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The struggle for Palestinian hearts and minds: Violence and public opinion in the Second Intifada

Author Info

Listed author(s):
  • Jaeger, David A.
  • Klor, Esteban F.
  • Miaari, Sami H.
  • Paserman, M. Daniele

Abstract

This paper examines how violence influences the political preferences of an aggrieved constituency that is purportedly represented by militant factions. Using longitudinal public opinion poll micro data of the Palestinian population linked to data on fatalities from the Second Intifada, we find that although local Israeli violence discourages Palestinians from supporting moderate political positions, this “radicalization” is fleeting, and vanishes completely within 90days. We do, however, find evidence suggesting that collateral violence affecting Palestinian civilians has a stronger effect on the populations' political preferences relative to individuals directly targeted by the Israeli military. In addition, we observe that major political events in the Palestinian–Israeli conflict have had a longer-term impact on political preferences. Individuals who were teenagers during the period of the Oslo negotiations tend to have relatively moderate preferences, while those who were teenagers during the First Intifada tend to be relatively radical.

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File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0047272711001708
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Article provided by Elsevier in its journal Journal of Public Economics.

Volume (Year): 96 (2012)
Issue (Month): 3 ()
Pages: 354-368

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Handle: RePEc:eee:pubeco:v:96:y:2012:i:3:p:354-368
DOI: 10.1016/j.jpubeco.2011.12.001
Contact details of provider: Web page: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/inca/505578

Keywords: Israeli–Palestinian conflict; Political preferences; Public opinion;

Other versions of this item:

Find related papers by JEL classification:
  • D72 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Political Processes: Rent-seeking, Lobbying, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior
  • D74 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Conflict; Conflict Resolution; Alliances; Revolutions
  • H56 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - National Security and War

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  1. David A. Jaeger & Esteban F. Klor & Sami H. Miaari & M. Daniele Paserman, 2015. "Can Militants Use Violence to Win Public Support? Evidence from the Second Intifada," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 59(3), pages 528-549, April.
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