Research classified by Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) codes

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Top JEL
/ F: International Economics
/ / F4: Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance
/ / / F44: International Business Cycles

2026

• François de Soyres & Alexandre Gaillard, 2026, "Trade, Value Added, and Productivity Linkages: A Qualitative Analysis," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, volume 18, issue 1, pages 149-186, January, DOI: 10.1257/mac.20210192.
• Marco Graziano & Marius Koechlin & Andreas Tischbirek, 2026, "The Spillovers of LSAPs on Banks in the Euro Area," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 12409.
• Eftekhari, Aryan & Juillard, Michel & Rion, Normann & Scheidegger, Simon, 2026, "Scalable global solution techniques for high-dimensional models in Dynare," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 182, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2025.105225.
• Dua, Pami & Tuteja, Divya, 2026, "Decoding synchronization of cycles between BRICS and the U.S.: Patterns and drivers," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 155, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2025.107391.
• Gazzani, Andrea & Herrera, Vicente & Vicondoa, Alejandro, 2026, "The asymmetric effects of commodity price shocks in emerging economies," European Economic Review, Elsevier, volume 183, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.euroecorev.2025.105219.
• Caldara, Dario & Conlisk, Sarah & Iacoviello, Matteo & Penn, Maddie, 2026, "Do geopolitical risks raise or lower inflation?," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, volume 159, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jinteco.2025.104188.
• Curatola-Melo, Alisson & Guimaraes, Bernardo, 2026, "The causal effects of commodity shocks," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, volume 159, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jinteco.2025.104200.
• Coulombe, Raphaelle G. & Horvath, Jaroslav, 2026, "Government spending dynamics in small open economies," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, volume 161, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jimonfin.2025.103483.
• Marco Graziano & Marius Koechlin & Andreas Tischbirek, 2026, "The Spillovers of LSAPs on Banks in the Euro Area," Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), number 2026-005, Jan, DOI: 10.17016/FEDS.2026.005.
• Kristin Forbes & Jongrim Ha & M. Ayhan Kose, 2026, "Heaven or Earth? The Evolving Role of Global Shocks for Domestic Monetary Policy," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 34806, Feb.
• Cosmas Dery & Apostolos Serletis, 2026, "Macroeconomic shocks and business cycle dynamics: a comparative analysis," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, volume 78, issue 1, pages 233-258.
• Bruno T. Rocha, 2026, "A note on measures of aggregate demand adjusted for import intensity," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 70, issue 2, pages 1-11, February, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-025-02848-4.

2025

• Federico Di Pace & Luciana Juvenal & Ivan Petrella, 2025, "Terms-of-Trade Shocks Are Not All Alike," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, volume 17, issue 2, pages 24-64, April, DOI: 10.1257/mac.20220035.
• Andrés Blanco & Andrés Drenik & Emilio Zaratiegui, 2025, "Nominal Devaluations, Inflation, and Inequality," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, volume 17, issue 3, pages 270-310, July, DOI: 10.1257/mac.20230002.
• Nils Gornemann & Pablo A. Guerrón Quintana & Felipe Saffie, 2025, "Real Exchange Rates and Endogenous Productivity," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, volume 17, issue 4, pages 204-261, October, DOI: 10.1257/mac.20210445.
• Aryan Eftekhari & Michel Juillard & Normann Rion & Simon Scheidegger, 2025, "Scalable Global Solution Techniques for High-Dimensional Models in Dynare," Papers, arXiv.org, number 2503.11464, Mar.
• Matthew L. Elliott & Matthew O. Jackson, 2025, "Supply Chain Disruptions, the Structure of Production Networks, and the Impact of Globalization," Papers, arXiv.org, number 2511.03660, Nov, revised Jan 2026.
• Joxe Mari Barrutiabengoa & Agustín García & Rodrigo Falbo & Juan Rubio, 2025, "Global | Descifrando el impacto de los precios del carbono en la macroeconomía
  [Global | Unraveling the impact of a carbon price shock on macroeconomic variables]," Working Papers, BBVA Bank, Economic Research Department, number 25/04, Apr.
• Kevin Moran & Dalibor Stevanovic & Stéphane Surprenant, 2025, "Risk Scenarios and Macroeconomic Forecasts," Staff Working Papers, Bank of Canada, number 25-28, Oct, DOI: 10.34989/swp-2025-28.
• Mauricio Stern, 2025, "Windfalls for All? International Elasticities and Dutch Disease in a Commodity Exporting Economy," Working Papers, Banco de México, number 2025-06, Apr.
• Alberto Americo & Douglas Kiarelly Godoy de Araujo & Johannes Damp & Sjur Nilsen & Daniel Rees & Rafael Schmidt & Christian Schmieder, 2025, "Inflation cycles: evidence from international data," BIS Working Papers, Bank for International Settlements, number 1264, Apr.
• Denis Krylov & Nikita Pakhmutov, 2025, "Synchronisation of business cycles in Russia and China," Bank of Russia Working Paper Series, Bank of Russia, number wps150, May.
• Yan Carrière‐Swallow & Melih Firat & Davide Furceri & Daniel Jiménez, 2025, "State‐Dependent Exchange Rate Pass‐Through," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, volume 87, issue 3, pages 539-561, June, DOI: 10.1111/obes.12645.
