Recovering market expectations of FOMC rate changes with options on federal funds futures
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DOI: 10.26509/frbc-wp-200507
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- John B. Carlson & Ben R. Craig & William R. Melick, 2005. "Recovering market expectations of FOMC rate changes with options on federal funds futures," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 25(12), pages 1203-1242, December.
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Cited by:
- Jahangir Sultan, 2012. "Options on federal funds futures and interest rate volatility," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 32(4), pages 330-359, April.
- Maarten van Oordt, 2017. "Which Model to Forecast the Target Rate?," Staff Working Papers 17-60, Bank of Canada.
- Roberto Casarin & Fabrizio Leisen & German Molina & Enrique ter Horst, 2014.
"A Bayesian Beta Markov Random Field Calibration of the Term Structure of Implied Risk Neutral Densities,"
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1409.1956, arXiv.org.
- Roberto Casarin & Fabrizio Leisen & German Molina & Enrique Ter Horst, 2014. "A Bayesian Beta Markov Random Field calibration of the term structure of implied risk neutral densities," Working Papers 2014:22, Department of Economics, University of Venice "Ca' Foscari".
- John C. Williams, 2009.
"Heeding Daedalus: Optimal Inflation and the Zero Lower Bound,"
Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 40(2 (Fall)), pages 1-49.
- John C. Williams, 2009. "Heeding Daedalus: Optimal inflation and the zero lower bound," Working Paper Series 2009-23, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
- Jukka Sihvonen & Sami Vähämaa, 2014. "Forward‐Looking Monetary Policy Rules and Option‐Implied Interest Rate Expectations," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 34(4), pages 346-373, April.
- William R. Emmons & Aeimit K. Lakdawala & Christopher J. Neely, 2006. "What are the odds? option-based forecasts of FOMC target changes," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, vol. 88(Nov), pages 543-562.
- Zhengyang Chen, 2019.
"The Long-term Rate and Interest Rate Volatility in Monetary Policy Transmission,"
2019 Papers
pch1858, Job Market Papers.
- Chen, Zhengyang, 2019. "The Long-term Rate and Interest Rate Volatility in Monetary Policy Transmission," EconStor Preprints 204579, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
- Chen, Zhengyang, 2019. "The Long-term Rate and Interest Rate Volatility in Monetary Policy Transmission," MPRA Paper 96339, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Husted, Lucas & Rogers, John & Sun, Bo, 2020.
"Monetary policy uncertainty,"
Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 115(C), pages 20-36.
- Lucas F. Husted & John H. Rogers & Bo Sun, 2017. "Monetary Policy Uncertainty," International Finance Discussion Papers 1215, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Renne, Jean-Paul, 2016. "A tractable interest rate model with explicit monetary policy rates," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 251(3), pages 873-887.
- Nikolay Gospodinov & Ibrahim Jamali, 2018. "Monetary policy uncertainty, positions of traders and changes in commodity futures prices," European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 24(2), pages 239-260, March.
- Amine Bouden, 2008. "The Behavior Of The Implied Volatility Surface: Evidence From Crude Oil Futures Options," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Mondher Bellalah & Jean-Luc Prigent & Jean-Michel Sahut & Georges Pariente & Olivier Levyne & Michel (ed.), Risk Management And Value Valuation and Asset Pricing, chapter 8, pages 151-175, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
- Bo Young Chang & Bruno Feunou, 2013. "Measuring Uncertainty in Monetary Policy Using Implied Volatility and Realized Volatility," Staff Working Papers 13-37, Bank of Canada.
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More about this item
Keywords
Federal Open Market Committee; Monetary policy; Interest rate futures;All these keywords.
NEP fields
This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:- NEP-FMK-2005-09-11 (Financial Markets)
- NEP-IFN-2005-09-11 (International Finance)
- NEP-MON-2005-09-11 (Monetary Economics)
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