The Devil Is in the Tail: Macroeconomic Tail Risk Expectations of Firms
Author
Abstract
Suggested Citation
Download full text from publisher
References listed on IDEAS
- Dimmock, Stephen G. & Kouwenberg, Roy & Mitchell, Olivia S. & Peijnenburg, Kim, 2016. "Ambiguity aversion and household portfolio choice puzzles: Empirical evidence," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 119(3), pages 559-577.
- Jessica A. Wachter, 2013.
"Can Time-Varying Risk of Rare Disasters Explain Aggregate Stock Market Volatility?,"
Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 68(3), pages 987-1035, June.
- Jessica Wachter, 2008. "Can time-varying risk of rare disasters explain aggregate stock market volatility?," 2008 Meeting Papers 944, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Jessica Wachter, 2008. "Can Time-Varying Risk of Rare Disasters Explain Aggregate Stock Market Volatility?," NBER Working Papers 14386, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Tauchen, George, 1986. "Finite state markov-chain approximations to univariate and vector autoregressions," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 20(2), pages 177-181.
- Ulrike Malmendier & Stefan Nagel, 2011.
"Depression Babies: Do Macroeconomic Experiences Affect Risk Taking?,"
The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 126(1), pages 373-416.
- Ulrike Malmendier & Stefan Nagel, 2009. "Depression Babies: Do Macroeconomic Experiences Affect Risk-Taking?," NBER Working Papers 14813, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
Most related items
These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.- Duraj, Kamila & Grunow, Daniela & Chaliasos, Michael & Laudenbach, Christine & Siegel, Stephan, 2024. "Rethinking the stock market participation puzzle: A qualitative approach," IMFS Working Paper Series 210, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
- Sias, Richard & Starks, Laura T. & Turtle, H.J., 2023. "The negativity bias and perceived return distributions: Evidence from a pandemic," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 147(3), pages 627-657.
- Bender, Svetlana & Choi, James J. & Dyson, Danielle & Robertson, Adriana Z., 2022.
"Millionaires speak: What drives their personal investment decisions?,"
Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 146(1), pages 305-330.
- Svetlana Bender & James J. Choi & Danielle Dyson & Adriana Z. Robertson, 2020. "Millionaires Speak: What Drives Their Personal Investment Decisions?," NBER Working Papers 27969, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Duraj, Kamila & Grunow, Daniela & Chaliasos, Michael & Laudenbach, Christine & Siegel, Stephan, 2024. "Rethinking the stock market participation puzzle: A qualitative approach," SAFE Working Paper Series 441, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE.
- Barberis, Nicholas & Greenwood, Robin & Jin, Lawrence & Shleifer, Andrei, 2015.
"X-CAPM: An extrapolative capital asset pricing model,"
Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 115(1), pages 1-24.
- Nicholas Barberis & Robin Greenwood & Lawrence Jin & Andrei Shleifer, "undated". "X-CAPM: An Extrapolative Capital Asset Pricing Model," Working Paper 86521, Harvard University OpenScholar.
- Nicholas Barberis & Robin Greenwood & Lawrence Jin & Andrei Shleifer, 2013. "X-CAPM: An Extrapolative Capital Asset Pricing Model," NBER Working Papers 19189, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Francisco Gomes & Michael Haliassos & Tarun Ramadorai, 2021.
"Household Finance,"
Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 59(3), pages 919-1000, September.
- Haliassos, Michael & Gomes, Francisco, 2020. "Household Finance," CEPR Discussion Papers 14502, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Gomes, Francisco J. & Haliassos, Michael & Ramadorai, Tarun, 2020. "Household finance," IMFS Working Paper Series 138, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
- John Ameriks & Gábor Kézdi & Minjoon Lee & Matthew D. Shapiro, 2020.
"Heterogeneity in Expectations, Risk Tolerance, and Household Stock Shares: The Attenuation Puzzle,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(3), pages 633-646, July.
