifo Working Paper Series 8976, CESifo.
    21. Paccagnini, Alessia, 2016. "The macroeconomic determinants of the US term structure during the Great Moderation," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 52(PA), pages 216-225.
    22. Peter D. Williams & Mr. Yasser Abdih & Emanuel Kopp, 2020. "Reading the Stars," IMF Working Papers 2020/136, International Monetary Fund.
    23. Huse, Cristian, 2011. "Term structure modelling with observable state variables," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 35(12), pages 3240-3252.
    24. Mr. Rodrigo Cabral & Mr. Richard Munclinger & Mr. Luiz Alves & Mr. Marco Rodriguez Waldo, 2011. "On Brazil’s Term Structure: Stylized Facts and Analysis of Macroeconomic Interactions," IMF Working Papers 2011/113, International Monetary Fund.
    25. Marco S. Matsumura, 2015. "Impact of Macro Shocks on Sovereign Default Probabilities," Discussion Papers 0173, Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada - IPEA.
    26. Yu-chin Chen & Kwok Ping Tsang, 2009. "What Does the Yield Curve Tell Us About Exchange Rate Predictability?," Working Papers UWEC-2009-04, University of Washington, Department of Economics.
    27. Jens H. E. Christensen & Francis X. Diebold & Glenn D. Rudebusch, 2008. "An Arbitrage-Free Generalized Nelson-Siegel Term Structure Model," PIER Working Paper Archive 08-030, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
    28. Weißbach, Rafael & Ponyatovskyy, Vladyslav & Zimmermann, Guido, 2006. "The Yield of Ten-Year T-Bonds: Stumbling Towards a 'Good' Forecast," Technical Reports 2006,50, Technische Universität Dortmund, Sonderforschungsbereich 475: Komplexitätsreduktion in multivariaten Datenstrukturen.
    29. Anastasios Demertzidis & Vahidin Jeleskovic, 2021. "Empirical Estimation of Intraday Yield Curves on the Italian Interbank Credit Market e-MID," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(5), pages 1-23, May.
    30. Glenn D. Rudebusch & Brian P. Sack & Eric T. Swanson, 2007. "Macroeconomic implications of changes in the term premium," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, vol. 89(Jul), pages 241-270.
    31. Dong Heon Kim, 2008. "Another Look at Yield Spreads: The Role of Liquidity," Southern Economic Journal, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 74(4), pages 952-970, April.
    32. Marco Shinobu Matsumura & Ajax Reynaldo Bello Moreira & José Valentim Machado Vicente, 2010. "Forecasting the Yield Curve with Linear Factor Models," Working Papers Series 223, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
    33. Jonathan Kearns & Andreas Schrimpf & Fan Dora Xia, 2023. "Explaining Monetary Spillovers: The Matrix Reloaded," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 55(6), pages 1535-1568, September.
    34. Härdle, Wolfgang Karl & Majer, Piotr, 2012. "Yield curve modeling and forecasting using semiparametric factor dynamics," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2012-048, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
    35. Paolo Zagaglia, 2013. "Forecasting Long-Term Interest Rates with a General-Equilibrium Model of the Euro Area: What Role for Liquidity Services of Bonds?," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 20(4), pages 383-430, November.
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    37. Raffaella Giacomini & Jason Lu & Katja Smetanina, 2024. "Perceived shocks and impulse responses," IFS Working Papers WCWP21/24, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
    38. Cremers, Martijn & Fleckenstein, Matthias & Gandhi, Priyank, 2021. "Treasury yield implied volatility and real activity," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 140(2), pages 412-435.
    39. Lee, Shyan Yuan & Chiou, Wan-Jiun Paul & Chung, Yi-Fang, 2017. "Pricing corporate bonds and constructing credit curves in a developing country: The case of the Taiwan bond fund crisis," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 261-274.
    40. René Garcia & Richard Luger, 2005. "The Canadian Macroeconomy and the Yield Curve: An Equilibrium-Based Approach," Staff Working Papers 05-36, Bank of Canada.
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    45. Bhansali, Vineer & Dorsten, Matthew P. & Wise, Mark B., 2009. "Asymmetric monetary policy and the yield curve," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 28(8), pages 1408-1425, December.
    46. Gzyl, Henryk & Mayoral, Silvia, 2016. "Determination of zero-coupon and spot rates from treasury data by maximum entropy methods," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 456(C), pages 38-50.
    47. Glenn D. Rudebusch, 2010. "Macro-finance models of interest rates and the economy," Working Paper Series 2010-01, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    48. Kwangyong Park, 2020. "The Excess Sensitivity of Long-term Interest rates and Central Bank Credibility," Working Papers 2020-29, Economic Research Institute, Bank of Korea.
    49. Wang, Zijun, 2012. "The causal structure of bond yields," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(1), pages 93-102.
    50. Charles Ka Yui Leung, 2005. "Equilibrium Correlation of Asset Price and Return," Discussion Papers 00017, Chinese University of Hong Kong, Department of Economics.
    51. Gregory Bauer & Antonio Diez de los Rios, 2012. "An International Dynamic Term Structure Model with Economic Restrictions and Unspanned Risks," Staff Working Papers 12-5, Bank of Canada.
    52. Kose, M. Ayhan & Claessens, Stijn, 2017. "Asset Prices and Macroeconomic Outcomes: A Survey," CEPR Discussion Papers 12460, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    53. Koo, B. & La Vecchia, D. & Linton, O., 2019. "Nonparametric Recovery of the Yield Curve Evolution from Cross-Section and Time Series Information," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 1916, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    54. Christensen, Jens H.E. & Diebold, Francis X. & Rudebusch, Glenn D., 2011. "The affine arbitrage-free class of Nelson-Siegel term structure models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 164(1), pages 4-20, September.
    55. Marcelo Ochoa, 2006. "Interpreting an Affine Term Structure Model for Chile," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 380, Central Bank of Chile.
    56. Jing Yuan & Yan Peng & Tsun Zongwu Cai & Zhengyi Zhang, 2022. "A Quantitative Evaluation of Interest Rate Liberalization Reform in China," Annals of Economics and Finance, Society for AEF, vol. 23(2), pages 197-221, November.
    57. Yung, Julieta, 2021. "Can interest rate factors explain exchange rate fluctuations?," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 34-56.
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    59. Januj Amar Juneja, 2022. "A Computational Analysis of the Tradeoff in the Estimation of Different State Space Specifications of Continuous Time Affine Term Structure Models," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 60(1), pages 173-220, June.
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    61. Goda, Thomas & Lysandrou, Photis & Stewart, Chris, 2013. "The contribution of US bond demand to the US bond yield conundrum of 2004–2007: An empirical investigation," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 113-136.
    62. Garriga, Carlos & Kydland, Finn E. & Šustek, Roman, 2021. "MoNK: Mortgages in a New-Keynesian model," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 123(C).
    63. Dick, Christian D. & Schmeling, Maik & Schrimpf, Andreas, 2013. "Macro-expectations, aggregate uncertainty, and expected term premia," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 58-80.
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    65. Kaya, Huseyin, 2013. "The yield curve and the macroeconomy: Evidence from Turkey," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 100-107.
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    72. Kenneth W. Clements & Renee Fry, 2006. "Commodity Currencies and Currency Commodities," Economics Discussion / Working Papers 06-17, The University of Western Australia, Department of Economics.
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    74. Francis E. Warnock & Veronica C. Warnock, 2005. "International capital flows and U.S. interest rates," International Finance Discussion Papers 840, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    75. Leo Krippner, 2008. "A Macroeconomic Foundation for the Nelson and Siegel Class of Yield Curve Models," Research Paper Series 226, Quantitative Finance Research Centre, University of Technology, Sydney.
    76. Yu-chin Chen & Kwok Ping Tsang, 2009. "A Macro-Finance Approach to Exchange Rate Determination," Working Papers UWEC-2009-24-R, University of Washington, Department of Economics, revised May 2010.
    77. Rui Chen & Jiri Svec & Maurice Peat, 2016. "Forecasting the Government Bond Term Structure in Australia," Australian Economic Papers, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 55(2), pages 99-111, June.
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    80. Di Maggio, Marco, 2010. "The Political Economy of the Yield Curve," MPRA Paper 20697, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    81. Stan Hurn & Peter C B Phillips & Shuping Shi, 2015. "Change Detection and the Casual Impact of the Yield Curve," NCER Working Paper Series 107, National Centre for Econometric Research.
    82. International Monetary Fund, 2012. "Macrofinance Model of the Czech Economy: Asset Allocation Perspective," IMF Working Papers 2012/078, International Monetary Fund.
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    84. Marco S. Matsumura, 2006. "Impact of Macro Shocks on Sovereign Default Probabilities," Discussion Papers 1241, Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada - IPEA.
    85. Ranik Raaen Wahlstrøm & Florentina Paraschiv & Michael Schürle, 2022. "A Comparative Analysis of Parsimonious Yield Curve Models with Focus on the Nelson-Siegel, Svensson and Bliss Versions," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 59(3), pages 967-1004, March.
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    87. Markus Pelger & Ruoxuan Xiong, 2018. "State-Varying Factor Models of Large Dimensions," Papers 1807.02248, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2020.
    88. Luis Ceballos & Alberto Naudon & Damián Romero, 2016. "Nominal term structure and term premia: evidence from Chile," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(29), pages 2721-2735, June.
    89. Zeno Rotondi, 2006. "The Macroeconomy and the Yield Curve: A Review of the Literature with Some New Evidence," Giornale degli Economisti, GDE (Giornale degli Economisti e Annali di Economia), Bocconi University, vol. 65(2), pages 193-224, November.
    90. Markus Demary, 2017. "Yield curve responses to market sentiments and monetary policy," Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination, Springer;Society for Economic Science with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents, vol. 12(2), pages 309-344, July.
    91. Jean-Paul Renne, 2009. "Frequency-domain analysis of debt service in a macro-finance model for the euro area," Working papers 261, Banque de France.
    92. Glenn D. Rudebusch & Eric T. Swanson & Tao Wu, 2006. "The Bond Yield “Conundrum” from a Macro-Finance Perspective," Working Paper Series 2006-16, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    93. Leite, André Luís & Filho, Romeu Braz Pereira Gomes & Vicente, José Valentim Machado, 2010. "Forecasting the yield curve: A statistical model with market survey data," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 19(2), pages 108-112, March.
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    95. Bernaschi, Massimo & Tacconi, Elisa & Vergni, Davide, 2008. "A parametric study of the term structure dynamics," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 387(5), pages 1264-1272.
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    102. Coroneo, Laura & Nyholm, Ken & Vidova-Koleva, Rositsa, 2011. "How arbitrage-free is the Nelson-Siegel model?," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 18(3), pages 393-407, June.
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  20. Andrew Ang & Monika Piazzesi & Min Wei, 2004. "What Does the Yield Curve Tell us about GDP Growth?," NBER Working Papers 10672, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Cited by:

    1. Giuseppe Ferrero & Andrea Nobili, 2009. "Futures Contract Rates as Monetary Policy Forecasts," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 5(2), pages 109-145, June.
    2. Azamat Abdymomunov & Kyu Ho Kang & Ki Jeong Kim, 2014. "Forecasting the Term Structure of Government Bond Yields Using Credit Spreads and Structural Breaks," Working Papers 2014-19, Economic Research Institute, Bank of Korea.
    3. Muhammad Yasir & Sitara Afzal & Khalid Latif & Ghulam Mujtaba Chaudhary & Nazish Yameen Malik & Farhan Shahzad & Oh-young Song, 2020. "An Efficient Deep Learning Based Model to Predict Interest Rate Using Twitter Sentiment," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(4), pages 1-16, February.
    4. Fuchs, Fabian U., 2022. "Macroeconomic determinants of foreign exchange rate exposure," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 77-102.
    5. Galvão, Ana Beatriz, 2013. "Changes in predictive ability with mixed frequency data," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 29(3), pages 395-410.
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    3. John H. Cochrane & Francis A. Longstaff & Pedro Santa-Clara, 2003. "Two Trees: Asset Price Dynamics Induced by Market Clearing," NBER Working Papers 10116, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    4. Sang Byung Seo & Jessica A. Wachter, 2019. "Option Prices in a Model with Stochastic Disaster Risk," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 65(8), pages 3449-3469, August.
    5. Geert Bekaert & Eric C. Engstrom & Nancy R. Xu, 2019. "The Time Variation in Risk Appetite and Uncertainty," NBER Working Papers 25673, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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    7. Jerry Tsai & Jessica A. Wachter, 2015. "Disaster Risk and its Implications for Asset Pricing," NBER Working Papers 20926, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    8. Cochrane, John. H. & Longstaff, Francis A. & Santa-Clara, Pedro, 2004. "Two Trees," University of California at Los Angeles, Anderson Graduate School of Management qt6mt207w2, Anderson Graduate School of Management, UCLA.
    9. Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2018. "Forecasting (Good and Bad) Realized Exchange-Rate Volatility: Is there a Role for Realized Skewness and Kurtosis?," Working Papers 201879, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
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    19. Roberto Marfè, 2015. "Labor Rigidity and the Dynamics of the Value Premium," Carlo Alberto Notebooks 429, Collegio Carlo Alberto.
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    22. K. Victor Chow & Wanjun Jiang & Bingxin Li & Jingrui Li, 2020. "Decomposing the VIX: Implications for the predictability of stock returns," The Financial Review, Eastern Finance Association, vol. 55(4), pages 645-668, November.
    23. Priyank Gandhi & Hanno Lustig & Alberto Plazzi, 2016. "Equity is Cheap for Large Financial Institutions: The International Evidence," NBER Working Papers 22355, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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    25. Fu, Qi & So, Jacky Yuk-Chow & Li, Xiaotong, 2024. "Stable paretian distribution, return generating processes and habit formation—The implication for equity premium puzzle," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    26. Tetiana Davydiuk & Scott Richard & Ivan Shaliastovich & Amir Yaron, 2023. "How Risky Are U.S. Corporate Assets?," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 78(1), pages 141-208, February.
    27. Christos Karydas & Anastasios Xepapadeas, 2019. "Climate change risks: pricing and portfolio allocation," CER-ETH Economics working paper series 19/327, CER-ETH - Center of Economic Research (CER-ETH) at ETH Zurich.
    28. Geoffrey J. Warren, 2008. "Implications for Asset Pricing Puzzles of a Roll‐over Assumption for the Risk‐Free Asset," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 8(3‐4), pages 125-157, September.
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    30. Matteo Bonato & Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Forecasting Realized Volatility of International REITs: The Role of Realized Skewness and Realized Kurtosis," Working Papers 202114, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    31. David Backus & Mikhail Chernov & Ian Martin, 2009. "Disasters implied by equity index options," NBER Working Papers 15240, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    32. Jerry Tsai & Jessica A. Wachter, 2014. "Rare Booms and Disasters in a Multi-sector Endowment Economy," NBER Working Papers 20062, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    33. Sang Byung Seo & Jessica A. Wachter, 2016. "Do Rare Events Explain CDX Tranche Spreads?," NBER Working Papers 22723, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    34. John H. Cochrane & Francis A. Longstaff & Pedro Santa-Clara, 2003. "Two Trees: Asset Price Dynamics Induced by Market Clearing," Levine's Bibliography 666156000000000355, UCLA Department of Economics.
    35. Du, Du, 2011. "General equilibrium pricing of options with habit formation and event risks," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 99(2), pages 400-426, February.
    36. Geert Bekaert & Eric Engstrom & Andrey Ermolov, 2023. "The Variance Risk Premium in Equilibrium Models," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 27(6), pages 1977-2014.
    37. Francois Gourio, 2012. "Disaster Risk and Business Cycles," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 102(6), pages 2734-2766, October.
    38. Jow-Ran Chang & Hsu-Hsien Chu, 2015. "Elucidating Equity Premium Using Corporate Dividends And Habit Formation," Annals of Financial Economics (AFE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 10(02), pages 1-20, December.
    39. Tsai, Jerry & Wachter, Jessica A., 2018. "Pricing long-lived securities in dynamic endowment economies," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 177(C), pages 848-878.
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    45. Christoph Hambel & Holger Kraft & Frederick van der Ploeg, 2024. "Asset Diversification Versus Climate Action," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 65(3), pages 1323-1355, August.
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    48. Roberto Marfè, 2015. "Corporate Fraction and the Equilibrium Term-Structure of Equity Risk," Carlo Alberto Notebooks 409, Collegio Carlo Alberto.
    49. Roberto Marfè, 2016. "Income Insurance and the Equilibrium Term-Structure of Equity," Carlo Alberto Notebooks 459, Collegio Carlo Alberto.
    50. Georgeta Vintila & Elena Alexandra Nenu, 2015. "An Analysis of Determinants of Corporate Financial Performance: Evidence from the Bucharest Stock Exchange Listed Companies," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 5(3), pages 732-739.
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    475. António Afonso, & Manish K. Singh, 2016. "Is the supply of long-term debt independent of the term premia? Evidence from Portugal," Working Papers Department of Economics 2016/11, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Universidade de Lisboa.
    476. Gonzalo Rubio & Francisco Sogorb, 2011. "The Adjustment To Target Leverage Of Spanish Public Firms: Macroeconomic Conditions And Distance From Target," Revista de Economia Aplicada, Universidad de Zaragoza, Departamento de Estructura Economica y Economia Publica, vol. 19(3), pages 35-63, Winter.
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    482. Seungho Baek & Jeong Wan Lee & Kyong Joo Oh & Myoungji Lee, 2020. "Yield curve risks in currency carry forwards," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(4), pages 651-670, April.
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    487. Boons, M.F., 2014. "Sorting out commodity and macroeconomic risk in expected stock returns," Other publications TiSEM 1ebdac58-bf37-499d-8835-1, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
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    Cited by:

    1. Claudio Fontana & Zorana Grbac & Sandrine Gümbel & Thorsten Schmidt, 2020. "Term structure modelling for multiple curves with stochastic discontinuities," Post-Print hal-03898927, HAL.
    2. Claudio Fontana & Zorana Grbac & Sandrine Gümbel & Thorsten Schmidt, 2020. "Term structure modelling for multiple curves with stochastic discontinuities," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 24(2), pages 465-511, April.
    3. Michael D. Bauer & Carolin Pflueger & Adi Sunderam, 2023. "Perceptions about Monetary Policy," Working Paper Series 2023-31, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    4. Michael F. Gallmeyer & Burton Hollifield, 2005. "Taylor Rules, McCallum Rules and the Term Structure of Interest Rates," 2005 Meeting Papers 676, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    5. Peng Cheng & Olivier Scaillet, 2002. "Linear-Quadratic Jump-Diffusion Modeling with Application to Stochastic Volatility," FAME Research Paper Series rp67, International Center for Financial Asset Management and Engineering.
    6. Isela Elizabeth Téllez León & Francisco Venegas Martínez, 2013. "Principales determinantes en las decisiones de política monetaria de México: un análisis econométrico," Estudios Económicos, El Colegio de México, Centro de Estudios Económicos, vol. 28(1), pages 79-108.
    7. Michael D. Bauer, 2015. "Nominal Interest Rates and the News," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 47(2-3), pages 295-332, March.
    8. George Monokroussos, 2011. "Dynamic Limited Dependent Variable Modeling and U.S. Monetary Policy," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 43(2‐3), pages 519-534, March.
    9. Ang, Andrew & Piazzesi, Monika, 2003. "A no-arbitrage vector autoregression of term structure dynamics with macroeconomic and latent variables," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 50(4), pages 745-787, May.
    10. Hans Dewachter & Marco Lyrio & Konstantijn Maes, 2001. "The Effect of Monetary Unification on German Bond Markets," International Economics Working Papers Series wpie005, Katholieke Universiteit Leuven, Centrum voor Economische Studiën, International Economics.
    11. Hibiki Ichiue, 2004. "Why Can the Yield Curve Predict Output Growth, Inflation, and Interest Rates? An Analysis with Affine Term Structure Model," Econometric Society 2004 Far Eastern Meetings 581, Econometric Society.
    12. Evangelos Salachas & Georgios P. Kouretas & Nikiforos T. Laopodis, 2024. "The term structure of interest rates and economic activity: Evidence from the COVID‐19 pandemic," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(4), pages 1018-1041, July.
    13. Viktor Kotlán, 2001. "Monetary policy and the term structure of interest rates in a small open economy - a model framework approach," Macroeconomics 0110003, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    14. Cassola, Nuno & Morana, Claudio, 2006. "Comovements in volatility in the euro money market," Working Paper Series 703, European Central Bank.
    15. Flavio Angelini & Stefano Herzel & Marco Nicolosi, 2025. "Modeling Euro Area Benchmark Rates After the End of LIBOR," CEIS Research Paper 613, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, revised 07 Oct 2025.
    16. Claudio Fontana & Markus Pelger & Eckhard Platen, 2017. "Sure Profits via Flash Strategies and the Impossibility of Predictable Jumps," Research Paper Series 385, Quantitative Finance Research Centre, University of Technology, Sydney.
    17. Eric Ghysels & Jean-Pierre Florens & Mikhail Chernov & Marine Carrasco, 2003. "Efficient Estimation of Jump Diffusions and General Dynamic Models with a Continuum of Moment Conditions," CIRANO Working Papers 2003s-02, CIRANO.
    18. Jun Liu & Francis A. Longstaff & Ravit E. Mandell, 2002. "The Market Price of Credit Risk: An Empirical Analysis of Interest Rate Swap Spreads," NBER Working Papers 8990, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    19. Leonardo Bartolini & Alessandro Prati, 2003. "Cross-country differences in monetary policy execution and money market rates' volatility," Staff Reports 175, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    20. Monika Piazzesi, 2005. "Bond Yields and the Federal Reserve," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 113(2), pages 311-344, April.
    21. Stefano Galluccio & Yann Le Cam, 2005. "Implied Calibration of Stochastic Volatility Jump Diffusion Models," Finance 0510028, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    22. Michael W. Brandt & Pedro Santa-Clara, 2001. "Simulated Likelihood Estimation of Diffusions with an Application to Exchange Rate Dynamics in Incomplete Markets," NBER Technical Working Papers 0274, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    23. Michael D. Bauer & Mikhail Chernov, 2021. "Interest Rate Skewness and Biased Beliefs," CESifo Working Paper Series 9150, CESifo.
    24. Claudio Fontana & Markus Pelger & Eckhard Platen, 2017. "On the existence of sure profits via flash strategies," Papers 1708.03099, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2019.
    25. Hao Zhou, 2003. "Itô conditional moment generator and the estimation of short rate processes," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2003-32, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    26. Don H. Kim & Jonathan H. Wright, 2014. "Jumps in Bond Yields at Known Times," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2014-100, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    27. Backwell, Alex & Hayes, Joshua, 2022. "Expected and Unexpected Jumps in the Overnight Rate: Consistent Management of the Libor Transition," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 145(C).
    28. Danielsson, Jon & Zigrand, Jean-Pierre, 2003. "On time-scaling of risk and the square–root–of–time rule," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 24827, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    29. Christopher S. Jones, 2003. "Nonlinear Mean Reversion in the Short-Term Interest Rate," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 16(3), pages 793-843, July.
    30. Dieckmann, Stephan & Gallmeyer, Michael, 2005. "The equilibrium allocation of diffusive and jump risks with heterogeneous agents," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 29(9), pages 1547-1576, September.
    31. Hans Dewachter & Marco Lyrio & Konstantijn Maes, 2001. "A Joint Model for the Term Structure of Interest Rates and the Macroeconomy," International Economics Working Papers Series wpie002, Katholieke Universiteit Leuven, Centrum voor Economische Studiën, International Economics.
    32. Hao Zhou, 2001. "Jump-diffusion term structure and Ito conditional moment generator," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2001-28, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    33. Ravi Jagannathan & Andrew Kaplin & Steve Guoqiang Sun, 2001. "An Evaluation of Multi-Factor CIR Models Using LIBOR, Swap Rates, and Cap and Swaption Prices," NBER Working Papers 8682, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    34. Flôres Junior, Renato Galvão & Brito, Ricardo D., 2001. "Stochastic growth and monetary policy: the impacts on the term structure of interest rates," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 416, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
    35. Claudio Fontana & Simone Pavarana & Thorsten Schmidt, 2025. "An extended CIR process with stochastic discontinuities," Papers 2509.15752, arXiv.org.
    36. Jan Hanousek & Evzen Kocenda & Ali M. Kutan, 2008. "The Reaction of Asset Prices to Macroeconomic Announcements in New EU Markets: Evidence from Intraday Data," CERGE-EI Working Papers wp349, The Center for Economic Research and Graduate Education - Economics Institute, Prague.
    37. James D. Hamilton & Oscar Jorda, 2000. "A Model for the Federal Funds Rate Target," NBER Working Papers 7847, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    38. Torben B. Rasmussen, "undated". "Affine Bond Pricing with a Mixture Distribution for Interest Rate Time-Series DynamicsCreation-Date: 20100225," CREATES Research Papers 2010-11, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    39. Jiang, George & Yan, Shu, 2009. "Linear-quadratic term structure models - Toward the understanding of jumps in interest rates," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 33(3), pages 473-485, March.
    40. Claudio Fontana & Zorana Grbac & Sandrine Gumbel & Thorsten Schmidt, 2018. "Term structure modeling for multiple curves with stochastic discontinuities," Papers 1810.09882, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2019.
    41. Jan Hanousek & Evzen Kocenda, 2009. "Intraday Price Discovery in Emerging European Stock Markets," CERGE-EI Working Papers wp382, The Center for Economic Research and Graduate Education - Economics Institute, Prague.
    42. Marcello Pericoli, 2013. "Macroeconomic and monetary policy surprises and the term structure of interest rates," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 927, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    43. John H. Cochrane & Monika Piazzesi, 2002. "The Fed and Interest Rates: A High-Frequency Identification," NBER Working Papers 8839, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    44. Sandrine Gumbel & Thorsten Schmidt, 2021. "Defaultable term structures driven by semimartingales," Papers 2103.01577, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2021.
    45. Harju, Antti J., 2024. "Target rate factors in short rate models," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    46. Zhanyu Chen & Kai Zhang & Hongbiao Zhao, 2022. "A Skellam market model for loan prime rate options," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(3), pages 525-551, March.
    47. Massimo Bernaschi & Maya Briani & Marco Papi & Davide Vergni, 2007. "Scenario-generation methods for an optimal public debt strategy," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 7(2), pages 217-229.
    48. Durham, Garland B., 2003. "Likelihood-based specification analysis of continuous-time models of the short-term interest rate," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 70(3), pages 463-487, December.

  25. Andrew Ang & Monika Piazzesi, 2001. "A No-Arbitrage Vector Autoregression of Term Structure Dynamics with Macroeconomic and Latent Variables," NBER Working Papers 8363, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

