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Depressed Demand

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  • Nghiem, Giang

Abstract

Using a survey of Dutch households, we find that individuals who have experienced higher national unemployment rates over their lifetime save more and borrow less, after controlling for aggregate shocks, income, wealth, and demographics. These results are consistent with experience-based learning and inconsistent with rational learning. Furthermore, these individuals find it more important to save for retirement and are more worried about losing their job. These observations suggest that periods of high unemployment depress aggregate demand because of persistently more pessimistic beliefs.

Suggested Citation

  • Nghiem, Giang, 2020. "Depressed Demand," VfS Annual Conference 2020 (Virtual Conference): Gender Economics 224531, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:vfsc20:224531
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    File URL: https://www.econstor.eu/bitstream/10419/224531/1/vfs-2020-pid-38759.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Roth, Christopher & Wohlfart, Johannes, 2018. "Experienced inequality and preferences for redistribution," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 167(C), pages 251-262.
    2. Hamish Low & Costas Meghir & Luigi Pistaferri, 2010. "Wage Risk and Employment Risk over the Life Cycle," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 100(4), pages 1432-1467, September.
    3. Greenwood, Robin & Nagel, Stefan, 2009. "Inexperienced investors and bubbles," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 93(2), pages 239-258, August.
    4. Christine Laudenbach & Ulrike Malmendier & Alexandra Niessen-Ruenzi, 2019. "Emotional Tagging and Belief Formation: The Long-Lasting Effects of Experiencing Communism," AEA Papers and Proceedings, American Economic Association, vol. 109, pages 567-571, May.
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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E21 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Consumption; Saving; Wealth
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E71 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macro-Based Behavioral Economics - - - Role and Effects of Psychological, Emotional, Social, and Cognitive Factors on the Macro Economy

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