• Davide Brignone & Luca Gambetti & Martino Ricci, 2025, "Geopolitical risk shocks: when size matters," Bank of England working papers, Bank of England, number 1118, Feb.
• Toshihiko Mukoyama & Kanato Nakakuni & Makoto Nirei, 2025, "Propagation of Export Shocks: The Great Recession in Japan," CRC TR 224 Discussion Paper Series, University of Bonn and University of Mannheim, Germany, number crctr224_2025_711, Nov.
• Berger Tino & Hienzsch Sebastian, 2025, "Which Global Cycle? A Stochastic Factor Selection Approach for Global Macro-Financial Cycles," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, volume 29, issue 5, pages 541-559, DOI: 10.1515/snde-2023-0093.
• Pablo Aguilar-Perez, 2025, "Global Spillovers of US Monetary Policy: New Insights from the Remittance Channel," Working Papers, CEPII research center, number 2025-21, Dec.
• Eftekhari, Aryan & Juillard, Michel & Rion, Normann & Scheidegger, Simon, 2025, "Scalable Global Solution Techniques for High-Dimensional Models in Dynare," Dynare Working Papers, CEPREMAP, number 86, Nov.
• Kevin Moran & Dalibor Stevanovic & Stéphane Surprenant, 2025, "Risk Scenarios and Macroeconomic Impacts: Insights for Canadian Policy," Canadian Public Policy, University of Toronto Press, volume 51, issue 3, pages 344-362, September, DOI: 10.3138/cpp.2024-021.
• Andrea Ariu & Giulia Rivolta, 2025, "The Micro and Macro of a Large and Sudden Devaluation," DISCE - Working Papers del Dipartimento di Economia e Finanza, Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore, Dipartimenti e Istituti di Scienze Economiche (DISCE), number def146, Oct.
• Boitier, Alvaro & Stracca, Livio, 2025, "The unexpected upside of depreciation: bridging Europe’s income divide," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 3067, Jul.
• Brüggen, Anja & Georgiadis, Georgios & Mehl, Arnaud, 2025, "Global trade invoicing patterns: new insights and the influence of geopolitics," The international role of the euro - Special feature, European Central Bank.
• Yahyaei, Hamid & Singh, Abhay & Smith, Tom, 2025, "How does the smart money feel? Hedge fund sentiment, returns, and the business cycle," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, volume 47, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jbef.2025.101082.
• Shen, Yifan & Gu, Ziping & Abeysinghe, Tilak & Shi, Xunpeng, 2025, "Revisiting the impact of oil price shocks on macroeconomic performance: An international perspective," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 144, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2024.106964.
• Cross, Jamie & Kam, Timothy & Poon, Aubrey, 2025, "Volatility shocks in markets and policies: What matters for a small open economy like Canada?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 151, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2025.107124.
• Liu, Siming & Shen, Hewei & Wang, Wenya, 2025, "Persistent fiscal expansions in sudden-stop crises: The expectation channel," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 257, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2025.112706.
• Bodenstein, Martin & Scaramucci, Mikaël, 2025, "On the GDP effects of severe physical hazards," European Economic Review, Elsevier, volume 175, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.euroecorev.2025.105019.
• Shin, Wonmun, 2025, "Housing and consumption volatility: the role of rental price rigidity," European Economic Review, Elsevier, volume 180, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.euroecorev.2025.105151.
• Arora, Prateek & Choo, Dongwan & Hu, Chenyue, 2025, "Spatial consumption risk sharing," European Economic Review, Elsevier, volume 180, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.euroecorev.2025.105163.
• Shen, Yifan & He, Jia & Shi, Xunpeng & Zeng, Ting, 2025, "Uncertainty, macroeconomic activity and commodity price: A global analysis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, volume 101, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.irfa.2025.103962.
• Ginn, William & Saadaoui, Jamel, 2025, "Impact of supply chain pressures on financial leverage," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, volume 98, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.irfa.2024.103883.
• Khotamov, Navruz & Jinji, Naoto, 2025, "Correlation aversion in foreign direct investment," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, volume 74, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2024.106728.
• Yilmazkuday, Hakan, 2025, "U.S. tariffs and stock prices," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, volume 83, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2025.107708.
• Romero, Damian, 2025, "Domestic linkages and the transmission of commodity price shocks," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, volume 153, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jinteco.2024.104041.
• London, Mélina & Silvestrini, Maéva, 2025, "US monetary policy spillovers to emerging markets: The role of trade credit," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, volume 155, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jinteco.2025.104064.
• Bellifemine, Marco & Couturier, Adrien & Jamilov, Rustam, 2025, "Monetary unions with heterogeneous fiscal space," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, volume 156, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jinteco.2025.104092.
• Bergin, Paul R. & Kim, Kyunghun & Pyun, Ju H., 2025, "Fear of appreciation and current account adjustment," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, volume 157, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jinteco.2025.104121.
• Imbs, Jean & Pauwels, Laurent, 2025, "Measuring foreign exposure," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, volume 157, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jinteco.2025.104126.
• Mac Mullen, Marcos & Woo, Soo Kyung, 2025, "Real exchange rate and net trade dynamics: Financial and trade shocks," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, volume 157, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jinteco.2025.104141.