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    1. Giuseppe Ferrero & Andrea Nobili, 2009. "Futures Contract Rates as Monetary Policy Forecasts," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 5(2), pages 109-145, June.
    2. Corradi, Valentina & Distaso, Walter & Mele, Antonio, 2008. "Macroeconomic determinants of stock market returns, volatility and volatility risk-premia," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 24436, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    3. Christopher Martin & Costas Milas, 2008. "The Sub-Prime Crisis and UK Monetary Policy," Working Paper series 31_08, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
    4. Anzoategui, Diego, 2022. "Sovereign spreads and the effects of fiscal austerity," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    5. Geert Bekaert & Seonghoon Cho & Antonio Moreno, 2005. "New-Keynesian Macroeconomics and the Term Structure," NBER Working Papers 11340, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    6. Adrian, Tobias & Crump, Richard K. & Moench, Emanuel, 2015. "Regression-based estimation of dynamic asset pricing models," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 118(2), pages 211-244.
    7. Matteo Barigozzi & Lorenzo Trapani, 2018. "Determining the dimension of factor structures in non-stationary large datasets," Papers 1806.03647, arXiv.org.
    8. Rodrigo Vergara & Elías Albagli, 2015. "Tasas de Interés de Largo Plazo en Economías Desarrolladas: Tendencias Recientes e Implicancias de Política Monetaria en Chile," Economic Policy Papers Central Bank of Chile 52, Central Bank of Chile.
    9. Peter Spencer, 2009. "An Admissible Macro-Finance Model of the US Treasury Market," Multinational Finance Journal, Multinational Finance Journal, vol. 13(1-2), pages 1-38, March-Jun.
    10. Angela Abbate & Sandra Eickmeier & Esteban Prieto, 2020. "Financial shocks and inflation dynamics," Working Papers 2020-13, Swiss National Bank.
    11. Fulvio Pegoraro & Siegel, A. F. & Luca Tiozzo Pezzoli, 2014. "Specification Analysis of International Treasury Yield Curve Factors," Working papers 490, Banque de France.
    12. Eran Hoffmann, 2018. "The Cyclical Composition of Startups," 2018 Meeting Papers 553, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    13. Zhou, Siwen, 2019. "Assessing the Macroeconomic Impact of the ECB’s Asset Purchase Programme in a Dynamic Nelson–Siegel Modelling Framework," MPRA Paper 92530, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    14. Conway, Patrick, 2012. "The exchange rate as nominal anchor: A test for Ukraine," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 40(3), pages 438-456.
    15. Verdelhan, Adrien & Van Nieuwerburgh, Stijn & Lustig, Hanno, 2012. "The Wealth-Consumption Ratio," CEPR Discussion Papers 9022, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    16. Zhuoshi Liu & Peter Spencer, 2009. "An Admissible Term Structure Model Of Sovereign Yield Spreads With Macro Factors: The Case Of Brazilian Global Bonds," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 77(s1), pages 108-125, September.
    17. Min Fan, 2006. "Heterogeneous Beliefs, the Term Structure and Time-varying Risk Premia," Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 2(3), pages 259-285, July.
    18. Charles L. Evans & David A. Marshall, 2001. "Economic determinants of the nominal treasury yield curve," Working Paper Series WP-01-16, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
    19. Alexander David & Pietro Veronesi, 2014. "Investors' and Central Bank's Uncertainty Embedded in Index Options," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 27(6), pages 1661-1716.
    20. RUGE-MURCIA, Francisco J., 2012. "Skewness Risk and Bond Prices," Cahiers de recherche 2012-14, Universite de Montreal, Departement de sciences economiques.
    21. Jose Vicente & Benjamin M. Tabak, 2007. "Forecasting Bonds Yields in the Brazilian Fixed Income Market," Working Papers Series 141, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
    22. Jonathan Hambur & Richard Finlay, 2018. "Affine Endeavour: Estimating a Joint Model of the Nominal and Real Term Structures of Interest Rates in Australia," RBA Research Discussion Papers rdp2018-02, Reserve Bank of Australia.
    23. Taboga, Marco, 2007. "Structural change and the bond yield conundrum," MPRA Paper 4965, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    24. Michael D. Bauer & Carolin Pflueger & Adi Sunderam, 2023. "Perceptions about Monetary Policy," Working Paper Series 2023-31, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    25. Berndt, Antje & Yeltekin, Şevin, 2015. "Monetary policy, bond returns and debt dynamics," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 119-136.
    26. Michael F. Gallmeyer & Burton Hollifield, 2005. "Taylor Rules, McCallum Rules and the Term Structure of Interest Rates," 2005 Meeting Papers 676, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    27. Hammami, Yacine & Lindahl, Anna, 2014. "An intertemporal capital asset pricing model with bank credit growth as a state variable," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 14-28.
    28. Eric Hillebrand & Huiyu Huang & Tae-Hwy Lee & Canlin Li, 2018. "Using the Entire Yield Curve in Forecasting Output and Inflation," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 6(3), pages 1-27, August.
    29. Zhengyang Jiang & Hanno Lustig & Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh & Mindy Z. Xiaolan, 2019. "The U.S. Public Debt Valuation Puzzle," NBER Working Papers 26583, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    30. Elizondo Rocío, 2013. "Forecasting the Term Structure of Interest Rates in Mexico Using an Affine Model," Working Papers 2013-03, Banco de México.
    31. Shao, Adam W. & Hanewald, Katja & Sherris, Michael, 2015. "Reverse mortgage pricing and risk analysis allowing for idiosyncratic house price risk and longevity risk," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 76-90.
    32. Matsumura, Marco & Moreira, Ajax & Vicente, José, 2011. "Forecasting the yield curve with linear factor models," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 20(5), pages 237-243.
    33. Jessica Foo & Lek-Heng Lim & Ken Sze-Wai Wong, 2017. "Macroeconomics and FinTech: Uncovering Latent Macroeconomic Effects on Peer-to-Peer Lending," Papers 1710.11283, arXiv.org.
    34. Markus Leippold & Felix Matthys, 2022. "Economic Policy Uncertainty and the Yield Curve [Pricing the term structure with linear regressions]," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 26(4), pages 751-797.
    35. Richard K. Crump & Stefano Eusepi & Emanuel Moench, 2016. "The term structure of expectations and bond yields," Staff Reports 775, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    36. Baumeister, Christiane & Kilian, Lutz, 2014. "A general approach to recovering market expectations from futures prices with an application to crude oil," CFS Working Paper Series 466, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
    37. Francis X. Diebold & Monika Piazzesi & Glenn D. Rudebusch, 2005. "Modeling Bond Yields in Finance and Macroeconomics," PIER Working Paper Archive 05-008, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
    38. Edouard Challe & Fran cois Le Grand & Xavier Ragot, 2010. "Incomplete markets, liquidation risk, and the term structure of interest rates," Working papers 301, Banque de France.
    39. Alberto Caruso & Laura Coroneo, 2023. "Does Real‐Time Macroeconomic Information Help to Predict Interest Rates?," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 55(8), pages 2027-2059, December.
    40. Drew D. Creal & Jing Cynthia Wu, 2014. "Estimation of Affine Term Structure Models with Spanned or Unspanned Stochastic Volatility," NBER Working Papers 20115, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    41. Hans Dewachter, 2008. "Imperfect information, macroeconomic dynamics and the yield curve : an encompassing macro-finance model," Working Paper Research 144, National Bank of Belgium.
    42. William Goetzmann & Eduardas Valaitis, 2006. "Simulating Real Estate in the Investment Portfolio: Model Uncertainty and Inflation Hedging," Yale School of Management Working Papers amz2476, Yale School of Management, revised 01 May 2006.
    43. Bruna, Karel & Tran, Quang Van, 2020. "The central banks’ ability to control variability of money market interest rates: The case of inflation targeting countries," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 176(C), pages 384-402.
    44. Poncela, Pilar & Ruiz Ortega, Esther, 2012. "More is not always better : back to the Kalman filter in dynamic factor models," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS ws122317, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Estadística.
    45. Tao Wu, 2005. "Macro Factors and the Affine Term Structure of Interest Rates," Working Paper Series 2002-06, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    46. Dewachter, Hans & Iania, Leonardo & Lemke, Wolfgang & Lyrio, Marco, 2018. "A macro-financial analysis of the corporate bond market," Working Paper Series 2214, European Central Bank.
    47. Hans Dewachter & Leonardo Iania & Marco Lyrio, 2014. "Information In The Yield Curve: A Macro‐Finance Approach," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(1), pages 42-64, January.
    48. Glenn D. Rudebusch & Eric T. Swanson, 2008. "Examining the bond premium puzzle with a DSGE model," Working Paper Series 2007-25, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    49. Michael D. Bauer, 2015. "Nominal Interest Rates and the News," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 47(2-3), pages 295-332, March.
    50. R. Anton Braun & Etsuro Shioji, 2003. "Monetary Policy and the Term Structure of Interest Rates in Japan," CIRJE F-Series CIRJE-F-252, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo.
    51. Juliane Begenau & Monika Piazzesi & Martin Schneider, 2015. "Banks' Risk Exposures," NBER Working Papers 21334, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    52. Yingying Xu & Zhixin Liu & Xing Zhang, 2017. "Heterogeneous Or Homogeneous Inflation Expectation Formation Models: A Case Study Of Chinese Households And Financial Participants," The Singapore Economic Review (SER), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 62(04), pages 859-874, September.
    53. Carlo A. Favero & Linlin Niu & Luca Sala, 2007. "Term Structure Forecasting: No-arbitrage Restrictions vs. Large Information Set," Working Papers 318, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
    54. Bikbov, Ruslan & Chernov, Mikhail, 2010. "No-arbitrage macroeconomic determinants of the yield curve," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 159(1), pages 166-182, November.
    55. Daniela Osterrieder, 2013. "Interest Rates with Long Memory: A Generalized Affine Term-Structure Model," CREATES Research Papers 2013-17, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    56. David Bolder & Shudan Liu, 2007. "Examining Simple Joint Macroeconomic and Term-Structure Models: A Practitioner's Perspective," Staff Working Papers 07-49, Bank of Canada.
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    58. Andrea Carriero & Lorenzo Ricci & Elisabetta Vangelista, 2022. "Expectations and term premia in EFSF bond yields," Working Papers 54, European Stability Mechanism.
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    766. Loechel, Horst & Packham, Natalie & Walisch, Fabian, 2013. "Determinants of the onshore and offshore Chinese Government yield curves," Frankfurt School - Working Paper Series 202, Frankfurt School of Finance and Management.
    767. Nobuyuki Oda & Takashi Suzuki, 2007. "A Macro-Finance Analysis of the Term Structure and Monetary Policy in Japan: Using a Model with Time-Variant Equilibrium Rates of Real Interest and Inflation and with the Zero Lower Bound of Nominal Interest Rates," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series 07-E-17, Bank of Japan.
    768. Francesca Biagini & Alessandro Gnoatto & Maximilian Hartel, 2013. "Affine HJM Framework on $S_{d}^{+}$ and Long-Term Yield," Papers 1311.0688, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2015.
    769. Exterkate, P. & van Dijk, D.J.C. & Heij, C. & Groenen, P.J.F., 2010. "Forecasting the Yield Curve in a Data-Rich Environment using the Factor-Augmented Nelson-Siegel Model," Econometric Institute Research Papers EI 2010-06, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.
    770. Farshid Vahid & Lin Luo, 2004. "Forecasting Australian GDP Growth Using Coefficients Constrained by A Term Structure Model," Econometric Society 2004 Australasian Meetings 232, Econometric Society.
    771. Leo Krippner, 2003. "Modelling the Yield Curve with Orthonomalised Laguerre Polynomials: An Intertemporally Consistent Approach with an Economic Interpretation," Working Papers in Economics 03/01, University of Waikato.
    772. K. Ben Nowman, 2011. "Estimation of one-, two- and three-factor generalized Vasicek term structure models for Japanese interest rates using monthly panel data," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 21(14), pages 1069-1078.
    773. Kido, Yosuke, 2018. "The transmission of US economic policy uncertainty shocks to Asian and global financial markets," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 222-231.
    774. Okimoto, Tatsuyoshi & Takaoka, Sumiko, 2020. "No-arbitrage determinants of credit spread curves under the unconventional monetary policy regime in Japan," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    775. David Lucca & Francesco Trebbi, 2008. "Measuring Central Bank Communication:," 2008 Meeting Papers 571, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    776. Yong, Chen & Dingming, Liu, 2019. "How does government spending news affect interest rates? Evidence from the United States," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 108(C).
    777. Dewachter, Hans & Iania, Leonardo & Lyrio, Marco, 2011. "Information in the Yield Curve: A Macro-Finance Approach," Insper Working Papers wpe_230, Insper Working Paper, Insper Instituto de Ensino e Pesquisa.
    778. Andrea Carriero & Raffaella Giacomini, 2011. "How useful are no-arbitrage restrictions for forecasting the term structure of interest rates?," Post-Print hal-00844809, HAL.
    779. Gregory R. Duffee, 2012. "Bond pricing and the macroeconomy," Economics Working Paper Archive 598, The Johns Hopkins University,Department of Economics.
    780. Qiang Dai & Thomas Philippon, 2005. "Fiscal Policy and the Term Structure of Interest Rates," NBER Working Papers 11574, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    781. Peter Spencer, 2004. "Affine Macroeconomic Models of the Term Structure of Interest Rates: The US Treasury Market 1961-99," Discussion Papers 04/16, Department of Economics, University of York, revised Jan 2006.
    782. Ramón María-Dolores & Jesús Vázquez, 2008. "Term structure and the estimated monetary policy rule in the eurozone," Working Papers 0827, Banco de España.
