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Bubbly Booms and Welfare

Author

Listed:
  • Feng Dong

    (Tsinghua University)

  • Yang Jiao

    (Fudan University)

  • Haoning Sun

    (Tsinghua University)

Abstract

We show the competing effects of a housing bubble on the real economy by developing a multi-sector dynamic model with housing production. On the one hand, firms can sell or collateralize their housing, so a housing bubble helps firms obtain credit to finance their investment and expand production. On the other hand, a boom in the housing sector crowds out labor in the non-housing sector. We show that housing booms can reduce social welfare both in the steady state and in the transitional dynamics only when the production externalities in the non-housing sector are sufficiently large. We quantitatively evaluate our model and demonstrate its robustness with model extensions. Policies that target labor, housing transactions and output generate different welfare implications. (Copyright: Elsevier)

Suggested Citation

  • Feng Dong & Yang Jiao & Haoning Sun, 2024. "Bubbly Booms and Welfare," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 53, pages 71-122, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:red:issued:23-66
    DOI: 10.1016/j.red.2024.02.001
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Housing Bubble; Credit Constraint; Collateral Effect; Crowd-out Effect; Housing Policies;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D92 - Microeconomics - - Micro-Based Behavioral Economics - - - Intertemporal Firm Choice, Investment, Capacity, and Financing
    • E22 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Investment; Capital; Intangible Capital; Capacity
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory
    • G1 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets

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