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Crash Sensitivity and the Cross-Section of Expected Stock Returns

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  • Chabi-Yo, Fousseni
  • Ruenzi, Stefan
  • Weigert, Florian

Abstract

This paper examines whether investors receive compensation for holding crash-sensitive stocks. We capture the crash sensitivity of stocks by their lower tail dependence (LTD) with the market based on copulas. We find that stocks with weak LTD serve as a hedge during crises, but, overall, stocks with strong LTD have higher average future returns. This effect cannot be explained by traditional risk factors and is different from the impact of beta, downside beta, coskewness, and cokurtosis. Our findings are consistent with results from the empirical option pricing literature and support the notion that investors are crash-averse.

Suggested Citation

  • Chabi-Yo, Fousseni & Ruenzi, Stefan & Weigert, Florian, 2013. "Crash Sensitivity and the Cross-Section of Expected Stock Returns," Working Papers on Finance 1324, University of St. Gallen, School of Finance, revised Feb 2016.
    • Handle: RePEc:usg:sfwpfi:2013:24
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Asset Pricing; Asymmetric Dependence; Copulas; Crash Aversion; Downside Risk; Tail Risk;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C12 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Hypothesis Testing: General
    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G17 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Financial Forecasting and Simulation

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