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Risk and return spillovers among the G10 currencies

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  • Greenwood-Nimmo, Matthew
  • Nguyen, Viet Hoang
  • Rafferty, Barry

Abstract

We study spillovers among daily returns and innovations in the option-implied risk-neutral volatility and skewness of the G10 currencies. Using an empirical network model, we uncover substantial time variation in the interaction of returns and risk measures, both within and between currencies. We find that aggregate spillover intensity is countercyclical with respect to the federal funds rate and increases in periods of financial stress. Cross-currency spillovers of volatility and especially of skewness increase in times of stress, reflecting greater systematic risk. Similarly, in such times, returns become more sensitive to risk measures and vice versa.

Suggested Citation

  • Greenwood-Nimmo, Matthew & Nguyen, Viet Hoang & Rafferty, Barry, 2016. "Risk and return spillovers among the G10 currencies," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 43-62.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:finmar:v:31:y:2016:i:c:p:43-62
    DOI: 10.1016/j.finmar.2016.05.001
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    Cited by:

    1. repec:eee:jimfin:v:77:y:2017:i:c:p:39-56 is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Baruník, Jozef & Kočenda, Evžen & Vácha, Lukáš, 2017. "Asymmetric volatility connectedness on the forex market," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 39-56.
    3. Matthew Greenwood-Nimmo & Viet Hoang Nguyen & Yongcheol Shin, 2017. "What’s Mine Is Yours: Sovereign Risk Transmission during the European Debt Crisis," Melbourne Institute Working Paper Series wp2017n17, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, The University of Melbourne.
    4. Zhang, Dayong, 2017. "Oil shocks and stock markets revisited: Measuring connectedness from a global perspective," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 323-333.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Foreign exchange markets; Risk-neutral volatility; Risk-neutral skewness; Spillovers; Coordinated crash risk;

    JEL classification:

    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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