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Stefan Nagel

Citations

Many of the citations below have been collected in an experimental project, CitEc, where a more detailed citation analysis can be found. These are citations from works listed in RePEc that could be analyzed mechanically. So far, only a minority of all works could be analyzed. See under "Corrections" how you can help improve the citation analysis.

Blog mentions

As found by EconAcademics.org, the blog aggregator for Economics research:
  1. Ulrike Malmendier & Stefan Nagel, 2009. "Depression Babies: Do Macroeconomic Experiences Affect Risk-Taking?," NBER Working Papers 14813, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Mentioned in:

    1. Miles's Presentation at the Federal Reserve Board on May 14, 2012 (pptx)
      by in Confessions of a Supply-Side Liberal on 2012-07-06 16:21:00

RePEc Biblio mentions

As found on the RePEc Biblio, the curated bibliography of Economics:
  1. Zhiguo He & Stefan Nagel & Zhaogang Song, 2020. "Treasury Inconvenience Yields during the COVID-19 Crisis," NBER Working Papers 27416, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Mentioned in:

    1. > Economics of Welfare > Health Economics > Economics of Pandemics > Specific pandemics > Covid-19 > Economic consequences > Stock market
  2. Serhiy Kozak & Stefan Nagel & Shrihari Santosh, 2017. "Shrinking the Cross Section," NBER Working Papers 24070, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Mentioned in:

    1. > Econometrics > Big Data

Wikipedia or ReplicationWiki mentions

(Only mentions on Wikipedia that link back to a page on a RePEc service)
  1. Markus K. Brunnermeier & Stefan Nagel, 2008. "Do Wealth Fluctuations Generate Time-Varying Risk Aversion? Micro-evidence on Individuals," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 98(3), pages 713-736, June.

    Mentioned in:

    1. Do Wealth Fluctuations Generate Time-Varying Risk Aversion? Micro-Evidence on Individuals’ Asset Allocation (AER 2008) in ReplicationWiki ()

Working papers

  1. Stefan Nagel, 2025. "Seemingly Virtuous Complexity in Return Prediction," NBER Working Papers 34104, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Cited by:

    1. Guillaume Coqueret & Martial Laguerre, 2025. "Overparametrized models with posterior drift," Papers 2506.23619, arXiv.org, revised May 2026.
    2. Chen, Minghui & Hanauer, Matthias X. & Kalsbach, Tobias, 2025. "Model complexity and the performance of global versus regional models," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 257(C).
    3. Elmore, Ryan & Strauss, Jack, 2026. "Is complexity virtuous?," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 258(C).
    4. Rehim Kılıç, 2025. "Virtue or Mirage? Complexity in Exchange Rate Prediction," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2025-089, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    5. Eghbal Rahimikia & Hao Ni & Weiguan Wang, 2025. "Re(Visiting) Time Series Foundation Models in Finance," Papers 2511.18578, arXiv.org.

  2. Stefan Nagel & Zhengyang Xu, 2024. "Movements in Yields, Not the Equity Premium: Bernanke-Kuttner Redux," CESifo Working Paper Series 11305, CESifo.

    Cited by:

    1. Acosta, Miguel & Ajello, Andrea & Bauer, Michael D. & Loria, Francesca & Miranda-Agrippino, Silvia, 2025. "Financial market effects of FOMC communication: Evidence from a new event-study database," IMFS Working Paper Series 227, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
    2. Riccardo Rebonato & Dherminder Kainth & Lionel Melin, 2025. "The Impact of Physical Climate Risk on the Valuation of Global Equity Assets," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 88(4), pages 857-894, April.
    3. Fontanier, Paul, 2025. "Optimal policy for behavioral financial crises," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 166(C).
    4. Gomes, Francisco & Peng, Cameron & Smirnova, Oksana & Zhu, Ning, 2025. "Reaching for yield: Evidence from households," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 168(C).
    5. Vandeweyer, Quentin & Yang, Minghao & Yannelis, Constantine, 2026. "Discount factors and monetary policy: Evidence from dual-listed stocks," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 175(C).
    6. Gomes, Francisco & Peng, Cameron & Smirnova, Oksana & Zhu, Ning, 2025. "Reaching for yield: evidence from households," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 125397, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.

  3. Peter DeMarzo & Arvind Krishnamurthy & Stefan Nagel, 2024. "Interest Rate Risk in Banking," CESifo Working Paper Series 11581, CESifo.

    Cited by:

    1. Emin, Mustafa & James, Christopher & Li, Tao, 2025. "Variable deposit betas and bank exposure to interest rate risk," Journal of Financial Intermediation, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    2. Sergio Correia & Stephan Luck & Emil Verner, 2025. "Failing Banks," Papers 2506.06082, arXiv.org.
    3. Basten, Christoph & Juelsrud, Ragnar, 2025. "Monetary policy transmission through cross-selling banks," Working Paper Series 3072, European Central Bank.
    4. Krahnen, Jan Pieter & Lindblom, Ted & Lucas, Deborah & Olsson, Magnus & Fulghieri, Paolo & Thakor, Anjan, 2025. "Value creation and stability in financial services: How should we regulate banks?," Journal of Financial Intermediation, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    5. Rice, Jonathan & Guerrini, Giulia Maria, 2025. "Riding the rate wave: interest rate and run risks in euro area banks during the 2022-2023 monetary cycle," Working Paper Series 3090, European Central Bank.
    6. Temitope Babalola & Saheed Babatunde Abdulahi & J. D Jayaraman, 2026. "Deposit Beta Across Monetary Cycles: Evidence from U.S. Banking Dynamics," International Journal of Economics and Finance, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 18(7), pages 1-45, July.

  4. Serhiy Kozak & Stefan Nagel, 2023. "When Do Cross-Sectional Asset Pricing Factors Span the Stochastic Discount Factor?," NBER Working Papers 31275, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Cited by:

    1. Useong Shin, 2026. "Overshooting the Coordinate: Where Factor Corrections Land on Characteristic Axes," Papers 2607.05091, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2026.
    2. Bryan Kelly & Boris Kuznetsov & Semyon Malamud & Yuan Zhang, 2024. "Large and Deep Factor Models," Papers 2402.06635, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2026.
    3. Dimos Andronoudis & Massimo Guidolin & Manuela Pedio, 2025. "How Smart is the Real Estate Smart Beta? Evidence from Optimal Style Factor Strategies for REITs," BAFFI CAREFIN Working Papers 25241, BAFFI CAREFIN, Centre for Applied Research on International Markets Banking Finance and Regulation, Universita' Bocconi, Milano, Italy.
    4. Matthias Bank & Franz Insam & Jochen Lawrenz, 2026. "Taste for characteristics or risk factor aversion? Evidence from institutional demand," Financial Markets and Portfolio Management, Springer;Swiss Society for Financial Market Research, vol. 40(1), pages 27-96, March.

  5. Ben S. Meiselman & Stefan Nagel & Amiyatosh Purnanandam, 2023. "Judging Banks’ Risk by the Profits They Report," NBER Working Papers 31635, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Cited by:

    1. Li, Zhinan & Ren, Yaqi & Shen, Peilong & Zhang, Can, 2025. "Does textual risk information from individual banks exacerbate systemic risk? Evidence from the Chinese banking system," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).
    2. Tirupam Goel & Ulf Lewrick & Aakriti Mathur, 2025. "Does Regulation Only Bite the Less Profitable? Evidence from the Too‐Big‐To‐Fail Reforms," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 57(8), pages 2043-2074, December.

  6. Klaus Adam & Stefan Nagel, 2022. "Expectations Data in Asset Pricing," CRC TR 224 Discussion Paper Series crctr224_2022_337, University of Bonn and University of Mannheim, Germany.

    Cited by:

    1. Florian Schuster & Marco Wysietzki & Jonas Zdrzalek, 2023. "How Heterogeneous Beliefs Trigger Financial Crises," ECONtribute Discussion Papers Series 238, University of Bonn and University of Cologne, Germany.
    2. B. James Deaton & Chad Lawley, 2022. "A survey of literature examining farmland prices: A Canadian focus," Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics/Revue canadienne d'agroeconomie, Canadian Agricultural Economics Society/Societe canadienne d'agroeconomie, vol. 70(2), pages 95-121, June.
    3. Ye Li & Chen Wang, 2023. "Valuation Duration of the Stock Market," Papers 2310.07110, arXiv.org.
    4. Ayan Bhattacharya, 2022. "Arbitrage from a Bayesian's Perspective," Papers 2211.03244, arXiv.org.

  7. Stefan Nagel & Zhengyang Xu, 2022. "Dynamics of Subjective Risk Premia," CESifo Working Paper Series 9693, CESifo.

    Cited by:

    1. Michael D. Bauer & Carolin E. Pflueger & Adi Sunderam, 2022. "Perceptions about Monetary Policy," CESifo Working Paper Series 10182, CESifo.
    2. Marianne Andries & Milo Bianchi & Karen Huynh & Sébastien Pouget, 2024. "Return Predictability, Expectations, and Investment: Experimental Evidence," Post-Print hal-04680777, HAL.
    3. Cao, Wenbin & Duan, Xiaoman & Linn, Scott & Six, Pierre, 2026. "New tests of the theory of storage and the theory of normal backwardation: Time and frequency dimensions," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 183(C).
    4. Lansing, Kevin J., 2024. "Replicating business cycles and asset returns with sentiment and low risk aversion," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 167(C).
    5. Charles, Constantin & Frydman, Cary & Kilic, Mete, 2024. "Insensitive investors," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 120788, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    6. Pflueger, Carolin, 2025. "Back to the 1980s or not? The drivers of inflation and real risks in Treasury bonds," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 167(C).
    7. Michael Bauer & Mikhail Chernov, 2024. "Interest Rate Skewness and Biased Beliefs," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 79(1), pages 173-217, February.
    8. Ardakani, Omid M., 2026. "Central bank signals, behavioral biases, and information flow," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
    9. Constantin Charles & Cary Frydman & Mete Kilic, 2024. "Insensitive Investors," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 79(4), pages 2473-2503, August.
    10. Bro, Jeppe & Eriksen, Jonas N., 2025. "Subjective expectations and house prices," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 172(C).
    11. Jacobs, Heiko & Lauber, Alexander, 2026. "Media reporting and asset pricing models," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 182(C).
    12. Magnus Dahlquist & Markus Ibert, 2024. "Equity Return Expectations and Portfolios: Evidence from Large Asset Managers," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 37(6), pages 1887-1928.
    13. Kenneth Eva & Fabian Winkler, 2023. "A Comprehensive Empirical Evaluation of Biases in Expectation Formation," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2023-042, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    14. Han, Leyla Jianyu, 2025. "Announcements, expectations, and stock returns with asymmetric information," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
    15. Chaudhry, Aditya, 2025. "The impact of prices on analyst cash flow expectations: Reconciling subjective beliefs data with rational discount rate variation," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 171(C).
    16. Stefan Nagel, 2026. "Experiences, expectations, and asset prices," Journal of Business Economics, Springer, vol. 96(1), pages 11-34, January.
    17. Ballensiefen, Benedikt & Somogyi, Fabricius & Winterberg, Hannah, 2026. "Demand for dollars: Evidence from survey expectations," CFR Working Papers 26-04, University of Cologne, Centre for Financial Research (CFR).
    18. Li, Kai & Liu, Jun, 2023. "Extrapolative asset pricing," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 210(C).
    19. Dahlquist, Magnus & Ibert, Markus, 2026. "Institutions’ return expectations across assets and time," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 175(C).

  8. Stefan Nagel & Zhen Yan, 2022. "Inflation Hedging on Main Street? Evidence from Retail TIPS Fund Flows," CESifo Working Paper Series 10118, CESifo.

    Cited by:

    1. Martijn Boermans, 2025. "Hedging against inflation: International evidence on investor clientele effects in the bond market," Working Papers 838, DNB.
    2. Martijn Boermans & Laurens Swinkels, 2026. "Hedging Against Inflation: International Evidence on Investor Clientele Effects," Working Papers 2026/08, Czech National Bank, Research and Statistics Department.

