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Citations of
Andrew C. Harvey

For current contact information and a more complete listing of works, please see here

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Working papers

  1. Harvey, A., 2008. "Dynamic distributions and changing copulas," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 0839, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge. [Downloadable!]

    Cited by:

    1. Busetti, F. & Harvey, A., 2008. "When is a copula constant? A test for changing relationships," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 0841, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge. [Downloadable!]

  2. Busetti, F. & Harvey, A., 2008. "When is a copula constant? A test for changing relationships," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 0841, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge. [Downloadable!]

    Cited by:

    1. David Peel & Ivan Paya & Shenqiu Zhang, 2009. "Linkages between Shanghai and Hong Kong stock indices," Working Papers 005927, Lancaster University Management School, Economics Department. [Downloadable!]
    2. Chollete, Loran & Pena, Victor de la & Lu, Ching-Chih, 2009. "International Diversification: A Copula Approach," UiS Working Papers in Economics and Finance 2009/27, University of Stavanger. [Downloadable!]

  3. Harvey, A., 2008. "Modeling the Phillips curve with unobserved components," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 0805, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge. [Downloadable!]

    Cited by:

    1. Lena Vogel, 2008. "The Relationship between the Hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve and the NAIRU over Time," Macroeconomics and Finance Series 200803, Hamburg University, Department Wirtschaft und Politik. [Downloadable!]

  4. Busettti, F. & Harvey, A., 2007. "Tests of time-invariance," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 0701, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:

    Cited by:

    1. Busetti, F. & Harvey, A., 2008. "When is a copula constant? A test for changing relationships," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 0841, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge. [Downloadable!]
    2. DeRossi, G. & Harvey, A., 2007. "Quantiles, Expectiles and Splines," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 0660, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    3. Harvey, A., 2008. "Dynamic distributions and changing copulas," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 0839, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge. [Downloadable!]

  5. Fabio Busetti & Andrew Harvey, 2007. "Testing for trend," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 614, Bank of Italy, Economic Research Department. [Downloadable!]
    Published as:

    Cited by:

    1. Josep Carrion-i-Silvestre & Andreu Sansó, 2006. "A guide to the computation of stationarity tests," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 31(2), pages 433-448, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    2. James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson, 1996. "Asymptotically Median Unbiased Estimation of Coefficient Variance in a Time Varying Parameter Model," NBER Technical Working Papers 0201, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    3. María Presno & Anna López, 2003. "Testing for stationarity in series with a shift in the mean. A fredholm approach," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer, vol. 12(1), pages 195-213, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    4. Fabio Busetti & Lorenzo Forni & Andrew Harvey & Fabrizio Venditti, 2006. "Inflation convergence and divergence within the European Monetary Union," Working Paper Series 574, European Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    5. Chevillon, Guillaume, 2007. "Inference in the Presence of Stochastic and Deterministic Trends," ESSEC Working Papers DR 07021, ESSEC Research Center, ESSEC Business School. [Downloadable!]
    6. Denis Kwiatkowski & Peter C.B. Phillips & Peter Schmidt, 1991. "Testing the Null Hypothesis of Stationarity Against the Alternative of a Unit Root: How Sure Are We That Economic Time Series Have a Unit Root?," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 979, Cowles Foundation, Yale University. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    7. Josep Carrion-i-Silvestre & Andreu Sansó, 2007. "The KPSS test with two structural breaks," Spanish Economic Review, Springer, vol. 9(2), pages 105-127, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
      Other versions:

  6. DeRossi, G. & Harvey, A., 2007. "Quantiles, Expectiles and Splines," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 0702, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
    Published as:

    Cited by:

    1. Chollete, Loran & Pena, Victor de la & Lu, Ching-Chih, 2009. "International Diversification: A Copula Approach," UiS Working Papers in Economics and Finance 2009/27, University of Stavanger. [Downloadable!]
    2. Busetti, F. & Harvey, A., 2008. "When is a copula constant? A test for changing relationships," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 0841, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge. [Downloadable!]
    3. Zhijie Xiao & Roger Koenker, 2009. "Conditional Quantile Estimation for GARCH Models," Boston College Working Papers in Economics 725, Boston College Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
    4. Tobias Adrian & Markus K. Brunnermeier, 2008. "CoVaR," Staff Reports 348, Federal Reserve Bank of New York. [Downloadable!]
    5. Chollete, Loran & Ning, Cathy, 2009. "The Dependence Structure of Macroeconomic Variables in the US," UiS Working Papers in Economics and Finance 2009/31, University of Stavanger. [Downloadable!]
    6. Chollete, Loran & de la Pena , Victor & Lu, Ching-Chih, 2009. "International Diversification: An Extreme Value Approach," UiS Working Papers in Economics and Finance 2009/26, University of Stavanger. [Downloadable!]
    7. Harvey, A., 2008. "Dynamic distributions and changing copulas," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 0839, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge. [Downloadable!]