    783. Tosapol Apaitan, 2015. "Extracting Market Inflation Expectations: A Semi-structural Macro-finance Term Structure Model," PIER Discussion Papers 4, Puey Ungphakorn Institute for Economic Research.
    784. Traut, J. & Simonov, A. & Meitner, M., 2022. "Quantifying Alpha of Active Managers: A Case Study on Factor-Based Performance Attribution in Fixed-Income," Research Journal for Applied Management (RJAM), International School of Management (ISM), Dortmund, vol. 3(1), pages 85-115.
    785. Viktors Ajevskis & Kristine Vitola, 2006. "A Factor Model of the Term Structure of Interest Rates and Risk Premium Estimation for Latvia's Money Market," Working Papers 2006/01, Latvijas Banka.
    786. Chauvet, Marcelle & Senyuz, Zeynep, 2016. "A dynamic factor model of the yield curve components as a predictor of the economy," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 32(2), pages 324-343.
    787. Fendel, Ralf, 2004. "Towards a Joint Characterization of Monetary Policy and the Dynamics of the Term Structure of Interest Rates," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 2004,24, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    788. Gourieroux, C. & Monfort, A. & Sufana, R., 2010. "International money and stock market contingent claims," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(8), pages 1727-1751, December.
    789. Lengwiler, Yvan & Lenz, Carlos, 2010. "Intelligible factors for the yield curve," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 157(2), pages 481-491, August.
    790. Balázs Romhányi, 2005. "A learning hypothesis of the term structure of interest rates," Macroeconomics 0503001, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    791. Leo Krippner, 2005. "Investigating the Relationships between the Yield Curve, Output and Inflation using an Arbitrage-Free Version of the Nelson and Siegel Class of Yield Curve Models," Working Papers in Economics 05/02, University of Waikato.
    792. Engle, Robert & Roussellet, Guillaume & Siriwardane, Emil, 2017. "Scenario generation for long run interest rate risk assessment," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 201(2), pages 333-347.
    793. Peter Spencer, 2007. "Macro volatility in a model of the UK Gilt edged bond market," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2006 73, Money Macro and Finance Research Group.
    794. Nikolaos Karouzakis, 2021. "The role of time‐varying risk premia in international interbank markets," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(4), pages 5720-5745, October.
    795. Leo Krippner, 2009. "A theoretical foundation for the Nelson and Siegel class of yield curve models," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series DP2009/10, Reserve Bank of New Zealand.
    796. Lubos Pastor & Robert F. Stambaugh, 2007. "Predictive Systems: Living with Imperfect Predictors," NBER Working Papers 12814, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    797. Yoosoon Chang & Fabio Gomez-Rodriguez & Christian Matthes, 2023. "The Influence of Fiscal and Monetary Policies on the Shape of the Yield Curve," CAEPR Working Papers 2023-008 Classification-E, Center for Applied Economics and Policy Research, Department of Economics, Indiana University Bloomington.
    798. Juneja, Januj, 2014. "Term structure estimation in the presence of autocorrelation," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 119-129.
    799. Petrella, Ivan & Sola, Martin & Hevia, Constantino, 2016. "Risk Premia and Seasonality in Commodity Futures," CEPR Discussion Papers 11169, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    800. Xu, Yuan, 2015. "Robustness to model uncertainty and the nominal term premium puzzle," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 124-137.
    801. Tao Wu, 2003. "What makes the yield curve move?," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue jun6.
    802. Alexandros Kontonikas & Charles Nolan & Zivile Zekaite, 2015. "Always and Everywhere Inflation? Treasuries Variance Decomposition and the Impact of Monetary Policy," Working Papers 2015_17, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.
    803. Nyholm, Ken, 2016. "US-euro area term structure spillovers, implications for central banks," Working Paper Series 1980, European Central Bank.
    804. Francesco Audrino & Marcelo Cunha Medeiros, 2010. "Modeling and Forecasting Short-term Interest Rates: The Benefits of Smooth Regimes, Macroeconomic Variables, and Bagging," Textos para discussão 570, Department of Economics PUC-Rio (Brazil).
    805. Nobuyuki Oda & Kazuo Ueda, 2005. "The Effects of the Bank of Japan's Zero Interest Rate Commitment and Quantitative Monetary Easing on the Yield Curve: A Macro-Finance Approach (subsequently published in "The Japanese Economic Review", September 2007, Vol. 58, No. 3, 303-32," CARF F-Series CARF-F-031, Center for Advanced Research in Finance, Faculty of Economics, The University of Tokyo.
    806. Farka, Mira & DaSilva, Amadeu, 2011. "The fed and the term structure: Addressing simultaneity within a structural VAR model," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 18(5), pages 935-952.
    807. Audzeyeva, Alena & Fuertes, Ana-Maria, 2018. "On the predictability of emerging market sovereign credit spreads," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 140-157.
    808. Iryna Kaminska & Matt Roberts-Sklar, 2015. "A global factor in variance risk premia and local bond pricing," Bank of England working papers 576, Bank of England.
    809. Kristoffer Nimark, 2009. "Non-nested Information Sets and the Term Structure of Interest Rates," 2009 Meeting Papers 896, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    810. Samuel Carrasco & Luis Ceballos & Jessica Mena, 2016. "Estimación de la estructura de tasas de interés en Chile," Notas de Investigación Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy), Central Bank of Chile, vol. 19(1), pages 58-75, April.
    811. Hongbo Liu & Hanho Kim, 2018. "Ecological Footprint, Foreign Direct Investment, and Gross Domestic Production: Evidence of Belt & Road Initiative Countries," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(10), pages 1-28, September.
    812. Marco Tronzano, 2015. "The Expectations Hypothesis of the Term Structure in Emerging Financial Markets: Some Evidence from Malaysia (1999-2015) - La struttura a termine dei tassi di interesse nei paesi emergenti: alcune evi," Economia Internazionale / International Economics, Camera di Commercio Industria Artigianato Agricoltura di Genova, vol. 68(4), pages 521-550.
    813. Guidolin, Massimo & Pedio, Manuela, 2019. "Forecasting and trading monetary policy effects on the riskless yield curve with regime switching Nelson–Siegel models," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 107(C), pages 1-1.
    814. Sen Dong, 2006. "Monetary Policy Rules and Exchange Rates:A Structural VAR Identified by No Arbitrage," 2006 Meeting Papers 875, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    815. Afonso, António & Martins, Manuel M.F., 2012. "Level, slope, curvature of the sovereign yield curve, and fiscal behaviour," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(6), pages 1789-1807.
    816. García-Verdú Santiago, 2011. "On the Term Structure of Interest Rates of the Mexican Government," Working Papers 2011-18, Banco de México.
    817. Marcos S. Matsumura & Ajax R. B. Moreira, 2015. "Macro Factors and the Brazilian Yield Curve with no Arbitrage Models," Discussion Papers 0171, Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada - IPEA.
    818. Klaeffling, Matt, 2003. "Macroeconomic modelling of monetary policy," Working Paper Series 257, European Central Bank.
    819. Zongwu Cai & Jiazi Chen & Linlin Liu, 2021. "Estimating Impact of Age Distribution on Bond Pricing: A Semiparametric Functional Data Analysis Approach," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS 202102, University of Kansas, Department of Economics, revised Jan 2021.
    820. Boeckx, Jef & Iania, Leonardo & Wauters, Joris, 2023. "Macroeconomic drivers of Inflation Expectations and Inflation Risk Premia," LIDAM Discussion Papers LFIN 2023003, Université catholique de Louvain, Louvain Finance (LFIN).
    821. Oliver Blaskowitz & Helmut Herwartz, 2009. "Adaptive forecasting of the EURIBOR swap term structure," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(7), pages 575-594.
    822. Wali ULLAH & Khadija Malik BARI, 2018. "The Term Structure of Government Bond Yields in an Emerging Market," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(3), pages 5-28, September.
    823. Eric Jondeau & Michael Rockinger, 2019. "Predicting Long‐Term Financial Returns: VAR versus DSGE Model—A Horse Race," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 51(8), pages 2239-2291, December.
    824. Jang, Bosung & So, Inhwan & Tong, Eric, 2023. "US structural drivers of international portfolio returns," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    825. Caio Almeida & Axel Simonsen & José Valentim Vicente, 2012. "Forecasting Bond Yields with Segmented Term Structure Models," Working Papers Series 288, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
    826. Anmol Bhandari & Jaroslav Borovička & Paul Ho, 2016. "Identifying Ambiguity Shocks in Business Cycle Models Using Survey Data," NBER Working Papers 22225, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    827. Byrne, Joseph P. & Cao, Shuo & Korobilis, Dimitris, 2017. "Forecasting the term structure of government bond yields in unstable environments," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 209-225.
    828. Marcelo Reyes, 2005. "Large Term Structure Movements in a Factor Model Framework," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 341, Central Bank of Chile.
    829. Iania, Leonardo & Lyrio, Marco & Nersisyan, Liana, 2024. "Oil price shocks and bond risk premia: Evidence from a panel of 15 countries," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    830. Francesco Audrino & Fabio Trojani, 2007. "Accurate Short-Term Yield Curve Forecasting using Functional Gradient Descent," University of St. Gallen Department of Economics working paper series 2007 2007-24, Department of Economics, University of St. Gallen.
    831. Ramaprasad Bhar & Nedim Handzic, 2011. "A Multifactor Model of Credit Spreads," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 18(1), pages 105-127, March.
    832. Yoo Byoung Hark, 2010. "Estimating the Term Premium by a Markov Switching Model with ARMA-GARCH Errors," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 14(2), pages 1-20, March.
    833. Gerhart, Christoph & Lütkebohmert, Eva, 2020. "Empirical analysis and forecasting of multiple yield curves," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 59-78.
    834. Gabrisch, Hubert & Orlowski, Lucjan T. & Pusch, Toralf, 2012. "Sovereign default Risk in the Euro-Periphery and the Euro-Candidate Countries," MPRA Paper 41265, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    835. Juan Equiza & Ricardo Gimeno & Antonio Moreno & Carlos Thomas, 2023. "Evaluating central bank asset purchases in a term structure model with a forward-looking supply factor," Working Papers 2303, Banco de España.
    836. Dorota Toczydlowska & Gareth W. Peters, 2018. "Financial Big Data Solutions for State Space Panel Regression in Interest Rate Dynamics," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 6(3), pages 1-45, July.
    837. Frank J. Fabozzi & Francesco A. Fabozzi & Diana Tunaru, 2023. "A comparison of multi-factor term structure models for interbank rates," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 61(1), pages 323-356, July.
    838. Andrew Blake & Garreth Rule & Ole Rummel, 2015. "Inflation targeting and term premia estimates for Latin America," Latin American Economic Review, Springer;Centro de Investigaciòn y Docencia Económica (CIDE), vol. 24(1), pages 1-21, December.
    839. Timothy Cogley, 2005. "Changing Beliefs and the Term Structure of Interest Rates: Cross-Equation Restrictions with Drifting Parameters," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 8(2), pages 420-451, April.
    840. Timmermann, Allan & Burjack, Rafael & Qu, Ritong, 2019. "Fluctuations in Economic Uncertainty and Transmission of Monetary Policy Shocks: Evidence Using Daily Surveys from Brazil," CEPR Discussion Papers 14097, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    841. ZHU Xiaoneng & Shahidur RAHMAN, 2009. "A Regime Switching Macro-finance Model of the Term Structure," Economic Growth Centre Working Paper Series 0901, Nanyang Technological University, School of Social Sciences, Economic Growth Centre.
    842. Ko, Eunmi & Dmonte, Alphaeus & Zampieri, Marcos, 2025. "Comparison of an affine term structure model with Fed chair speeches in large language models," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    843. Jonathan H. Wright, 2008. "Term premiums and inflation uncertainty: empirical evidence from an international panel dataset," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2008-25, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    844. Zhang, Han & Fan, Xiaoyun & Guo, Bin & Zhang, Wei, 2019. "Reexamining time-varying bond risk premia in the post-financial crisis era," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
    845. Chen, XiaoHua & Maringer, Dietmar, 2011. "Detecting time-variation in corporate bond index returns: A smooth transition regression model," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 35(1), pages 95-103, January.
    846. Fernandes, Marcelo & Vieira, Fausto, 2019. "A dynamic Nelson–Siegel model with forward-looking macroeconomic factors for the yield curve in the US," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 106(C), pages 1-1.
    847. Marco S. Matsumura, 2007. "Impact Of Macro Shocks On Sovereign Default Probabilities," Anais do XXXV Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 35th Brazilian Economics Meeting] 060, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].
    848. Matsumura, Marco & Moreira, Ajax & Vicente, Jose Valentim Machado, 2011. "Identification of Gaussian Term Structure Models with Observable Factors," Brazilian Review of Econometrics, Sociedade Brasileira de Econometria - SBE, vol. 31(2), December.
    849. Christos Ioannidis & Kook Ka, 2021. "Economic Policy Uncertainty and Bond Risk Premia," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 53(6), pages 1479-1522, September.
    850. Argyropoulos, Efthymios & Tzavalis, Elias, 2021. "The influence of real interest rates and risk premium effects on the ability of the nominal term structure to forecast inflation," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 785-796.
    851. Bingxin Ann Xing & Bruno Feunou & Morvan Nongni-Donfack & Rodrigo Sekkel, 2024. "U.S. Macroeconomic News and Low-Frequency Changes in Small Open Economies’ Bond Yields," Staff Working Papers 24-12, Bank of Canada.

