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Economists in the 2008 Financial Crisis: Slow to See, Fast to Act

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  • Daniel Levy

    (Bar-Ilan University)

  • Tamir Mayer
  • Alon Raviv

Abstract

We study the economics and finance scholars’ reaction to the 2008 financial crisis using machine learning language analyses methods of Latent Dirichlet Allocation and dynamic topic modelling algorithms, to analyze the texts of 14,270 NBER working papers covering the 1999–2016 period. We find that academic scholars as a group were insufficiently engaged in crises’ studies before 2008. As the crisis unraveled, however, they switched their focus to studying the crisis, its causes, and consequences. Thus, the scholars were “slow-to-see,” but they were “fast-to-act.” Their initial response to the ongoing Covid-19 crisis is consistent with these conclusions.

Suggested Citation

  • Daniel Levy & Tamir Mayer & Alon Raviv, 2022. "Economists in the 2008 Financial Crisis: Slow to See, Fast to Act," Working Papers 2022-01, Bar-Ilan University, Department of Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:biu:wpaper:2022-01
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    3. Lei Li & Kun Qin & Desheng Wu, 2023. "A Hybrid Approach for the Assessment of Risk Spillover to ESG Investment in Financial Networks," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(7), pages 1-16, April.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Financial crisis; Economic Crisis; Great recession; NBER working papers; LDA textual analysis; Topic modeling; Dynamic Topic Modeling; Machine learning;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • E50 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - General
    • F30 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - General
    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
    • G20 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - General

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