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The financial transmission of housing booms: evidence from Spain

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Abstract

How does a housing boom affect credit to non-housing firms? Using bank, firm and loan-level microdata, we show that the Spanish housing boom reduced non-housing credit growth during its first years, but stimulated it later on. These patterns can be rationalized by financial constraints for banks. Constrained banks initially accommodated higher housing credit demand by reducing non-housing credit. Eventually, however, the housing boom increased bank net worth and expanded credit supply. A quantitative model, disciplined by our cross-sectional estimates, indicates that the crowding-out effect was substantial but temporary, and had been fully absorbed by the end of the boom.

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  • Alberto Martin & Enrique Moral-Benito & Tom Schmitz, 2018. "The financial transmission of housing booms: evidence from Spain," Economics Working Papers 1613, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, revised Sep 2020.
    • Handle: RePEc:upf:upfgen:1613
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    Cited by:

    1. Rafael González-Val, 2022. "House Prices and Marriage in Spain," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(5), pages 1-16, March.
    2. Corinna Ghirelli & Danilo Leiva-León & Alberto Urtasun, 2023. "Housing prices in Spain: convergence or decoupling?," SERIEs: Journal of the Spanish Economic Association, Springer;Spanish Economic Association, vol. 14(2), pages 165-187, June.
    3. Harald Hau & Difei Ouyang, 2019. "Local Capital Scarcity and Small Firm Growth: Evidence from Real Estate Booms in China," CESifo Working Paper Series 7928, CESifo.
    4. Nina Biljanovska & Lucyna Gornicka & Alexandros Vardoulakis, 2019. "Optimal Macroprudential Policy and Asset Price Bubbles," IMF Working Papers 2019/184, International Monetary Fund.
    5. Wang, Wenya & Yang, Ei, 2023. "Multi-product firms and misallocation," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 163(C).
    6. Ayberk, İdil & Önder, Zeynep, 2022. "House prices and bank loan portfolios in an emerging market: The role of bank ownership," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 106(C).
    7. Peter Bednarek & Daniel Marcel te Kaat & Chang Ma & Alessandro Rebucci, 2021. "Capital Flows, Real Estate, and Local Cycles:Evidence from German Cities, Banks, and Firms," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 34(10), pages 5077-5134.
    8. Vladimir Asriyan & Luc Laeven & Alberto Martin & Alejandro Van der Ghote & Victoria Vanasco, 2021. "Falling Interest Rates and Credit Misallocation: Lessons from General Equilibrium," Working Papers 1268, Barcelona School of Economics.
    9. Michael Klien, 2024. "Hohe Wohnkosten als Belastung für den Wirtschaftsstandort Salzburg," WIFO Studies, WIFO, number 71319, April.
    10. Dong, Feng & Xu, Zhiwei, 2022. "Bubbly bailout," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 202(C).
    11. Flannery, Mark J. & Lin, Leming & Wang, Luxi, 2022. "Housing booms and bank growth," Journal of Financial Intermediation, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    12. Ricardo Correa & Julian di Giovanni & Linda S. Goldberg & Camelia Minoiu, 2023. "Trade Uncertainty and U.S. Bank Lending," NBER Working Papers 31860, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    13. Jaume Freire González & Oliver Canosa, 2023. "Economic Crises and Energy Use: An Input-Output Analysis of Catalonia’s 2008–2014 Financial Crisis," Working Papers 1405, Barcelona School of Economics.
    14. Ivashina, Victoria & Laeven, Luc & Moral-Benito, Enrique, 2022. "Loan types and the bank lending channel," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C), pages 171-187.
    15. Álvarez-Román, Laura & García-Posada, Miguel, 2021. "Are house prices overvalued in Spain? A regional approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 99(C).
    16. Sebastian Kohl & Alexander Spielau, 2022. "Centring construction in the political economy of housing: variegated growth regimes after the Keynesian construction state," Cambridge Journal of Economics, Cambridge Political Economy Society, vol. 46(3), pages 465-490.
    17. Sergi Basco & David López-Rodríguez & Enrique Moral-Benito, 2021. "House prices and misallocation: The impact of the collateral channel on productivity," Working Papers 2135, Banco de España.
    18. Vladimir Asriyan & Luc Laeven & Alberto Martin & Alejandro Van der Ghote & Victoria Vanasco, 2021. "Falling interest rates and credit reallocation: Lessons from general equilibrium," Economics Working Papers 1784, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, revised Jun 2022.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Housing bubble; credit; investment; financial frictions; financial transmission; Spain;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages

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