Heterogeneous responsiveness of consumers’ medium-term inflation expectations
Author
Abstract
Suggested Citation
DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2024.111629
Download full text from publisher
As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.
References listed on IDEAS
- Armantier, Olivier & Sbordone, Argia & Topa, Giorgio & van der Klaauw, Wilbert & Williams, John C., 2022.
"A new approach to assess inflation expectations anchoring using strategic surveys,"
Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 129(S), pages 82-101.
- Olivier Armantier & Argia M. Sbordone & Giorgio Topa & Wilbert Van der Klaauw & John C. Williams, 2022. "A New Approach to Assess Inflation Expectations Anchoring Using Strategic Surveys," Staff Reports 1007, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Easaw, Joshy & Golinelli, Roberto & Malgarini, Marco, 2013. "What determines households inflation expectations? Theory and evidence from a household survey," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 1-13.
- Dimitris Christelis & Dimitris Georgarakos & Tullio Jappelli & Maarten van Rooij, 2020.
"Trust in the Central Bank and Inflation Expectations,"
International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 16(6), pages 1-37, December.
- Dimitris Christelis & Dimitris Georgarakos & Tullio Jappelli & Maarten van Rooij, 2016. "Trust in the Central Bank and Inflation Expectations," CSEF Working Papers 458, Centre for Studies in Economics and Finance (CSEF), University of Naples, Italy.
- Christelis, Dimitris & Georgarakos, Dimitris & Jappelli, Tullio & van Rooij, Maarten, 2020. "Trust in the central bank and inflation expectation," Working Paper Series 2375, European Central Bank.
- Christelis, Dimitris & Georgarakos, Dimitris & Van Rooij, Maarten, 2019. "Trust in the Central Bank and Inflation Expectations," CEPR Discussion Papers 14202, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Buono, Ines & Formai, Sara, 2018. "New evidence on the evolution of the anchoring of inflation expectations," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 39-54.
- Corsello, Francesco & Neri, Stefano & Tagliabracci, Alex, 2021.
"Anchored or de-anchored? That is the question,"
European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
- Francesco Corsello & Stefano Neri & Alex Tagliabracci, 2019. "Anchored or de-anchored? That is the question," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 516, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- Junichi Kikuchi & Yoshiyuki Nakazono, 2023.
"The Formation of Inflation Expectations: Microdata Evidence from Japan,"
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 55(6), pages 1609-1632, September.
- Junichi Kikuchi & Yoshiyuki Nakazono, 2020. "The Formation of Inflation Expectations: Micro-data Evidence from Japan," Working Papers e144, Tokyo Center for Economic Research.
- Georgarakos, Dimitris & Kenny, Geoff, 2022.
"Household spending and fiscal support during the COVID-19 pandemic: Insights from a new consumer survey,"
Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 129(S), pages 1-14.
- Georgarakos, Dimitris & Kenny, Geoff, 2022. "Household spending and fiscal support during the COVID-19 pandemic: insights from a new consumer survey," Working Paper Series 2643, European Central Bank.
- Conrad, Christian & Enders, Zeno & Glas, Alexander, 2022.
"The role of information and experience for households’ inflation expectations,"
European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
- Conrad, Christian & Enders, Zeno & Glas, Alexander, 2020. "The role of information and experience for households' inflation expectations," Working Papers 20, German Research Foundation's Priority Programme 1859 "Experience and Expectation. Historical Foundations of Economic Behaviour", Humboldt University Berlin.
- Christian Conrad & Zeno Enders & Alexander Glas, 2020. "The Role of Information and Experience for Households' Inflation Expectations," CESifo Working Paper Series 8528, CESifo.
- Conrad, Christian & Enders, Zeno & Glas, Alexander, 2021. "The role of information and experience for households' inflation expectations," Discussion Papers 07/2021, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Christian Conrad & Zeno Enders & Alexander Glas, 2021. "The role of information and experience for households' inflation expectations," Working Paper series 21-04, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Afunts, Geghetsik & Cato, Misina & Schmidt, Tobias, 2024.
"Inflation expectations in the wake of the war in Ukraine,"
Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics (formerly The Journal of Socio-Economics), Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
- Afunts, Geghetsik & Cato, Misina & Schmidt, Tobias, 2023. "Inflation Expectations in the Wake of the War in Ukraine," VfS Annual Conference 2023 (Regensburg): Growth and the "sociale Frage" 277577, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Afunts, Geghetsik & Cato, Misina & Schmidt, Tobias, 2023. "Inflation expectations in the wake of the war in Ukraine," Discussion Papers 03/2023, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Geghetsik Afunts & Misina Cato & Tobias Schmidt, 2023. "Inflation Expectations in the Wake of the War in Ukraine," CERGE-EI Working Papers wp745, The Center for Economic Research and Graduate Education - Economics Institute, Prague.