• Casal, Lucía & Guntin, Rafael, 2025, "The business cycle volatility puzzle: Emerging vs developed economies," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, volume 158, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jinteco.2025.104182.
• Nomo Beyala, Bernard Clery & Fouda Owoundi, Jean Pierre, 2025, "The effects of fiscal rules on budget deficit: Does democracy matter?," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, volume 53, issue 1, pages 290-315, DOI: 10.1016/j.jce.2025.01.005.
• Pangallo, Marco, 2025, "Synchronization of endogenous business cycles," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, volume 229, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2024.106827.
• Dong, Feng & Mei, Dongzhou & Xiao, Zehua, 2025, "Asset bubbles and financial frictions in small open economies☆," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, volume 150, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jimonfin.2024.103230.
• Beutel, Johannes & Emter, Lorenz & Metiu, Norbert & Prieto, Esteban & Schüler, Yves, 2025, "The global financial cycle and macroeconomic tail risks," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, volume 156, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jimonfin.2025.103342.
• Basistha, Arabinda, 2025, "A Markov-switching dynamic factor framework for dating global economic cycles," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, volume 157, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jimonfin.2025.103377.
• Pentecôte, Jean-Sébastien & Poutineau, Jean-Christophe & Razafindrabe, Tovonony & Rondeau, Fabien, 2025, "Bilateral output synchronization in a globalized world: A macroeconomic evaluation of the third-country effect," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, volume 84, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jmacro.2025.103665.
• Carrasco, Alex & Florián Hoyle, David, 2025, "External shocks and FX intervention policy in financially dollarized economies," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, volume 84, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jmacro.2025.103672.
• Bonadio, Barthélémy & Huo, Zhen & Levchenko, Andrei A. & Pandalai-Nayar, Nitya, 2025, "Globalization, structural change and international comovement," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, volume 151, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jmoneco.2025.103745.
• Peeters, Benjamin, 2025, "Cyclical pattern in international financial flows to the semi-periphery," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, volume 104, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.iref.2025.104456.
• García, Carlos J. & González, Wildo & Valenzuela, Gabriel, 2025, "The valuation of economic recovery: The case for investment-led fiscal spending policies in open economies," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, volume 99, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.iref.2025.104013.
• Giraldo, Carlos & Giraldo, Iader & Gomez-Gonzalez, Jose E. & Uribe, Jorge M., 2025, "US uncertainty shocks, credit, production, and prices: The case of fourteen Latin American countries," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, volume 78, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.ribaf.2025.103003.
• Crespi, Fabrizio & Mandas, Marco & Migliavacca, Milena, 2025, "European banks’ interest margins and monetary policy: Evidence of a stickiness phenomenon," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, volume 79, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.ribaf.2025.103073.
• Skare, Marinko & Gil-Alana, Luis A. & Porada-Rochon, Małgorzata, 2025, "Isolating financial cycles using the fractional cyclical model in selected economies: 1970–2019," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, volume 72, issue C, pages 67-77, DOI: 10.1016/j.strueco.2024.10.001.
• Kristin Forbes & Jongrim Ha & M. Ayhan Kose, 2025, "Tradeoffs over Rate Cycles: Activity, Inflation and the Price Level," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2025-30, May.
• Mirco Balatti & M. Ayhan Kose & Kate McKinnon & Edoardo Palombo & Naotaka Sugawara & Guillermo Verduzco-Bustos & Dana Vorisek, 2025, "From Tailwinds to Headwinds: Emerging and Developing Economies in the Twenty-First Century," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2025-44, Aug.
• Cameron Haas & Mateo Hoyos & Emiliano Libman & Guilherme K. Martins & Arslan Razmi, 2025, "Monetary Shocks and Inflation: Global Evidence from Trilemma-Based Identification," Working Papers, CIDE, División de Economía, number DTE 650, May.
• Yan Bai & Patrick J. Kehoe & Pierlauro Lopez & Fabrizio Perri, 2025, "A Neoclassical Model of the World Financial Cycle," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, number 25-06, Feb, DOI: 10.26509/frbc-wp-202506.
• Marcos Mac Mullen & Soo Kyung Woo, 2025, "Real Exchange Rate and Net Trade Dynamics: Financial and Trade Shocks," International Finance Discussion Papers, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), number 1419, Aug, DOI: 10.17016/IFDP.2025.1419.
• Jean-Sébastien Pentecôte & Jean-Christophe Poutineau & Tovonony Razafindrabe & Fabien Rondeau, 2025, "Bilateral output synchronization in a globalized world: A macroeconomic evaluation of the third-country effect," Post-Print, HAL, number halshs-05012171, Jun, DOI: 10.1016/j.jmacro.2025.103665.
• Li, Jieying & Myers, Samantha, 2025, "Shadow banks or just not banks? Growth of the Swedish non-bank sector," Working Paper Series, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden), number 448, Feb.
• Alessandro Mistretta, 2025, "Synchronization vs. Transmission: The Effect of the German Slowdown on the Italian Business Cycle," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, volume 21, issue 1, pages 331-386, January.
• Barthélémy Bonadio & Zhen Huo & Elliot Kang & Mr. Andrei A Levchenko & Nitya Pandalai-Nayar & Hiroshi Toma & Petia Topalova, 2025, "Playing with Blocs: Quantifying Decoupling," IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund, number 2025/263, Dec.