  9. Zhiguo He & Stefan Nagel & Zhaogang Song, 2020. "Treasury Inconvenience Yields during the COVID-19 Crisis," Working Papers 2020-79, Becker Friedman Institute for Research In Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Marcin Kacperczyk & Christophe Pérignon & Guillaume Vuillemey, 2021. "The Private Production of Safe Assets," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 76(2), pages 495-535, April.
    2. Pelizzon, Loriana & Mattiello, Riccardo & Schlegel, Jonas, 2025. "Growth of non-bank financial intermediaries, financial stability, and monetary policy," SAFE Working Paper Series 458, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE.
    3. Thomas M. Eisenbach & Gregory Phelan, 2022. "Fragility of Safe Asset Markets," Staff Reports 1026, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    4. Eleni Gousgounis & Scott Mixon & Tugkan Tuzun & Clara Vega, 2025. "Market Liquidity in Treasury Futures Market During March 2020," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2025-038, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    5. Chase P. Ross & Landon J. Ross & Sharon Y. Ross, 2022. "Cash-Hedged Stock Returns," Working Papers 22-03, Office of Financial Research, US Department of the Treasury.
    6. Filipe, Sara Ferreira & Nissinen, Juuso & Suominen, Matti, 2023. "Currency carry trades and global funding risk," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 149(C).
    7. Mario Cerrato & Shengfeng Mei, 2025. "Quantitative Easing, Banks’ Funding Costs, and Credit Line Prices," Working Papers 2025_03, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.
    8. Pelizzon, Loriana & Mattiello, Riccardo & Schlegel, Jonas, 2025. "Growth of non-bank financial intermediaries, financial stability, and monetary policy: Prepared for the ECB Forum," SAFE White Paper Series 114, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE.
    9. Kruttli, Mathias S. & Monin, Phillip J. & Petrasek, Lubomir & Watugala, Sumudu W., 2025. "LTCM Redux? Hedge fund Treasury trading, funding fragility, and risk constraints," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 169(C).
    10. Roy Havemann & Henk Janse van Vuuren & Daan Steenkamp & Rossouw van Jaarsveld, 2022. "The bond market impact of the South African Reserve Bank bond purchase programme," Working Papers 11024, South African Reserve Bank.
    11. Acharya, Viral V. & Plantin, Guillaume & Reggiani, Pietro & Yao, Iris, 2024. "Monetary easing, lack of investment and financial instability," Journal of Financial Intermediation, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
    12. Valentin Haddad & Alan Moreira & Tyler Muir, 2021. "When Selling Becomes Viral: Disruptions in Debt Markets in the COVID-19 Crisis and the Fed’s Response [Funding value adjustments]," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 34(11), pages 5309-5351.
    13. Jason Allen & Milena Wittwer, 2021. "Centralizing Over-the-Counter Markets?," Staff Working Papers 21-39, Bank of Canada.
    14. Lou, Dong & Pinter, Gabor & Üslü, Semih & Walker, Danny, 2025. "Yield drifts when issuance comes before macro news," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 165(C).
    15. Qian, Xianhang & Qiu, Shanyun & Zhang, Guangli, 2021. "The impact of COVID-19 on housing price: Evidence from China," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 43(C).
    16. Scheicher, Martin, 2023. "Intermediation in US and EU bond and swap markets: stylised facts, trends and impact of the coronavirus (COVID-19) crisis in March 2020," ESRB Occasional Paper Series 24, European Systemic Risk Board.
    17. Gabor Pinter & Chaojun Wang & Junyuan Zou, 2024. "Size Discount and Size Penalty: Trading Costs in Bond Markets," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 37(7), pages 2156-2190.
    18. Zhengyang Jiang, 2024. "Exorbitant Privilege: A Safe-Asset View," CESifo Working Paper Series 11279, CESifo.
    19. O'Hara, Maureen & Zhou, Xing (Alex), 2021. "Anatomy of a liquidity crisis: Corporate bonds in the COVID-19 crisis," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 142(1), pages 46-68.
    20. Fang, Yi & Shao, Zhiquan & Zhao, Yang, 2023. "Risk spillovers in global financial markets: Evidence from the COVID-19 crisis," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 821-840.
    21. Nicholas Apergis, 2022. "Residential Housing Prices, COVID-19 and the Role of the Vaccination Program: Evidence from US State Panel Data," International Real Estate Review, Global Social Science Institute, vol. 25(4), pages 461-478.
    22. Mingxuan Yi & Vidal Mehra & Jing Chen & John Cartlidge, 2026. "Enhancing Regime Shift Detection Using Unstructured Data: A Study on the Treasury Market," Papers 2605.30363, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2026.
    23. Giovanni Bonfanti & Juri Marcucci, 2026. "A European safe asset? Not without the investors," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 1010, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    24. Nissinen, Juuso & Sihvonen, Markus, 2024. "Bond convenience curves and funding costs," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
    25. Mahyar Kargar & Benjamin Lester & David Lindsay & Shuo Liu & Pierre-Olivier Weill & Diego Zúñiga, 2021. "Corporate Bond Liquidity during the COVID-19 Crisis [The day coronavirus nearly broke the financial markets]," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 34(11), pages 5352-5401.
    26. Hüser, Anne-Caroline & Lepore, Caterina & Veraart, Luitgard Anna Maria, 2024. "How does the repo market behave under stress? Evidence from the COVID-19 crisis," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    27. Francisco Jareño & María-Isabel Martínez-Serna & María Chicharro, 2023. "Government Bonds and COVID-19. An International Evaluation Under Different Market States," Evaluation Review, , vol. 47(3), pages 433-478, June.
    28. Chase P. Ross & Landon J. Ross, 2022. "Cash-Hedged Stock Returns," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2022-055, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    29. Evangelos Salachas & Georgios P. Kouretas & Nikiforos T. Laopodis, 2024. "The term structure of interest rates and economic activity: Evidence from the COVID‐19 pandemic," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(4), pages 1018-1041, July.
    30. Wenxin Du & Benjamin Hébert & Wenhao Li, 2022. "Intermediary Balance Sheets and the Treasury Yield Curve," Staff Reports 1023, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    31. Nina Boyarchenko & Anna Kovner & Or Shachar, 2020. "It's What You Say and What You Buy: A Holistic Evaluation of the Corporate Credit Facilities," CESifo Working Paper Series 8679, CESifo.
    32. Li, Kai & Xu, Chenjie, 2024. "Intermediary-based equity term structure," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 157(C).
    33. Eddie Gerba & Petros Katsoulis, 2025. "The repo market under Basel III: Effects of capital and liquidity regulations on market fragmentation," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 30(3), pages 2724-2744, July.
    34. Hossein Tarighi & Grzegorz Zimon & Mohammad Javad Sheikh & Mohammad Sayrani, 2024. "The Impact of Firm Risk and the COVID-19 Crisis on Working Capital Management Strategies: Evidence from a Market Affected by Economic Uncertainty," Risks, MDPI, vol. 12(4), pages 1-33, April.
    35. Simone Letta & Pasquale Mirante, 2023. "Investigating the determinants of corporate bond credit spreads in the euro area," Mercati, infrastrutture, sistemi di pagamento (Markets, Infrastructures, Payment Systems) 36, Bank of Italy, Directorate General for Markets and Payment System.
    36. Fabienne Schneider, 2024. "On-the-run Premia, Settlement Fails, and Central Bank Access," Working Papers 24.05, Swiss National Bank, Study Center Gerzensee.
    37. Breckenfelder, Johannes & Hoerova, Marie, 2023. "Do non-banks need access to the lender of last resort? Evidence from fund runs," Working Paper Series 2805, European Central Bank.
    38. Robin Greenwood & Samuel Hanson & Dimitri Vayanos, 2023. "Supply and Demand and the Term Structure of Interest Rates," NBER Working Papers 31879, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    39. Changyun Wang & Chenyu Wang & Weixing Wu, 2023. "Customers' stock price crash risk and suppliers' investment inefficiency: Evidence from China," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 63(5), pages 5069-5092, December.
    40. Rupinder Katoch & Ubaid Ahmad Peer, 2026. "Navigating Market Risks in Green Investments in India: An Evaluation of Interest Rate, Equity, Commodity, and Forex Market Influences," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 67(6), pages 4639-4671, June.
    41. Nozawa, Yoshio & Qiu, Yancheng, 2021. "Corporate bond market reactions to quantitative easing during the COVID-19 pandemic," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    42. Zaremba, Adam & Kizys, Renatas & Tzouvanas, Panagiotis & Aharon, David Y. & Demir, Ender, 2021. "The quest for multidimensional financial immunity to the COVID-19 pandemic: Evidence from international stock markets," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    43. Darrell Duffie & Michael J. Fleming & Frank M. Keane & Claire Nelson & Or Shachar & Peter Van Tassel, 2023. "Dealer Capacity and U.S. Treasury Market Functionality," Staff Reports 1070, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    44. Falk Bräuning & Hillary Stein, 2024. "The Effect of Primary Dealer Constraints on Intermediation in the Treasury Market," Working Papers 24-7, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
    45. Remy Beauregard & Jens H. E. Christensen & Eric Fischer & Simon Zhu, 2021. "Inflation Expectations and Risk Premia in Emerging Bond Markets: Evidence from Mexico," Staff Reports 961, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    46. Annette Vissing-Jørgensen, 2021. "The Treasury market in spring 2020 and the response of the Federal Reserve," BIS Working Papers 966, Bank for International Settlements.
    47. David Bowman & Yesol Huh & Sebastian Infante, 2024. "Balance-Sheet Netting in U.S. Treasury Markets and Central Clearing," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2024-057, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    48. Pengxiang Zhai & Fei Wu & Qiang Ji & Duc Khuong Nguyen, 2024. "From fears to recession? Time‐frequency risk contagion among stock and credit default swap markets during the COVID pandemic," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(1), pages 551-580, January.
    49. Mario Cerrato & Shengfeng Mei, 2025. "Bank Capital Structure, Valuation Adjustments and Financial Market Liquidity," Working Papers 2025_07, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.
    50. Pflueger, Carolin, 2025. "Back to the 1980s or not? The drivers of inflation and real risks in Treasury bonds," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 167(C).
    51. Bȩdowska-Sójka, Barbara & Kliber, Agata, 2022. "Impact of COVID-19 on sovereign risk: Latin America versus Asia," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 47(PA).
    52. Wang, Qiyu & Yang, Junhong & Chong, Terence Tai-Leung, 2025. "Creditable bonds’ multifunctional roles during the COVID-19 pandemic," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    53. d'Avernas, Adrien & Vandeweyer, Quentin & Petersen, Damon, 2025. "The central bank’s balance sheet and treasury market disruptions," Working Paper Series 3066, European Central Bank.
    54. Jason Allen & Milena Wittwer, 2023. "Intermediary Market Power and Capital Constraints," Staff Working Papers 23-51, Bank of Canada.
    55. Valseth, Siri, 2023. "Repo market frictions and intermediation in electronic bond markets," UiS Working Papers in Economics and Finance 2023/1, University of Stavanger.
    56. Xinyu Huang & Weihao Han & David Newton & Emmanouil Platanakis & Dimitrios Stafylas & Charles Sutcliffe, 2023. "The diversification benefits of cryptocurrency asset categories and estimation risk: pre and post Covid-19," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(7), pages 800-825, May.
    57. Zaremba, Adam & Kizys, Renatas & Aharon, David Y., 2021. "Volatility in International Sovereign Bond Markets: The role of government policy responses to the COVID-19 pandemic," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 43(C).
    58. Yi Li & Maureen O’Hara & Xing (Alex) Zhou, 2024. "Mutual Fund Fragility, Dealer Liquidity Provision, and the Pricing of Municipal Bonds," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 70(7), pages 4802-4823, July.
    59. Ari Kutai & Daniel Nathan & Milena Wittwer, 2025. "Exchanges for Government Bonds? Evidence During COVID-19," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 71(10), pages 8948-8966, October.
    60. Jieun Lee, 2023. "Dollar and government bond liquidity: evidence from Korea," BIS Working Papers 1145, Bank for International Settlements.
    61. Allaire, Nolwenn & Breckenfelder, Johannes & Hoerova, Marie, 2023. "Fund fragility: the role of investor base," Working Paper Series 2874, European Central Bank.
    62. James Costain & Galo Nuño Barrau & Carlos Thomas, 2024. "The term structure of interest rates in a heterogeneous monetary union," BIS Working Papers 1165, Bank for International Settlements.
    63. Claudiu Tiberiu Albulescu & Eugenia Grecu, 2023. "Government Interventions and Sovereign Bond Market Volatility during COVID-19: A Quantile Analysis," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(5), pages 1-14, February.
    64. Gabor Pinter & Semih Uslu, 2022. "Comparing search and intermediation frictions across markets," Bank of England Staff Working Paper series 974, Bank of England.
    65. Ahn, Yongkil, 2024. "Flight to safety, intermediation frictions, and US Treasury floating rate note prices," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
    66. Ahn, Jungkyu & Ahn, Yongkil, 2023. "What drives the TIPS–Treasury bond mispricing?," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    67. Schürhoff, Norman & Dieler, Tobias & Mancini, Loriano, 2021. "(In)efficient repo markets," CEPR Discussion Papers 15782, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    68. Daniel Aronoff & F. Christopher Calabia & Anders Brownworth & Ashwanth Samuel & Neha Narula, 2026. "The Hidden Plumbing of Stablecoins: Financial and Technological Risks in the GENIUS Act Era," Papers 2604.17167, arXiv.org.
    69. Hanson, Samuel G. & Malkhozov, Aytek & Venter, Gyuri, 2024. "Demand-and-supply imbalance risk and long-term swap spreads," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).
    70. Barth, Daniel & Kahn, R. Jay, 2025. "Hedge funds and the Treasury cash-futures basis trade," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 155(C).
    71. Choi, Dong Beom & Yorulmazer, Tanju, 2024. "Whatever it takes? Market maker of last resort and its fragility," Journal of Financial Intermediation, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
    72. Chase P. Ross, 2026. "The Treasury Collateral Spread and Levered Safe-Asset Production," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 72(7), pages 6389-6418, July.
    73. Zhengyang Jiang & Arvind Krishnamurthy & Hanno Lustig, 2024. "The Rest of the World’s Dollar-Weighted Return on U.S. Treasurys," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 72(4), pages 1320-1346, December.
    74. Du, Wenxin & Keerati, Ritt & Schreger, Jesse, 2025. "Decoupling Dollar and Treasury Privilege," SocArXiv 7u9kn_v1, Center for Open Science.
    75. Lee, Jieun, 2024. "Dollar and government bond liquidity: Evidence from Korea," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).
    76. Hitesh Doshi & Hyung Joo Kim & Sang Byung Seo, 2023. "Options on Interbank Rates and Implied Disaster Risk," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2023-054r1, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), revised 14 Aug 2025.
    77. Thomas M. Eisenbach & Gregory Phelan, 2023. "Fragility of Safe Assets," Working Papers 23-02, Office of Financial Research, US Department of the Treasury.
    78. Goldstein, Michael A. & Namin, Elmira Shekari, 2023. "Corporate bond liquidity and yield spreads: A review," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    79. Arkorful, Gideon Bruce & Chen, Haiqiang & Gu, Ming & Liu, Xiaoqun, 2023. "What can we learn from the convenience yield of Bitcoin? Evidence from the COVID-19 crisis," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 141-153.
    80. Lim, Jamus Jerome & Long, Xin, 2026. "The dollar squeeze and economic growth," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
    81. Xenaneira Shodrokova & Bernadette Robiani & Anna Yulianita, 2025. "Impact of COVID-19 Pandemic and Macroeconomics on Long-term Government Bond Yields Interest Rate in Emerging Markets: ARDL Approach," Economic Studies journal, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, issue 1, pages 113-132.
    82. Ambrogio Cesa-Bianchi & Fernando Eguren-Martin, 2021. "Dash for dollars," Bank of England Staff Working Paper series 932, Bank of England.
    83. Ragnar Juelsrud & Plamen Nenov & Fabienne Schneider & Olav Syrstad, 2025. "Money Talks: Transaction Costs, the Value of Convenience, and the Cross-Section of Safe Asset Returns," Staff Working Papers 25-34, Bank of Canada.
    84. Angelo Ranaldo & Benedikt Ballensiefen & Hannah Winterberg, 2020. "Monetary policy disconnect," Working Papers on Finance 2003, University of St. Gallen, School of Finance.
    85. Benjamin Knox, 2022. "A Stock Return Decomposition Using Observables," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2022-014r1, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), revised 31 Jan 2025.
    86. Mark A. Carlson & Zack Saravay & Mary Tian, 2025. "Fed Repo Operations and Dealer Intermediation," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2025-052, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    87. Boyarchenko, Nina & Eisenbach, Thomas & Gupta, Pooja & Shachar, Or & Van Tassel, Peter, 2020. "Bank-Intermediated Arbitrage," CEPR Discussion Papers 15097, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    88. Gerardo Ferrara & Maria Flora & Roberto Renò, 2025. "The Impact of COVID-19 on Italian Sovereign Bond Market Quality," Journal of Financial Services Research, Springer;Western Finance Association, vol. 67(1), pages 55-71, April.
    89. Duncan, Elizabeth & Horvath, Akos & Iercosan, Diana & Loudis, Bert & Maddrey, Alice & Martinez, Francis & Mooney, Timothy & Ranish, Ben & Wang, Ke & Warusawitharana, Missaka & Wix, Carlo, 2022. "COVID-19 as a stress test: Assessing the bank regulatory framework," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).
    90. Jappelli, Ruggero & Pelizzon, Loriana & Subrahmanyam, Marti G., 2023. "Quantitative easing, the repo market, and the term structure of interest rates," SAFE Working Paper Series 395, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE.
    91. Jiakai Chen & Haoyang Liu & Asani Sarkar & Zhaogang Song, 2020. "Dealers and the Dealer of Last Resort: Evidence from the Agency MBS Markets in the COVID-19 Crisis," Staff Reports 933, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    92. Pierre Olivier Gourinchas, 2023. "International Macroeconomics: From the Great Financial Crisis to COVID-19, and Beyond," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 71(1), pages 1-34, March.
    93. Daniel Barth & R. Jay Kahn & Phillip J. Monin & Oleg Sokolinskiy, 2024. "Reaching for Duration and Leverage in the Treasury Market," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2024-039, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    94. Chuanhao Tian & Xintian Peng & Xiang Zhang, 2021. "COVID-19 Pandemic, Urban Resilience and Real Estate Prices: The Experience of Cities in the Yangtze River Delta in China," Land, MDPI, vol. 10(9), pages 1-17, September.
    95. Hong, Zhiwu & Wang, Zhenhan & Li, Xinda, 2024. "Foreign trade and China’s yield curve during the COVID-19 pandemic: An analysis based on an extended arbitrage-free Nelson–Siegel model," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(PB).
    96. Chen, Zhuo & Li, Pengfei & Liao, Li & Liu, Lu & Wang, Zhengwei, 2024. "Assessing and addressing the coronavirus-induced economic crisis: Evidence from 1.5 billion sales invoices," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    97. Wang, Mei-Chih & Chang, Tsangyao & Mikhaylov, Alexey & Linyu, Jia, 2024. "A measure of quantile-on-quantile connectedness for the US treasury yield curve spread, the US Dollar, and gold price," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    98. Woei Chyuan Wong & Edie Erman Che Johari & Shazida Jan Mohd Khan & Siti Nurazira Mohd Daud & Mohd Yushairi Mat Yusoff & Hafirda Akma Musaddad, 2023. "From Outbreak to Vaccination: An Analysis of the Commercial Property Market Reaction to COVID-19 in Malaysia," International Real Estate Review, Global Social Science Institute, vol. 26(3), pages 267-298.
    99. Matthias Fleckenstein & Francis A. Longstaff, 2024. "Treasury Richness," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 79(4), pages 2797-2844, August.
    100. Metzler, Julian & Danisewicz, Piotr & Dieler, Tobias & Mancini, Loriano & Mazzari, Francesco, 2026. "Central clearing and the pricing of specialness in repo markets," Working Paper Series 3214, European Central Bank.
    101. Yahyaei, Hamid & Singh, Abhay & Smith, Tom, 2025. "Ex ante bond returns and time-varying monotonicity," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 99(C).
    102. Cakici, Nusret & Zaremba, Adam, 2021. "Who should be afraid of infections? Pandemic exposure and the cross-section of stock returns," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    103. Sebastian Doerr & Sebastian Egemen Eren & Semyon Malamud, 2023. "Money market funds and the pricing of near-money assets," BIS Working Papers 1096, Bank for International Settlements.
    104. Mahmoud Fatouh & Simone Giansante & Steven Ongena, 2024. "Quantitative easing and the functioning of the gilt repo market," Bank of England Staff Working Paper series 1055, Bank of England.
    105. Wenxin Du & Ritt Keerati & Jesse Schreger, 2025. "Decoupling Dollar and Treasury Privilege," International Finance Discussion Papers 1427, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    106. Matthias Fleckenstein & Francis A. Longstaff, 2023. "Small Business Equity Returns: Empirical Evidence from the Business Credit Card Securitization Market," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 78(1), pages 389-425, February.
    107. David Cashin & Erin E. Syron Ferris & Elizabeth Klee, 2023. "Treasury Safety, Liquidity, and Money Premium Dynamics: Evidence from Debt Limit Impasses," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 55(6), pages 1475-1506, September.
    108. Mathias S. Kruttli & Phillip J. Monin & Lubomir Petrasek & Sumudu W. Watugala, 2021. "Hedge Fund Treasury Trading and Funding Fragility: Evidence from the COVID-19 Crisis," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2021-038, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    109. Hartley, Jonathan S. & Jermann, Urban J., 2024. "The pricing of U.S. Treasury floating rate notes," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 155(C).
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  10. Malmendier, Ulrike M. & Nagel, Stefan & Yan, Zhen, 2020. "The Making of Hawks and Doves," CEPR Discussion Papers 14938, Centre for Economic Policy Research.

    Cited by:

    1. Arai, Natsuki, 2023. "The FOMC’s new individual economic projections and macroeconomic theories," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
    2. Laura Battaglia & Timothy Christensen & Stephen Hansen & Szymon Sacher, 2025. "Inference for Regression with Variables Generated by AI or Machine Learning," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 2421, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
    3. Carola Conces Binder & Rodrigo Sekkel, 2023. "Central Bank Forecasting: A Survey," Staff Working Papers 23-18, Bank of Canada.
    4. Masciandaro, Donato, 2022. "Independence, conservatism, and beyond: Monetary policy, central bank governance and central banker preferences (1981–2021)," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 122(C).
    5. Rounak Sil & Unninarayanan Kurup & Ashima Goyal & Apoorva Singh and Rajendra Paramanik, 2023. "Chorus in the cacophony: Dissent and policy communication of India's Monetary Policy Committee," Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai Working Papers 2023-03, Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai, India.
    6. Donato Masciandaro & Paola Profeta & Davide Romelli, 2023. "Women and Governance: Central Bank Boards and Monetary Policy," Trinity Economics Papers tep1123, Trinity College Dublin, Department of Economics.
    7. Eleonora Granziera & Vegard H. Larsen & Greta Meggiorini & Leonardo Melosi, 2025. "Speaking of Inflation: The Influence of Fed Speeches on Expectations," CESifo Working Paper Series 11992, CESifo.
    8. Feldkircher, Martin & Hofmarcher, Paul & Siklos, Pierre L., 2024. "One money, one voice? Evaluating ideological positions of euro area central banks," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    9. Mayer, Alexander, 2023. "Two-step estimation in linear regressions with adaptive learning," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 195(C).
    10. Donato Masciandaro, 2023. "How Elastic and Predictable Money Should Be: Flexible Monetary Policy Rules from the Great Moderation to the New Normal Times (1993-2023)," BAFFI CAREFIN Working Papers 23196, BAFFI CAREFIN, Centre for Applied Research on International Markets Banking Finance and Regulation, Universita' Bocconi, Milano, Italy.
    11. Ekaterina Borisova & Klaus Gründler & Armin Hackenberger & Anina Harter & Niklas Potrafke & Koen Schoors, 2023. "Crisis Experience and the Deep Roots of Covid-19 Vaccination Preferences," CESifo Working Paper Series 10348, CESifo.
    12. Tsang, Kwok Ping & Yang, Zichao, 2025. "Agree to disagree: Measuring hidden dissent in FOMC meetings," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 180(C).
    13. Ying, Shan & Sheen, Jeffrey & Gu, Xin & Wang, Ben Zhe, 2025. "Does monetary policy uncertainty moderate the transmission of policy shocks to government bond yields?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).
    14. Conrad, Christian & Lahiri, Kajal, 2023. "Heterogeneous expectations among professional forecasters," ZEW Discussion Papers 23-062, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
    15. Happel, Jonas & Karabulut, Yigitcan & Schäfer, Larissa & Tüzel, Şelale, 2024. "Shattered housing," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 156(C).
    16. Bordo, Michael & Istrefi, Klodiana, 2023. "Perceived FOMC: The making of hawks, doves and swingers," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 136(C), pages 125-143.
    17. Makram El-Shagi, 2024. "Does the Fed Adhere to its Mandate? Estimating the Federal Reserve's Objective Function," CFDS Discussion Paper Series 2024/3, Center for Financial Development and Stability at Henan University, Kaifeng, Henan, China.
    18. Hamza Bennani & Davide Romelli, 2024. "Exploring the informativeness and drivers of tone during committee meetings: the case of the Federal Reserve," Post-Print hal-04670309, HAL.
    19. Chien-Wen Yang & Fang-Ni Chu & Wan-I Chen & Ming-Chi Chen, 2022. "Willingness to Purchase a House during Economic Lost Decades in Japanese Urban Housing Market," International Real Estate Review, Global Social Science Institute, vol. 25(3), pages 333-370.
    20. Donato Masciandaro, 2021. "Central Bank Governance in Monetary Policy Economics (1981-2020)," BAFFI CAREFIN Working Papers 21153, BAFFI CAREFIN, Centre for Applied Research on International Markets Banking Finance and Regulation, Universita' Bocconi, Milano, Italy.
    21. Karol Jan Borowiecki & Caterina Adelaide Mauri, 2024. "Originality, influence, and success: a model of creative style," Journal of Cultural Economics, Springer;The Association for Cultural Economics International, vol. 48(2), pages 221-258, June.
    22. Peter Andre & Carlo Pizzinelli & Christopher Roth & Johannes Wohlfart, 2021. "Subjective Models of the Macroeconomy: Evidence From Experts and Representative Samples," ECONtribute Discussion Papers Series 119, University of Bonn and University of Cologne, Germany.
    23. Alexander Mayer, 2022. "Two-step estimation in linear regressions with adaptive learning," Papers 2204.05298, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2022.
    24. Arai, Natsuki & 荒井, 夏來 & Nakazawa, Nobuhiko & 中澤, 伸彦, 2021. "Does Working with a Future Executive Make Junior Employees More Likely to Be Promoted ?," Discussion Papers 2021-01, Graduate School of Economics, Hitotsubashi University.
    25. Strong, Christine & Gakpa, Lewis-Landry, 2025. "Early-Life currency crises and exchange rate pass-through: Understanding the impact of central Bankers’ formative years in Africa," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 157(C).
    26. Dorine Boumans & Klaus Gründler & Niklas Potrafke & Fabian Ruthardt, 2022. "Political Leaders and Macroeconomic Expectations: Evidence from a Global Survey Experiment," CESifo Working Paper Series 9974, CESifo.
    27. Giuliano, Paola & Spilimbergo, Antonio, 2024. "Aggregate Shocks and the Formation of Preferences and Beliefs," IZA Discussion Papers 17110, IZA Network @ LISER.
    28. Kwok Ping Tsang & Zichao Yang, 2023. "Agree to Disagree: Measuring Hidden Dissent in FOMC Meetings," Papers 2308.10131, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2025.
    29. Heinemann, Friedrich & Kemper, Jan, 2026. "ECB Council members' objectives and public debt at home: Evidence from an AI-based textual analysis," ZEW Discussion Papers 26-005, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
    30. Remy Levin & Daniela Vidart, 2025. "‘Nobody Wants to Work Anymore’: Lifetime Wage Experiences and the Decline of Male LFP in the United States," Working papers 2025-02, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics.
    31. Ulrike Malmendier & Alexandra Steiny Wellsjo, 2024. "Rent or Buy? Inflation Experiences and Homeownership within and across Countries," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 79(3), pages 1977-2023, June.
    32. Hubert, Paul & Labondance, Fabien, 2021. "The signaling effects of central bank tone," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    33. Magud, Nicolás E. & Pienknagura, Samuel, 2025. "Inflated concerns: Exposure to past inflationary episodes and preferences for price stability," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
    34. Gründler, Klaus & Dräger, Lena & Potrafke, Niklas, 2023. "Political Shocks and Inflation Expectations: Evidence from the 2022 Russian Invasion of Ukraine," VfS Annual Conference 2023 (Regensburg): Growth and the "sociale Frage" 277673, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    35. Levy, Gilat & Razin, Ronny, 2025. "The dynamics of cohort effect in politics," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 128073, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    36. Carlos Madeira & João Madeira & Paulo Santos Monteiro, 2023. "The origins of monetary policy disagreement: the role of supply and demand shocks," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 993, Central Bank of Chile.
    37. David S. Koo & Isabel Yanyan Wang & Shuting Wu, 2026. "Memory, Retrieved Context, and Bias in Management Earnings Forecasts," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 72(3), pages 2451-2476, March.
    38. Lehmann-Hasemeyer, Sibylle & Neumayer, Andreas & Streb, Jochen, 2023. "Heterogeneous inflation and deflation experiences and savings decisions during German industrialization," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).
    39. Natsuki Arai & Nobuhiko Nakazawa, 2025. "Long‐run peer effects and promotion: Evidence from 70‐plus years of career records in Japan," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 63(3), pages 740-758, July.
    40. Benchimol, Jonathan & El-Shagi, Makram & Saadon, Yossi, 2022. "Do expert experience and characteristics affect inflation forecasts?," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 201(C), pages 205-226.
    41. Akgunduz, Yusuf Emre & Cilasun, Seyit Mumin & Deryol, Ahmet & Tumen, Semih, 2026. "Echoes of Hyperinflation: The Link Between past Exposure and Formation of Expectations," IZA Discussion Papers 18543, IZA Network @ LISER.
    42. Emmanuelle Deglaire & Peter Daly & Fabrice Lec, 2021. "Exposure to tax dilemmas deteriorate individuals' self-declared tax morale," Economics of Governance, Springer, vol. 22(4), pages 363-397, December.
    43. Inukai, Shinya, 2025. "How do local governments and housing markets respond to demographic information shocks? Evidence from Japan’s Extinction Risk List," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
    44. Istrefi, Klodiana & Odendahl, Florens & Sestieri, Giulia, 2023. "Fed communication on financial stability concerns and monetary policy decisions: Revelations from speeches," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
    45. Alessandro Riboni & Francisco Ruge‐Murcia, 2023. "The Power Of The Federal Reserve Chair," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 64(2), pages 727-756, May.
    46. Bruno Beltrão Léo & Maria Teresa Vieira Campos Proença & Carlos Francisco Ferreira Alves, 2025. "Central bank committee decision-making: a systematic literature review and research agenda," Journal of Banking Regulation, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 26(3), pages 320-339, September.
    47. Rees-Jones, Alex & D’Attoma, John & Piolatto, Amedeo & Salvadori, Luca, 2022. "Experience of the COVID-19 pandemic and support for safety-net expansion," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 200(C), pages 1090-1104.
    48. Bodea, Cristina & Kerner, Andrew, 2022. "Fear of inflation and gender representation in central banking," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    49. Granziera, Eleanora & Larsen, Wegard H. & Meggiorini, Greta & Melosi, Leonardo, 2025. "Speaking of Inflation : The Influence of Fed Speeches on Expectations," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 1555, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
    50. Juan Arismendi-Zambrano & Emmanuel Kypraios & Alessia Paccagnini, 2026. "Informativeness of the federal reserve chair communication’s sentiment on the monetary policy uncertainty," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 357(1), pages 633-677, February.
    51. Galindo Gil, Hamilton & Mendoza Perez, Liu, 2025. "Dollarization hysteresis, inflation jumps, and fear of inflation," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 180(C).
    52. Milena Djourelova & Filippo Ferroni & Leonardo Melosi & Alessandro Villa, 2025. "One Fed, Many Voices: Coordinated Communication vs. Transparent Debate," Working Paper Series WP 2025-23, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
    53. Kokoszczyński, Ryszard & Mackiewicz-Łyziak, Joanna, 2024. "Making monetary policy in Poland: Are Polish hawks and doves different?," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    54. Sebastian Link & Andreas Peichl & Oliver Pfäuti & Christopher Roth & Johannes Wohlfart, 2023. "Attention to the Macroeconomy," ECONtribute Discussion Papers Series 256, University of Bonn and University of Cologne, Germany.
    55. Hefeker, Carsten, 2022. "Policy coordination under model disagreement and asymmetric shocks," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
    56. Daniel Aromí & Daniel Heymann, 2024. "Talk to Fed: a Big Dive into FOMC Transcripts," Working Papers 323, Red Nacional de Investigadores en Economía (RedNIE).
    57. Groero, Jaroslav, 2024. "The role of gene–environment interaction in the formation of risk attitudes," Economics & Human Biology, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
    58. Keen, Benjamin D. & Strong, Christine O., 2026. "Inflation legacies: Early-life crises and their impact on policy preferences and money growth in Africa," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).
    59. Levy, Gilat & Razin, Ronny, 2025. "The dynamics of cohort effect in politics," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 247(C).
    60. Aromí J. Daniel & Heymann Daniel, 2024. "Synthetic surveys of monetary policymakers: perceptions, narratives and transparency," Asociación Argentina de Economía Política: Working Papers 4707, Asociación Argentina de Economía Política.
    61. Heiss, Florian & Hurd, Michael & van Rooij, Maarten & Rossmann, Tobias & Winter, Joachim, 2022. "Dynamics and heterogeneity of subjective stock market expectations," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 231(1), pages 213-231.
    62. Pei Kuang & Li Tang & Renbin Zhang & Tongbin Zhang, 2025. "Are survey stock price forecasts anchored by fundamental forecasts? A long-run perspective," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 79(2), pages 657-685, March.
    63. Laura Battaglia & Timothy Christensen & Stephen Hansen & Szymon Sacher, 2024. "Inference for Regression with Variables Generated from Unstructured Data," CESifo Working Paper Series 11119, CESifo.
    64. Lena Dräger & Klaus Gründler & Niklas Potrafke, 2025. "Peer Effects in Macroeconomic Expectations," CESifo Working Paper Series 11892, CESifo.
    65. Lejarraga, Tomás & Woike, Jan K. & Hertwig, Ralph, 2024. "What makes depression babies different: Expectations or preferences?," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 44(C).
    66. Heinke, Steve & Olschewski, Sebastian & Rieskamp, Jörg, 2024. "Experiences, demand for risky investments, and implications for price dynamics," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 43(C).
    67. Rieder, Kilian, 2022. "Monetary policy decision-making by committee: Why, when and how it can work," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    68. Alexa Kaminski & Alistair Macaulay & Wenting Song, 2026. "Monetary Policy Narratives and the Transmission of Monetary Policy," School of Economics Discussion Papers 0126, School of Economics, University of Surrey.
    69. Gáti, Laura, 2022. "Monetary policy & anchored expectations: an endogenous gain learning model," Working Paper Series 2685, European Central Bank.
    70. Benjamin Christoffersen & Arvid Hoffmann & Zwetelina Iliewa & Lena Jaroszek, 2025. "Experience Effects on Wall Street vs. Main Street: Field and Lab Evidence of Context Dependence," CRC TR 224 Discussion Paper Series crctr224_2025_684, University of Bonn and University of Mannheim, Germany.
    71. Leek, Lauren & Bischl, Simeon, 2025. "How central bank independence shapes monetary policy communication: A Large Language Model application," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
    72. Stefan Nagel, 2026. "Experiences, expectations, and asset prices," Journal of Business Economics, Springer, vol. 96(1), pages 11-34, January.
    73. Roy Trivedi, Smita & Ghosh, Saibal, 2025. "Do deeds match words? India’s monetary policy needs to “walk the talk” for inflation anchoring," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 47(3), pages 662-680.
    74. Davide Romelli & Hamza Bennani, 2021. "Disagreement inside the FOMC: New Insights from Tone Analysis," Trinity Economics Papers tep1021, Trinity College Dublin, Department of Economics.
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    Cited by:

    1. Vedolin, Andrea & Maenhout, Pascal & Xing, Hao, 2020. "Generalized Robustness and Dynamic Pessimism," CEPR Discussion Papers 14592, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    2. Maximilian Boeck & Michael Pfarrhofer, 2025. "Belief Shocks and Implications of Expectations About Growth‐at‐Risk," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(3), pages 341-348, April.
    3. Wang, Hailong & Hu, Duni, 2022. "Heterogenous beliefs with sentiments and asset pricing," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    4. Maggiori, Matteo & Ströbel, Johannes & Giglio, Stefano & Utkus, Stephen P., 2019. "Five Facts About Beliefs and Portfolios," CEPR Discussion Papers 13657, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    5. Bernile, Gennaro & Bonaparte, Yosef & Delikouras, Stefanos, 2025. "Stock market experience and investor overconfidence: Do investors learn to be overconfident?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 174(C).
    6. Stefano Gnocchi & Fanny McKellips & Rodrigo Sekkel & Laure Simon & Yinxi Xie & Yang Zhang, 2024. "The Output-Inflation Trade-off in Canada," Discussion Papers 2024-07, Bank of Canada.
    7. Lansing, Kevin J., 2024. "Replicating business cycles and asset returns with sentiment and low risk aversion," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 167(C).
    8. Richard K. Crump & Stefano Eusepi & Emanuel Moench & Bruce Preston, 2021. "The Term Structure of Expectations," Staff Reports 992, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    9. Klaus Adam & Oliver Pfäuti & Timo Reinelt, 2020. "Falling Natural Rates, Rising Housing Volatility and the Optimal Inflation Target," CRC TR 224 Discussion Paper Series crctr224_2020_235, University of Bonn and University of Mannheim, Germany.
    10. Maenhout, Pascal J. & Vedolin, Andrea & Xing, Hao, 2025. "Robustness and dynamic sentiment," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 163(C).
    11. Boehl, Gregor, 2022. "Monetary policy and speculative asset markets," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 148(C).
    12. Dmitri V. Vinogradov & Michael J. Lamla & Yousef Makhlouf, 2024. "Survey-based expectations and uncertainty attitudes," Working Papers 2024_02, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.
    13. Alistair Macaulay & Chenchuan Shi, 2026. "Ambiguity Aversion, Portfolio Choice, and Life Expectancy," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 67(2), pages 633-655, May.
    14. Cosmin L. Ilut & Martin Schneider, 2022. "Modeling Uncertainty as Ambiguity: a Review," NBER Working Papers 29915, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    15. Pei Kuang & Renbin Zhang & Tongbin Zhang, 2019. "New Tests of Expectation Formation with Applications to Asset Pricing Models," Discussion Papers 19-05, Department of Economics, University of Birmingham.
    16. Pascal J. Maenhout & Andrea Vedolin & Hao Xing, 2020. "Generalized Robustness and Dynamic Pessimism," NBER Working Papers 26970, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    17. Alexander M. Chinco & Samuel M. Hartzmark & Abigail B. Sussman, 2020. "Necessary Evidence For A Risk Factor’s Relevance," NBER Working Papers 27227, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    18. Caleb Maresca, 2026. "Can Interest-Bearing Positions Solve the Long-Horizon Problem in Prediction Markets?," Papers 2602.21091, arXiv.org.
    19. Liu, Haoyang & Palmer, Christopher, 2026. "Implicit extrapolation and the beliefs channel of investment demand," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 175(C).
    20. de Oliveira Souza, Thiago, 2019. "Predictability concentrates in bad times. And so does disagreement," Discussion Papers on Economics 8/2019, University of Southern Denmark, Department of Economics.
    21. Sias, Richard & Starks, Laura T. & Turtle, H.J., 2023. "The negativity bias and perceived return distributions: Evidence from a pandemic," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 147(3), pages 627-657.
    22. Rahman, Oriana & Semenov, Andrei, 2025. "Subjective probabilities under behavioral heuristics," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 98(C).
    23. Boqiang Lin & Tianxu Lan, 2024. "The time‐varying volatility spillover effects between China's coal and metal market," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 44(5), pages 699-719, May.
    24. Pei Kuang, 2019. "New Tests of Expectation Formation with Applications to Asset Pricing Models," 2019 Meeting Papers 187, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    25. Benjamin Christoffersen & Arvid Hoffmann & Zwetelina Iliewa & Lena Jaroszek, 2025. "Experience Effects on Wall Street vs. Main Street: Field and Lab Evidence of Context Dependence," CRC TR 224 Discussion Paper Series crctr224_2025_684, University of Bonn and University of Mannheim, Germany.
    26. Blot, Christophe & Hubert, Paul & Labondance, Fabien, 2024. "The asymmetric effects of monetary policy on stock price bubbles," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 168(C).
    27. Altan Pazarbaşı & Paul Schneider & Grigory Vilkov, 2024. "Dispersion of Beliefs Bounds: Sentimental Recovery," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 70(12), pages 8284-8300, December.
    28. Pascal Kieren & Jan Müller-Dethard & Martin Weber, 2023. "Risk-Taking and Asymmetric Learning in Boom and Bust Markets," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 27(5), pages 1743-1779.
    29. Weidong Tian, 2021. "Long Run Law and Entropy," Papers 2111.06238, arXiv.org.

  12. Stefan Nagel & Amiyatosh Purnanandam, 2019. "Bank risk dynamics and distance to default," CESifo Working Paper Series 7637, CESifo.

    Cited by:

    1. Andrew Atkeson & Adrien D'Avernas & Andrea L. Eisfeldt & Pierre-Olivier Weill, 2018. "Government Guarantees and the Valuation of American Banks," Staff Report 567, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
    2. Carmelo Salleo & Alberto Grassi & Constantinos Kyriakopoulos, 2020. "A Comprehensive Approach for Calculating Banking Sector Risks," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 8(4), pages 1-21, November.
    3. Alessandra Ortolano & Eliana Angelini, 2020. "Do CDS spread determinants affect the probability of default? A study on the EU banks," Bank i Kredyt, Narodowy Bank Polski, vol. 51(1), pages 1-32.
    4. David Xiao, 2023. "Default Process Modeling and Credit Valuation Adjustment," Papers 2309.03311, arXiv.org.
    5. Caterina Mendicino & Kalin Nikolov & Juan Rubio-Ramirez & Javier Suarez, 2020. "Twin Default Crises," Working Papers 2020-01, FEDEA.
    6. Itamar Drechsler & Alexi Savov & Philipp Schnabl, 2018. "Banking on Deposits: Maturity Transformation without Interest Rate Risk," NBER Working Papers 24582, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    7. Lee, David, 2023. "Default Forecasting and Credit Valuation Adjustment," MPRA Paper 118578, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    8. Kuvshinov, Dmitry & Richter, Björn & Zimmermann, Kaspar, 2022. "The shifts and the shocks: bank risk, leverage, and the macroeconomy," Working Paper Series 2672, European Central Bank.
    9. Atreya, Nikhil & Mjøs, Aksel & Persson, Svein-Arne, 2015. "Making Bank: Why High Bank Leverage is Optimal - for the Bank's Shareholders," Discussion Papers 2015/33, Norwegian School of Economics, Department of Business and Management Science.
    10. Antonio Sánchez Serrano, 2018. "EU banks after the crisis: sinners in the hands of angry markets," Journal of Banking and Financial Economics, University of Warsaw, Faculty of Management, vol. 1(9), pages 24-51, May.
    11. José-Luis Peydró [AP BACKUP – NOW EXTERNAL] & Ye Wang & Rafael Matta & Erasmo Giambona & José-Luis Peydró, 2020. "Quantitative Easing, Investment, and Safe Assets: The Corporate-Bond Lending Channel," Working Papers 1179, Barcelona School of Economics.
    12. Matthias Fleckenstein & Francis A. Longstaff, 2023. "Small Business Equity Returns: Empirical Evidence from the Business Credit Card Securitization Market," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 78(1), pages 389-425, February.
    13. Lukasz Prorokowski, 2016. "Bankrupt UK cities: PD model for credit risk in sub-sovereign sector," Bank i Kredyt, Narodowy Bank Polski, vol. 47(6), pages 495-528.
    14. Peleg Lazar, Sharon & Raviv, Alon, 2019. "The risk spiral: The effects of bank capital and diversification on risk taking," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).

  13. Nagel, Stefan & Xu, Zhengyang, 2019. "Asset Pricing with Fading Memory," CEPR Discussion Papers 13973, Centre for Economic Policy Research.

