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Risk premia, asset price bubbles, and monetary policy

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  • Jarrow, Robert
  • Lamichhane, Sujan

Abstract

We develop a dynamic general equilibrium asset pricing model with heterogeneous beliefs to study the effects of monetary policy on prices, risk premia, asset price bubbles, and financial stability. We propose a new framework for monetary policy with respect to bubbles. Because bubble risk premia arise from an interaction between disagreements among investors and dynamic trading constraints, under a non-accommodative monetary policy, liquidity adjusted risk and bubble risk premia increase. What matters for policy is the trading constrained fraction/mass of agents that disagree about fundamentals (i.e. optimists/pessimists). Accommodative policy can lead to a larger fraction of trading constrained agents that disagree, larger bubbles, and increased systemic risk. An implication of our results is that accommodative monetary policy in response to the Covid-19 crisis does not increase systemic risk due to asset price bubbles, as long as the policy keeps inflation under control.

Suggested Citation

  • Jarrow, Robert & Lamichhane, Sujan, 2022. "Risk premia, asset price bubbles, and monetary policy," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:finsta:v:60:y:2022:i:c:s157230892200033x
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jfs.2022.101005
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Yang, Jinyu & Dong, Dayong & Liang, Chao & Cao, Yang, 2024. "Monetary policy uncertainty and the price bubbles in energy markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Monetary policy; Risk premia; Asset price bubbles; Heterogeneous beliefs/disagreements; Financial stability;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies

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