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Bubbles, banks and financial stability

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  • Nikolov, Kalin
  • Aoki, Kosuke

Abstract

We build a model of rational bubbles in a limited commitment economy and show that the impact of the bubble on the real economy crucially depends on who holds the bubble. When banks are the bubble-holders, this ampli?es the output boom while the bubble survives but also deepens the recession when the bubble bursts. In contrast, the real impact of bubbles held by ordinary savers is more muted. JEL Classification: E

Suggested Citation

  • Nikolov, Kalin & Aoki, Kosuke, 2012. "Bubbles, banks and financial stability," Working Paper Series 1495, European Central Bank.
  • Handle: RePEc:ecb:ecbwps:20121495
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Bloemen, Hans & Hochguertel, Stefan & Zweerink, Jochem, 2015. "Joint Retirement of Couples: Evidence from a Natural Experiment," IZA Discussion Papers 8861, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA).
    2. Alberto Martin & Jaume Ventura, 2017. "The macroeconomics of rational bubbles: a user's guide," Economics Working Papers 1581, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra.
    3. Basco, Sergi, 2016. "Switching bubbles: From Outside to Inside Bubbles," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 236-255.
    4. repec:wly:japmet:v:32:y:2017:i:2:p:296-317 is not listed on IDEAS
    5. Alberto Martin & Jaume Ventura, 2016. "Managing Credit Bubbles," Journal of the European Economic Association, European Economic Association, vol. 14(3), pages 753-789, June.
    6. Tomohiro Hirano & Noriyuki Yanagawa, 2010. "Asset Bubbles, Endogenous Growth, and Financial Frictions," CIRJE F-Series CIRJE-F-752, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo.
    7. Takuma Kunieda & Tarishi Matsuoka & Akihisa Shibata, 2017. "Asset Bubbles, Technology Choice, and Financial Crises," Discussion Paper Series 157, School of Economics, Kwansei Gakuin University, revised Feb 2017.
    8. Hirano, Tomohiro & Inaba, Masaru & Yanagawa, Noriyuki, 2015. "Asset bubbles and bailouts," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 76(S), pages 71-89.
    9. Kosuke Aoki & Nao Sudo, 2012. "Asset Portfolio Choice of Banks and Inflation Dynamics," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series 12-E-5, Bank of Japan.
    10. Keiichiro Kobayashi, 2015. "Public Debt Overhang and Economic Growth," Public Policy Review, Policy Research Institute, Ministry of Finance Japan, vol. 11(2), pages 247-276, March.
    11. Hirano, Tomohiro & Inaba, Masaru, 2010. "Asset Price Bubbles in the Kiyotaki-Moore Model," MPRA Paper 36632, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    12. Nikola Bokan & Andrea Gerali & Sandra Gomes & Pascal Jacquinot & Massimiliano Pisani, 2016. "EAGLE-FLI. A macroeconomic model of banking and financial interdependence in the euro area," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1064, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    13. repec:eee:ecmode:v:64:y:2017:i:c:p:117-127 is not listed on IDEAS
    14. Aoki, Kosuke & Nakajima, Tomoyuki & Nikolov, Kalin, 2014. "Safe asset shortages and asset price bubbles," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 164-174.
    15. Xavier Freixas & David Perez-Reyna, 2017. "The Gilded Bubble Buffer," DOCUMENTOS CEDE 015789, UNIVERSIDAD DE LOS ANDES-CEDE.
    16. Manuel Arellano & Stéphane Bonhomme, 2015. "Quantile selection models: with an application to understanding changes in wage inequality," CeMMAP working papers CWP75/15, Centre for Microdata Methods and Practice, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
    17. Kosuke Aoki & Kalin Nikolov, 2015. "Financial Disintermediation and Financial Fragility," CARF F-Series CARF-F-374, Center for Advanced Research in Finance, Faculty of Economics, The University of Tokyo.
    18. Angeloni, I., 2014. "European macroprudential policy from gestation to infancy," Financial Stability Review, Banque de France, issue 18, pages 71-84, April.
    19. Caterina Mendicino & Kalin Nikolov & Javier Suarez & Dominik Supera, 2016. "Optimal Dynamic Capital Requirements," Working Papers wp2016_1614, CEMFI.
    20. Takuma Kunieda & Ken-ichi Hashimoto & Ryonghun Im, 2017. "Asset Bubbles, Unemployment, and a Financial Crisis," Discussion Paper Series 156, School of Economics, Kwansei Gakuin University, revised Feb 2017.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Financial Stability;

    JEL classification:

    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy

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