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Residential Migration and the COVID-19 Crisis: Towards an Urban Exodus in France?

Author

Listed:
  • Marie-Laure Breuillé
  • Julie Le Gallo
  • Alexandra Verlhiac

Abstract

[eng] Much has been written about the potential effect of the COVID-19 crisis on residential mobility. To explore its effects in France, we reconstruct flows of mobility intentions based on owner and buyer estimates on the platform MeilleursAgents from January 2019 to September 2021, and we analyze, using logit and nested logit models, how the pandemic has changed the probability that individuals from both urban and rural intend to relocate. Our results show that, after a time of shock during the first lockdown in spring 2020, the desire to migrate, either to rural municipalities or to other catchment areas, increased as the pandemic and the restrictive measures continued, and was particularly pronounced after the end of the third and last lockdown.

Suggested Citation

  • Marie-Laure Breuillé & Julie Le Gallo & Alexandra Verlhiac, 2022. "Residential Migration and the COVID-19 Crisis: Towards an Urban Exodus in France?," Economie et Statistique / Economics and Statistics, Institut National de la Statistique et des Etudes Economiques (INSEE), issue 536-37, pages 57-73.
    • Handle: RePEc:nse:ecosta:ecostat_2022_536_4
    DOI: https://doi.org/10.24187/ecostat.2022.536.2084
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    1. Miyu Komaki & Haruka Kato & Daisuke Matsushita, 2023. "Why Did Urban Exodus Occur during the COVID-19 Pandemic from the Perspective of Residential Preference of Each Type of Household? Case of Japanese Metropolitan Areas," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(4), pages 1-19, February.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • C35 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Discrete Regression and Qualitative Choice Models; Discrete Regressors; Proportions
    • R23 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Household Analysis - - - Regional Migration; Regional Labor Markets; Population

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