- John Ameriks & Gábor Kézdi & Minjoon Lee & Matthew D. Shapiro, 2018. "Heterogeneity in Expectations, Risk Tolerance, and Household Stock Shares: The Attenuation Puzzle," NBER Working Papers 25269, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Ian Martin, 2017.
"What is the Expected Return on the Market?,"
The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 132(1), pages 367-433.
- Martin, Ian, 2015. "What is the Expected Return on the Market?," CEPR Discussion Papers 10715, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Martin, Ian, 2016. "What is the expected return on the market?," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 119013, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Martin, Ian, 2017. "What is the expected return on the market?," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 67036, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Schäfer, Dorothea & Stephan, Andreas & Weser, Henriette, 2023. "Crisis stress for the diversity of financial portfolios — evidence from European households," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 330-347.
- Kuhnen, Camelia M. & Miu, Andrei C., 2017.
"Socioeconomic status and learning from financial information,"
Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 124(2), pages 349-372.
- Camelia M. Kuhnen & Andrei C. Miu, 2015. "Socioeconomic Status and Learning from Financial Information," NBER Working Papers 21214, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Camelia Kuhnen & Andrei Mui, 2015. "Socioeconomic Status and Learning from Financial Information," Working Papers 2015-018, Human Capital and Economic Opportunity Working Group.
- repec:oup:qjecon:v:132:y:2016:i:1:p:367-433. is not listed on IDEAS
- Tyler Muir, 2017. "Financial Crises and Risk Premia," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 132(2), pages 765-809.
- Brown, James R. & Cookson, J. Anthony & Heimer, Rawley Z., 2019.
"Growing up without finance,"
Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 134(3), pages 591-616.
- James R. Brown & J Anthony Cookson & Rawley Heimer, 2017. "Growing Up without Finance," Working Papers (Old Series) 1704, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Jonathan Huntley & Valentina Michelangeli & Felix Reichling, 2021. "What drives investors to chase returns?," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1334, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- Gao, Ming & Liu, Yu-Jane & Shi, Yushui, 2020. "Do people feel less at risk? Evidence from disaster experience," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 138(3), pages 866-888.
- Meister, Lorenz & Menkhoff, Lukas & Schröder, Carsten, 2024. "Work from Home, Stock Market Participation, and Inequality," VfS Annual Conference 2024 (Berlin): Upcoming Labor Market Challenges 302335, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- James J. Choi & Adriana Z. Robertson, 2020.
"What Matters to Individual Investors? Evidence from the Horse's Mouth,"
Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 75(4), pages 1965-2020, August.
- James J. Choi & Adriana Z. Robertson, 2018. "What Matters to Individual Investors? Evidence from the Horse’s Mouth," NBER Working Papers 25019, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Jerry Tsai & Jessica A. Wachter, 2015. "Disaster Risk and its Implications for Asset Pricing," NBER Working Papers 20926, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Korniotis, George & Bonaparte, Yosef & Kumar, Alok, 2020. "Income Risk and Stock Market Entry/Exit Decisions," CEPR Discussion Papers 15370, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- João F Gomes & Marco Grotteria & Jessica A Wachter, 2019.
"Cyclical Dispersion in Expected Defaults,"
The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 32(4), pages 1275-1308.
- João F. Gomes & Marco Grotteria & Jessica A. Wachter, 2017. "Cyclical Dispersion in Expected Defaults," NBER Working Papers 23704, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Finer, David Andrew, 2022. "No Shock Waves through Wall Street? Market Responses to the Risk of Nuclear War," Working Papers 318, The University of Chicago Booth School of Business, George J. Stigler Center for the Study of the Economy and the State.
More about this item
Keywords
macroeconomic tail risk; rare events; firm expectations; investment.;All these keywords.
JEL classification:
- D84 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Expectations; Speculations
- E22 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Investment; Capital; Intangible Capital; Capacity
- E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
- G30 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - General
NEP fields
This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:- NEP-RMG-2025-05-26 (Risk Management)
Statistics
Access and download statisticsCorrections
All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ces:ceswps:_11848. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.
If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .
If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Klaus Wohlrabe (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/cesifde.html .
Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.