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A behavioral explanation of the value anomaly based on time-varying return reversals

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  • Hwang, Soosung
  • Rubesam, Alexandre

Abstract

We investigate the dynamics of the value anomaly in order to identify the driving forces of the anomaly. We show that the large positive value-minus-growth portfolio returns are explained by an over-reaction (under-reaction) to the positive (negative) market movements in short, specific time periods, during which the average returns of value-minus-growth portfolios are more than 2% a month. We propose an explanation based on behavioral biases: the dynamics of the value anomaly reflect the increased speed of return reversals subsequent to overreaction. Two conditions that increase the return reversals are proposed: when investors respond to public signals asymmetrically or when public signals become noisy. Our empirical results reveal that the value anomaly is explained by either one of these two channels.

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  • Hwang, Soosung & Rubesam, Alexandre, 2013. "A behavioral explanation of the value anomaly based on time-varying return reversals," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(7), pages 2367-2377.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jbfina:v:37:y:2013:i:7:p:2367-2377
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2013.01.030
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    Cited by:

    1. Eero Pätäri & Timo Leivo, 2017. "A Closer Look At Value Premium: Literature Review And Synthesis," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 31(1), pages 79-168, February.
    2. Eero J. Pätäri & Ville Karell & Pasi Luukka, 2016. "Can size-, industry-, and leverage-adjustment of valuation ratios benefit the value investor?," International Journal of Business Innovation and Research, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 11(1), pages 76-109.
    3. Lindaas, Knut F. & Simlai, Prodosh, 2014. "The value premium, aggregate risk innovations, and average stock returns," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 11(3), pages 303-317.
    4. Zhang, Bing & Zhou, Yun, 2015. "Asymmetries in stock marketsAuthor-Name: Wang, Peijie," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 241(3), pages 749-762.
    5. Harshita & Shveta Singh & Surendra S. Yadav, 2018. "Changing Nature of the Value Premium in the Indian Stock Market," Vision, , vol. 22(2), pages 135-143, June.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Overconfidence; Self-attribution bias; Value anomaly; Return reversals;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates

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