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Asset Bubbles and Global Imbalances

Author

Listed:
  • Daisuke Ikeda
  • Toan Phan

Abstract

We analyze the relationships between bubbles, capital flows, and economic activities in a rational bubble model with two large open economies. We establish a reinforcing relationship between global imbalances and bubbles. Capital flows from South to North facilitate the emergence and the size of bubbles in the North. Bubbles in the north in turn facilitate South-to-North capital flows. The model can simultaneously explain several stylized features of recent bubble episodes.

Suggested Citation

  • Daisuke Ikeda & Toan Phan, 2019. "Asset Bubbles and Global Imbalances," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 11(3), pages 209-251, July.
  • Handle: RePEc:aea:aejmac:v:11:y:2019:i:3:p:209-51
    Note: DOI: 10.1257/mac.20140286
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    Cited by:

    1. Siddhartha Biswas & Andrew Hanson & Toan Phan, 2020. "Bubbly Recessions," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 12(4), pages 33-70, October.
    2. You, Yu & Lee, Junsoo & Kim, Yoonbai & Yang, Zheng, 2024. "Comovement and Global Imbalances of Current Accounts," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 48(4).
    3. Hirano, Tomohiro & Toda, Alexis Akira, 2024. "Bubble economics," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 111(C).
    4. Alberto Martin & Jaume Ventura, 2018. "The Macroeconomics of Rational Bubbles: A User's Guide," Annual Review of Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 10(1), pages 505-539, August.
    5. Jordi Galí, 2021. "Monetary Policy and Bubbles in a New Keynesian Model with Overlapping Generations," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 13(2), pages 121-167, April.
    6. Wang, Shengquan & Chen, Langnan, 2019. "Driving factors of equity bubbles," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 304-317.
    7. Le, Vo Phuong Mai & Meenagh, David & Minford, Patrick, 2023. "Could an economy get stuck in a rational pessimism bubble? The case of Japan," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2023/13, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
    8. Blot, Christophe & Hubert, Paul & Labondance, Fabien, 2024. "The asymmetric effects of monetary policy on stock price bubbles," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 168(C).
    9. Victor Filipe Martins da Rocha & Toan Phan & Yiannis Vailakis, 2019. "Debt Limits and Credit Bubbles in General Equilibrium," Post-Print hal-02429759, HAL.
    10. Mai, Nhat Chi, 2022. "Behavioural Economics Assignment: Business Consumer Decision-Making & Consumer Surplus," OSF Preprints 4jrc8, Center for Open Science.
    11. Herkenhoff, Philipp & Sauré, Philip, 2021. "How expected inflation distorts the current account and the valuation effect," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 135(C).
    12. Evgenidis, Anastasios & Malliaris, Anastasios, 2023. "House Bubbles, global imbalances and monetary policy in the US," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 138(C).
    13. Tang, Haozhou & Zhang, Donghai, 2022. "Bubbly firm dynamics and aggregate fluctuations," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(C), pages 64-80.
    14. Daisuke Ikeda & Toan Phan, 2016. "Toxic asset bubbles," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 61(2), pages 241-271, February.
      • Daisuke Ikeda & Toan Phan, 2016. "Toxic asset bubbles," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 61(2), pages 241-271, February.
    15. Graczyk, Andrew & Phan, Toan, 2021. "Regressive Welfare Effects Of Housing Bubbles," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 25(8), pages 2102-2127, December.
    16. Dong, Feng & Xu, Zhiwei, 2022. "Bubbly bailout," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 202(C).
    17. Feng Dong & Yang Jiao & Haoning Sun, 2024. "Bubbly Booms and Welfare," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 53, pages 71-122, July.
    18. Ryosuke Shimizu, 2018. "Bubbles, growth and imperfection of credit market in a two-country model," Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 14(3), pages 353-377, August.
    19. Hashimoto, Ken-ichi & Im, Ryonghun & Kunieda, Takuma, 2020. "Asset Bubbles, Unemployment, and a Financial Crisis," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • F44 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - International Business Cycles
    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • O16 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Financial Markets; Saving and Capital Investment; Corporate Finance and Governance

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