IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/ucr/wpaper/201911.html

The Cyclical Behavior of the Beveridge Curve in the Housing Market

Author

Listed:
  • Miroslav Gabrovski

    (University of Hawaii Manoa)

  • Victor Ortego-Marti

    (Department of Economics, University of California Riverside)

Abstract

This paper develops a business cycle model of the housing market with search frictions and entry of both buyers and sellers. The housing market exhibits a well-established cyclical component, which features three stylized facts: prices move in the same direction as sales and the number of houses for sale, but opposite to the time it takes to sell a house. These stylized facts imply that in the data housing vacancies and the number of buyers are positively correlated, i.e. that the Beveridge Curve is upward sloping. A baseline search and matching model of the housing market is unable to match these stylized facts because it inherently generates a downward sloping Beveridge Curve. With free entry of both buyers and sellers, our model reproduces the positive correlation between prices, sales and vacancies, and matches the stylized facts qualitatively and quantitatively.

Suggested Citation

  • Miroslav Gabrovski & Victor Ortego-Marti, 2019. "The Cyclical Behavior of the Beveridge Curve in the Housing Market," Working Papers 201911, University of California at Riverside, Department of Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:ucr:wpaper:201911
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://economics.ucr.edu/repec/ucr/wpaper/201911.pdf
    File Function: First version, 2019
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    Other versions of this item:

    Citations

    Blog mentions

    As found by EconAcademics.org, the blog aggregator for Economics research:
    1. The Cyclical Behavior of the Beveridge Curve in the Housing Market
      by Christian Zimmermann in NEP-DGE blog on 2019-11-05 21:08:01

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. is not listed on IDEAS
    2. L. Rachel Ngai & Kevin D. Sheedy, 2024. "The Ins And Outs Of Selling Houses: Understanding Housing‐Market Volatility," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 65(3), pages 1415-1440, August.
    3. Coulson, N. Edward & Le, Thao & Ortego-Marti, Victor & Shen, Lily, 2025. "Tenant rights, eviction, and rent affordability," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 147(C).
    4. Gabrovski, Miroslav & Ortego-Marti, Victor, 2021. "Search and credit frictions in the housing market," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
    5. Miroslav Gabrovski & Victor Ortego-Marti, 2025. "Home Construction Financing and Search Frictions in the Housing Market," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 55, January.
    6. Gabrovski, Miroslav & Kospentaris, Ioannis, 2021. "Intermediation in over-the-counter markets with price transparency," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 198(C).
    7. Miroslav Gabrovski & Ioannis Kospentaris & Victor Ortego-Marti, 2024. "Endogenous Realtor Intermediation and Housing Market Liquidity," Working Papers 202410, University of California at Riverside, Department of Economics.
    8. Kristopher Gerardi & Franklin Qian & David Hao Zhang, 2024. "Mortgage Lock-in, Lifecycle Migration, and the Welfare Effects of Housing Market Liquidity," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 15, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
    9. Anenberg, Elliot & Ringo, Daniel, 2024. "Volatility in Home Sales and Prices: Supply or Demand?," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    10. Miroslav Gabrovski & Ioannis Kospentaris & Lucie Lebeau, 2024. "The Macroeconomics of Labor, Credit and Financial Market Imperfections," Working Papers 2409, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
    11. Miroslav Gabrovski & Victor Ortego-Marti, 2021. "On the Positive Slope of the Beveridge Curve in the Housing Market," Working Papers 202113, University of California at Riverside, Department of Economics.
    12. Hiraguchi, Ryoji & Kobayashi, Keiichiro, 2025. "Inflation and entry costs in a monetary search model," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    13. Miroslav Gabrovski & Victor Ortego-Marti, 2024. "On the slope of the Beveridge curve in the housing market," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 44(3), pages 948-960.
    14. Elliot Anenberg & Daniel R. Ringo, 2022. "Volatility in Home Sales and Prices: Supply or Demand?," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2022-041, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    15. Lukasz Mach & Dariusz Zmarzly & Ireneusz Dabrowski & Pawel Fracz, 2020. "Comparison on Subannual Seasonality of Building Construction in European Countries," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(4), pages 241-257.
    16. Miroslav Gabrovski & Victor Ortego-Marti, 2021. "Efficiency in the Housing Market with Search Frictions," Working Papers 202108, University of California at Riverside, Department of Economics.
    17. Vandenbergh, Joren, 2024. "Seller and search behavior in the Belgian housing market," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E2 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • R21 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Household Analysis - - - Housing Demand
    • R31 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Real Estate Markets, Spatial Production Analysis, and Firm Location - - - Housing Supply and Markets

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ucr:wpaper:201911. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Kelvin Mac (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/deucrus.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.