• Florin Marius Pavelescu & Cornelia Dumitru, 2025, "Economic growth and structural changes in Romania in the context of European integration," Romanian Journal of Economics, Institute of National Economy, volume 61, issue 2(70), pages 30-46, December.
• Javier García-Algarra & Gonzalo Gómez-Bengoechea & Mary Luz Mouronte-López, 2025, "Convergence Speed and Growth Patterns: A Dynamical Systems Approach," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, volume 65, issue 2, pages 615-636, February, DOI: 10.1007/s10614-023-10434-y.
• Vipul Bhatt & N. Kundan Kishor, 2025, "(A)Synchronous Housing Markets of Global Cities," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, volume 71, issue 2, pages 178-208, August, DOI: 10.1007/s11146-022-09903-2.
• Kuhelika De, 2025, "Asymmetric Shocks and the Role of Exchange Rate in Emerging Markets: Evidence from India," Open Economies Review, Springer, volume 36, issue 2, pages 607-649, April, DOI: 10.1007/s11079-024-09773-6.
• Kristin Forbes & Jongrim Ha & M. Ayhan Kose, 2025, "Tradeoffs over Rate Cycles: Activity, Inflation and the Price Level," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum, number 2502, May.
• Mirco Balatti & M. Ayhan Kose & Kate McKinnon & Edoardo Palombo & Naotaka Sugawara & Guillermo Verduzco-Bustos & Dana Vorisek, 2025, "From Tailwinds to Headwinds: Emerging and Developing Economies in the Twenty-First Century," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum, number 2503, Aug.
• Masashige Hamano & Yuki Murakami, 2025, "Optimal Government Spending in a Collateral-Constrained Small Open Economy," DEM Discussion Paper Series, Department of Economics at the University of Luxembourg, number 25-02.
• Kristin Forbes & Jongrim Ha & M. Ayhan Kose, 2025, "Tradeoffs over Rate Cycles: Activity, Inflation, and the Price Level," NBER Chapters, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, "NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2025, volume 40".
• Yan Bai & Patrick J. Kehoe & Pierlauro Lopez & Fabrizio Perri, 2025, "A Neoclassical Model of the World Financial Cycle," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 33441, Feb.
• Kristin Forbes & Jongrim Ha & M. Ayhan Kose, 2025, "Tradeoffs over Rate Cycles: Activity, Inflation and the Price Level," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 33825, May.
• Paul Bergin & Giancarlo Corsetti, 2025, "Exchange Rates and Monetary Stabilization of Tariff Shocks," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 33845, May.
• Barthélémy Bonadio & Zhen Huo & Elliot Kang & Andrei A. Levchenko & Nitya Pandalai-Nayar & Hiroshi Toma & Petia Topalova, 2025, "Playing with Blocs: Quantifying Decoupling," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 34302, Sep.
• Zhen Huo & Andrei A Levchenko & Nitya Pandalai-Nayar, 2025, "International Comovement in the Global Production Network," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, volume 92, issue 1, pages 365-403.
• Oleg Itskhoki & Dmitry Mukhin, 2025, "What Drives the Exchange Rate?," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, volume 73, issue 1, pages 86-117, March, DOI: 10.1057/s41308-024-00251-0.
• Gorbanev, Mikhail, 2025, "Extraordinary Economic and Social Events Associated with the Solar Cycle Maximum," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 123402, Jan.
• Forbes, Kristin & Ha, Jongrim & Kose, M. Ayhan, 2025, "Tradeoffs over Rate Cycles: Activity, Inflation and the Price Level," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 124747, May.
• Kahembwe, Christ, 2025, "Choc exogène et stabilité macroéconomique
  [Exogenous shock and macroeconomic stability]," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 126330, Apr.
• AUGA, Esdras, 2025, "L’impact des tensions géopolitiques et les trajectoires divergentes des politiques monétaires
  [The impact of geopolitical tensions and the divergent paths of monetary policies]," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 126565, Sep.
• Naser Yenus Nuru, 2025, "How Important are Commodity Terms of Trade Shocks in Explaining Government Tax Revenue Fluctuations? Evidence from Ethiopia," Global Journal of Emerging Market Economies, Emerging Markets Forum, volume 17, issue 1, pages 137-152, January, DOI: 10.1177/09749101241276394.
• Dennis Nsafoah & Cosmas Dery & Ayobami E. Ilori, 2025, "Revisiting the drivers of inflation in Sub-Saharan Africa after COVID-19," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 68, issue 3, pages 1073-1112, March, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-024-02666-0.
• Ali Elguellab & Elhadj Ezzahid, 2025, "Impulsion or propagation? Large firms and the business cycle in a developing economy," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 69, issue 4, pages 1963-1994, October, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-025-02791-4.
• William Ginn, 2025, "Healthcare expenditures and economic growth: evidence via panel local projections," The European Journal of Health Economics, Springer;Deutsche Gesellschaft für Gesundheitsökonomie (DGGÖ), volume 26, issue 6, pages 877-892, August, DOI: 10.1007/s10198-024-01750-7.
• Tamon Asonuma & Hyungseok Joo, 2025, "Fiscal Consolidation and Sovereign Debt Restructurings," School of Economics Discussion Papers, School of Economics, University of Surrey, number 0525, Aug.
