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A parametric study of the term structure dynamics

Author

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  • Bernaschi, Massimo
  • Tacconi, Elisa
  • Vergni, Davide

Abstract

We present an analysis of the dynamics of the term structure of interest rates based on the study of the time evolution of the parameters of a variation of the Nelson–Siegel model. The results show that it is extremely difficult to find a relation between the evolution of the term structure and the behavior of macroeconomic variables different from the official interest rate.

Suggested Citation

  • Bernaschi, Massimo & Tacconi, Elisa & Vergni, Davide, 2008. "A parametric study of the term structure dynamics," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 387(5), pages 1264-1272.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:387:y:2008:i:5:p:1264-1272
    DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2007.10.074
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    6. Favero, Carlo A. & Giglio, Stefano W, 2006. "Fiscal Policy and the Term Structure: Evidence from the Case of Italy in the EMS and the EMU Periods," CEPR Discussion Papers 5793, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    7. John C. Cox & Jonathan E. Ingersoll Jr. & Stephen A. Ross, 2005. "A Theory Of The Term Structure Of Interest Rates," World Scientific Book Chapters,in: Theory Of Valuation, chapter 5, pages 129-164 World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
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    14. Diebold, Francis X. & Rudebusch, Glenn D. & Borag[caron]an Aruoba, S., 2006. "The macroeconomy and the yield curve: a dynamic latent factor approach," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 131(1-2), pages 309-338.
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    Cited by:

    1. Davari-Ardakani, Hamed & Aminnayeri, Majid & Seifi, Abbas, 2014. "A study on modeling the dynamics of statistically dependent returns," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 405(C), pages 35-51.

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