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The asymmetry in carry trade and the U.S. dollar

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  • Wu, Chih-Chiang
  • Wu, Chang-Che

Abstract

This study aims to investigate the potential asymmetric dependence between the carry trade and U.S. dollar returns. Empirical results demonstrate that the U.S. dollar becomes a safe haven and provides protection for carry trade investors to avoid the crash risk during the 2007–2008 global financial crisis and the 2010–2011 Eurozone sovereign debt crisis. The asymmetric dependence is not only statistically significant, but this information also helps investors to generate extra 14–2166 annualized basis points from the perspective of an asset-allocation decision. Our findings provide important financial implications for currency investors in asset allocation and risk management.

Suggested Citation

  • Wu, Chih-Chiang & Wu, Chang-Che, 2017. "The asymmetry in carry trade and the U.S. dollar," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 304-313.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:quaeco:v:65:y:2017:i:c:p:304-313
    DOI: 10.1016/j.qref.2016.12.004
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    2. Liu, Tie-Ying & Lin, Ye, 2024. "Who has mastered exchange rate ups and downs: China or the United States?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    3. Lumengo Bonga-Bonga & Tebogo Maake, 2021. "The Relationship between Carry Trade and Asset Markets in South Africa," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(7), pages 1-13, July.
    4. Qian Zhang & Kuo-Jui Wu & Ming-Lang Tseng, 2019. "Exploring Carry Trade and Exchange Rate toward Sustainable Financial Resources: An application of the Artificial Intelligence UKF Method," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(12), pages 1-26, June.
    5. Albulescu, Claudiu Tiberiu & Aubin, Christian & Goyeau, Daniel & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar, 2018. "Extreme co-movements and dependencies among major international exchange rates: A copula approach," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 56-69.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Asymmetric dependence; Carry trade; Copula; Safe haven; U.S. dollar;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C10 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - General
    • C58 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Financial Econometrics
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions

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