• Gianluca Benigno & Alessandro Rebucci & Aliaksandr Zaretski, 2025, "Managing Financial Crises," School of Economics Discussion Papers, School of Economics, University of Surrey, number 0625, Oct.
• Horn Gustav A., 2025, "The EU in Rough Seas," Intereconomics: Review of European Economic Policy, Sciendo, volume 60, issue 6, pages 309-312, DOI: 10.2478/ie-2025-0061.
• Dany-Knedlik Geraldine & Holtemöller Oliver & Kooths Stefan & Schmidt Torsten & Wollmershäuser Timo, 2025, "Zwölf-Punkte-Kompass zur Überwindung der deutschen Wachstumsschwäche," Wirtschaftsdienst, Sciendo, volume 105, issue 10, pages 745-752, DOI: 10.2478/wd-2025-0189.
• Dany-Knedlik Geraldine & Holtemöller Oliver & Kooths Stefan & Schmidt Torsten & Wollmershäuser Timo, 2025, "Geopolitischer Umbruch verschärft Krise – Strukturreformen noch dringlicher," Wirtschaftsdienst, Sciendo, volume 105, issue 4, pages 305-310, DOI: 10.2478/wd-2025-0077.
• Gern Klaus-Jürgen, 2025, "Konjunkturschlaglicht: Unsicherheit und Zölle belasten US-Konjunktur," Wirtschaftsdienst, Sciendo, volume 105, issue 5, pages 387-388, DOI: 10.2478/wd-2025-0096.
• Masashige Hamano & Yuki Murakami, 2025, "Frequency and Severity of Current Account Reversals: An Analysis with a Rational Expectations Regime Switching DSGE Model," Working Papers, Waseda University, Faculty of Political Science and Economics, number 2422, Feb.
• Masashige Hamano & Yuki Murakami, 2025, "Economic Growth, CO2 Emissions, and the Green Transition," Working Papers, Waseda University, Faculty of Political Science and Economics, number 2522, Oct.
• Grzegorz Wesołowski & Oleg Gurshev, 2025, "US macroeconomic shocks and international business cycle," Working Papers, Faculty of Economic Sciences, University of Warsaw, number 2025-06.
• Forbes,Kristin & Jongrim Ha & Ayhan Kose, 2025, "Tradeoffs over Rate Cycles : Activity, Inflation and the Price Level," Policy Research Working Paper Series, The World Bank, number 11130, May.
• Balatti Mozzanica, Mirco & Kose, Ayhan & Mckinnon, Kate Frances & Palombo, Edoardo & Sugawara, Naotaka & Verduzco Bustos, Guillermo & Vorisek, Dana, 2025, "From Tailwinds to Headwinds : Emerging and Developing Economies in the Twenty-First Century," Policy Research Working Paper Series, The World Bank, number 11169, Jul.
• Chetan Dave & Marco M Sorge, 2025, "Lectures on Dynamic Macroeconomics:Methods and Applications," World Scientific Books, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., number 13931, ISBN: ARRAY(0x60cfe1a0), September.
• Obst, Thomas & Kolev-Schaefer, Galina, 2025, "Weltwirtschaft: trügerische Stabilität," IW-Reports, Institut der deutschen Wirtschaft (IW) / German Economic Institute, number 65/2025.

2024

• Rohan Kekre & Moritz Lenel, 2024, "The Flight to Safety and International Risk Sharing," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, volume 114, issue 6, pages 1650-1691, June, DOI: 10.1257/aer.20211319.
• Andrea Gazzani & Vicente Herrera & Alejandro Vicondoa, 2024, "The Asymmetric Effects of Commodity Price Shocks in Emerging Economies," Working Papers, Red Nacional de Investigadores en Economía (RedNIE), number 311, Mar.
• Povilas Lastauskas & Anh Dinh Minh Nguyen, 2024, "Spillover Effects of US Monetary Policy on Emerging Markets Amidst Uncertainty," Papers, arXiv.org, number 2402.07266, Feb.
• Kevin Moran & Dalibor Stevanovic & Stephane Surprenant, 2024, "Risk Scenarios and Macroeconomic Forecasts," Working Papers, Chair in macroeconomics and forecasting, University of Quebec in Montreal's School of Management, number 24-01, Apr, revised May 2025.
• Mikel Bedayo & Eva Valdeolivas & Carlos Pérez, 2024, "The stabilizing role of local claims in local currency on the variation of foreign claims," Working Papers, Banco de España, number 2447, Dec, DOI: https://doi.org/10.53479/38797.
• Sergi Basco & Jair N. Ojeda-Joya, 2024, "House Prices and International Remittances: Evidence from Colombia," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, number 1273, Jul, DOI: 10.32468/be.1273.
• Panagiotis Delis & Stavros Degiannakis & George Filis & Theodosios Palaskas & Chrysostomos Stoforos, 2024, "Determinants of regional business cycle synchronization in Greece," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, volume 71, issue 5, pages 685-704, November, DOI: 10.1111/sjpe.12393.
• Valeria Fernanda Jemio Hurtado, 2024, "Los beneficios de los subsidios y la distribución de excedentes de sectores exportadores estratégicos: un enfoque de equilibrio general dinámico estoástico estimado con téncinas Bayesianas," Serie de Documentos de Trabajo, Banco Central de Bolivia, number 2024/01, Dec.
