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The ins and outs of selling houses: understanding housing-market volatility

Author

Listed:
  • Ngai, L. Rachel
  • Sheedy, Kevin D.

Abstract

This article documents the role of inflows (new listings) and outflows (sales) in explaining the volatility and comovement of housing-market variables. An “ins versus outs” decomposition shows that both flows are quantitatively important for housing-market volatility. The correlations between sales, prices, new listings, and time-to-sell are stable over time, whereas the signs of their correlations with houses for sale are found to be time-varying. A calibrated search-and-matching model with endogenous inflows and outflows and shocks to housing demand matches many of the stable correlations and predicts that the correlations with houses for sale depend on the source and persistence of shocks.

Suggested Citation

  • Ngai, L. Rachel & Sheedy, Kevin D., 2024. "The ins and outs of selling houses: understanding housing-market volatility," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 121451, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    • Handle: RePEc:ehl:lserod:121451
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    File URL: https://researchonline.lse.ac.uk/id/eprint/121451/
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    Cited by:

    1. Miroslav Gabrovski & Victor Ortego-Marti, 2025. "Home Construction Financing and Search Frictions in the Housing Market," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 55, January.
    2. Miroslav Gabrovski & Ioannis Kospentaris & Victor Ortego-Marti, 2024. "Endogenous Realtor Intermediation and Housing Market Liquidity," Working Papers 202410, University of California at Riverside, Department of Economics.
    3. Libir, Mumi, 2022. "Timing in Asset Markets," MPRA Paper 124729, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Miroslav Gabrovski & Victor Ortego-Marti, 2024. "On the slope of the Beveridge curve in the housing market," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 44(3), pages 948-960.
    5. Rangan Gupta & Damien Moodley, 2023. "Housing Search Activity and Quantiles-Based Predictability of Housing Price Movements in the United States," Working Papers 202335, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    More about this item

    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • R31 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Real Estate Markets, Spatial Production Analysis, and Firm Location - - - Housing Supply and Markets
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • R21 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Household Analysis - - - Housing Demand
    • E22 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Investment; Capital; Intangible Capital; Capacity

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