    Cited by:

    1. Giuseppe Matera, 2025. "Corporate Earnings Calls and Analyst Beliefs," Papers 2511.15214, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2025.
    2. Vedolin, Andrea & Maenhout, Pascal & Xing, Hao, 2020. "Generalized Robustness and Dynamic Pessimism," CEPR Discussion Papers 14592, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    3. Jiang, Zhengyang & Peng, Cameron & Yan, Hongjun, 2024. "Personality differences and investment decision-making," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 121634, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    4. Yuval Salant & Jörg L. Spenkuch & David Almog, 2025. "The Memory Premium," CESifo Working Paper Series 11787, CESifo.
    5. Gao, Can & Martin, Ian, 2021. "Volatility, valuation ratios, and bubbles: an empirical measure of market sentiment," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 108598, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    6. Artem Kuriksha, 2021. "An Economy of Neural Networks: Learning from Heterogeneous Experiences," Papers 2110.11582, arXiv.org.
    7. Vedolin, Andrea & Molavi, Pooya & Tahbaz-Salehi, Alireza, 2021. "Model Complexity, Expectations, and Asset Prices," CEPR Discussion Papers 15717, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    8. Kim, Yongjin & Kuehn, Lars-Alexander & Li, Kai, 2024. "Learning about the consumption risk exposure of firms," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).
    9. Cassella, Stefano & Chen, Te-Feng & Gulen, Huseyin & Liu, Yan, 2025. "Extracting extrapolative beliefs from market prices: An augmented present-value approach," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 164(C).
    10. Barahona, Ricardo & Cassella, Stefano & Jansen, Kristy & Pezone, Vincenzo, 2026. "Do teams alleviate or exacerbate overreaction in beliefs?," Other publications TiSEM 346da07d-dd26-4bc4-b22b-d, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    11. Weber, Martin & Kieren, Pascal & Mueller-Dethard, Jan, 2020. "Why so Negative? Belief Formation and Risk Taking in Boom and Bust Markets," CEPR Discussion Papers 14647, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    12. Cakici, Nusret & Zaremba, Adam, 2023. "Recency bias and the cross-section of international stock returns," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    13. Li, Ye & Wang, Chen, 2025. "The Information Cliff," SocArXiv bf8cx_v1, Center for Open Science.
    14. Lansing, Kevin J., 2024. "Replicating business cycles and asset returns with sentiment and low risk aversion," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 167(C).
    15. Klaus Adam & Oliver Pfäuti & Timo Reinelt, 2020. "Falling Natural Rates, Rising Housing Volatility and the Optimal Inflation Target," CRC TR 224 Discussion Paper Series crctr224_2020_235, University of Bonn and University of Mannheim, Germany.
    16. Maenhout, Pascal J. & Vedolin, Andrea & Xing, Hao, 2025. "Robustness and dynamic sentiment," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 163(C).
    17. Charles, Constantin & Frydman, Cary & Kilic, Mete, 2024. "Insensitive investors," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 120788, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    18. Adam, Klaus & Matveev, Dmitry & Nagel, Stefan, 2021. "Do survey expectations of stock returns reflect risk adjustments?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 723-740.
    19. Zhang, Yue & Wang, Caiping & Chen, Yufei, 2024. "Foreign ownership, institutional distance and mutual fund performance: Evidence from China," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
    20. Johannes Schmidt, 2025. "The influence of short-term subjective expectations on stock price movements," Financial Markets and Portfolio Management, Springer;Swiss Society for Financial Market Research, vol. 39(3), pages 303-333, September.
    21. Guihai Zhao, 2020. "Learning, Equilibrium Trend, Cycle, and Spread in Bond Yields," Staff Working Papers 20-14, Bank of Canada.
    22. Stefan Nagel & Zhengyang Xu, 2022. "Dynamics of Subjective Risk Premia," CESifo Working Paper Series 9693, CESifo.
    23. Yeji Sung, 2025. "Macroeconomic Expectations and Cognitive Noise," Working Paper Series 2024-19, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    24. Ulrike Malmendier & Stefan Nagel & Ulrike M. Malmendier, 2026. "Seemingly Anchored Inflation Expectations," CESifo Working Paper Series 12750, CESifo.
    25. Kim Ristolainen, 2026. "Quantifying Minsky Cycles," Discussion Papers 173, Aboa Centre for Economics.
    26. Pascal J. Maenhout & Andrea Vedolin & Hao Xing, 2020. "Generalized Robustness and Dynamic Pessimism," NBER Working Papers 26970, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    27. Cassella, Stefano & Chen, Te-Feng & Gulen, Huseyin & Liu, Yan, 2025. "Extracting extrapolative beliefs from market prices : An augmented present-value approac," Other publications TiSEM a19ca154-f344-4cd5-b2e5-c, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    28. Crawford, Vincent P. & Jin, Miao & Meng, Juanjuan & Yao, Lan, 2025. "Expectations-based reference-dependence and labor supply: Eliciting cabdrivers’ expectations in the field," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 239(C).
    29. Bandi, Federico M. & Tamoni, Andrea, 2023. "Business-cycle consumption risk and asset prices," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 237(2).
    30. Mark L. Egan & Alexander MacKay & Hanbin Yang, 2020. "Recovering Investor Expectations from Demand for Index Funds," NBER Working Papers 26608, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    31. Li, Jingyuan & Lin, Qian & Tian, Weidong, 2026. "Ambiguity overprecision and optimal capital requirements in continuous time," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 183(C).
    32. Constantin Charles & Cary Frydman & Mete Kilic, 2024. "Insensitive Investors," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 79(4), pages 2473-2503, August.
    33. Oesinghaus, Andreas, 2024. "Analysts’ extrapolative expectations in the cross-section," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 130(C).
    34. Bro, Jeppe & Eriksen, Jonas N., 2025. "Subjective expectations and house prices," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 172(C).
    35. Cheng, Ing-Haw & Hsiaw, Alice, 2022. "Distrust in experts and the origins of disagreement," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 200(C).
    36. Magnus Dahlquist & Markus Ibert, 2024. "Equity Return Expectations and Portfolios: Evidence from Large Asset Managers," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 37(6), pages 1887-1928.
    37. Liu, Haoyang & Palmer, Christopher, 2026. "Implicit extrapolation and the beliefs channel of investment demand," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 175(C).
    38. Radke, Lucas & Wicknig, Florian, 2021. "Experience-Based Heterogeneity in Expectations and Monetary Policy," VfS Annual Conference 2021 (Virtual Conference): Climate Economics 242414, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    39. Bordalo, Pedro & Gennaioli, Nicola & La Porta, Rafael & Shleifer, Andrei, 2025. "Finance without exotic risk," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 173(C).
    40. Bender, Svetlana & Choi, James J. & Dyson, Danielle & Robertson, Adriana Z., 2022. "Millionaires speak: What drives their personal investment decisions?," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 146(1), pages 305-330.
    41. Ye Li & Chen Wang, 2023. "Valuation Duration of the Stock Market," Papers 2310.07110, arXiv.org.
    42. Pei Kuang & Li Tang & Renbin Zhang & Tongbin Zhang, 2025. "Are survey stock price forecasts anchored by fundamental forecasts? A long-run perspective," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 79(2), pages 657-685, March.
    43. Da, Zhi & Huang, Xing & Jin, Lawrence J., 2021. "Extrapolative beliefs in the cross-section: What can we learn from the crowds?," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 140(1), pages 175-196.
    44. Buss, Adrian & Vilkov, Grigory & Uppal, Raman, 2020. "Investor Sophistication and Portfolio Dynamics," CEPR Discussion Papers 15116, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    45. Heinke, Steve & Olschewski, Sebastian & Rieskamp, Jörg, 2024. "Experiences, demand for risky investments, and implications for price dynamics," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 43(C).
    46. Benjamin Christoffersen & Arvid Hoffmann & Zwetelina Iliewa & Lena Jaroszek, 2025. "Experience Effects on Wall Street vs. Main Street: Field and Lab Evidence of Context Dependence," CRC TR 224 Discussion Paper Series crctr224_2025_684, University of Bonn and University of Mannheim, Germany.
    47. Stefan Nagel, 2026. "Experiences, expectations, and asset prices," Journal of Business Economics, Springer, vol. 96(1), pages 11-34, January.
    48. Anmol Bhandari & Jaroslav Borovicka & Paul Ho, 2019. "Survey Data and Subjective Beliefs in Business Cycle Models," Working Paper 19-14, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond.
    49. Barahona, Ricardo & Cassella, Stefano & Jansen, Kristy A.E. & Pezone, Vincenzo, 2026. "Do teams alleviate or exacerbate overreaction in beliefs?," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 176(C).
    50. Cheng, Hang & Guo, Hui & Shi, Yongdong, 2024. "Multifactor conditional equity premium model: Evidence from China's stock market," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 161(C).
    51. Altan Pazarbaşı & Paul Schneider & Grigory Vilkov, 2024. "Dispersion of Beliefs Bounds: Sentimental Recovery," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 70(12), pages 8284-8300, December.
    52. Charles, Constantin, 2025. "Memory moves markets," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 125551, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    53. Rex Wang Renjie & Patrick Verwijmeren, 2026. "Cross-Extrapolative Beliefs: Evidence from Equity Analysts," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 72(4), pages 3128-3146, April.
    54. Battigalli, Pierpaolo & Generoso, Nicolò, 2024. "Information flows and memory in games," Games and Economic Behavior, Elsevier, vol. 145(C), pages 356-376.
    55. Li, Kai & Liu, Jun, 2023. "Extrapolative asset pricing," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 210(C).
    56. James Cloyne & Òscar Jordà & Sanjay R. Singh & Alan M. Taylor, 2025. "Asset Prices and Credit with Diagnostic Expectations," Working Paper Series 2025-15, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    57. Dahlquist, Magnus & Ibert, Markus, 2026. "Institutions’ return expectations across assets and time," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 175(C).
    58. Zeng, Ming & Zhao, Guihai, 2026. "Expectation-driven term structure of equity and bond yields," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 157(C).
    59. Lars A. Lochstoer & Tyler Muir, 2022. "Volatility Expectations and Returns," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 77(2), pages 1055-1096, April.
    60. Pedro Bordalo & Nicola Gennaioli & Rafael La Porta & Andrei Shleifer, 2020. "Belief Overreaction and Stock Market Puzzles," NBER Working Papers 27283, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

  14. Ian Martin & Stefan Nagel, 2019. "Market Efficiency in the Age of Big Data," CESifo Working Paper Series 8015, CESifo.

    Cited by:

    1. Christopher G. Lamoureux, 2026. "The Gibbs Posterior and Parametric Portfolio Choice," Papers 2603.02455, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2026.
    2. Mohammad Al Ridhawi & Mahtab Haj Ali & Hussein Al Osman, 2026. "Stock Market Prediction Using Node Transformer Architecture Integrated with BERT Sentiment Analysis," Papers 2603.05917, arXiv.org, revised May 2026.
    3. Xi Dong & Yan Li & David E. Rapach & Guofu Zhou, 2022. "Anomalies and the Expected Market Return," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 77(1), pages 639-681, February.
    4. Tao Chen & Shuwen Pi & Qing Sophie Wang, 2025. "Artificial Intelligence and Corporate Investment Efficiency: Evidence from Chinese Listed Companies," Working Papers in Economics 25/05, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance.
    5. Marc Schmitt, 2026. "Algometrics: Forecasting Under Algorithmic Feedback," Papers 2605.23978, arXiv.org.
    6. Cao, Sean & Jiang, Wei & Wang, Junbo & Yang, Baozhong, 2024. "From Man vs. Machine to Man + Machine: The art and AI of stock analyses," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 160(C).
    7. Bryzgalova, Svetlana & Huang, Jiantao & Julliard, Christian, 2023. "Bayesian solutions for the factor zoo: we just ran two quadrillion models," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 126151, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    8. Yuan, Ying & Qu, Yong & Wang, Tianyang, 2025. "Predicting risk premiums: A constraint-based model," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    9. Yabu, Takuya, 2023. "On Discrete Probability Distributions to Grasp the Number of Samples in a Population," OSF Preprints yv24f, Center for Open Science.
    10. Ma, Tian & Sheng, Haoyun & Wang, Yuejie, 2024. "Noisy market, machine learning and fundamental momentum," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
    11. Hoang, Daniel & Wiegratz, Kevin, 2022. "Machine learning methods in finance: Recent applications and prospects," Working Paper Series in Economics 158, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Department of Economics and Management.
    12. Bo Yan & Mengru Liang & Yinxin Zhao, 2024. "Market sentiment and price dynamics in weak markets: A comprehensive empirical analysis of the soybean meal option market," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 44(5), pages 744-766, May.
    13. Jérome Dugast & Thierry Foucault, 2023. "Equilibrium Data Mining and Data Abundance," Post-Print hal-04390540, HAL.
    14. Christopher G. Lamoureux & Huacheng Zhang, 2021. "An Empirical Assessment of Characteristics and Optimal Portfolios," Papers 2104.12975, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2024.
    15. Hari Krishna Kalidindi & N. Srinivasu, 2025. "A Comprehensive Study and Research Perception towards Secured Data Sharing for Lung Cancer Detection with Blockchain Technology," Annals of Data Science, Springer, vol. 12(2), pages 757-797, April.
    16. Grammig, Joachim & Hanenberg, Constantin & Schlag, Christian & Sönksen, Jantje, 2020. "Diverging roads: Theory-based vs. machine learning-implied stock risk premia," University of Tübingen Working Papers in Business and Economics 130, University of Tuebingen, Faculty of Economics and Social Sciences, School of Business and Economics.
    17. Dohyun Chun & Jongho Kang & Jihun Kim, 2024. "Forecasting returns with machine learning and optimizing global portfolios: evidence from the Korean and U.S. stock markets," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 10(1), pages 1-30, December.
    18. James Yae & Yang Luo, 2023. "Robust monitoring machine: a machine learning solution for out-of-sample R $$^2$$ 2 -hacking in return predictability monitoring," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 1-28, December.
    19. Xiong Xiong & Chenghao Ruan & Yongqiang Meng, 2025. "Geographical distance and stock price synchronization: evidence from China," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 11(1), pages 1-27, December.
    20. Mohammad Kafeel Wani & Peer Bilal Ahmad, 2025. "One-Inflated Zero-Truncated Poisson Distribution: Statistical Properties and Real Life Applications," Annals of Data Science, Springer, vol. 12(2), pages 639-666, April.
    21. Svetlana Bryzgalova & Jiantao Huang & Christian Julliard, 2023. "Bayesian Solutions for the Factor Zoo: We Just Ran Two Quadrillion Models," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 78(1), pages 487-557, February.
    22. Li, Bin & Rossi, Alberto G. & Yan, Xuemin (Sterling) & Zheng, Lingling, 2025. "Machine learning from a “Universe” of signals: The role of feature engineering," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 172(C).
    23. Afaq Ahmad & A. A. Bhat & S. P. Ahmad & Raheela Jan, 2025. "The Modified Lindley Distribution Through Convex Combination with Applications in Engineering," Annals of Data Science, Springer, vol. 12(5), pages 1463-1478, October.
    24. Melina & Sukono & Herlina Napitupulu & Norizan Mohamed, 2023. "A Conceptual Model of Investment-Risk Prediction in the Stock Market Using Extreme Value Theory with Machine Learning: A Semisystematic Literature Review," Risks, MDPI, vol. 11(3), pages 1-24, March.
    25. Garg, Karan, 2021. "Machines and Markets : Assessing the Impact of Algorithmic Trading on Financial Market Efficiency," Warwick-Monash Economics Student Papers 11, Warwick Monash Economics Student Papers.
    26. Rustam Ibragimov & Jihyun Kim & Anton Skrobotov, 2025. "Robust Cauchy-Based Methods for Predictive Regressions," Papers 2511.09249, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2026.
    27. Olivier Dessaint & Thierry Foucault & Laurent Fresard, 2024. "Does Alternative Data Improve Financial Forecasting? The Horizon Effect," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 79(3), pages 2237-2287, June.
    28. Bryan Kelly & Semyon Malamud & Kangying Zhou, 2024. "The Virtue of Complexity in Return Prediction," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 79(1), pages 459-503, February.
    29. Kaplanski, Guy, 2023. "The race to exploit anomalies and the cost of slow trading," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    30. Zhang, Junsheng & Peng, Zezhi & Zeng, Yamin & Yang, Haisheng, 2023. "Do big data mutual funds outperform?," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    31. Luyang Chen & Markus Pelger & Jason Zhu, 2024. "Deep Learning in Asset Pricing," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 70(2), pages 714-750, February.
    32. Carter Davis, 2023. "The Elasticity of Quantitative Investment," Papers 2303.14533, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2024.
    33. Vismara, Silvio & Latifi, Gresa & Meinzinger, Leonard & Pass, Alexander, 2026. "Generative AI-powered venture screening: Can large language models help venture capitalists?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
    34. Goodarzi, Milad & Meinerding, Christoph, 2023. "Asset allocation with recursive parameter updating and macroeconomic regime identifiers," Discussion Papers 06/2023, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    35. Goh, Jihoon & Jeon, Byounghyun, 2025. "Which investor corrects mispricing around earnings announcements?," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    36. Wang, Jing & Yu, Huaying & Ren, Daowen & Zhang, Jocelyn, 2023. "Promoting mineral resources consumption efficiency: Evidence from technology of big data," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 86(PB).
    37. Wu, Fei & Hu, Yan & Shen, Me, 2024. "The color of FinTech: FinTech and corporate green transformation in China," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
    38. Matteo Bagnara, 2024. "Asset Pricing and Machine Learning: A critical review," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 38(1), pages 27-56, February.
    39. Gang Kou & Yang Lu, 2025. "FinTech: a literature review of emerging financial technologies and applications," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 11(1), pages 1-34, December.
    40. Eghbal Rahimikia & Hao Ni & Weiguan Wang, 2025. "Re(Visiting) Time Series Foundation Models in Finance," Papers 2511.18578, arXiv.org.
    41. Sonya Georgieva, 2023. "Application of Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning in the Conduct of Monetary Policy by Central Banks," Economic Studies journal, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, issue 8, pages 177-199.

  15. Nagel, Stefan & Santosh, Shrihari & Kozak, Serhiy, 2017. "Shrinking the Cross Section," CEPR Discussion Papers 12463, Centre for Economic Policy Research.