• Aydan Dogan & Ida Hjortsoe, 2024, "The role of finance for export dynamics: evidence from the UK," Bank of England working papers, Bank of England, number 1072, Aug.
• Panagiotis Delis & Stavros Degiannakis & George Filis & Theodosios Palaskas & Chrysostomos Stoforos, 2024, "Determinants of regional business cycle synchronization in Greece," Working Papers, Bank of Greece, number 329, May, DOI: 10.52903/wp2024329.
• Elliott, M. & Jackson, M. O., 2024, "Supply Chain Disruptions, the Structure of Production Networks, and the Impact of Globalization," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge, number 2424, May.
• Efrem Castelnuovo & Lorenzo Mori & Gert Peersman, 2024, "Commodity Price Shocks and Global Cycles: Monetary Policy Matters," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 11140.
• Kevin Moran & Dalibor Stevanovic & Stéphane Surprenant, 2024, "Scénarios de risque et prévisions macroéconomiques," CIRANO Project Reports, CIRANO, number 2024rp-02, Mar.
• Kevin Moran & Dalibor Stevanovic & Stéphane Surprenant, 2024, "Risk Scenarios and Macroeconomic Impacts: Insights for Canadian Policy," CIRANO Working Papers, CIRANO, number 2024s-03, May.
• Martin Hodula & Jan Janku & Simona Malovana & Ngoc Anh Ngo, 2024, "Geopolitical Risks and Their Impact on Global Macro-Financial Stability: Literature and Measurements," Working Papers, Czech National Bank, Research and Statistics Department, number 2024/8, Aug.
• Fourakis, Stelios & Karabarbounis, Loukas, 2024, "The Puzzling Behavior of Spreads during Covid," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 18760, Jan.
• Dogan, Aydan & Hjortsø, Ida, 2024, "The Role of Finance for Export Dynamics: Evidence from the UK," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 19027, Apr.
• Forbes, Kristin & Ha, Jongrim & Kose, M. Ayhan, 2024, "Rate Cycles," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 19272, Jul.
• Brey, Bjorn & Facchini, Giovanni, 2024, "The consequences of a trade collapse: Economics and politics in Weimar Germany," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 19383, Aug.
• Garrón Vedia, Ignacio & Rodríguez Caballero, Carlos Vladimir & Ruiz Ortega, Esther, 2024, "International vulnerability of inflation," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Estadística, number 44814, Nov.
• Pablo Aguilar Perez, 2024, "Global Spillovers of US Monetary Policy: New Insights from the Remittance Channel," EconomiX Working Papers, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX, number 2024-27.
• Brignone, Davide & Gambetti, Luca & Ricci, Martino, 2024, "Geopolitical risk shocks: when size matters," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 2972, Aug.
• Badreldin Mohamed Ahmed Abdulrahman & Sanaa Mostafa Mohammed, 2024, "Investigating the Impact of Digital Leadership Dimensions on Service Economics Dimensions: An Empirical Study of Service Ministries in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia," International Review of Management and Marketing, Econjournals, volume 14, issue 6, pages 325-333, October.
• Kabaca, Serdar & Tuzcuoglu, Kerem, 2024, "International transmission of quantitative easing policies: Evidence from Canada," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 162, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2024.104849.
• Udupa, Gautham, 2024, "Multinational entry and exit, technology transfer, and international business cycles," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 166, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2024.104914.
• Tuzcuoglu, Kerem, 2024, "Nonlinear transmission of international financial stress," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 139, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2024.106805.
• Arčabić, Vladimir & Panovska, Irina & Tica, Josip, 2024, "Business cycle synchronization and asymmetry in the European Union," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 139, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2024.106811.
• Dufrénot, Gilles & Ginn, William & Pourroy, Marc, 2024, "Climate pattern effects on global economic conditions," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 141, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2024.106920.
• Morana, Claudio, 2024, "A new macro-financial condition index for the euro area," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, volume 29, issue C, pages 64-87, DOI: 10.1016/j.ecosta.2021.09.005.
• Gomez-Gonzalez, Jose E. & Hirs-Garzon, Jorge & Uribe, Jorge M., 2024, "US uncertainty shocks on real and financial markets: A multi-country perspective," Economic Systems, Elsevier, volume 48, issue 3, DOI: 10.1016/j.ecosys.2024.101180.
• Jalles, João Tovar & Medas, Paulo, 2024, "The economic aftermath of surges in public and private debt: Initial conditions and channels," Economic Systems, Elsevier, volume 48, issue 3, DOI: 10.1016/j.ecosys.2024.101194.
• Chatterjee, Pratiti, 2024, "Uncertainty shocks, financial frictions, and business cycle asymmetries across countries," European Economic Review, Elsevier, volume 162, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.euroecorev.2023.104646.
• Phan, Toàn & Schwartzman, Felipe, 2024, "Climate defaults and financial adaptation," European Economic Review, Elsevier, volume 170, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.euroecorev.2024.104866.
• Aysun, Uluc, 2024, "Identifying the external and internal drivers of exchange rate volatility in small open economies," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, volume 58, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.ememar.2023.101085.
