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Macroeconomic effects of secondary market trading

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  • Neuhann, Daniel

Abstract

This paper develops a theory of the secondary market trading of financial securitities in which endogenous asset market dynamics generate periods of growing aggregate credit volumes and falling credit standards even in the absence of “financial shocks.” Falling credit standards in turn lead to excess risk exposure in the aggregate, precipitating future crises. The credit cycle is triggered by low interest rates, and longer booms lead to sharper crises. Saving gluts and expansionary monetary policy thus lead to financial fragility over time. Pro-cyclical regulation of secondary market traders, such as asset managers or hedge funds, can improve welfare even when such traders are not levered. JEL Classification: G01, E32, E44

Suggested Citation

  • Neuhann, Daniel, 2016. "Macroeconomic effects of secondary market trading," ESRB Working Paper Series 25, European Systemic Risk Board.
    • Handle: RePEc:srk:srkwps:201625
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    File URL: https://www.esrb.europa.eu//pub/pdf/wp/esrbwp25.en.pdf
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    credit booms; credit cycles; financial crisis; financial fragility; risk-taking channel of monetary policy; saving gluts; secondary markets; securitization;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy

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