Articles

  1. Monika Piazzesi & Martin Schneider, 2009. "Momentum Traders in the Housing Market: Survey Evidence and a Search Model," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 99(2), pages 406-411, May.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  2. Piazzesi, Monika & Swanson, Eric T., 2008. "Futures prices as risk-adjusted forecasts of monetary policy," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 55(4), pages 677-691, May.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  3. Monika Piazzesi & Martin Schneider, 2007. "Asset Prices and Asset Quantities," Journal of the European Economic Association, MIT Press, vol. 5(2-3), pages 380-389, 04-05.

    Cited by:

    1. Favilukis, Jack, 2007. "Inequality, stock market participation, and the equity premium," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 24500, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    2. Marius Ascheberg & Robert A. Jarrow & Holger Kraft & Yildiray Yildirim, 2014. "Government Policies, Residential Mortgage Defaults and the Boom and Bust Cycle of Housing Prices," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 42(3), pages 627-661, September.
    3. Paolo Zagaglia, 2013. "Forecasting Long-Term Interest Rates with a General-Equilibrium Model of the Euro Area: What Role for Liquidity Services of Bonds?," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 20(4), pages 383-430, November.
    4. Paolo Zagaglia, 2011. "Forecasting Long-Term Interest Rates with a Dynamic General Equilibrium Model of the Euro Area: The Role of the Feedback," Working Paper series 19_11, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
    5. Thomas B. King, 2013. "A Portfolio-Balance Approach to the Nominal Term Structure," Working Paper Series WP-2013-18, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
    6. Wharton School & Nikolai Roussanov, 2008. "Diversification and its Discontents: Idiosyncratic and Entrepreneurial Risk in the Quest for Social Status," 2008 Meeting Papers 924, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    7. Zagaglia, Paolo, 2009. "Forecasting with a DSGE Model of the term Structure of Interest Rates: The Role of the Feedback," Research Papers in Economics 2009:14, Stockholm University, Department of Economics.
    8. David Berger & Joseph Vavra, 2014. "Consumption Dynamics During Recessions," NBER Working Papers 20175, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

  4. Piazzesi, Monika & Schneider, Martin & Tuzel, Selale, 2007. "Housing, consumption and asset pricing," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 83(3), pages 531-569, March.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  5. Ang, Andrew & Piazzesi, Monika & Wei, Min, 2006. "What does the yield curve tell us about GDP growth?," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 131(1-2), pages 359-403.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  6. Andrew Ang & Sen Dong & Monika Piazzesi, 2005. "No-arbitrage Taylor rules," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.

    Cited by:

    1. Giuseppe Ferrero & Andrea Nobili, 2009. "Futures Contract Rates as Monetary Policy Forecasts," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 5(2), pages 109-145, June.
    2. Michael F. Gallmeyer & Burton Hollifield, 2005. "Taylor Rules, McCallum Rules and the Term Structure of Interest Rates," 2005 Meeting Papers 676, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    3. Ielpo, Florian & Guégan, Dominique, 2006. "Further evidence on the impact of economic news on interest rates," MPRA Paper 3425, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Jun 2007.
    4. Matsumura, Marco & Moreira, Ajax & Vicente, José, 2011. "Forecasting the yield curve with linear factor models," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 20(5), pages 237-243.
    5. Francis X. Diebold & Monika Piazzesi & Glenn D. Rudebusch, 2005. "Modeling Bond Yields in Finance and Macroeconomics," PIER Working Paper Archive 05-008, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
    6. Dominique Guegan & Florian Ielpo, 2007. "Further evidence on the impact of economic news on interest rates," Post-Print halshs-00188331, HAL.
    7. Carlo A. Favero & Linlin Niu & Luca Sala, 2007. "Term Structure Forecasting: No-arbitrage Restrictions vs. Large Information Set," Working Papers 318, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
    8. Bikbov, Ruslan & Chernov, Mikhail, 2010. "No-arbitrage macroeconomic determinants of the yield curve," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 159(1), pages 166-182, November.
    9. Andrew Atkeson & Patrick J. Kehoe, 2008. "On the need for a new approach to analyzing monetary policy," Working Papers 662, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
    10. Francesco Audrino, 2012. "What Drives Short Rate Dynamics? A Functional Gradient Descent Approach," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 39(3), pages 315-335, March.
    11. Eijffinger, S.C.W. & Mahieu, R.J. & Raes, L.B.D., 2010. "The Bond Yield Conundrum : Alternative Hypotheses and the State of the Economy," Discussion Paper 2010-121, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.
    12. Mehmet Pasaogullari, 2015. "Forecasts from Reduced-form Models under the Zero-Lower-Bound Constraint," Working Papers (Old Series) 1512, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
    13. Timmermann, Allan & Pettenuzzo, Davide & Gargano, Antonio, 2014. "Bond Return Predictability: Economic Value and Links to the Macroeconomy," CEPR Discussion Papers 10104, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    14. Marco Matsumara & Ajax R.B. Moreira, 2005. "Can Macroeconomic Variables Account for the Term Structure of Sovereign Spreads? Studying the Brazilian Case," Discussion Papers 1106, Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada - IPEA.
    15. Don H. Kim, 2008. "Challenges in macro-finance modeling," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2008-06, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    16. Michael D. Bauer & Glenn D. Rudebusch, 2014. "The Signaling Channel for Federal Reserve Bond Purchases," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 10(3), pages 233-289, September.
    17. Taboga, Marco & Pericoli, Marcello, 2008. "Bond risk premia, macroeconomic fundamentals and the exchange rate," MPRA Paper 9523, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    18. Laurini, Márcio P. & Caldeira, João F., 2016. "A macro-finance term structure model with multivariate stochastic volatility," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 68-90.
    19. Jotikasthira, Chotibhak & Le, Anh & Lundblad, Christian, 2015. "Why do term structures in different currencies co-move?," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 115(1), pages 58-83.
    20. Sharon Kozicki & Peter A. Tinsley, 2005. "Term structure transmission of monetary policy," Research Working Paper RWP 05-06, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.
    21. Alfonso Mendoza Velazquez & Peter N. Smith, 2013. "Equity Returns and the Business Cycle: The Role of Supply and Demand Shocks," CAMA Working Papers 2013-22, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    22. Marco S. Matsumura, 2015. "Impact of Macro Shocks on Sovereign Default Probabilities," Discussion Papers 0173, Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada - IPEA.
    23. Joslin, Scott & Le, Anh & Singleton, Kenneth J., 2013. "Why Gaussian macro-finance term structure models are (nearly) unconstrained factor-VARs," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 109(3), pages 604-622.
    24. Mr. Calixte Ahokpossi & Pilar Garcia Martinez & Laurent Kemoe, 2016. "Monetary and Fiscal Policies and the Dynamics of the Yield Curve in Morocco," IMF Working Papers 2016/103, International Monetary Fund.
    25. Ulrich, Maxim, 2013. "Inflation ambiguity and the term structure of U.S. Government bonds," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 60(2), pages 295-309.
    26. Rui Liu, 2019. "Forecasting Bond Risk Premia with Unspanned Macroeconomic Information," Quarterly Journal of Finance (QJF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 9(01), pages 1-62, March.
    27. Giuseppe Ferrero & Andrea Nobili, 2008. "Short-term interest rate futures as monetary policy forecasts," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 681, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    28. Márcio Laurini & João Frois Caldeira, 2012. "Some Comments on a Macro-Finance Model with Stochastic Volatility," IBMEC RJ Economics Discussion Papers 2012-04, Economics Research Group, IBMEC Business School - Rio de Janeiro.
    29. Marcello Pericoli & Marco Taboga, 2008. "Canonical Term‐Structure Models with Observable Factors and the Dynamics of Bond Risk Premia," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 40(7), pages 1471-1488, October.
    30. Josephine M. Smith & John B. Taylor, 2007. "The Long and the Short End of the Term Structure of Policy Rules," NBER Working Papers 13635, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    31. Mathias Drehmann & Steffen Sorensen & Marco Stringa, 2007. "Integrating credit and interest rate risk: A theoretical framework and an application to banks' balance sheets," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2006 151, Money Macro and Finance Research Group.
    32. Marco Shinobu Matsumura & Ajax Reynaldo Bello Moreira & José Valentim Machado Vicente, 2010. "Forecasting the Yield Curve with Linear Factor Models," Working Papers Series 223, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
    33. Linlin Niu, 2013. "An Affine Term Structure Model with Auxiliary Stochastic Volatility-Covolatility," Working Papers 2013-10-14, Wang Yanan Institute for Studies in Economics (WISE), Xiamen University.
    34. Peter Lildholdt & Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou & Chris Peacock, 2007. "An affine macro-factor model of the UK yield curve," Bank of England working papers 322, Bank of England.
    35. Narek Ohanyan & Aleksandr Grigoryan, 2021. "Measuring monetary policy: rules versus discretion," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 61(1), pages 35-60, July.
    36. Ireland, Peter N., 2015. "Monetary policy, bond risk premia, and the economy," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 124-140.
    37. René Garcia & Richard Luger, 2005. "The Canadian Macroeconomy and the Yield Curve: An Equilibrium-Based Approach," Staff Working Papers 05-36, Bank of Canada.
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    205. Carl Chiarella & Thuy-Duong To, 2005. "The Multifactor Nature of the Volatility of the Eurodollar Futures Market," Research Paper Series 150, Quantitative Finance Research Centre, University of Technology, Sydney.
    206. Walid Ben Omrane & Khaled Guesmi & Qi Qianru & Samir Saadi, 2023. "The high-frequency impact of macroeconomic news on jumps and co-jumps in the cryptocurrency markets," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 330(1), pages 177-209, November.
    207. Parastoo Mousavi, 2021. "Debt-by-Price Ratio, End-of-Year Economic Growth, and Long-Term Prediction of Stock Returns," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(13), pages 1-18, July.

