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Consumption-Based Asset Pricing with Higher Cumulants

  • Ian Martin

I extend the Epstein-Zin-lognormal consumption-based asset-pricing model to allow for general i.i.d. consumption growth. Information about the higher moments--equivalently, cumulants--of consumption growth is encoded in the cumulant-generating function. I apply the framework to economies with rare disasters, and argue that the importance of such disasters is a double-edged sword: parameters that govern the frequency and sizes of rare disasters are critically important for asset pricing, but extremely hard to calibrate. I show how to sidestep this issue by using observable asset prices to make inferences that are robust to the details of the underlying consumption process.

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Paper provided by National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc in its series NBER Working Papers with number 16153.

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Date of creation: Jul 2010
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Publication status: published as Ian W. Martin, 2013. "Consumption-Based Asset Pricing with Higher Cumulants," Review of Economic Studies, Oxford University Press, vol. 80(2), pages 745-773.
Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:16153
Note: AP
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