- Lutz Kilian & Xiaoqing Zhou, 2022. "Oil prices, gasoline prices, and inflation expectations," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(5), pages 867-881, August.
- Francesco D’Acunto & Ulrike Malmendier & Michael Weber, 2021.
"Gender roles produce divergent economic expectations,"
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, vol. 118(21), pages 2008534118-, May.
- D’Acunto, Francesco & Malmendier, Ulrike & Weber, Michael, 2021. "Gender roles produce divergent economic expectations," Department of Economics, Working Paper Series qt66g865z0, Department of Economics, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley.
- Gwangmin Kim & Carola Binder, 2023. "Learning-through-Survey in Inflation Expectations," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 15(2), pages 254-278, April.
- Abdallah, Chadi & Kpodar, Kangni, 2023.
"How large and persistent is the response of inflation to changes in retail energy prices?,"
Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
- Mr. Chadi Abdallah & Mr. Kangni R Kpodar, 2020. "How Large and Persistent is the Response of Inflation to Changes in Retail Energy Prices?," IMF Working Papers 2020/093, International Monetary Fund.
- Niizeki, Takeshi, 2023. "Trust in the central bank and inflation expectations: Experimental evidence," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 231(C).
- Falck, E. & Hoffmann, M. & Hürtgen, P., 2021. "Disagreement about inflation expectations and monetary policy transmission," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 15-31.
- Brouwer, Nils & de Haan, Jakob, 2022. "Trust in the ECB: Drivers and consequences," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
- Ulrike Malmendier & Stefan Nagel, 2016. "Learning from Inflation Experiences," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 131(1), pages 53-87.
Citations
Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
Cited by:
- van der Cruijsen, Carin & de Haan, Jakob & van Rooij, Maarten, 2025. "The association of high perceived inflation with trust in national politics and central banks✰," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 171(C).
Most related items
These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.- repec:ecb:ecbdps:202424 is not listed on IDEAS
- Michael Ehrmann, 2024.
"Trust in Central Banks,"
RBA Annual Conference Papers
acp2024-04, Reserve Bank of Australia, revised May 2025.
- Ehrmann, Michael, 2024. "Trust in central banks," Working Paper Series 3006, European Central Bank.
- Stanisławska, Ewa & Paloviita, Maritta, 2021.
"Medium- vs. short-term consumer inflation expectations: Evidence from a new euro area survey,"
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers
10/2021, Bank of Finland.
- Ewa Stanisławska & Maritta Paloviita, 2021. "Medium- vs. short-term consumer inflation expectations: evidence from a new euro area survey," NBP Working Papers 338, Narodowy Bank Polski.
- Go Fujii & Shogo Nakano & Kosuke Takatomi, 2025. "Households' Medium- to Long-Term Inflation Expectations Formation: The Role of Past Experience and Inflation Regimes," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series 25-E-6, Bank of Japan.
- Meinerding, Christoph & Poinelli, Andrea & Schüler, Yves, 2023. "Households’ inflation expectations and concern about climate change," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
- repec:zbw:bofrdp:2021_010 is not listed on IDEAS
- Gabriele Galati & Richhild Moessner & Maarten van Rooij, 2023.
"The anchoring of long-term inflation expectations of consumers: insights from a new survey,"
Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 75(1), pages 96-116.
- Gabriele Galati & Richhild Moessner & Maarten van Rooij, 2020. "The anchoring of long-term inflation expectations of consumers: insights from a new survey," Working Papers 688, DNB.
- Gabriele Galati & Richhild Moessner & Maarten van Rooij, 2021. "The anchoring of long-term inflation expectations of consumers: insights from a new survey," BIS Working Papers 936, Bank for International Settlements.
- Wehrhöfer, Nils, 2023. "Energy prices and inflation expectations: Evidence from households and firms," Discussion Papers 28/2023, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Becker, Christoph & Dürsch, Peter & Eife, Thomas A. & Glas, Alexander, 2023.
"Households' probabilistic inflation expectations in high-inflation regimes,"
ZEW Discussion Papers
23-072, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
- Becker, Christoph & Dürsch, Peter & Eife, Thomas A. & Glas, Alexander, 2023. "Households' probabilistic inflation expectations in high-inflation regimes," FAU Discussion Papers in Economics 01/2023, Friedrich-Alexander University Erlangen-Nuremberg, Institute for Economics.
- Dräger, Lena & Gründler, Klaus & Potrafke, Niklas, 2025.
"Political shocks and inflation expectations: Evidence from the 2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine,"
Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 153(C).