    Cited by:

    1. Alexander Dickerson & Christian Julliard & Philippe Mueller, 2026. "The Co-Pricing Factor Zoo," Papers 2604.04430, arXiv.org.
    2. Birru, Justin & Gokkaya, Sinan & Liu, Xi & Markov, Stanimir, 2024. "Quants and market anomalies," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 78(1).
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    146. Sun, Chuanping, 2024. "Factor correlation and the cross section of asset returns: A correlation-robust machine learning approach," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    147. Aleksey Kolokolov & Shifan Yu, 2026. "Realized Regularized Regressions," Papers 2604.23023, arXiv.org.
    148. Vedolin, Andrea & Korsaye, Sofonias Alemu & Trojani, Fabio, 2020. "The Global Factor Structure of Exchange Rates," CEPR Discussion Papers 15337, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    149. Peng, Yaohao & de Moraes Souza, João Gabriel, 2024. "Chaos, overfitting and equilibrium: To what extent can machine learning beat the financial market?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 95(PB).
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    151. Chun, Dohyun & Cho, Hoon & Ryu, Doojin, 2025. "Volatility forecasting and volatility-timing strategies: A machine learning approach," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    152. Chen, Yi-Hsuan & Kräussl, Roman & Verwijmeren, Patrick, 2023. "The pricing of digital art," CFS Working Paper Series 716, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
    153. Matteo Bagnara & Benoit Vaucher, 2025. "Performance Misattributions," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 26(7), pages 883-894, December.
    154. Guilherme V. Moura & Andr'e P. Santos & Hudson S. Torrent, 2025. "Variable selection for minimum-variance portfolios," Papers 2508.14986, arXiv.org.
    155. Wang, Jianqiu & Wang, Zhuo & Wu, Ke, 2025. "Forecasting stock market return with anomalies: Evidence from China," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 41(3), pages 1278-1295.
    156. van Binsbergen, Jules H. & Boons, Martijn & Opp, Christian C. & Tamoni, Andrea, 2023. "Dynamic asset (mis)pricing: Build-up versus resolution anomalies," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 147(2), pages 406-431.
    157. Jian'an Zhang, 2025. "FR-LUX: Friction-Aware, Regime-Conditioned Policy Optimization for Implementable Portfolio Management," Papers 2510.02986, arXiv.org.
    158. Carter Davis, 2023. "The Elasticity of Quantitative Investment," Papers 2303.14533, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2024.
    159. Malakhov, Alexey & Riley, Timothy B. & Yan, Qing, 2024. "Do hedge funds bet against beta?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 93(PA), pages 1507-1525.
    160. Paul Felix Reiter, 2023. "Measuring the Relevance of Factors on Cross-Sectional Returns with Decision Trees," Applied Economics and Finance, Redfame publishing, vol. 10(4), pages 14-25, November.
    161. Mehmet Caner & Agostino Capponi & Nathan Sun & Jonathan Y. Tan, 2026. "Designing Agentic AI-Based Screening for Portfolio Investment," Papers 2603.23300, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2026.
    162. Guanhao Feng & Stefano Giglio & Dacheng Xiu, 2020. "Taming the Factor Zoo: A Test of New Factors," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 75(3), pages 1327-1370, June.
    163. Langlois, Hugues, 2023. "What matters in a characteristic?," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 149(1), pages 52-72.
    164. Ai He & Dashan Huang & Jiaen Li & Guofu Zhou, 2023. "Shrinking Factor Dimension: A Reduced-Rank Approach," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 69(9), pages 5501-5522, September.
    165. Aoxin Zhang & Yuhan Cheng & Kwanting Leung, 2026. "Benchmarking Deep Time Series Models for Equity Portfolios," Papers 2606.09420, arXiv.org.
    166. Croux, Christophe & Jagtiani, Julapa & Korivi, Tarunsai & Vulanovic, Milos, 2020. "Important factors determining Fintech loan default: Evidence from a lendingclub consumer platform," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 173(C), pages 270-296.
    167. Andrew Y. Chen & Jack McCoy, 2022. "Missing Values Handling for Machine Learning Portfolios," Papers 2207.13071, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2024.
    168. Kristoffer Pons Bertelsen, 2022. "The Prior Adaptive Group Lasso and the Factor Zoo," CREATES Research Papers 2022-05, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    169. Evangelos Liaras & Michail Nerantzidis & Antonios Alexandridis, 2024. "Machine learning in accounting and finance research: a literature review," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 63(4), pages 1431-1471, November.
    170. Zhipeng Liao & Yan Liu & Zhenzhen Xie, 2024. "Optimal Cross-Sectional Regression," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 70(11), pages 7911-7942, November.
    171. Ma, Tian & Liao, Cunfei & Jiang, Fuwei, 2024. "Factor momentum in the Chinese stock market," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    172. Firoozye, Nikan & Tan, Vincent & Zohren, Stefan, 2023. "Canonical portfolios: Optimal asset and signal combination," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).
    173. Gu, Shihao & Kelly, Bryan & Xiu, Dacheng, 2021. "Autoencoder asset pricing models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 222(1), pages 429-450.
    174. Bianchi, Francesco & Ludvigson, Sydney & Ma, Sai, 2020. "Belief Distortions and Macroeconomic Fluctuations," CEPR Discussion Papers 15003, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    175. Bank, Matthias & Insam, Franz, 2021. "Corporate aging and changes in the pricing of stock characteristics," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 42(C).
    176. Chen, Ding & Guo, Biao & Zhou, Guofu, 2023. "Firm fundamentals and the cross-section of implied volatility shapes," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    177. Kaniel, Ron & Lin, Zihan & Pelger, Markus & Van Nieuwerburgh, Stijn, 2023. "Machine-learning the skill of mutual fund managers," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 150(1), pages 94-138.
    178. Fieberg, Christian & Liedtke, Gerrit & Zaremba, Adam, 2024. "Cryptocurrency anomalies and economic constraints," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
    179. Simon Fritzsch & Felix Irresberger & Gregor Weiß, 2026. "Predicting option prices from their price history via machine learning," Review of Derivatives Research, Springer, vol. 29(1), pages 1-38, December.
    180. Nathan Lassance & Victor DeMiguel & Frédéric Vrins, 2022. "Optimal Portfolio Diversification via Independent Component Analysis," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 70(1), pages 55-72, January.
    181. Liao Zhu, 2021. "The Adaptive Multi-Factor Model and the Financial Market," Papers 2107.14410, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2021.
    182. Shiyang Huang & Yang Song & Hong Xiang, 2025. "Noise Trading and Asset Pricing Factors," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 71(8), pages 6961-6978, August.
    183. Bernd Johannes Wuebben, 2026. "Beyond De Prado and Cotton: Hierarchical and Iterative Methods for General Mean-Variance Portfolios," Papers 2604.23833, arXiv.org.
    184. Zheng Tracy Ke & Bryan T. Kelly & Dacheng Xiu, 2019. "Predicting Returns With Text Data," NBER Working Papers 26186, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    185. Mao, Jie & Xia, Xiaobao & Zhuo, Haotian, 2025. "Taming the factor zoo in China’s equity market: A Bayesian approach," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
    186. Cederburg, Scott & O’Doherty, Michael S. & Wang, Feifei & Yan, Xuemin (Sterling), 2020. "On the performance of volatility-managed portfolios," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 138(1), pages 95-117.
    187. Ni, Xuanming & Zheng, Tiantian & Zhao, Huimin & Zhu, Shushang, 2023. "High-dimensional portfolio optimization based on tree-structured factor model," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    188. Paul Schneider & Christian Wagner & Josef Zechner, 2020. "Low‐Risk Anomalies?," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 75(5), pages 2673-2718, October.
    189. Francisco Peñaranda & Enrique Sentana, 2024. "Portfolio management with big data," Working Papers wp2024_2411, CEMFI.
    190. Cong Wang, 2024. "Stock return prediction with multiple measures using neural network models," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 10(1), pages 1-34, December.
    191. Fousseni Chabi-Yo & Markus Huggenberger & Florian Weigert, 2019. "Multivariate Crash Risk," Working Papers on Finance 1901, University of St. Gallen, School of Finance.
    192. Guo, Li & Sang, Bo & Tu, Jun & Wang, Yu, 2024. "Cross-cryptocurrency return predictability," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 163(C).
    193. Lioui, Abraham & Tarelli, Andrea, 2022. "Chasing the ESG factor," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    194. Lin William Cong & Guanhao Feng & Jingyu He & Xin He, 2025. "Growing the Efficient Frontier on Panel Trees," Papers 2501.16730, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2025.
    195. Gospodinov, Nikolay & Maasoumi, Esfandiar, 2021. "Generalized aggregation of misspecified models: With an application to asset pricing," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 222(1), pages 451-467.
    196. Clarke, Charles, 2022. "The level, slope, and curve factor model for stocks," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 143(1), pages 159-187.
    197. Uddin, Ajim & Yu, Dantong, 2020. "Latent factor model for asset pricing," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 27(C).
    198. Bagnara, Matteo, 2024. "The economic value of cross-predictability: A performance-based measure," SAFE Working Paper Series 424, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE.
    199. Lu, Zhongjin & Malliaris, Steven & Qin, Zhongling, 2023. "Heterogeneous liquidity providers and night-minus-day return predictability," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 148(3), pages 175-200.
    200. Wu, Hongxu & Wang, Qiao & Li, Jianping & Deng, Zhibin, 2025. "Enhancing stock return prediction in the Chinese market: A GAN-based approach," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).

  16. Nagel, Stefan & Malmendier, Ulrike M. & Yan, Zhen, 2017. "The Making of Hawks and Doves: Inflation Experiences on the FOMC," CEPR Discussion Papers 11902, Centre for Economic Policy Research.

    Cited by:

    1. Pierre L. Siklos, 2020. "U.S. Monetary Policy since the 1950s and the Changing Content of FOMC Minutes," Southern Economic Journal, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 86(3), pages 1192-1213, January.
    2. Georgios Chortareas & Fotis Papailias & Linda Shuku, 2026. "Does Central Bank Talk Matter for Forecasting? Evidence From Speeches of the BoE, ECB, and Fed," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 31(1), pages 226-240, January.
    3. Carlos Madeira & João Madeira, 2019. "The Effect of FOMC Votes on Financial Markets," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 101(5), pages 921-932, December.
    4. M. Rozina & М. Розина, 2019. "Теория и практика поведенческой экономики в процессе принятия финансовых решений // The Use of Theory and Methods of Behavioural Economics in the Process of Making Financial Decisions," Review of Business and Economics Studies // Review of Business and Economics Studies, Финансовый Университет // Financial University, vol. 7(3), pages 45-82.
    5. Monnet, Eric & Puy, Damien, 2020. "Do old habits die hard? Central banks and the Bretton Woods gold puzzle," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 127(C).
    6. D. Masciandaro, 2019. "What Bird Is That? Central Banking And Monetary Policy In The Last Forty Years," BAFFI CAREFIN Working Papers 19127, BAFFI CAREFIN, Centre for Applied Research on International Markets Banking Finance and Regulation, Universita' Bocconi, Milano, Italy.
    7. Maria Cancian, 2021. "APPAM Presidential Address: Reflections on Who Counts and Why it Matters," Journal of Policy Analysis and Management, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(2), pages 324-347, March.
    8. Rossmann, Tobias, 2019. "Economic Uncertainty and Subjective Inflation Expectations," Rationality and Competition Discussion Paper Series 160, CRC TRR 190 Rationality and Competition.
    9. Rossmann, Tobias, 2019. "Does Experience Shape Subjective Expectations?," Rationality and Competition Discussion Paper Series 181, CRC TRR 190 Rationality and Competition.
    10. Hanna Armelius & Christoph Bertsch & Isaiah Hull & Xin Zhang, 2019. "Spread the Word: International Spillovers from Central Bank Communication," BIS Working Papers 824, Bank for International Settlements.
    11. Michael Bordo & Klodiana Istrefi, 2018. "Perceived FOMC: The Making of Hawks, Doves and Swingers," Working papers 683, Banque de France.
    12. Hjort, Jonas & Rao, Gautam & Moreira, Diana & Santini, Juan Francisco, 2020. "How Research Affects Policy: Experimental Evidence from 2,150 Brazilian Municipalities," CEPR Discussion Papers 14280, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    13. Hamza Bennani & Tobias Kranz & Matthias Neuenkirch, 2017. "Disagreement Between the FOMC and the Fed's Staff: New Insights Based on a Counterfactual Interest Rate," Research Papers in Economics 2017-10, University of Trier, Department of Economics.
    14. Barry Eichengreen & Rebecca Mari & Gregory Thwaites, 2018. "Will Brexit Age Well? Cohorts, Seasoning and the Age-Leave Gradient, Past, Present and Future," NBER Working Papers 25219, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    15. Heiss, Florian & Hurd, Michael & Rossmann, Tobias & Winter, Joachim & van Rooij, Maarten, 2019. "Dynamics and Heterogeneity of Subjective Stock Market Expectations," Rationality and Competition Discussion Paper Series 157, CRC TRR 190 Rationality and Competition.
    16. Francisco Ruge‐Murcia, 2022. "How do central banks make decisions?," Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 55(4), pages 1643-1670, November.
    17. Jaime Marquez & S Yanki Kalfa, 2021. "The Forecasts of Individual FOMC Members: New Evidence after Ten Years," Working Papers 2021-003, The George Washington University, The Center for Economic Research.
    18. Guido Schultefrankenfeld, 2020. "Appropriate monetary policy and forecast disagreement at the FOMC," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(1), pages 223-255, January.
    19. Jessica A. Wachter & Michael Jacob Kahana, 2019. "A Retrieved-Context Theory Of Financial Decisions," NBER Working Papers 26200, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    20. Donato Masciandaro & Paola Profeta & Davide Romelli, 2020. "Do Women Matter in Monetary Policy Boards?," BAFFI CAREFIN Working Papers 20148, BAFFI CAREFIN, Centre for Applied Research on International Markets Banking Finance and Regulation, Universita' Bocconi, Milano, Italy.
    21. Strong, Christine & Yayi, Constant L., 2024. "Do central bankers' characteristics matter for Africa? Ethnic favoritism, fractionalization, and inflation," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
    22. Beckworth, David, 2017. "Permanent versus temporary monetary base Injections: Implications for past and future Fed Policy," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 54(PA), pages 110-126.
    23. Lukas Haffert & Nils Redeker & Tobias Rommel, 2021. "Misremembering Weimar: Hyperinflation, the Great Depression, and German collective economic memory," Economics and Politics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 33(3), pages 664-686, November.
    24. Apel, Mikael & Blix Grimaldi, Marianna & Hull, Isaiah, 2019. "How Much Information Do Monetary Policy Committees Disclose? Evidence from the FOMC's Minutes and Transcripts," Working Paper Series 381, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden).
    25. Barry Eichengreen & Rebecca Maria Mari & Gregory Thwaites, 2021. "Will Brexit Age Well? Cohorts, Seasoning and the Age–Leave Gradient: On the Evolution of UK Support for the European Union," Economica, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 88(352), pages 1130-1143, October.
    26. Farvaque, Etienne & Malan, Franck & Stanek, Piotr, 2020. "Misplaced childhood: When recession children grow up as central bankers," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
    27. Ulrike Malmendier, 2018. "Behavioral Corporate Finance," NBER Working Papers 25162, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    28. Jan C. van Ours, 2022. "How Retirement Affects Mental Health, Cognitive Skills and Mortality; an Overview of Recent Empirical Evidence," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 22-050/V, Tinbergen Institute.
    29. Liang, Hao & Wang, Rong & Zhu, Haikun, 2020. "Growing up under Mao and Deng: On the ideological determinants of corporate policies," BOFIT Discussion Papers 20/2020, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT).
    30. Malmendier, Ulrike & Szeidl, Adam, 2020. "Fishing for fools," Games and Economic Behavior, Elsevier, vol. 122(C), pages 105-129.

  17. Nagel, Stefan & Kuhnen, Camelia & Das, Sreyoshi, 2017. "Socioeconomic Status and Macroeconomic Expectations," CEPR Discussion Papers 12464, Centre for Economic Policy Research.

    Cited by:

    1. Pavlova, Lora, 2024. "Framing effects in consumer expectations surveys," ZEW Discussion Papers 24-036, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
    2. Antoinette Schoar & Kelvin Yeung & Luo Zuo, 2020. "The Effect of Managers on Systematic Risk," NBER Working Papers 27487, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    3. Lena Dräger & Michal Marenčák & Giang Nghiem & Maritta Paloviita, 2026. "Heterogeneity in Consumers' Economic Expectations Across Euro Area Countries," CESifo Working Paper Series 12725, CESifo.
    4. Maarten Meeuwis & Jonathan A. Parker & Antoinette Schoar & Duncan Simester, 2022. "Belief Disagreement and Portfolio Choice," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 77(6), pages 3191-3247, December.
    5. D'Acunto, Francesco & Hoang, Daniel & Paloviita, Maritta & Weber, Michael, 2019. "IQ, expectations, and choice," Working Paper Series in Economics 127, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Department of Economics and Management.
    6. Hie Joo Ahn & Choongryul Yang, 2022. "Effects of Monetary Policy on Household Expectations: The Role of Homeownership," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2022-065, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    7. Eleonora Granziera & Vegard H. Larsen & Greta Meggiorini & Leonardo Melosi, 2025. "Speaking of Inflation: The Influence of Fed Speeches on Expectations," CESifo Working Paper Series 11992, CESifo.
    8. Goldfayn-Frank, Olga & Wohlfart, Johannes, 2018. "How do consumers adapt to a new environment in their economic forecasting? Evidence from the German reunification," IMFS Working Paper Series 129, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
    9. Çekin, Semih Emre & Polattimur, Hamza, 2025. "Televised inflation: Measuring TV news coverage and its effect on household expectations," ZEW Discussion Papers 25-051, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
    10. Yusuke Aoki & Joon Suk Park & Yuya Takada & Koji Takahashi, 2025. "Expecting Job Replacement by GenAI: Effects on Workers' Economic Outlook and Behavior," IMES Discussion Paper Series 25-E-04, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan.
    11. Christopher Roth & Sonja Settele & Johannes Wohlfart, 2020. "Risk Exposure and Acquisition of Macroeconomic Information," CESifo Working Paper Series 8634, CESifo.
    12. Becker, Christoph & Dürsch, Peter & Eife, Thomas A. & Glas, Alexander, 2023. "Households' probabilistic inflation expectations in high-inflation regimes," FAU Discussion Papers in Economics 01/2023, Friedrich-Alexander University Erlangen-Nuremberg, Institute for Economics.
    13. Bazley, William J. & Bonaparte, Yosef & Korniotis, George M., 2021. "Financial Self-awareness: Who Knows What They Don’t Know?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 38(C).
    14. Philipp Roderweis & Alexander Toplitsch, 2026. "From traits to rates: How personality shapes inflation expectations (Philipp Roderweis, Alexander Toplitsch)," Working Papers 272, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank).
    15. Bucher-Koenen, Tabea & Fessler, Pirmin & Silgoner, Maria Antoinette, 2023. "Households' financial resilience, risk perceptions, and financial literacy: Evidence from a survey experiment," ZEW Discussion Papers 23-074, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
    16. Lulu Yuan & Xue Wang & Meizhen Zhao & Chaowei Guo & Shuang Zang, 2024. "Unveiling a Positive Association Between Subjective Socioeconomic Status and Government Work Evaluation," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 171(3), pages 1043-1064, February.
    17. Bui, Dzung & Dräger, Lena & Hayo, Bernd & Nghiem, Giang, 2021. "The Effects of Fiscal Policy on Households during the COVID-19 Pandemic: Evidence from Emerging Economies," Hannover Economic Papers (HEP) dp-685, Leibniz Universität Hannover, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät.
    18. Heikkinen, Joni & Heimonen, Kari, 2024. "Media tone: The role of news and social media on heterogeneous inflation expectations," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 8/2024, Bank of Finland.
    19. Gerotto, Luca & Paradiso, Antonio & Pellizzari, Paolo, 2025. "A tale of inattentiveness and the loss function: A model for household-level macroeconomic expectations," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 236(C).
    20. Tobin Hanspal & Annika Weber & Johannes Wohlfart, 2020. "Exposure to the COVID-19 Stock Market Crash and its Effect on Household Expectations," CEBI working paper series 20-13, University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics. The Center for Economic Behavior and Inequality (CEBI).
    21. Yoontae Hwang & Yongjae Lee & Frank J. Fabozzi, 2023. "Identifying household finance heterogeneity via deep clustering," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 325(2), pages 1255-1289, June.
    22. Itzhak Ben-David & Elyas Fermand & Camelia M. Kuhnen & Geng Li, 2018. "Expectations Uncertainty and Household Economic Behavior," NBER Working Papers 25336, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    23. Jun Hyung Kim & Jin-Hwan Kim & Jong Jae Lee & Deok Hyun Jang & Won Mo Jang, 2024. "Association Between COVID-19 Risk Perceptions and Economic Expectations During the Pandemic in South Korea," SAGE Open, , vol. 14(4), pages 21582440241, November.
    24. Dovern, Jonas & Glas, Alexander, 2025. "Uncertainty and rounding in expectation surveys," Discussion Papers 22/2025, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    25. Peter Andre & Carlo Pizzinelli & Christopher Roth & Johannes Wohlfart, 2021. "Subjective Models of the Macroeconomy: Evidence From Experts and Representative Samples," ECONtribute Discussion Papers Series 119, University of Bonn and University of Cologne, Germany.
    26. Yushui Shi & Chris Veld & Haiying Yin, 2025. "Does time heal all wounds? Psychological responses to trauma and financial risk‐taking," The Financial Review, Eastern Finance Association, vol. 60(1), pages 33-70, February.
    27. Jonas Dovern & Lena Sophia Müller & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2022. "Local Information and Firm Expectations about Aggregates," CESifo Working Paper Series 9826, CESifo.
    28. Buchanan, Bonnie & Silvola, Hanna & Vähämaa, Emilia, 2023. "Sustainability and private investors," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 14/2023, Bank of Finland.
    29. Roth, Christopher & Wohlfart, Johannes, 2018. "How do expectations about the macroeconomy affect personal expectations and behavior?," IMFS Working Paper Series 128, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
    30. Kuang, Pei & Luca, Davide & Wei, Zhiwu, 2026. "Ballots, budgets and bricks: Brexit and the polarisation of individual economic behaviours," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 138681, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    31. Jonas Dovern & Lena Sophia Müller & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2020. "How Do Firms Form Expectations of Aggregate Growth? New Evidence from a Large-Scale Business Survey," CESifo Working Paper Series 8179, CESifo.
    32. Larson, William D. & Makridis, Christos A. & Redmer, Chad A., 2025. "Borrower expectations and mortgage performance: Evidence from the COVID-19 pandemic," Journal of Financial Intermediation, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    33. Rüdiger Weber & Annika Weber & Christine Laudenbach & Johannes Wohlfart, 2021. "Beliefs About the Stock Market and Investment Choices: Evidence from a Field Experiment," CEBI working paper series 21-17, University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics. The Center for Economic Behavior and Inequality (CEBI).
    34. Lindner, Axel & Heinisch, Katja, 2019. "Economic Sentiment in Europe: Disentangling Private Information from Public Knowledge," VfS Annual Conference 2019 (Leipzig): 30 Years after the Fall of the Berlin Wall - Democracy and Market Economy 203501, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    35. Teresa Messner & Fabio Rumler, 2023. "Inflation expectations of Austrian households and firms amid high inflation," Monetary Policy & the Economy, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue Q4/22-Q1/, pages 55-66.
    36. Andrea Buraschi & Paul Whelan, 2022. "Speculation, Sentiment, and Interest Rates," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 68(3), pages 2308-2329, March.
    37. Francesco D'Acunto & Fiorella De Fiore & Damiano Sandri & Michael Weber, 2025. "A global survey of household perceptions and expectations," BIS Quarterly Review, Bank for International Settlements, September.
    38. Becker, Christoph Karl & Duersch, Peter & Eife, Thomas & Glas, Alexander, 2025. "Personalizing probabilistic survey scales," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 236(C).
    39. Bui, Dzung & Dräger, Lena & Hayo, Bernd & Nghiem, Giang, 2021. "The Effects of Fiscal Policy on Households during the COVID-19 Pandemic," VfS Annual Conference 2021 (Virtual Conference): Climate Economics 242464, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    40. Ghosh, Taniya & Gorsi, Abhishek, 2025. "Peer influence and inflation expectations: Evidence from households’ social comparisons," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
    41. Pavlova, Lora, 2025. "Framing effects in consumer expectations surveys," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 231(C).
    42. Pascal Kieren & Christian König-Kersting & Robert Schmidt & Stefan Trautmann & Franziska Heinicke, 2023. "First-Order and Higher-Order Inflation Expectations: Evidence about Households and Firms," Working Papers 2023-10, Faculty of Economics and Statistics, Universität Innsbruck.
    43. D'Acunto, Francesco & Fuster, Andreas & Weber, Michael, 2021. "Diverse Policy Committees Can Reach Underrepresented Groups," LawFin Working Paper Series 21, Goethe University, Center for Advanced Studies on the Foundations of Law and Finance (LawFin).
    44. Ye, Zihan & Zou, Xiaopeng & Post, Thomas & Mo, Weiqiao & Yang, Qianqian, 2022. "Too old to plan? Age identity and financial planning among the older population of China," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    45. George-Marios Angeletos & Zhen Huo & Karthik A. Sastry, 2020. "Imperfect Macroeconomic Expectations: Evidence and Theory," NBER Working Papers 27308, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    46. Sarantis Tsiaplias, 2021. "Consumer inflation expectations, income changes and economic downturns," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(6), pages 784-807, September.
    47. Ambrocio, Gene & Hasan, Iftekhar, 2022. "Belief polarization and Covid-19," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 10/2022, Bank of Finland.
    48. Maya Haran Rosen & Orly Sade, 2021. "The Disparate Effect of Nudges on Minority Groups," Bank of Israel Working Papers 2021.21, Bank of Israel.
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    1. Eidam, Frederik, 2020. "Gap-filling government debt maturity choice," ESRB Working Paper Series 110, European Systemic Risk Board.
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    5. Hanming Fang & Yongqin Wang & Xian Wu, 2020. "The Collateral Channel of Monetary Policy: Evidence from China," PIER Working Paper Archive 20-008, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
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    12. Pateiro-Rodríguez, Carlos & Freire-Seoane, María Jesús & López-Bermúdez, Beatriz & Pateiro-López, Carlos, 2020. "Análisis de la tendencia a la liquidez del agregado monetario M3 en la eurozona: 1997-2018," El Trimestre Económico, Fondo de Cultura Económica, vol. 87(345), pages 171-201, enero-mar.
    13. Yuriy Kitsul & Oleg V. Sokolinskiy & Jonathan H. Wright, 2026. "Market Effects of Central Bank Credit Markets Support Programs in Europe," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 58(4), pages 937-967, June.
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    1. Asger Lau Andersen & Niels Johannesen & Mia Jørgensen & José-Luis Peydró, 2020. "Monetary policy and inequality," Economics Working Papers 1761, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, revised Mar 2021.
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    7. Xu, Rong & Liu, Yaodong & Hu, Nan & Guo, Jie (Michael), 2022. "What drives individual investors in the bear market?," The British Accounting Review, Elsevier, vol. 54(6).
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    9. Cai, Yang & Chen, Shuo & Li, Dongxu, 2025. "The Long-term effect of social disasters on stock market participation," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).

