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Safe haven currencies: a portfolio perspective


  • Cenedese, Gino

    () (Bank of England)


Currency portfolios exhibit asymmetric correlations: during periods of bear, volatile world equity markets, currency portfolios provide different hedging benefits than in bull markets. I show how these time-varying hedging benefits depend on currency characteristics. This paper also illustrates how the presence of regime shifts in financial markets affects optimal portfolio choice across currency portfolios: during bear markets, investors are better off by unwinding carry trade positions, and by following currency momentum. Also, diversification benefits increase by holding undervalued currencies and currencies of countries with strong current accounts and international investment positions.

Suggested Citation

  • Cenedese, Gino, 2015. "Safe haven currencies: a portfolio perspective," Bank of England working papers 533, Bank of England.
  • Handle: RePEc:boe:boeewp:0533

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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Atanasov, Victoria & Nitschka, Thomas, 2014. "Currency excess returns and global downside market risk," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 268-285.
    2. repec:bla:reviec:v:25:y:2017:i:4:p:924-947 is not listed on IDEAS

    More about this item


    Foreign exchange; safe haven currencies; portfolio choice; uncovered interest rate parity; carry trade; purchasing power parity; Markov-switching.;

    JEL classification:

    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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