- Lena Dräger & Klaus Gründler & Niklas Potrafke, 2022. "Political Shocks and Inflation Expectations: Evidence from the 2022 Russian Invasion of Ukraine," ifo Working Paper Series 371, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
- Gründler, Klaus & Dräger, Lena & Potrafke, Niklas, 2023. "Political Shocks and Inflation Expectations: Evidence from the 2022 Russian Invasion of Ukraine," VfS Annual Conference 2023 (Regensburg): Growth and the "sociale Frage" 277673, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Lena Dräger & Klaus Gründler & Niklas Potrafke, 2022. "Political Shocks and Inflation Expectations: Evidence from the 2022 Russian Invasion of Ukraine," CESifo Working Paper Series 9649, CESifo.
- Eickmeier, Sandra & Petersen, Luba, 2024. "Toward a holistic approach to central bank trust," Discussion Papers 27/2024, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- van der Cruijsen, Carin & de Haan, Jakob & van Rooij, Maarten, 2025. "The association of high perceived inflation with trust in national politics and central banks✰," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 171(C).
- Kose, M. Ayhan & Matsuoka, Hideaki & Panizza, Ugo & Vorisek, Dana, 2019.
"Inflation Expectations: Review and Evidence,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
13601, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- M. Ayhan Kose & Hideaki Matsuoka & Ugo Panizza & Dana Vorisek, 2019. "Inflation Expectations: Review and Evidence," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers 1904, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum.
- Kose,Ayhan & Matsuoka,Hideaki & Panizza,Ugo G. & Vorisek,Dana Lauren, 2019. "Inflation Expectations : Review and Evidence," Policy Research Working Paper Series 8785, The World Bank.
- M. Ayhan Kose & Hideaki Matsuoka & Ugo Panizza & Dana Vorisek, 2019. "Inflation Expectations: Review and Evidence," CAMA Working Papers 2019-29, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Cecion, Martina & Coenen, Günter & Gerke, Rafael & Le Bihan, Hervé & Motto, Roberto & Aguilar, Pablo & Ajevskis, Viktors & Giesen, Sebastian & Albertazzi, Ugo & Gilbert, Niels & Al-Haschimi, Alexander, 2021. "The ECB’s price stability framework: past experience, and current and future challenges," Occasional Paper Series 269, European Central Bank.
- Jonas Dovern & Alexander Glas & Geoff Kenny, 2024.
"Testing for differences in survey‐based density expectations: A compositional data approach,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(6), pages 1104-1122, September.
- Dovern, Jonas & Glas, Alexander & Kenny, Geoff, 2023. "Testing for differences in survey-based density expectations: a compositional data approach," Working Paper Series 2791, European Central Bank.
- Jonas Dovern & Alexander Glas & Geoff Kenny, 2023. "Testing for Differences in Survey-Based Density Expectations: A Compositional Data Approach," CESifo Working Paper Series 10256, CESifo.
- Dovern, Jonas & Glas, Alexander & Kenny, Geoff, 2023. "Testing for differences in survey-based density expectations: A compositional data approach," Working Papers 39, German Research Foundation's Priority Programme 1859 "Experience and Expectation. Historical Foundations of Economic Behaviour", Humboldt University Berlin.
- Aidala, Felix & Armantier, Olivier & Koşar, Gizem & Somerville, Jason & Topa, Giorgio & van der Klaauw, Wilbert, 2024. "Gasoline price changes and consumer inflation expectations: Experimental evidence," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 220(C), pages 66-80.
- Czudaj, Robert L., 2023. "Anchoring of Inflation Expectations and the Role of Monetary Policy and Cost-Push Factors," MPRA Paper 119029, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Daria Minina & Gabriele Galati & Richhild Moessner & Maarten van Rooij, 2024. "The effect of information on consumer inflation expectations," Working Papers 810, DNB.
- Katharina Allinger & Fabio Rumler, 2023. "Inflation Expectations in CESEE: The Role of Sentiment and Experiences (Katharina Allinger, Fabio Rumler)," Working Papers 247, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank).
- Gabriele Galati & Richhild Moessner & Maarten van Rooij, 2021. "Anchoring of consumers’ long-term euro area inflation expectations during the pandemic," Working Papers 715, DNB.
- Stanisławska, Ewa & Paloviita, Maritta, 2021. "Responsiveness of consumers' medium-term inflation expectations : evidence from a new euro area survey," Research Discussion Papers 10/2021, Bank of Finland.
- Peter Backé & Elisabeth Beckmann, 2020. "What drives people’s expectations of euro adoption? – Evidence from the OeNB Euro Survey on selected CESEE countries," Focus on European Economic Integration, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue Q4/20, pages 57-79.
More about this item
Keywords
Consumer Expectations Survey; Inflation expectations; Financial literacy; Trust; Micro-data;All these keywords.
JEL classification:
- D12 - Microeconomics - - Household Behavior - - - Consumer Economics: Empirical Analysis
- D84 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Expectations; Speculations
- E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
- E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
Statistics
Access and download statisticsCorrections
All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:ecolet:v:237:y:2024:i:c:s0165176524001125. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.
If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .
If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/ecolet .
Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.