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Term structure of interest models: concept and estimation problem in a continuous-time setting

  • Orazio Di Miscia

    (Banca Intesa)

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    Continuous-time models have a large range of applications. They have been used for a long time to model phenomena evolving randomly and continuously in time. However, data are essentially always recorded at discrete points in time only and this is one of the main source of difficulties when the researcher is interested about their estimation. This paper review some of the estimation problems and focus the attention about the link between continuous-time stochastic process and the estimation of term structure interest rate.

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    File URL: http://econwpa.repec.org/eps/fin/papers/0504/0504017.pdf
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    Paper provided by EconWPA in its series Finance with number 0504017.

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    Length: 24 pages
    Date of creation: 19 Apr 2005
    Date of revision:
    Handle: RePEc:wpa:wuwpfi:0504017
    Note: Type of Document - pdf; pages: 24
    Contact details of provider: Web page: http://econwpa.repec.org

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    1. David K. Backus & Silverio Foresi & Stanley E. Zin, 1994. "Arbitrage Opportunities in Arbitrage-Free Models of Bond Pricing," Working Papers 94-28, New York University, Leonard N. Stern School of Business, Department of Economics.
    2. Black, Fischer & Scholes, Myron S, 1973. "The Pricing of Options and Corporate Liabilities," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 81(3), pages 637-54, May-June.
    3. repec:cup:etheor:v:12:y:1996:i:4:p:657-81 is not listed on IDEAS
    4. Ang, Andrew & Piazzesi, Monika & Wei, Min, 2006. "What does the yield curve tell us about GDP growth?," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 131(1-2), pages 359-403.
    5. Brandt, Michael W. & Santa-Clara, Pedro, 2002. "Simulated likelihood estimation of diffusions with an application to exchange rate dynamics in incomplete markets," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 63(2), pages 161-210, February.
    6. Tauchen, George E. & Gallant, A. Ronald, 1995. "Which Moments to Match," Working Papers 95-20, Duke University, Department of Economics.
    7. Yacine Ait-Sahalia, 1995. "Nonparametric Pricing of Interest Rate Derivative Securities," NBER Working Papers 5345, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    8. Fama, Eugene F., 1990. "Term-structure forecasts of interest rates, inflation and real returns," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 25(1), pages 59-76, January.
    9. Cox, John C & Ingersoll, Jonathan E, Jr & Ross, Stephen A, 1985. "A Theory of the Term Structure of Interest Rates," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 53(2), pages 385-407, March.
    10. Lo, Andrew W., 1988. "Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Generalized Itô Processes with Discretely Sampled Data," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 4(02), pages 231-247, August.
    11. Singleton, Kenneth J., 2001. "Estimation of affine asset pricing models using the empirical characteristic function," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 102(1), pages 111-141, May.
    12. Merton, Robert C, 1969. "Lifetime Portfolio Selection under Uncertainty: The Continuous-Time Case," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 51(3), pages 247-57, August.
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