  10. Monika Piazzesi & Eric T. Swanson, 2004. "Future prices as risk-adjusted forecasts of monetary policy," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue mar.

    Cited by:

    1. Giuseppe Ferrero & Andrea Nobili, 2009. "Futures Contract Rates as Monetary Policy Forecasts," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 5(2), pages 109-145, June.
    2. Kurz, Mordecai & Motolese, Maurizio, 2006. "Risk Premia, diverse belief and beauty contests," MPRA Paper 247, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Geert Bekaert & Seonghoon Cho & Antonio Moreno, 2005. "New-Keynesian Macroeconomics and the Term Structure," NBER Working Papers 11340, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    4. Michael F. Gallmeyer & Burton Hollifield, 2005. "Taylor Rules, McCallum Rules and the Term Structure of Interest Rates," 2005 Meeting Papers 676, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    5. Ielpo, Florian & Guégan, Dominique, 2006. "Further evidence on the impact of economic news on interest rates," MPRA Paper 3425, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Jun 2007.
    6. Yunus Aksoy & Henriqu S Basso, 2012. "Liquidity, Term Spreads and Monetary Policy," Birkbeck Working Papers in Economics and Finance 1211, Birkbeck, Department of Economics, Mathematics & Statistics.
    7. Refet S. Gürkaynak & Andrew T. Levin & Eric T. Swanson, 2006. "Does Inflation Targeting Anchor Long-Run Inflation Expectations? Evidence from Long-Term Bond Yields in the U.S., U.K., and Sweden," Working Paper Series 2006-09, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    8. Yosra Baaziz, 2015. "Estimating Interest Rate Setting Behavior in Brazil: A LSTR Model Approach," Economies, MDPI, vol. 3(2), pages 1-17, April.
    9. Rosa, Carlo & Verga, Giovanni, 2007. "On the consistency and effectiveness of central bank communication: Evidence from the ECB," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 23(1), pages 146-175, March.
    10. Eijffinger, Sylvester & Mahieu, Ronald & Raes, Louis, 2011. "Can the Fed talk the hind legs off the stock market?," CEPR Discussion Papers 8450, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    11. Magnus, Jan R. & Vasnev, Andrey L., 2015. "Interpretation and use of sensitivity in econometrics, illustrated with forecast combinations," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 769-781.
    12. John Driffill & Zeno Rotondi, 2007. "Inertia in Taylor Rules," Birkbeck Working Papers in Economics and Finance 0720, Birkbeck, Department of Economics, Mathematics & Statistics.
    13. Glenn D. Rudebusch & Eric T. Swanson & Tao Wu, 2006. "The Bond Yield “Conundrum” from a Macro-Finance Perspective," Working Paper Series 2006-16, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    14. Sergey V. Chernenko, 2004. "The information content of forward and futures prices: market expectations and the price of risk," International Finance Discussion Papers 808, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    15. Gregory H. Bauer & Clara Vega, 2006. "The monetary origins of asymmetric information in international equity markets," International Finance Discussion Papers 872, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    16. Pagano, Patrizio & Pisani, Massimiliano, 2009. "Risk-adjusted forecasts of oil prices," Working Paper Series 999, European Central Bank.
    17. Gabriele Galati & Patrick C. Higgins & Owen F. Humpage & William R. Melick, 2006. "Option prices, exchange market intervention, and the higher moment expectations channel: a user’s guide," Working Papers (Old Series) 0618, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
    18. Laeven, Luc & Tong, Hui, 2010. "U.S. Monetary Shocks and Global Stock Prices," CEPR Discussion Papers 8090, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    19. Rosa, Carlo, 2008. "Talking less and moving the market more: is this the recipe for monetary policy effectiveness?: evidence from the ECB and the Fed," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 19629, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    20. William B. English & Skander J. van den Heuvel & Egon Zakrajšek, 2012. "Interest rate risk and bank equity valuations," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2012-26, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    21. Massimo Guidolin & Allan Timmerman, 2007. "Forecasts of U.S. short-term interest rates: a flexible forecast combination approach," Working Papers 2005-059, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
    22. Andrea Monticini & Giacomo Vaciago, 2007. "Are Euro Interest Rates led by FED Announcements?," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2006 16, Money Macro and Finance Research Group.

  11. Longstaff, Francis A. & Piazzesi, Monika, 2004. "Corporate earnings and the equity premium," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 74(3), pages 401-421, December.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  12. Ang, Andrew & Piazzesi, Monika, 2003. "A no-arbitrage vector autoregression of term structure dynamics with macroeconomic and latent variables," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 50(4), pages 745-787, May.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  13. Andrew Ang & Monika Piazzesi & Min Wei, 2003. "What does the yield curve tell us about GDP growth?," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue mar.

    Cited by:

    1. Geert Bekaert & Seonghoon Cho & Antonio Moreno, 2005. "New-Keynesian Macroeconomics and the Term Structure," NBER Working Papers 11340, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. Massimiliano Marcellino & James Stock & Mark Watson, 2005. "A Comparison of Direct and Iterated Multistep AR Methods for Forecasting Macroeconomic Time Series," Working Papers 285, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
    3. Taboga, Marco, 2007. "Structural change and the bond yield conundrum," MPRA Paper 4965, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Carlo A. Favero & Linlin Niu & Luca Sala, 2007. "Term Structure Forecasting: No-arbitrage Restrictions vs. Large Information Set," Working Papers 318, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
    5. Hibiki Ichiue, 2004. "Why Can the Yield Curve Predict Output Growth, Inflation, and Interest Rates? An Analysis with Affine Term Structure Model," Econometric Society 2004 Far Eastern Meetings 581, Econometric Society.
    6. Andrew Ang & Sen Dong & Monika Piazzesi, 2005. "No-arbitrage Taylor rules," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    7. Peter Hördahl & Oreste Tristani & David Vestin, 2006. "The term structure of inflation risk premia and macroeconomic dynamics," Computing in Economics and Finance 2006 203, Society for Computational Economics.
    8. John H. Cochrane, 2007. "Commentary on \\"Macroeconomic implications of changes in the term premium\\"," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, vol. 89(Jul), pages 271-282.
    9. Favero, Carlo A. & Söderström, Ulf & Kaminska, Iryna, 2005. "The Predictive Power of the Yield Spread: Further Evidence and A Structural Interpretation," CEPR Discussion Papers 4910, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    10. Cortés Espada Josué Fernando & Ramos Francia Manuel, 2008. "A Macroeconomic Model of the Term Structure of Interest Rates in Mexico," Working Papers 2008-10, Banco de México.
    11. Ben S. Bernanke & Vincent Reinhart & Brian P. Sack, 2004. "Monetary policy alternatives at the zero bound: an empirical assessment," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2004-48, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    12. Kristoffer Nimark, 2006. "Optimal Monetary Policy with Real-time Signal Extraction from the Bond Market," RBA Research Discussion Papers rdp2006-05, Reserve Bank of Australia.
    13. Glenn D. Rudebusch & Brian P. Sack & Eric T. Swanson, 2007. "Macroeconomic implications of changes in the term premium," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, vol. 89(Jul), pages 241-270.
    14. Mathias Moersch & Armin Pohl, 2011. "Predicting recessions with the term spread - recent evidence from seven countries," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 18(13), pages 1285-1288.
    15. René Garcia & Richard Luger, 2005. "The Canadian Macroeconomy and the Yield Curve: An Equilibrium-Based Approach," Staff Working Papers 05-36, Bank of Canada.
    16. Bhansali, Vineer & Dorsten, Matthew P. & Wise, Mark B., 2009. "Asymmetric monetary policy and the yield curve," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 28(8), pages 1408-1425, December.
    17. Kenneth D. West & Todd Clark, 2006. "Approximately Normal Tests for Equal Predictive Accuracy in Nested Models," NBER Technical Working Papers 0326, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    18. Charles Ka Yui Leung, 2005. "Equilibrium Correlation of Asset Price and Return," Discussion Papers 00017, Chinese University of Hong Kong, Department of Economics.
    19. James A. Clouse, 2004. "Reading the minds of investors: an empirical term structure model for policy analysis," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2004-64, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    20. Francis X. Diebold & Glenn D. Rudebusch & S. Boragan Aruoba, 2003. "The Macroeconomy and the Yield Curve: A Nonstructural Analysis," PIER Working Paper Archive 03-024, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
    21. Hardouvelis, Gikas & Malliaropoulos, Dimitrios, 2004. "The Yield Spread as a Symmetric Predictor of Output and Inflation," CEPR Discussion Papers 4314, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    22. R. Vander Vennet & O. De Jonghe & L. Baele, 2004. "Bank risks and the business cycle," Working Papers of Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Ghent University, Belgium 04/264, Ghent University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration.
    23. Orazio Di Miscia, 2005. "Term structure of interest models: concept and estimation problem in a continuous-time setting," Finance 0504017, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    24. Zagaglia, Paolo, 2006. "The Predictive Power of the Yield Spread under the Veil of Time," Research Papers in Economics 2006:4, Stockholm University, Department of Economics.
    25. Mönch, Emanuel, 2005. "Forecasting the yield curve in a data-rich environment: a no-arbitrage factor-augmented VAR approach," Working Paper Series 544, European Central Bank.
    26. Jens H. E. Christensen & Francis X. Diebold & Glenn D. Rudebusch, 2007. "The Affine Arbitrage-Free Class of Nelson-Siegel Term Structure Models," PIER Working Paper Archive 07-029, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
    27. Greg Duffee, 2005. "Term structure estimation without using latent factors," Computing in Economics and Finance 2005 103, Society for Computational Economics.
    28. Michael D. Bordo & Joseph G. Haubrich, 2006. "Forecasting with the yield curve; level, slope, and output 1875-1997," Working Papers (Old Series) 0611, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
    29. Tao Wu & Glenn Rudebusch, 2004. "A Macro-Finance Model of the Term Structure, Monetary Policy, and the Economy," 2004 Meeting Papers 104, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    30. Carriero, Andrea & Favero, Carlo A. & Kaminska, Iryna, 2006. "Financial factors, macroeconomic information and the Expectations Theory of the term structure of interest rates," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 131(1-2), pages 339-358.
    31. Monika Piazzesi & Martin Schneider, 2006. "Equilibrium Yield Curves," NBER Working Papers 12609, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    32. Marcello Pericoli & Marco Taboga, 2006. "Canonical term-structure models with observable factors and the dynamics of bond risk premiums," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 580, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    33. Jonathan H. Wright, 2006. "The yield curve and predicting recessions," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2006-07, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    34. Diebold, Francis X. & Rudebusch, Glenn D. & Borag[caron]an Aruoba, S., 2006. "The macroeconomy and the yield curve: a dynamic latent factor approach," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 131(1-2), pages 309-338.
    35. Markus Baltzer & Gerhard Kling, 2007. "Predictability of future economic growth and the credibility of monetary regimes in Germany, 1870-2003," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(6), pages 401-404.
    36. Cortés Espada Josué Fernando & Ramos Francia Manuel, 2008. "An Affine Model of the Term Structure of Interest Rates in Mexico," Working Papers 2008-09, Banco de México.
    37. Marcello, Pericoli & Marco, Taboga, 2005. "A specification analysis of discrete-time no-arbitrage term structure models with observable and unobservable factors," MPRA Paper 4969, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Sep 2007.
    38. Farzan Aminian & E. Suarez & Mehran Aminian & Daniel Walz, 2006. "Forecasting Economic Data with Neural Networks," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 28(1), pages 71-88, August.
    39. Glenn D. Rudebusch & Eric T. Swanson & Tao Wu, 2006. "The Bond Yield “Conundrum” from a Macro-Finance Perspective," Working Paper Series 2006-16, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    40. Daniel R. Smith & Christophe Parignon, 2004. "Modeling Yield-Factor Volatility," Econometric Society 2004 Australasian Meetings 307, Econometric Society.
    41. Mehl, Arnaud, 2006. "The yield curve as a predictor and emerging economies," Working Paper Series 691, European Central Bank.
    42. Glenn D. Rudebusch & Tao Wu, 2004. "A macro-finance model of the term structure, monetary policy, and the economy," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue mar.
    43. Sarno, Lucio & Thornton, Daniel L & Valente, Giorgio, 2005. "The Empirical Failure of the Expectations Hypothesis of the Term Structure of Bond Yields," CEPR Discussion Papers 5259, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    44. Glenn D. Rudebusch & John C. Williams, 2007. "Forecasting recessions: the puzzle of the enduring power of the yield curve," Working Paper Series 2007-16, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    45. Qiang Dai & Kenneth J. Singleton & Wei Yang, 2004. "Regime shifts in a dynamic term structure model of U.S. Treasury bond yields," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue mar.
    46. Hasseltoft, Henrik, 2007. "The Long-run Risk Model: Dynamics and Cyclicality of Interest Rates," SIFR Research Report Series 58, Institute for Financial Research.
    47. Torben G. Andersen & Luca Benzoni, 2007. "Do Bonds Span Volatility Risk in the U.S. Treasury Market? A Specification Test for Affine Term Structure Models," CREATES Research Papers 2007-25, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    48. Farshid Vahid & Lin Luo, 2004. "Forecasting Australian GDP Growth Using Coefficients Constrained by A Term Structure Model," Econometric Society 2004 Australasian Meetings 232, Econometric Society.
    49. Peter Spencer, 2004. "Affine Macroeconomic Models of the Term Structure of Interest Rates: The US Treasury Market 1961-99," Discussion Papers 04/16, Department of Economics, University of York, revised Jan 2006.
    50. Cortés Espada Josué Fernando & Ramos Francia Manuel & Torres García Alberto, 2008. "An Empirical Analysis of the Mexican Term Structure of Interest Rates," Working Papers 2008-07, Banco de México.
    51. Gourieroux, C. & Monfort, A. & Sufana, R., 2010. "International money and stock market contingent claims," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(8), pages 1727-1751, December.
    52. Juan Marcelo, Ochoa, 2006. "An Interpretation of An Affine Term Structure Model for Chile," MPRA Paper 1072, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    53. De Pooter, Michiel & Ravazzolo, Francesco & van Dijk, Dick, 2006. "Predicting the term structure of interest rates incorporating parameter uncertainty, model uncertainty and macroeconomic information," MPRA Paper 2512, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 03 Mar 2007.

  14. Monika Piazzesi, 2002. "The Fed and Interest Rates - A High-Frequency Identification," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 92(2), pages 90-95, May.
    See citations under working paper version above.

Chapters

  1. Monika Piazzesi & Martin Schneider, 2008. "Inflation Illusion, Credit, and Asset Prices," NBER Chapters, in: Asset Prices and Monetary Policy, pages 147-189, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Cited by:

    1. Zan Yang & Ying Fan & Liqing Zhao, 2018. "A Reexamination of Housing Price and Household Consumption in China: The Dual Role of Housing Consumption and Housing Investment," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 56(3), pages 472-499, April.
    2. Chyi Lin Lee & Ming-Long Lee, 2012. "Do European real estate stocks hedge inflation? Evidence from developed and emerging markets," ERES eres2012_155, European Real Estate Society (ERES).
    3. Ing-Haw Cheng & Sahil Raina & Wei Xiong, 2014. "Wall Street and the Housing Bubble," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 104(9), pages 2797-2829, September.
    4. Ricardo Lagos & Shengxing Zhang, 2018. "A Monetary Model of Bilateral Over-the-Counter Markets," NBER Working Papers 25239, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    5. Duarte, Diogo & Saporito, Yuri F., 2019. "Endogenous asymmetric money illusion," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
    6. Markus K. Brunnermeier & Christian Julliard, 2006. "Money Illusion and Housing Frenzies," NBER Working Papers 12810, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    7. Piazzesi, M. & Schneider, M., 2016. "Housing and Macroeconomics," Handbook of Macroeconomics, in: J. B. Taylor & Harald Uhlig (ed.), Handbook of Macroeconomics, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 1547-1640, Elsevier.
    8. Willi Semmler, 2011. "Asset Prices, Booms and Recessions," Springer Books, Springer, number 978-3-642-20680-1, January.
    9. William G. Hardin & Xiaoquan Jiang & Zhonghua Wu, 2017. "Inflation Illusion, Expertise and Commercial Real Estate," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 55(3), pages 345-369, October.
    10. Semmler, Willi & Bernard, Lucas, 2012. "Boom–bust cycles: Leveraging, complex securities, and asset prices," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 81(2), pages 442-465.
    11. Luhan, Wolfgang J. & Scharler, Johann, 2014. "Inflation illusion and the Taylor principle: An experimental study," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 94-110.
    12. Ricardo Lagos & Shengxing Zhang, 2015. "Monetary Exchange in Over-the-Counter Markets: A Theory of Speculative Bubbles, the Fed Model, and Self-fulfilling Liquidity Crises," NBER Working Papers 21528, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    13. Jan Bruha & Michal Hlavacek & Lubos Komarek, 2013. "Impacts of housing prices on the financial position of households," Occasional Publications - Chapters in Edited Volumes, in: CNB Financial Stability Report 2012/2013, chapter 0, pages 120-127, Czech National Bank, Research and Statistics Department.
    14. William Hardin & Xiaoquan Jiang & Zhonghua Wu, 2012. "REIT Stock Prices with Inflation Hedging and Illusion," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 45(1), pages 262-287, June.
    15. Shengxing Zhang & Ricardo Lagos, 2016. "Turnover Liquidity and the Transmission of Monetary Policy," 2016 Meeting Papers 1569, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    16. Miao, Jianjun & Xie, Danyang, 2013. "Economic growth under money illusion," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 37(1), pages 84-103.
    17. Suleyman Basak & Hongjun Yan, 2008. "Equilibrium Asset Prices and Investor Behavior in the Presence of Money Illusion," Yale School of Management Working Papers amz2402, Yale School of Management, revised 01 Aug 2009.
    18. Ma, Chaoqun & Wang, Hailong & Cheng, Fengchao & Hu, Duni, 2018. "How money illusions and heterogeneous beliefs affect asset prices," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 167-192.

  2. Monika Piazzesi & Martin Schneider, 2007. "Equilibrium Yield Curves," NBER Chapters, in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2006, Volume 21, pages 389-472, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    See citations under working paper version above.
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