  20. Stefan Nagel, 2014. "The Liquidity Premium of Near-Money Assets," NBER Working Papers 20265, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

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    1. Jarrow, Robert & Lamichhane, Sujan, 2022. "Risk premia, asset price bubbles, and monetary policy," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
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    4. Lee, Seungduck, 2016. "Money, Asset Prices and the Liquidity Premium," MPRA Paper 75869, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Maxime Phillot & Samuel Reynard, 2021. "Monetary policy financial transmission and treasury liquidity premia," Working Papers 2021-14, Swiss National Bank.
    6. Patrick Augustin & Mikhail Chernov & Lukas Schmid & Dongho Song, 2019. "Benchmark Interest Rates When the Government is Risky," NBER Working Papers 26429, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    7. Charles Engel & Dohyeon Lee & Chang Liu & Chenxin Liu & Steve Pak Yeung Wu, 2017. "The Uncovered Interest Parity Puzzle, Exchange Rate Forecasting, and Taylor Rules," NBER Working Papers 24059, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    8. van Binsbergen, Jules H. & Diamond, William F. & Grotteria, Marco, 2022. "Risk-free interest rates," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 143(1), pages 1-29.
    9. Nadav Ben Zeev & Noam Ben-Ze’ev & Daniel Nathan, 2025. "Capital Inflow Shocks and Convenience Yields," Working Papers 2503, Ben-Gurion University of the Negev, Department of Economics.
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    12. Lee, Seungduck, 2016. "Money, Asset Prices and the Liquidity Premium," MPRA Paper 74010, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    13. Benigno, Pierpaolo & Robatto, Roberto, 2016. "Private Money Creation and Equilibrium Liquidity," CEPR Discussion Papers 11242, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    14. Maik Schmeling & Andreas Schrimpf & Sigurd A. M. Steffensen, 2022. "Monetary policy expectation errors," BIS Working Papers 996, Bank for International Settlements.
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    164. Begenau, Juliane, 2020. "Capital requirements, risk choice, and liquidity provision in a business-cycle model," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 136(2), pages 355-378.
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  21. Arvind Krishnamurthy & Stefan Nagel, 2013. "Interpreting Repo Statistics in the Flow of Funds Accounts," NBER Working Papers 19389, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Cited by:

    1. Roberto Robatto, 2015. "Financial Crises and Systemic Bank Runs in a Dynamic Model of Banking," 2015 Meeting Papers 483, Society for Economic Dynamics.

  22. Nagel, Stefan & Korteweg, Arthur, 2013. "Risk-Adjusting the Returns to Venture Capital," CEPR Discussion Papers 9610, Centre for Economic Policy Research.

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    1. Taylor D. Nadauld & Berk A. Sensoy & Keith Vorkink & Michael S. Weisbach, 2016. "The Liquidity Cost of Private Equity Investments: Evidence from Secondary Market Transactions," NBER Working Papers 22404, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. Serge Darolles & Sara Ain Tommar, 2017. "Permanent capital, permanent struggle? New evidence from listed private equity," Post-Print hal-04582271, HAL.
    3. Godwin, Alexander, 2022. "Estimating illiquid asset class alpha and beta using secondary transaction prices," MPRA Paper 112510, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Robinson, David T. & Sensoy, Berk A., 2016. "Cyclicality, performance measurement, and cash flow liquidity in private equity," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 122(3), pages 521-543.
    5. Will Gornall & Oleg R. Gredil & Sabrina T. Howell & Xing Liu & Jason Sockin, 2025. "Do Employees Cheer for Private Equity? The Heterogeneous Effects of Buyouts on Job Quality," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 71(5), pages 4287-4317, May.
    6. Barber, Brad M. & Yasuda, Ayako, 2017. "Interim fund performance and fundraising in private equity," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 124(1), pages 172-194.
    7. Balázs FazekasBalázs Fazekas, 2016. "Value-Creating Uncertainty – A Real Options Approach in Venture Capital," Financial and Economic Review, Magyar Nemzeti Bank (Central Bank of Hungary), vol. 15(4), pages 151-166.
    8. Arpit Gupta & Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh, 2021. "Valuing Private Equity Investments Strip by Strip," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 76(6), pages 3255-3307, December.
    9. Itamar Drechsler & Hyeyoon Jung & Weiyu Peng & Dominik Supera & Guanyu Zhou, 2025. "Credit Card Banking," Staff Reports 1143, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    10. Ljungqvist, Alexander & Bircan, Cagatay & Biesinger, Markus, 2020. "Value Creation in Private Equity," CEPR Discussion Papers 14676, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    11. Shawn Cole & Martin Melecky & Florian Mölders & Tristan Reed, 2026. "Long-Run Returns to Private Equity in Emerging Markets," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 72(3), pages 2041-2063, March.
    12. Niklas Hüther & David T. Robinson & Sönke Sievers & Thomas Hartmann-Wendels, 2020. "Paying for Performance in Private Equity: Evidence from Venture Capital Partnerships," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 66(4), pages 1756-1782, April.
    13. Brian Boyer & Taylor D. Nadauld & Keith P. Vorkink & Michael S. Weisbach, 2018. "Private Equity Indices Based on Secondary Market Transactions," NBER Working Papers 25207, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    14. Yunqi Liang & Hasan Ugur Koyluoglu & Fuat Alican & Yigit Ihlamur, 2026. "Beyond Picking Winners: Correlation-Driven Tail Risk in Venture Capital Portfolio Construction," Papers 2604.23087, arXiv.org.
    15. Martin Meier & Leopold Sögner, 2023. "Hunting for superstars," Mathematics and Financial Economics, Springer, volume 17, number 1, March.
    16. Roland Füss & Stefan Morkoetter & Maria Oliveira, 2025. "Investing in Your Alumni: Endowments’ Investment Choices in Private Equity," Journal of Financial Services Research, Springer;Western Finance Association, vol. 68(1), pages 1-50, August.
    17. Anita Mezzetti & Loic Mar'echal & Dimitri Percia David & William Lacube & S'ebastien Gillard & Michael Tsesmelis & Thomas Maillart & Alain Mermoud, 2022. "TechRank," Papers 2210.07824, arXiv.org.
    18. Robert S. Harris & Tim Jenkinson & Steven N. Kaplan & Ruediger Stucke, 2020. "Has Persistence Persisted in Private Equity? Evidence from Buyout and Venture Capital Funds," Working Papers 2020-167, Becker Friedman Institute for Research In Economics.
    19. Barber, Brad M. & Morse, Adair & Yasuda, Ayako, 2021. "Impact investing," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 139(1), pages 162-185.
    20. Chambers, David & , & Spaenjers, Christophe, 2020. "Art as an Asset: Evidence from Keynes the Collector," CEPR Discussion Papers 14357, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    21. Aleksandar Andonov, 2024. "Delegated Investment Management in Alternative Assets," The Review of Corporate Finance Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 13(1), pages 264-301.
    22. Boyan Jovanovic & Sai Ma & Peter L. Rousseau, 2022. "Private equity and growth," Journal of Economic Growth, Springer, vol. 27(3), pages 315-363, September.
    23. Gornall, Will & Strebulaev, Ilya A., 2020. "Squaring venture capital valuations with reality," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 135(1), pages 120-143.
    24. Tereza Tykvová, 2018. "Venture capital and private equity financing: an overview of recent literature and an agenda for future research," Journal of Business Economics, Springer, vol. 88(3), pages 325-362, May.
    25. William Gornall & Ilya A. Strebulaev, 2017. "Squaring Venture Capital Valuations with Reality," NBER Working Papers 23895, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    26. Buchner, Axel, 2016. "Dealing with non-normality when estimating abnormal returns and systematic risk of private equity: A closed-form solution," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 60-78.
    27. Daniel R. Cavagnaro & Berk A. Sensoy & Yingdi Wang & Michael S. Weisbach, 2016. "Measuring Institutional Investors’ Skill from Their Investments in Private Equity," NBER Working Papers 22547, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    28. Matthias Huss & Daniel Steger, 2020. "Diversification and Fund Performance—An Analysis of Buyout Funds," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 13(6), pages 1-17, June.
    29. Agarwal, Vikas & Barber, Brad M. & Cheng, Si & Hameed, Allaudeen & Shanker, Harshini & Yasuda, Ayako, 2023. "Do investors overvalue startups? Evidence from the junior stakes of mutual funds," CFR Working Papers 23-04, University of Cologne, Centre for Financial Research (CFR).
    30. Jason Roderick Donaldson & Giorgia Piacentino & Anjan Thakor, 2021. "Intermediation Variety," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 76(6), pages 3103-3152, December.
    31. Ahern, Kenneth R. & Giacoletti, Marco, 2026. "The redistribution of housing wealth caused by rent control," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).
    32. Vikas Agarwal & Brad Barber & Si Cheng & Allaudeen Hameed & Ayako Yasuda, 2023. "Private Company Valuations by Mutual Funds," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 27(2), pages 693-738.
    33. Lahr, Henry, 2023. "Fat tails in private equity fund returns: The smooth double Pareto distribution," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
    34. Kallenos, Theodosis L. & Nishiotis, George P., 2023. "Market-based private equity returns," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 157(C).
    35. van Binsbergen, Jules H. & Boons, Martijn & Opp, Christian C. & Tamoni, Andrea, 2023. "Dynamic asset (mis)pricing: Build-up versus resolution anomalies," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 147(2), pages 406-431.
    36. Kurtović, Hrvoje & Markarian, Garen, 2024. "Tail risks and private equity performance," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    37. Gregory W. Brown & Oleg R. Gredil & Steven N. Kaplan, 2016. "Do Private Equity Funds Manipulate Reported Returns?," NBER Working Papers 22493, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    38. Shumiao Ouyang & Jiaheng Yu & Ravi Jagannathan, 2020. "Return to Venture Capital in the Aggregate," NBER Working Papers 27690, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    39. Braun, Reiner & Jenkinson, Tim & Stoff, Ingo, 2017. "How persistent is private equity performance? Evidence from deal-level data," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 123(2), pages 273-291.
    40. Imbierowicz, Björn & Rauch, Christian, 2024. "What drives startup valuations?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 168(C).
    41. Max Berre & Benjamin Le Pendeven, 2023. "What do we know about startup-valuation drivers? A systematic literature review 1," Post-Print hal-04232855, HAL.
    42. Hellmann, Thomas & Montag, Alexander & Tåg, Joacim, 2024. "Financing J-Curves in Venture Capital," Working Paper Series 1500, Research Institute of Industrial Economics, revised 31 Mar 2026.
    43. Loic Mar'echal & Alain Mermoud & Dimitri Percia David & Mathias Humbert, 2024. "Measuring the performance of investments in information security startups: An empirical analysis by cybersecurity sectors using Crunchbase data," Papers 2402.04765, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2024.
    44. Korteweg, Arthur & Sorensen, Morten, 2017. "Skill and luck in private equity performance," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 124(3), pages 535-562.

  23. Nagel, Stefan, 2012. "Evaporating Liquidity," CEPR Discussion Papers 8775, Centre for Economic Policy Research.

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    1. Jacobs, Heiko, 2015. "What explains the dynamics of 100 anomalies?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 65-85.
    2. Paul, Thomas & Aryoubi, Abdullah & Walther, Thomas, 2025. "Reassessing the Illiquidity-Return Relationship: Evidence from Germany, the UK, and the U.S," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 106(C).
    3. Zhang, Jinhua & Mao, Rui & Wang, Jieyu & Xing, Mengying, 2021. "The way back home: Trading behaviours of foreign institutional investors in China amid the COVID-19 pandemic," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    4. Ignashkina, Anna & Rinne, Kalle & Suominen, Matti, 2022. "Short-term reversals, returns to liquidity provision and the costs of immediacy," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 138(C).
    5. Ramos, Henrique Pinto & Righi, Marcelo Brutti, 2020. "Liquidity, implied volatility and tail risk: A comparison of liquidity measures," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    6. Jingzhi Chen & Charlie X. Cai & Robert Faff & Yongcheol Shin, 2022. "Nonlinear limits to arbitrage," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(6), pages 1084-1113, June.
    7. Byun, Suk-Joon & Goh, Jihoon & Kim, Da-Hea, 2020. "The role of psychological barriers in lottery-related anomalies," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
    8. Bandi, Federico M. & Chaudhuri, Shomesh E. & Lo, Andrew W. & Tamoni, Andrea, 2021. "Spectral factor models," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 142(1), pages 214-238.
    9. Gatchev, Vladimir A. & Seth, Rama & Singh, Ajai & Vishwanatha, S.R., 2023. "Price bands and their effects on equity markets: Evidence from a natural experiment," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    10. Karim Iddouch & Sara Loukili, 2026. "Geopolitical risk and global banking stability: the role of financial architecture, institutional quality, and regional integration," Journal of Banking Regulation, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 27(3), pages 1-25, September.
    11. John M. Griffin & Amin Shams, 2020. "Is Bitcoin Really Untethered?," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 75(4), pages 1913-1964, August.
    12. Zhang, Zhi-Yu & Xie, Chi & Wang, Gang-Jin & Zhu, You & Li, Xiao-Xin, 2025. "From noise to signals: Investor attention as a catalyst for the momentum effect in the Chinese stock market," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    13. Della Corte, Pasquale & Ramadorai, Tarun & Sarno, Lucio, 2016. "Volatility risk premia and exchange rate predictability," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 120(1), pages 21-40.
    14. Abad, David & Massot, Magdalena & Nawn, Samarpan & Pascual, Roberto & Yagüe, José, 2025. "Message traffic and short-term illiquidity in high-speed markets," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    15. Ruenzi, Stefan & Ungeheuer, Michael & Weigert, Florian, 2020. "Joint extreme events in equity returns and liquidity and their cross-sectional pricing implications," CFR Working Papers 20-01, University of Cologne, Centre for Financial Research (CFR).
    16. Shabir, Mohsin & Jiang, Ping & Shahab, Yasir & Wang, Peng, 2023. "Geopolitical, economic uncertainty and bank risk: Do CEO power and board strength matter?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
    17. Ardia, David & Guidotti, Emanuele & Kroencke, Tim A., 2024. "Efficient estimation of bid–ask spreads from open, high, low, and close prices," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 161(C).
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    22. Bruno Biais & Fany Declerck & Sophie Moinas, 2016. "Who supplies liquidity, how and when?," BIS Working Papers 563, Bank for International Settlements.
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    30. Vincent Bogousslavsky, 2016. "Infrequent Rebalancing, Return Autocorrelation, and Seasonality," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 71(6), pages 2967-3006, December.
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    32. Erkko Etula & Kalle Rinne & Matti Suominen & Lauri Vaittinen, 2020. "Dash for Cash: Monthly Market Impact of Institutional Liquidity Needs," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 33(1), pages 75-111.
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    39. Bin Li & Mohan Venkatachalam, 2025. "The value of equal access to mandatory disclosure: evidence from the Great Postal Strike of 1970," Review of Accounting Studies, Springer, vol. 30(2), pages 1397-1431, June.
    40. Coppola, Anna & Urga, Giovanni & Varaldo, Alessandro, 2025. "Asset class liquidity risk indicators. Timing the risk in the European and US equity and bond markets," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
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    238. Chen, Chen & Stivers, Chris & Sun, Licheng, 2024. "Short-term momentum and reversals, turnover, and a stock’s price-to-52-week-high ratio," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
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    245. Neszveda, Gábor & Vágó, Ákos, 2021. "A likviditásnyújtás kereskedési stratégiájának hozamvizsgálata a magyar részvénypiacon [Examining trade-strategy results of liquidity provision on the Hungarian stock market]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(7), pages 794-814.
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    Cited by:

    1. Jacobs, Heiko, 2015. "What explains the dynamics of 100 anomalies?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 65-85.
    2. Hellwig, Christian & Albagli, Elias & Tsyvinski, Aleh, 2017. "Imperfect Financial Markets and Investment Inefficiencies," CEPR Discussion Papers 12045, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    3. Delao, Ricardo & Han, Xiao & Myers, Sean, 2025. "The return of return dominance: Decomposing the cross-section of prices," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 169(C).
    4. Jiho Park, 2024. "Heterogeneous Beliefs Model of Stock Market Predictability," Papers 2406.08448, arXiv.org.
    5. Hahn, Jaehoon & Yoon, Heebin, 2016. "Determinants of the cross-sectional stock returns in Korea: evaluating recent empirical evidence," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 88-106.
    6. Joel M. Vanden, 2021. "Equilibrium asset pricing and the cross section of expected returns," Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 17(2), pages 153-186, June.
    7. Bianconi, Marcelo & Esposito, Federico & Sammon, Marco, 2021. "Trade policy uncertainty and stock returns," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 119(C).
    8. Hanauer, Matthias X. & Lesnevski, Pavel & Smajlbegovic, Esad, 2023. "Surprise in short interest," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    9. Morana, Claudio, 2014. "Insights on the global macro-finance interface: Structural sources of risk factor fluctuations and the cross-section of expected stock returns," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 64-79.
    10. Byrne, Joseph P & Ibrahim, Boulis Maher & Sakemoto, Ryuta, 2017. "The Time-Varying Risk Price of Currency Carry Trades," MPRA Paper 80788, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    11. Xu, Zhiwei & Wang, Xuefei & Zhang, Teng, 2024. "The international natural gas price and its cross-sectional pricing implication: Evidence from Chinese stock market," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 313(C).
    12. Chen, Xing & Huang, Rui & Wu, Chongfeng, 2026. "Quantile auto-encode narrative asset pricing model in the Chinese stock market," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 96(C).
    13. Fletcher, Jonathan, 2018. "Betas V characteristics: Do stock characteristics enhance the investment opportunity set in U.K. stock returns?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 114-129.
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    15. Hongyi Liu, 2025. "Deep Learning for Conditional Asset Pricing Models," Papers 2509.04812, arXiv.org.
    16. Minshuo Chen & Renyuan Xu & Yumin Xu & Ruixun Zhang, 2025. "Diffusion Factor Models: Generating High-Dimensional Returns with Factor Structure," Papers 2504.06566, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2026.
    17. Adam Zaremba, 2019. "The Cross Section of Country Equity Returns: A Review of Empirical Literature," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 12(4), pages 1-26, October.
    18. Xu, Zhiwei & Gou, Xinyi & Zhang, Teng, 2025. "Have the Chinese crude oil futures prices made a progress towards becoming the regional oil pricing benchmark? Empirical analysis from the asset pricing perspective," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 145(C).
    19. Matias D. Cattaneo & Richard K. Crump & Weining Wang, 2022. "Beta-Sorted Portfolios," Papers 2208.10974, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2024.
    20. DeMiguel, Victor & Martin-Utrera, Alberto & Nogales, Francisco J. & Uppal, Raman, 2017. "A Portfolio Perspective on the Multitude of Firm Characteristics," CEPR Discussion Papers 12417, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    21. Park, Dojoon & Kang, Yong Joo & Eom, Young Ho, 2024. "Asset pricing tests for pandemic risk," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(PA), pages 1314-1334.
    22. Elias Albagli & Christian Hellwig & Aleh Tsyvinski, 2017. "Imperfect Financial Markets and Shareholder Incentives in Partial and General Equilibrium," NBER Working Papers 23419, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    23. Maio, Paulo & Philip, Dennis, 2018. "Economic activity and momentum profits: Further evidence," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 466-482.

  25. Krishnamurthy, Arvind & Nagel, Stefan & Orlov, Dmitry, 2012. "Sizing Up Repo," CEPR Discussion Papers 8795, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    • Arvind Krishnamurthy & Stefan Nagel & Dmitry Orlov, 2014. "Sizing Up Repo," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 69(6), pages 2381-2417, December.

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    2. Corradin, Stefano & Heider, Florian & Hoerova, Marie, 2017. "On collateral: implications for financial stability and monetary policy," Working Paper Series 2107, European Central Bank.
    3. Edward L. Owens & Joanna Shuang Wu, 2015. "Quarter-end repo borrowing dynamics and bank risk opacity," Review of Accounting Studies, Springer, vol. 20(3), pages 1164-1209, September.
    4. Weerachart T. Kilenthong & Robert M. Townsend, 2014. "A Market Based Solution to Price Externalities: A Generalized Framework," NBER Working Papers 20275, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    5. Ranaldo, Angelo & Rupprecht, Matthias, 2016. "The Forward Premium in Short-Term Rates," Working Papers on Finance 1619, University of St. Gallen, School of Finance, revised Sep 2019.
    6. Chang, Jin-Wook, 2021. "Contagion in Debt and Collateral Markets," MPRA Paper 111131, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Adam Copeland & Isaac Davis & Antoine Martin, 2015. "An empirical analysis of the GCF Repo® Service," Economic Policy Review, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, issue 2, pages 25-37.
    8. Jo Michell, 2016. "Do shadow banks create money? 'Financialisation' and the monetary circuit," Working Papers PKWP1605, Post Keynesian Economics Society (PKES).
    9. Sebastian Infante, 2013. "Repo collateral fire sales: the effects of exemption from automatic stay," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2013-83, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    10. Coen, Jamie & Coen, Patrick & Hüser, Anne-Caroline, 2024. "Collateral Demand in Wholesale Funding Markets," TSE Working Papers 130323, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE).
    11. Timmermann, Allan & Wermers, Russ, 2014. "Runs on Money Market Funds," CEPR Discussion Papers 9906, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    12. Zhiguo He & Stefan Nagel & Zhaogang Song, 2020. "Treasury Inconvenience Yields during the COVID-19 Crisis," NBER Working Papers 27416, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    13. Bengtsson, E., 2013. "Fund Management and Systemic Risk - Lessons from the Global Financial Crisis," CITYPERC Working Paper Series 2013-06, Department of International Politics, City St George's, University of London.
    14. Klingler, Sven & Syrstad, Olav, 2021. "Life after LIBOR," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 141(2), pages 783-801.
    15. Robert L. McDonald & Anna Paulson, 2015. "AIG in Hindsight," NBER Working Papers 21108, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    16. Sergio Correia & Stephan Luck & Emil Verner, 2025. "Failing Banks," Papers 2506.06082, arXiv.org.
    17. Arianna Miglietta & Cristina Picillo & Mario Pietrunti, 2015. "The impact of CCPs� margin policies on Repo markets," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1028, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    18. Aldasoro, Inaki & Balke, Florian & Barth, Andreas & Eren, Egemen, 2019. "Spillovers of funding dry-ups," SAFE Working Paper Series 259, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE.
    19. Wolski, Marcin & van de Leur, Michiel, 2016. "Interbank loans, collateral and modern monetary policy," Working Paper Series 1959, European Central Bank.
    20. Olav Syrstad, 2020. "Covered Interest Parity in long-dated securities," Working Paper 2020/11, Norges Bank.
    21. van Horen, Neeltje & Kotidis, Antonios, 2018. "Repo market functioning: The role of capital regulation," CEPR Discussion Papers 13090, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    22. Brian Begalle & Antoine Martin & James J. McAndrews & Susan McLaughlin, 2013. "The risk of fire sales in the tri-party repo market," Staff Reports 616, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    23. Andrew Ang & Dimitris Papanikolaou & Mark M. Westerfield, 2014. "Portfolio Choice with Illiquid Assets," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 60(11), pages 2737-2761, November.
    24. Adrian, Tobias & Liang, Nellie, 2016. "Monetary Policy, Financial Conditions, and Financial Stability," CEPR Discussion Papers 11394, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    25. Nyborg, Kjell G., 2017. "Reprint of: Central bank collateral frameworks," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 232-248.
    26. Benito, Enrique & Banal-Estanol, Albert & Khametshin, Dmitry, 2017. "Asset encumbrance and bank risk: First evidence from public disclosures in Europe," CEPR Discussion Papers 12168, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    27. Mark Gertler & Simon Gilchrist, 2018. "What Happened: Financial Factors in the Great Recession," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 32(3), pages 3-30, Summer.
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    29. Ebner, André & Fecht, Falko & Schulz, Alexander, 2016. "How central is central counterparty clearing? A deep dive into a European repo market during the crisis," Discussion Papers 14/2016, Deutsche Bundesbank.
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    31. Dong Beom Choi & Hyun-Soo Choi, 2016. "The effect of monetary policy on bank wholesale funding," Staff Reports 759, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    32. Donaldson, Jason Roderick & Micheler, Eva, 2018. "Resaleable debt and systemic risk," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 68068, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    33. Daniela Gabor & Cornel Ban, 2016. "Banking on Bonds: The New Links Between States and Markets," Journal of Common Market Studies, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 54(3), pages 617-635, May.
    34. Hossein Nabilou, 2020. "Testing the waters of the Rubicon: the European Central Bank and central bank digital currencies," Journal of Banking Regulation, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 21(4), pages 299-314, December.
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    36. Thomas, Carlos & Nuño, Galo, 2013. "Bank leverage cycles," Working Paper Series 1524, European Central Bank.
    37. Kristian Blickle & Markus Brunnermeier & Stephan Luck, 2020. "Micro-evidence from a System-wide Financial Meltdown: The German Crisis of 1931," Working Papers 275, Princeton University, Department of Economics, Center for Economic Policy Studies..
    38. Weerachart Kilenthong & Robert Townsend, 2016. "A Market Based Solution for Fire Sales and Other Pecuniary Externalities," PIER Discussion Papers 23, Puey Ungphakorn Institute for Economic Research.
    39. Li, Yi, 2021. "Reciprocal lending relationships in shadow banking," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 141(2), pages 600-619.
    40. Benedikt Ballensiefen & Angelo Ranaldo, 2019. "Safe Asset Carry Trade," Working Papers on Finance 1909, University of St. Gallen, School of Finance, revised Oct 2019.
    41. Justus Inhoffen & Iman van Lelyveld, 2023. "Safe Asset Scarcity and Re-use in the European Repo Market," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 2050, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
    42. Simona E. Cociuba & Malik Shukayev & Alexander Ueberfeldt, 2019. "Managing Risk Taking With Interest Rate Policy And Macroprudential Regulations," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 57(2), pages 1056-1081, April.
    43. Hanson, Samuel G. & Shleifer, Andrei & Stein, Jeremy C. & Vishny, Robert W., 2015. "Banks as patient fixed-income investors," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(3), pages 449-469.
    44. Simona Cociuba & Malik Shukayev & Alexander Ueberfeldt, 2011. "Do Low Interest Rates Sow the Seeds of Financial Crises?," Staff Working Papers 11-31, Bank of Canada.
    45. Asano, Koji, 2018. "Ignorant Experts and Financial Fragility," MPRA Paper 90830, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    46. Andrea Aguiar & Richard Bookstaber & Dror Y. Kenett & Thomas Wipf, 2016. "A Map of Collateral Uses and Flows," Working Papers 16-06, Office of Financial Research, US Department of the Treasury.
    47. Palan, R. & Nesvetailova, A., 2013. "The Governance of the Black Holes of the World Economy: Shadow Banking and Offshore Finance," CITYPERC Working Paper Series 2013-03, Department of International Politics, City St George's, University of London.
    48. Donaldson, Jason & Piacentino, Giorgia, 2019. "Money Runs," CEPR Discussion Papers 13955, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    49. Park, Hyun Woong, 2019. "Securitized banking, procyclical bank leverage, and financial instability," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 283-300.
    50. Gang Bai & Chunhui Chen, 2023. "Managing Information Sensitivity: The Relationship between the Interbank Offered Rate and the Characteristics of Bank-Issued Wealth Management Products in China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(2), pages 1-19, January.
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    52. Levy, Daniel & Mayer, Tamir & Raviv, Alon, 2022. "Economists in the 2008 Financial Crisis: Slow to See, Fast to Act," MPRA Paper 112008, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    53. Acharya, Viral V. & Fleming, Michael J. & Hrung, Warren B. & Sarkar, Asani, 2017. "Dealer financial conditions and lender-of-last-resort facilities," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 123(1), pages 81-107.
    54. Kristian S. Blickle & Markus K. Brunnermeier & Stephan Luck, 2022. "Who Can Tell Which Banks Will Fail?," Staff Reports 1005, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    55. Luck, Stephan & Schempp, Paul, 2015. "Banks, Shadow Banking, and Fragility," VfS Annual Conference 2015 (Muenster): Economic Development - Theory and Policy 113204, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    56. Amini, Hamed & Minca, Andreea & Sulem, Agnès, 2017. "Optimal equity infusions in interbank networks," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 1-17.
    57. Navid Mojir & Sriya Anbil, 2025. "The Value of Professional Ties in B2B Markets," Marketing Science, INFORMS, vol. 44(5), pages 1058-1081, September.
    58. Fernando Linardi & Cees Diks & Marco van der Leij & Iuri Lazier, 2018. "Dynamic Interbank Network Analysis Using Latent Space Models," Working Papers Series 487, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
    59. Schroth, Enrique & Suarez, Gustavo A. & Taylor, Lucian A., 2014. "Dynamic debt runs and financial fragility: Evidence from the 2007 ABCP crisis," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 112(2), pages 164-189.
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    63. Breckenfelder, Johannes & Hoerova, Marie, 2023. "Do non-banks need access to the lender of last resort? Evidence from fund runs," Working Paper Series 2805, European Central Bank.
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    65. Gaetano Antinolfi & Francesca Carapella & Francesco Carli, 2018. "Transparency and Collateral : Central versus Bilateral Clearing," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2018-017, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    66. Bulusu, Narayan & Guérin, Pierre, 2019. "What drives interbank loans? Evidence from Canada," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 106(C), pages 427-444.
    67. Haghani Rizi, Majid & Kishor, N. Kundan, 2017. "The Dynamic Relationship Among the Money Market Mutual Funds, the Commercial Paper Market and the Repo Market," MPRA Paper 83471, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    68. Simona E. Cociuba & Malik Shukayev & Alexander Ueberfeldt, 2012. "Collateralized Borrowing and Risk Taking at Low Interest Rates?," University of Western Ontario, Economic Policy Research Institute Working Papers 20121, University of Western Ontario, Economic Policy Research Institute.
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    6. Matias D. Cattaneo & Richard K. Crump & Max H. Farrell & Ernst Schaumburg, 2020. "Characteristic-Sorted Portfolios: Estimation and Inference," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 102(3), pages 531-551, July.
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    17. van Dijk, M.A., 2014. "The Social Value of Finance," ERIM Inaugural Address Series Research in Management EIA-2014-055-F&A, Erasmus Research Institute of Management (ERIM), ERIM is the joint research institute of the Rotterdam School of Management, Erasmus University and the Erasmus School of Economics (ESE) at Erasmus University Rotterdam..
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    39. Jaime Casassus & Freddy Higuera, 2011. "Stock Return Predictability and Oil Prices," Documentos de Trabajo 406, Instituto de Economia. Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile..
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    41. Kim, Soohun & Skoulakis, Georgios, 2018. "Ex-post risk premia estimation and asset pricing tests using large cross sections: The regression-calibration approach," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 204(2), pages 159-188.
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    44. Liyuan Cui & Guanhao Feng & Yongmiao Hong, 2024. "Regularized Gmm For Time‐Varying Models With Applications To Asset Pricing," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 65(2), pages 851-883, May.
    45. Peter Diep & Andrea L. Eisfeldt & Scott Richardson, 2021. "The Cross Section of MBS Returns," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 76(5), pages 2093-2151, October.
    46. Xun Lu & Liangjun Su, 2014. "Jackknife Model Averaging for Quantile Regressions," Working Papers 11-2014, Singapore Management University, School of Economics.
    47. Mathieu Fournier & Kris Jacobs & Piotr Orłowski, 2024. "Modeling Conditional Factor Risk Premia Implied by Index Option Returns," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 79(3), pages 2289-2338, June.