• Aysun, Uluc & Wright, Cardel, 2024, "A two-step dynamic factor modelling approach for forecasting inflation in small open economies," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, volume 62, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.ememar.2024.101188.
• Donadelli, M. & Gufler, I. & Paradiso, A., 2024, "Financial market integration: A complex and controversial journey," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, volume 92, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.irfa.2024.103100.
• Péran, Thomas & Sdiri, Hasna, 2024, "Comparing the performance of Qatari banks: Islamic versus conventional, amidst major shocks," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, volume 59, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2023.104776.
• Juvenal, Luciana & Petrella, Ivan, 2024, "Reprint of “Unveiling the dance of commodity prices and the global financial cycle”," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, volume 149, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jinteco.2024.103941.
• Juvenal, Luciana & Petrella, Ivan, 2024, "Unveiling the dance of commodity prices and the global financial cycle," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, volume 150, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jinteco.2024.103913.
• Yu, Wenbo, 2024, "Consumption, exchange rate, and external adjustment during a crisis," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, volume 151, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jinteco.2024.103964.
• Basco, Sergi & Felice, Giulia & Merlevede, Bruno & Mestieri, Martí, 2024, "Financial crises and the global supply network: Evidence from multinational enterprises," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, volume 152, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jinteco.2024.103983.
• Germaschewski, Yin & Horvath, Jaroslav & Rubini, Loris, 2024, "How important are trend shocks? The role of the debt elasticity of interest rate," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, volume 152, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jinteco.2024.103990.
• Avila-Montealegre, Oscar & Mix, Carter, 2024, "Common trade exposure and business cycle comovement," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, volume 152, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jinteco.2024.103998.
• Singh, Anurag, 2024, "Clustered sovereign defaults," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, volume 152, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jinteco.2024.103999.
• Bondarenko, Yevheniia & Lewis, Vivien & Rottner, Matthias & Schüler, Yves, 2024, "Geopolitical risk perceptions," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, volume 152, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jinteco.2024.104005.
• Berthou, Antoine & Stumpner, Sebastian, 2024, "Trade under lockdown," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, volume 152, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jinteco.2024.104013.
• Lastauskas, Povilas & Nguyen, Anh Dinh Minh, 2024, "Spillover effects of US monetary policy on emerging markets amidst uncertainty," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, volume 92, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.intfin.2024.101956.
• Juhro, Solikin M. & Iyke, Bernard Njindan & Narayan, Paresh Kumar, 2024, "Capital flow dynamics and the synchronization of financial cycles and business cycles in emerging market economies," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, volume 92, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.intfin.2024.101980.
• Lee, Hyun-Hoon & Park, Cyn-Young & Pyun, Ju Hyun, 2024, "International business cycle synchronization: A synthetic assessment," Japan and the World Economy, Elsevier, volume 69, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.japwor.2024.101239.
• Chuliá, Helena & Garrón, Ignacio & Uribe, Jorge M., 2024, "Vulnerable funding in the global economy," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, volume 169, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2024.107314.
• Ardelean, Adina & León-Ledesma, Miguel & Puzzello, Laura, 2024, "Growth volatility and trade: Market diversification vs. production specialization," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, volume 225, issue C, pages 252-271, DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2024.07.001.
• Aysun, Uluc, 2024, "Technology diffusion and international business cycles," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, volume 140, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jimonfin.2023.102974.
• Zhu, Bing & van Dijk, Dorinth & Lizieri, Colin, 2024, "Price diffusion across international private commercial real estate markets," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, volume 140, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jimonfin.2023.102976.
• Gerba, Eddie & Leiva-León, Danilo & Rubio, Margarita, 2024, "Inspecting cross-border macro-financial mechanisms," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, volume 145, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jimonfin.2024.103094.
• Platonov, Konstantin, 2024, "Confidence spillovers, financial contagion, and stagnation," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, volume 148, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jimonfin.2024.103163.
• Huang, Yu-Fan & Liao, Wenting & Wang, Taining, 2024, "Does US financial uncertainty spill over through the (asymmetric) international credit channel? The role of market expectations," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, volume 148, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jimonfin.2024.103171.
• Glocker, Christian & Wegmüller, Philipp, 2024, "Energy price surges and inflation: Fiscal policy to the rescue?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, volume 149, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jimonfin.2024.103201.
• Klein, Mathias & Linnemann, Ludger, 2024, "Tax shocks, firm entry, and productivity in the open economy," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, volume 149, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jimonfin.2024.103203.
• Georgiadis, Georgios & Müller, Gernot J. & Schumann, Ben, 2024, "Global risk and the dollar," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, volume 144, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jmoneco.2024.01.002.
• Enders, Zeno & Vespermann, David, 2024, "Cross-country unemployment insurance, transfers, and trade-offs in international risk sharing," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, volume 147, issue S, DOI: 10.1016/j.jmoneco.2024.103622.
• Maurin, Laurent & Minnella, Enrico & Lake, Alfred, 2024, "Estimating financial integration in Europe: How to separate structural trends from cyclical fluctuations," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, volume 95, issue C, pages 85-97, DOI: 10.1016/j.qref.2024.03.005.
• Beckmann, Joscha & Breitenlechner, Max & Scharler, Johann, 2024, "Is the exchange rate a shock absorber? The shocks matter," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, volume 89, issue PB, pages 114-130, DOI: 10.1016/j.iref.2023.08.005.
