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Managerial gambling attitudes: evidence from bank acquisitions

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  • John A. Doukas
  • Wenjia Zhang

Abstract

Purpose - This study investigates the implications of the cumulative prospect theory in the context of US bank acquisitions, with particular emphasis on its probability weighting component. Specifically, we examine whether gambling attitudes matter in US bank takeover decisions. The evidence demonstrates that offer price premiums and target announcement returns are much higher in bank takeover transactions involving targets with gambling (lottery) features (high skewness, high volatility, and low price). Overall, the results indicate that banking acquisitions are influenced by gambling attitudes. Design/methodology/approach - To measure idiosyncratic skewness, we follow Harvey and Siddique (2000) and Kumar (2009) and decompose total skewness into its idiosyncratic and systematic components. Findings - The evidence demonstrates that offer price premiums and target announcement returns are much higher in bank takeover transactions involving targets with gambling (lottery) features (high skewness, high volatility, and low price). In addition, we find that synergies and bidder announcement returns are lower in lottery‐type acquisitions. The patterns we document are stronger when bidding banks are bigger, target banks are smaller, investor sentiment is above the median, and the Chicago Fed National Activity Index is negative. Originality/value - This is an original piece of work in the field of banking.

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  • John A. Doukas & Wenjia Zhang, 2013. "Managerial gambling attitudes: evidence from bank acquisitions," Review of Behavioral Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 5(1), pages 4-34, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:eme:rbfpps:v:5:y:2013:i:1:p:4-34
    DOI: 10.1108/RBF-09-2012-0016
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Thierry Post & Martijn J. van den Assem & Guido Baltussen & Richard H. Thaler, 2008. "Deal or No Deal? Decision Making under Risk in a Large-Payoff Game Show," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 98(1), pages 38-71, March.
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    Cited by:

    1. Zuo, Jingjing & Qiu, Baoyin & Zhu, Guoyiming & Lei, Guangyong, 2023. "Local speculative culture and stock price crash risk," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    2. M. V. Shyam Kumar & Jaya Dixit & Bill Francis, 2015. "The impact of prior stock market reactions on risk taking in acquisitions," Strategic Management Journal, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 36(13), pages 2111-2121, December.
    3. Huixiang Zeng & Xuemei Li & Zhifang Zhou & Yishuang Ma & Fangting Lv, 2023. "Local gambling culture and corporate tax aggressiveness: A trait activation perspective on informal institutions," Managerial and Decision Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 44(6), pages 3166-3184, September.
    4. Chen, Yunyan & Wu, Shinong & Zhou, Yucheng & Huo, Di, 2023. "Gambling culture and corporate violations: Evidence from China," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    5. Kiosses, Nikolaos & Leventis, Stergios & Subeniotis, Demetres & Tampakoudis, Ioannis, 2025. "The impact of policy uncertainty on shareholder wealth: Evidence from bank M&A," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    6. Lijing Tong & Bin Wu & Min Zhang, 2023. "Local Gambling Attitudes and Audit Quality: Evidence from Audit Adjustments," Abacus, Accounting Foundation, University of Sydney, vol. 59(1), pages 381-410, March.
    7. Lin, Nan & Chen, Han & Zhang, Pengdong & Liu, Weiqian, 2022. "Does gambling culture affect firms’ investment efficiency?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 49(C).
    8. Ioannis Tampakoudis & Andreas Andrikopoulos & Michail Nerantzidis & Nikolaos Kiosses, 2022. "Does boardroom gender diversity affect shareholder wealth? Evidence from bank mergers and acquisitions," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(3), pages 3315-3344, July.
    9. Yucheng Zhou & Jinchang Chen & Shinong Wu & Lihong Wang, 2025. "Gambling culture, corporate risk preference and bond risk premium," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 64(1), pages 119-161, January.

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