  27. Ulrike Malmendier & Stefan Nagel, 2009. "Depression Babies: Do Macroeconomic Experiences Affect Risk-Taking?," NBER Working Papers 14813, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

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    1. Bianchi, Milo & Liu, Zhengkai & Wang, Gang, 2022. "Are We Becoming Greener? Life-time Experiences and Responsible Investment," TSE Working Papers 22-1382, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE).
    2. Alessandro Bucciol & Luca Zarri, 2013. "Financial Risk Aversion and Personal Life History," Working Papers 05/2013, University of Verona, Department of Economics.
    3. Simon Dubecq & Benoît Mojon & Xavier Ragot, 2015. "Risk Shifting with Fuzzy Capital Constraints," PSE-Ecole d'économie de Paris (Postprint) halshs-01157527, HAL.
    4. Andrew Ang & Andrés Ayala & William N. Goetzmann, 2018. "Investment beliefs of endowments," European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 24(1), pages 3-33, January.
    5. Marcel Prokopczuk & Francesco D'Acunto & Michael Weber, 2015. "Distrust in Finance Lingers: Jewish Persecution and Households' Investments," 2015 Meeting Papers 26, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    6. Jie Zhou, 2018. "Household Stock Market Participation During the Great Financial Crisis," Departmental Working Papers 2018-02, The University of Winnipeg, Department of Economics.
    7. Trung X. Hoang & Nga V. T. Le, 2021. "Natural disasters and risk aversion: Evidence from Vietnam," Natural Resources Forum, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 45(3), pages 211-229, August.
    8. Andreas Fuster & Benjamin Hebert & David Laibson, 2011. "Natural Expectations, Macroeconomic Dynamics, and Asset Pricing," NBER Working Papers 17301, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    9. Booth, Alison L. & Meng, Xin & Fan, Elliott & Zhang, Dandan, 2018. "The Intergenerational Behavioural Consequences of a Socio-Political Upheaval," IZA Discussion Papers 11991, IZA Network @ LISER.
    10. Sarah Brown & Daniel Gray & Alberto Montagnoli, 2018. "Credit Supply Shocks and Household Leverage: Evidence from the US Banking Deregulation," Working Papers 2018009, The University of Sheffield, Department of Economics.
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    4. Josh R. Stillwagon, 2014. "Non-Linear Exchange Rate Relationships: An Automated Model Selection Approach with Indicator Saturation," Working Papers 1405, Trinity College, Department of Economics.
    5. Sarno, Lucio & Della Corte, Pasquale & Tsiakas, Ilias, 2010. "Spot and Forward Volatility in Foreign Exchange," CEPR Discussion Papers 7893, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    6. Fredy Gamboa-Estrada, 2016. "Carry Trade y Depreciaciones Bruscas del Tipo de Cambio en Colombia," Borradores de Economia 957, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    7. Stork, Philip & Koedijk, Kees & Slager, Alfred, 2015. "Investing in Systematic Factor Premiums," CEPR Discussion Papers 10824, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
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    9. Lu, Wenna & Copeland, Laurence & Xu, Yongdeng, 2021. "The Pricing of Unexpected Volatility in the Currency Market," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2021/16, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
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    26. Yamani, Ehab, 2019. "Diversification role of currency momentum for carry trade: Evidence from financial crises," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 1-19.
    27. Kinkyo, Takuji, 2021. "Region-wide connectedness of Asian equity and currency markets," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
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    29. Kohlscheen, Emanuel, 2014. "The impact of monetary policy on the exchange rate: A high frequency exchange rate puzzle in emerging economies," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 69-96.
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    35. Hong-Ghi Min & Judith A. McDonald & Sang-Ook Shin, 2016. "What Makes a Safe Haven? Equity and Currency Returns for Six OECD Countries during the Financial Crisis," Annals of Economics and Finance, Society for AEF, vol. 17(2), pages 365-402, November.
    36. Matthias Huss & Heinz Zimmermann, 2018. "The Pricing of Liquidity Risk in Buyout Funds – A Public Market Perspective," Schmalenbach Business Review, Springer;Schmalenbach-Gesellschaft, vol. 70(3), pages 285-312, July.
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    27. Charles Boissel & Adrien Matray, 2021. "Dividend Taxes and the Allocation of Capital," Working Papers 2021-39, Princeton University. Economics Department..
    28. Huang, Wei & Rhee, S. Ghon & Suzuki, Katsushi & Yasutake, Taeko, 2022. "Do investors value shareholder perks? Evidence from Japan," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
    29. Karpavičius, Sigitas & Yu, Fan, 2018. "The impact of dividend-protected CEO equity incentives on firm value and risk," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 16-24.
    30. Cuong Nguyen, 2019. "The asymmetry in firms’ mechanisms of cash holdings adjustments: evidence from the G-5 economies," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 53(2), pages 429-463, August.
    31. Sheng Guo & William G. Hardin, 2017. "Financial and Housing Wealth, Expenditures and the Dividend to Ownership," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 54(1), pages 58-96, January.
    32. Whitaker, James B. & Effland, Anne, 2009. "Income Stabilization Through Government Payments: How Is Farm Household Consumption Affected?," Agricultural and Resource Economics Review, Northeastern Agricultural and Resource Economics Association, vol. 38(01), pages 1-13, April.
    33. Balli, Faruk & De Bruin, Anne & Balli, Hatice Ozer & Karimov, Jamshid, 2020. "Corporate net income and payout smoothing under Shari'ah compliance," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
    34. Kumar, Alok & Lei, Zicheng & Zhang, Chendi, 2022. "Dividend sentiment, catering incentives, and return predictability," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    35. Marco Rossi, 2014. "Market Participation and Dividend Clienteles," Quarterly Journal of Finance (QJF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 4(04), pages 1-21.
    36. Golubov, Andrey & Lasfer, Meziane & Vitkova, Valeriya, 2020. "Active catering to dividend clienteles: Evidence from takeovers," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 137(3), pages 815-836.
    37. Korevaar, Matthijs, 2023. "Reaching for yield and the housing market: Evidence from 18th-century Amsterdam," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 148(3), pages 273-296.
    38. Hackethal, Andreas & Hanspal, Tobin & Hartzmark, Samuel M. & Bräuer, Konstantin, 2024. "Educating investors about dividends," CFS Working Paper Series 725, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
    39. Breuer, Wolfgang & Rieger, M. Oliver & Soypak, K. Can, 2014. "The behavioral foundations of corporate dividend policy a cross-country analysis," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 247-265.
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    41. Jiang, Hao & Sun, Zheng, 2020. "Reaching for dividends," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 115(C), pages 321-338.
    42. Sandra E. Black & Paul J. Devereux & Fanny Landaud & Kjell G. Salvanes, 2022. "The (Un)Importance of Inheritance," CESifo Working Paper Series 9566, CESifo.
    43. Isakov, Dusan & Weisskopf, Jean-Philippe, 2013. "Do not wake sleeping dogs: Pay-out policies in founding family firms," FSES Working Papers 443, Faculty of Economics and Social Sciences, University of Freiburg/Fribourg Switzerland.
    44. Cletus C. Coughlin & Thomas A. Garrett, 2009. "Income and Lottery Sales," Public Finance Review, , vol. 37(4), pages 447-469, July.
    45. Lee, King Fuei, 2013. "Demographics and the long-horizon returns of dividend-yield strategies," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 53(2), pages 202-218.
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    47. Jan Behringer & Christian A. Belabed & Thomas Theobald & Till van Treeck, 2013. "Einkommensverteilung, Finanzialisierung und makroökonomische Ungleichgewichte," Vierteljahrshefte zur Wirtschaftsforschung / Quarterly Journal of Economic Research, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, vol. 82(4), pages 203-221.
    48. Malcolm Baker & Jeffrey Wurgler, 2012. "Dividends as Reference Points: A Behavioral Signaling Approach," NBER Working Papers 18242, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    49. Nuno Ferreira & Rui Menezes & Sónia Bentes, 2014. "Cointegration and Structural Breaks in the EU Sovereign Debt Crisis," International Journal of Finance, Insurance and Risk Management, International Journal of Finance, Insurance and Risk Management, vol. 4(1), pages 680-680.
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  32. Markus K. Brunnermeier & Stefan Nagel, 2006. "Do Wealth Fluctuations Generate Time-varying Risk Aversion? Micro-Evidence on Individuals' Asset Allocation," NBER Working Papers 12809, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

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    1. Claudio Campanale & Carolina Fugazza & Francisco Gomes, 2012. "Life-Cycle Portfolio Choice with Liquid and Illiquid Financial Assets," Carlo Alberto Notebooks 269, Collegio Carlo Alberto.
    2. Alessandro Bucciol & Raffaele Miniaci, 2011. "Household Portfolios and Risk Bearing over Age and Time," Working Papers 15/2011, University of Verona, Department of Economics.
    3. Ricardo M. Sousa, 2007. "Wealth Shocks and Risk Aversion," NIPE Working Papers 28/2007, NIPE - Universidade do Minho.
    4. Christopher J. Gust & J. David López-Salido, 2009. "Portfolio inertia and the equity premium," International Finance Discussion Papers 984, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    5. Haliassos, Michael & Georgarakos, Dimitris & Bilias, Yannis, 2009. "Portfolio Inertia and Stock Market Fluctuations," CEPR Discussion Papers 7239, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    6. López-Salido, J David & Gust, Christopher, 2009. "Monetary Policy, Velocity, and the Equity Premium," CEPR Discussion Papers 7388, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    7. Cai, Zongwu & Liu, Xuan & Yang, Fang, 2012. "Reexamining the Empirical Relevance of Habit Formation Preferences," MPRA Paper 37817, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    8. Jin, Fangyi, 2011. "Revisiting the composition puzzles of the household portfolio: New evidence," Review of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 20(2), pages 63-73, May.
    9. López-Salido, J David & Gust, Christopher, 2010. "Monetary Policy and the Cyclicality of Risk," CEPR Discussion Papers 7727, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    10. Claudia R. Sahm, 2007. "Stability of risk preference," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2007-66, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    11. Luigi Guiso & Paolo Sodini, 2012. "Household Finance. An Emerging Field," EIEF Working Papers Series 1204, Einaudi Institute for Economics and Finance (EIEF), revised Mar 2012.
    12. Pierre-André Chiappori & Monica Paiella, 2008. "Relative Risk Aversion Is Constant: Evidence from Panel Data," Discussion Papers 5_2008, D.E.S. (Department of Economic Studies), University of Naples "Parthenope", Italy.
    13. Chordia, Tarun & Roll, Richard & Subrahmanyam, Avanidhar, 2011. "Recent trends in trading activity and market quality," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 101(2), pages 243-263, August.
    14. Hui Guo & Zijun Wang & Jian Yang, 2006. "Does aggregate relative risk aversion change countercyclically over time? evidence from the stock market," Working Papers 2006-047, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
    15. Sun, Qian & Tong, Wilson H.S., 2010. "Risk and the January effect," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 34(5), pages 965-974, May.
    16. Anthony W. Lynch & Oliver Randall, 2011. "Why Surplus Consumption in the Habit Model May be Less Persistent than You Think," NBER Working Papers 16950, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    17. Barnea, Amir & Cronqvist, Henrik & Siegel, Stephan, 2010. "Nature or nurture: What determines investor behavior?," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 98(3), pages 583-604, December.
    18. YiLi Chien & Kanda Naknoi, 2012. "The risk premium and long-run global imbalances," Working Papers 2012-009, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
    19. Fangyi Jin, 2011. "Revisiting the composition puzzles of the household portfolio: New evidence," Review of Financial Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 20(2), pages 63-73, May.
    20. Malcolm Baker & Stefan Nagel & Jeffrey Wurgler, 2006. "The Effect of Dividends on Consumption," NBER Working Papers 12288, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    21. Jessica A. Wachter & Motohiro Yogo, 2010. "Why Do Household Portfolio Shares Rise in Wealth?," NBER Working Papers 16316, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    22. Rong-Wei Chu & Jun Nie & Bei Zhang, 2014. "Wealth distribution with state-dependent risk aversion," Research Working Paper RWP 13-9, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.
    23. Robert J. Barro & José F. Ursúa, 2012. "Rare Macroeconomic Disasters," Annual Review of Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 4(1), pages 83-109, July.

  33. Lewellen, Jonathan & Nagel, Stefan, 2003. "The Conditional CAPM Does Not Explain Asset-pricing Anomalies," Working papers 4427-03, Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), Sloan School of Management.

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    1. Jan Sila & Michael Mark & Ladislav Kristoufek & Thomas A. Weber, 2025. "Crypto market betas: the limits of predictability and hedging," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 11(1), pages 1-28, December.
    2. Carl Chiarella & Roberto Dieci & Xue-Zhong He & Kai Li, 2012. "An Evolutionary CAPM Under Heterogeneous Beliefs," Research Paper Series 315, Quantitative Finance Research Centre, University of Technology, Sydney.
    3. Naftali Cohen, 2025. "Rethinking Beta: A Causal Take on CAPM," Papers 2509.05760, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2025.
    4. Adrian, Tobias & Crump, Richard K. & Moench, Emanuel, 2015. "Regression-based estimation of dynamic asset pricing models," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 118(2), pages 211-244.
    5. Laurent Barras & Patrick Gagliardini & Olivier Scaillet, 2022. "Skill, Scale, and Value Creation in the Mutual Fund Industry," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 77(1), pages 601-638, February.
    6. Hui Guo & Robert Savickas, 2003. "On the cross section of conditionally expected stock returns," Working Papers 2003-043, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
    7. Hirshleifer, David & Jiang, Danling, 2007. "A Financing-Based Misvaluation Factor and the Cross Section of Expected Returns," MPRA Paper 20636, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 10 Feb 2010.
    8. Antoinette Schoar & Kelvin Yeung & Luo Zuo, 2020. "The Effect of Managers on Systematic Risk," NBER Working Papers 27487, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    9. Amir E. Khandani & Andrew W. Lo, 2008. "What Happened To The Quants In August 2007?: Evidence from Factors and Transactions Data," NBER Working Papers 14465, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    10. Rob Bauer & Mathijs Cosemans & Peter C. Schotman, 2010. "Conditional Asset Pricing and Stock Market Anomalies in Europe," European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 16(2), pages 165-190, March.
    11. Joseph P. Byrne & Boulis M. Ibrahim & Xiaoyu Zong, 2020. "Asset Prices and Capital Share Risks: Theory and Evidence," Papers 2006.14023, arXiv.org.
    12. Nina Ryan & Xinfeng Ruan & Jin E. Zhang & Jing A. Zhang, 2021. "Choosing Factors for the Vietnamese Stock Market," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(3), pages 1-23, February.
    13. Ana-Maria Fuertes & Joëlle Miffre & Wooi-Hou Tan, 2009. "Momentum profits, nonnormality risks and the business cycle," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(12), pages 935-953.
    14. Riccardo Borghi & Eric Hillebrand & Jakob Mikkelsen & Giovanni Urga, 2018. "The dynamics of factor loadings in the cross-section of returns," CREATES Research Papers 2018-38, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    15. Corradi, Valentina & Distaso, Walter & Fernandes, Marcelo, 2013. "Conditional alphas and realized betas," Textos para discussão 341, FGV EESP - Escola de Economia de São Paulo, Fundação Getulio Vargas (Brazil).
    16. Cosemans, M. & Frehen, R.G.P. & Schotman, P.C. & Bauer, R.M.M.J., 2009. "Efficient Estimation of Firm-Specific Betas and its Benefits for Asset Pricing Tests and Portfolio Choice," MPRA Paper 23557, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    17. Claassen, Bart & Dam, Lammertjan & Heijnen, Pim, 2023. "Corporate financing policies, financial leverage, and stock returns," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    18. Scott Condie & Lars Stentoft & Marie-Louise Vierø, 2023. "Unawareness Premia," Economics Working Papers 2023-09, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    19. Cakici, Nusret & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & Będowska-Sójka, Barbara & Zaremba, Adam, 2024. "Machine learning and the cross-section of cryptocurrency returns," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
    20. Asgharian, Hossein & Christiansen, Charlotte & Hou, Ai Jun & Wang, Weining, 2020. "Long- and Short-Run Components of Factor Betas: Implications for Stock Pricing," IRTG 1792 Discussion Papers 2020-020, Humboldt University of Berlin, International Research Training Group 1792 "High Dimensional Nonstationary Time Series".
    21. Vendrame, Vasco & Guermat, Cherif & Tucker, Jon, 2018. "A conditional regime switching CAPM," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 1-11.
    22. Christos Argyropoulos & Bertrand Candelon & Jean-Baptiste Hasse & Ekaterini Panopoulou, 2023. "Towards a macroprudential regulatory framework for mutual funds?," Post-Print hal-04103373, HAL.
    23. Kelly Shue & Richard R. Townsend, 2021. "Can the Market Multiply and Divide? Non‐Proportional Thinking in Financial Markets," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 76(5), pages 2307-2357, October.
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    28. Wang, Jianqiu & Wu, Ke & Pan, Jiening, 2024. "On the conditional performance of the IVOL anomaly," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(PA), pages 337-350.
    29. Chen, Long & Petkova, Ralitsa & Zhang, Lu, 2008. "The expected value premium," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 87(2), pages 269-280, February.
    30. Lewellen, Jonathan & Nagel, Stefan & Shanken, Jay, 2010. "A skeptical appraisal of asset pricing tests," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 96(2), pages 175-194, May.
    31. Christopher Hrdlicka, 2022. "Trading Volume and Time Varying Betas [Alpha or beta in the eye of the beholder: what drives hedge fund flows?]," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 26(1), pages 79-116.
    32. Turan G. Bali & Nusret Cakici & Yi Tang, 2009. "The Conditional Beta and the Cross‐Section of Expected Returns," Financial Management, Financial Management Association International, vol. 38(1), pages 103-137, March.
    33. Lou, Dong & Polk, Christopher, 2022. "Comomentum: inferring arbitrage activity from return correlations," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 109318, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    34. González, Mariano & Nave, Juan & Rubio, Gonzalo, 2018. "Macroeconomic determinants of stock market betas," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 26-44.
    35. Constantinos Antoniou & John A. Doukas & Avanidhar Subrahmanyam, 2016. "Investor Sentiment, Beta, and the Cost of Equity Capital," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 62(2), pages 347-367, February.
    36. Richard Mawulawoe Ahadzie & Nagaratnam Jeyasreedharan, 2024. "Higher‐order moments and asset pricing in the Australian stock market," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 64(1), pages 75-128, March.
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    38. Zhong‑Qiang Zhou & Jiajia Wu & Ping Huang & Xiong Xiong, 2025. "Cross-sectional anomalies and conditional asset pricing models based on investor sentiment: evidence from the Chinese stock market," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 11(1), pages 1-24, December.
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    45. Sebastien Valeyre & Sofiane Aboura & Denis Grebenkov, 2019. "The Reactive Beta Model," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 42(1), pages 71-113, March.
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    50. Pan, Shuiyang & Long, Suwan(Cheng) & Wang, Yiming & Xie, Ying, 2023. "Nonlinear asset pricing in Chinese stock market: A deep learning approach," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
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    56. Jonas Rothfuss & Fabio Ferreira & Simon Walther & Maxim Ulrich, 2019. "Conditional Density Estimation with Neural Networks: Best Practices and Benchmarks," Papers 1903.00954, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2019.
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    18. Thomas W. L. Norman, 2026. "Ambiguity-Averse Aggregation under Heterogeneous Beliefs," Economic Theory Bulletin, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 14(1), pages 1-20, June.
    19. Sias, Richard & Starks, Laura T. & Turtle, H.J., 2023. "The negativity bias and perceived return distributions: Evidence from a pandemic," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 147(3), pages 627-657.
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    2. Nautz, Dieter & Netsunajew, Aleksei & Strohsal, Till, 2017. "The Anchoring of Inflation Expectations in the Short and in the Long Run," VfS Annual Conference 2017 (Vienna): Alternative Structures for Money and Banking 168075, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.

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  22. Ulrike Malmendier & Stefan Nagel, 2011. "Depression Babies: Do Macroeconomic Experiences Affect Risk Taking?," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 126(1), pages 373-416.
    See citations under working paper version above.
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    3. Cereda, Fábio Saia & Chague, Fernando & De-Losso, Rodrigo & Genaro, Alan & Giovannetti, Bruno Cara, 2020. "The effects of price transparency in OTC equity lending markets: Evidence from a loan fee benchmark," Textos para discussão 524, FGV EESP - Escola de Economia de São Paulo, Fundação Getulio Vargas (Brazil).
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    Cited by:

    1. Khasawneh, Maher & McMillan, David G. & Kambouroudis, Dimos, 2024. "Left-tail risk and UK stock return predictability: Underreaction, overreaction, and arbitrage difficulties," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 95(PA).

Chapters

  1. Markus K. Brunnermeier & Stefan Nagel & Lasse H. Pedersen, 2009. "Carry Trades and Currency Crashes," NBER Chapters, in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2008, Volume 23, pages 313-347, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    See citations under working paper version above.Sorry, no citations of chapters recorded.
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