• Efrem Castelnuovo & Lorenzo Mori & Gert Peersman, 2024, "Commodity Price Shocks and Global Cycles: Monetary Policy Matters," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2024-36, May.
• Luiza Peruffo & André Moreira Cunha & Julima da Silva Bichara, 2024, "The international monetary and financial system and the digital revolution: perspectives for emerging and developing countries," Brazilian Journal of Political Economy, Center of Political Economy, volume 44, issue 3, pages 397-420.
• Stephen McKnight & Laura Povoledo, 2024, "Understanding Emerging Market Business Cycles," Serie documentos de trabajo del Centro de Estudios Económicos, El Colegio de México, Centro de Estudios Económicos, number 2024-02, May.
• Toshihiko MUKOYAMA & Kanato NAKAKUNI & Makoto NIREI, 2024, "Propagation of Export Shocks: The Great Recession in Japan," Discussion papers, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI), number 24038, Mar.
• Stelios Fourakis & Loukas Karabarbounis, 2024, "The Puzzling Behavior of Spreads during Covid," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, number 803, Jan, DOI: 10.21034/wp.803.
• Nina Boyarchenko & Leonardo Elias, 2024, "The Changing Landscape of Corporate Credit," Liberty Street Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, number 20240521, May.
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• Nina Boyarchenko & Leonardo Elias, 2024, "Corporate Debt Structure over the Global Credit Cycle," Staff Reports, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, number 1139, Dec, DOI: 10.59576/sr.1139.
• Gilles Dufrénot & William Ginn & Marc Pourroy, 2024, "Climate pattern effects on global economic conditions," Post-Print, HAL, number hal-04828849, Dec, DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2024.106920.
• Charles Serfaty, 2024, "Sovereign Default and International Trade," Post-Print, HAL, number halshs-04948381, Jan, DOI: 10.1057/s41308-023-00230-x.
• Julien Martin & Isabelle Mejean & Mathieu Parenti, 2024, "Relationship stickiness, international trade, and economic uncertainty," PSE Working Papers, HAL, number halshs-04721417, Oct.
• Pablo Aguilar Perez, 2024, "Global Spillovers of US Monetary Policy: New Insights from the Remittance Channel," Working Papers, HAL, number hal-04706954.
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• Meng Yan & Kai Shi, 2024, "Revisiting the Impact of US Uncertainty Shocks: New Evidence from China’s Investment Dynamics," Open Economies Review, Springer, volume 35, issue 3, pages 457-495, July, DOI: 10.1007/s11079-023-09734-5.
• Bruno Merlevede & Bernhard Michel, 2024, "Home country effects of multinational network restructuring in times of deglobalization: evidence from European MNEs," Working Paper Research, National Bank of Belgium, number 465, Oct.
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• Stelios S. Fourakis & Loukas Karabarbounis, 2024, "The Puzzling Behavior of Spreads during Covid," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 32044, Jan.
• Bada Han & Rashad Ahmed & Joshua Aizenman & Yothin Jinjarak, 2024, "Sectoral Debt and Global Dollar Cycles in Developing Economies," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 32174, Feb.
• Joshua Aizenman & Donghyun Park & Irfan A. Qureshi & Gazi Salah Uddin & Jamel Saadaoui, 2024, "The Performance of Emerging Markets During the Fed’s Easing and Tightening Cycles: A Cross-Country Resilience Analysis," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 32303, Apr.
• Andrés Blanco & Andrés Drenik & Emilio Zaratiegui, 2024, "Nominal Devaluations, Inflation and Inequality," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 32494, May.
• Susie McKenzie, 2024, "How vulnerable is New Zealand to economic shocks in its major trading partners?," Treasury Analytical Notes Series, New Zealand Treasury, number an24/04, Apr.
• Saroj Bhattarai & Konstantin Kucheryavyy, 2024, "Aggregate Properties of Open Economy Models with Expanding Varieties," Journal of the European Economic Association, European Economic Association, volume 22, issue 1, pages 263-309.
• Luciana Juvenal & Paulo Santos Monteiro, 2024, "Risky Gravity," Journal of the European Economic Association, European Economic Association, volume 22, issue 4, pages 1590-1627.
• Marina Azzimonti & Vincenzo Quadrini, 2024, "International Spillovers and Bailouts," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, volume 91, issue 1, pages 77-128.
• Simon Lloyd & Ed Manuel & Konstantin Panchev, 2024, "Foreign Vulnerabilities, Domestic Risks: The Global Drivers of GDP-at-Risk," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, volume 72, issue 1, pages 335-392, March, DOI: 10.1057/s41308-023-00199-7.
• Marco Pinchetti & Andrzej Szczepaniak, 2024, "Global Spillovers of the Fed Information Effect," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, volume 72, issue 2, pages 773-819, June, DOI: 10.1057/s41308-023-00210-1.
• Charles Serfaty, 2024, "Sovereign Default and International Trade," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, volume 72, issue 4, pages 1449-1501, December, DOI: 10.1057/s41308-023-00230-x.
• Pipil, Dhriti Mukherjee, 2024, "Edible Oil Self-Sufficiency in India: A PCA-VECM Approach," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 123540, Sep, revised 28 Dec 2024.