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"Shooting" the CAPM

Author

Listed:
  • Lu Zhang

    (The Ohio State University)

  • Howard Kung

    (University of British Columbia)

  • Hang Bai

    (The Ohio State University)

Abstract

We provide a disaster-based explanation for the failure of the CAPM in the post-Compustat sample as well as its success to explain the value premium in the long sample that includes the Great Depression. In an investment-based asset pricing model embedded with rare disasters, value stocks are more sensitive to disaster shocks than growth stocks. More important, disasters introduce strong nonlinearities in the relation between the pricing kernel and the return on wealth. The nonlinearities allow the model to explain the failure of the CAPM in samples in which disasters are not materialized. However, the CAPM explains the value premium in samples with disasters in the model, consistent with the data.

Suggested Citation

  • Lu Zhang & Howard Kung & Hang Bai, 2013. ""Shooting" the CAPM," 2013 Meeting Papers 905, Society for Economic Dynamics.
  • Handle: RePEc:red:sed013:905
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    File URL: https://economicdynamics.org/meetpapers/2013/paper_905.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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