  7. Fabio Busetti & Lorenzo Forni & Andrew Harvey & Fabrizio Venditti, 2006. "Inflation convergence and divergence within the European Monetary Union," Working Paper Series 574, European Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
    Published as:

    Cited by:

    1. Alina M. Spiru, 2008. "Inflation Convergence In Central And Eastern European Economies," Romanian Economic Business Review, Romanian-American University, vol. 3(4), pages 14-34, Winter. [Downloadable!]
    2. P. Siklos & M. Bohl, 2006. "Asset Prices as Indicators of Euro Area Monetary Policy: An Empirical Assessment of Their Role in a Taylor Rule," Working Papers eg0053, Wilfrid Laurier University, Department of Economics, revised 2006. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    3. Ashoka Mody & Franziska Ohnsorge, 2007. "Can Domestic Policies Influence Inflation?," IMF Working Papers 07/257, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
    4. Ulrich Fritsche & Vladimir Kuzin, 2007. "Unit Labor Cost Growth Differentials in the Euro Area, Germany, and the US: Lessons from PANIC and Cluster Analysis," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 667, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    5. Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Alexandros Kontonikas, 2006. "The Euro And Inflation Uncertainty In The European Monetary Union," Economics and Finance Discussion Papers 06-01, Economics and Finance Section, School of Social Sciences, Brunel University. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    6. Fabio Busetti & Andrew Harvey, 2007. "Testing for trend," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 614, Bank of Italy, Economic Research Department. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    7. Alberto Montagnoli & Andros Gregoriou & Alexandros Kontonikas, 2007. "Euro Area Inflation Differentials: Unit Roots, Structural Breaks and Non-Linear Adjustment," Working Papers 2007_13, Department of Economics, University of Glasgow. [Downloadable!]
    8. Yilmazkuday, Hakan, 2009. "Inflation Targeting and Inflation Convergence within Turkey," MPRA Paper 16770, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
    9. Christian Proaño Acosta, 2007. "Inflation Differentials and Business Cycle Fluctuations in the European Monetary Union," IMK Working Paper 05-2007, IMK at the Hans Boeckler Foundation, Macroeconomic Policy Institute. [Downloadable!]
    10. Claude Lopez, 2008. "Euro-zone Inflation Rates: Stationary or Regime-wise Stationary Processes," University of Cincinnati, Economics Working Papers Series 2008-02, University of Cincinnati, Department of Economics, revised 2008. [Downloadable!]
    11. GRENADE, Kari & MOORE, Winston, 2008. "Co-Movements Between Foreign And Domestic Interest Rates In A Fixed Exchange Rate Regime: The Case Of The Eccu And The Us," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 8(1), pages 119-130. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    12. Massimiliano Affinito & Fabio Farabullini, 2006. "An empirical analysis of national differences in the retail bank interest rates of the euro area," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 589, Bank of Italy, Economic Research Department. [Downloadable!]
    13. Agnes Benassy-Quere, 2006. "Short-Term Fiscal Spillovers in a Monetary Union," Working Papers 2006-13, CEPII research center. [Downloadable!]
    14. Constantina Kottaridi & Diego Mendez-Carbajo & Dimitrios Thomakos, 2007. "Inflation Dynamics and the Cross-Sectional Distribution of Prices in the E.U. Periphery," Working Papers 0004, University of Peloponnese, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    15. Pelinescu, Elena & Caraiani, Petre, 2006. "Does the Inflation Targeting Have a Positive Role upon the Convergence of the Inflation Rate?," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 3(3), pages 39-50, September. [Downloadable!]
    16. Van Poeck A., 2009. "One Money and Fifteen Needs Inflation and Output Convergence in the European Monetary Union," Working Papers 2009001, University of Antwerp, Faculty of Applied Economics. [Downloadable!]
    17. Giulio Palomba & Emma Sarno & Alberto Zazzaro, 2009. "Testing similarities of short-run inflation dynamics among EU-25 countries after the Euro," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 37(2), pages 231-270, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    18. Sebastian Dullien & Ulrich Fritsche, 2007. "Does the Dispersion of Unit Labor Cost Dynamics in the EMU Imply Long-run Divergence? Results from a Comparison with the United States of America and Germany," Macroeconomics and Finance Series 200702, Hamburg University, Department Wirtschaft und Politik. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    19. Peter Bofinger & Eric Mayer, 2007. "Monetary and Fiscal Policy Interaction in the Euro Area with Different Assumptions on the Phillips Curve," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 18(3), pages 291-305, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    20. Alina Spiru, 2007. "Inflation convergence in the new EU member states," Working Papers 005221, Lancaster University Management School, Economics Department. [Downloadable!]
    21. Andrea, SILVESTRINI, 2007. "Testing fiscal sustainability in Poland : a Bayesian analysis of cointegration," Discussion Papers (ECON - Département des Sciences Economiques) 2007040, Université catholique de Louvain, Département des Sciences Economiques. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:

  8. Fabio Busetti & Silvia Fabiani & Andrew Harvey, 2006. "Convergences of prices and rates of inflation," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 575, Bank of Italy, Economic Research Department. [Downloadable!]
    Published as:

    Cited by:

    1. Elena Pesavento & Barbara Rossi, 2006. "Impulse Responses Confidence Intervals for Persistent Data: What Have We Learned?," Emory Economics 0603, Department of Economics, Emory University (Atlanta). [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    2. Christian Dreger & Reinhold Kosfeld, 2007. "Do Regional Price Levels Converge?: Paneleconometric Evidence Based on German Districts," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 754, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research. [Downloadable!]
    3. Yilmazkuday, Hakan, 2009. "Inflation Targeting and Inflation Convergence within Turkey," MPRA Paper 16770, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
    4. Andrea Vaona & Guido Ascari, 2007. "Regional Inflation Persistence: Evidence from Italy," Quaderni della facoltà di Scienze economiche dell'Università di Lugano 0807, Biblioteca universitaria di Lugano (University Library of Lugano). [Downloadable!]
    5. Carla Massidda & Paolo Mattana, 2008. "Regional productivity and relative prices dynamics: the case of Italy," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer, vol. 42(4), pages 945-966, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

  9. DeRossi, G. & Harvey, A., 2006. "Time-Varying Quantiles," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 0649, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge. [Downloadable!]

    Cited by:

    1. Maria Rosa Nieto & Esther Ruiz, 2008. "Measuring financial risk : comparison of alternative procedures to estimate VaR and ES," Statistics and Econometrics Working Papers ws087326, Universidad Carlos III, Departamento de Estadística y Econometría. [Downloadable!]
    2. Busetti, F. & Harvey, A., 2008. "When is a copula constant? A test for changing relationships," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 0841, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge. [Downloadable!]
    3. DeRossi, G. & Harvey, A., 2007. "Quantiles, Expectiles and Splines," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 0660, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    4. Busettti, F. & Harvey, A., 2007. "Tests of time-invariance," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 0657, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    5. Harvey, A., 2008. "Dynamic distributions and changing copulas," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 0839, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge. [Downloadable!]

  10. Harvey, A.C. & Trimbur, T.M. & Dijk, H.K. van, 2005. "Trends and cycles in economic time series: A Bayesian approach," Econometric Institute Report EI 2005-27 Revision_Date:, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute. [Downloadable!]
    Published as:

    Cited by:

    1. Bernardi, Mauro & Della Corte, Giuseppe & Proietti, Tommaso, 2008. "Extracting the Cyclical Component in Hours Worked: a Bayesian Approach," MPRA Paper 8967, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
    2. James M. Nason & John H. Rogers, 2008. "Exchange rates and fundamentals: a generalization," International Finance Discussion Papers 948, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.). [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    3. D.S. Prasada Rao & Alicia Rambaldi & Howard Doran, 2008. "A Method to Construct World Tables of Purchasing Power Parities and Real Incomes Based on Multiple Benchmarks and Auxiliary Information: Analytical and Empirical Results," CEPA Working Papers Series WP052008, School of Economics, University of Queensland, Australia. [Downloadable!]
    4. Drew Creal & Siem Jan Koopman & Eric Zivot, 2008. "The Effect of the Great Moderation on the U.S. Business Cycle in a Time-varying Multivariate Trend-cycle Model," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 08-069/4, Tinbergen Institute. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    5. James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson, 2006. "Why Has U.S. Inflation Become Harder to Forecast?," NBER Working Papers 12324, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    6. Anthony Garratt & Kevin Lee & Emi Mise & Kalvinder Shields, 2006. "Real Time Representation of the UK Output Gap in the Presence of Trend Uncertainty," Birkbeck Working Papers in Economics and Finance 0618, Birkbeck, Department of Economics, Mathematics & Statistics. [Downloadable!]
    7. Harvey, A., 2008. "Modeling the Phillips curve with unobserved components," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 0805, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge. [Downloadable!]
    8. Christophe Planas & Alessandro Rossi & Gabriele Fiorentini, 2008. "The marginal likelihood of Structural Time Series Models, with application to the euroareaa nd US NAIRU," Working Paper Series 21-08, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis, revised Jan 2008. [Downloadable!]
    9. Alicia N. Rambaldi & D.S. Prasada Rao & K. Renuka Ganegodage, 2009. "Spatial Autocorrelation and Extrapolation of Purchasing Power Parities. Modelling and Sensitivity Analysis," CEPA Working Papers Series WP012009, School of Economics, University of Queensland, Australia. [Downloadable!]

  11. Carvalho, Vasco M & Harvey, Andrew, 2004. "Convergence and Cycles in the Euro Zone," CEPR Discussion Papers 4726, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

    Cited by:

    1. James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson, 2003. "Understanding Changes in International Business Cycle Dynamics," NBER Working Papers 9859, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
      Other versions:
    2. Eickmeier, Sandra, 2005. "Common stationary and non-stationary factors in the euro area analyzed in a large-scale factor model," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 2005,02, Deutsche Bundesbank, Research Centre. [Downloadable!]
    3. James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson, 2003. "Has the business cycle changed?," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, pages 9-56. [Downloadable!]
    4. Bovi, M., 2005. "Economic Clubs and European Commitment. Evidence from the International Business Cycles," International Journal of Applied Econometrics and Quantitative Studies, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 2(2), pages 101-122. [Downloadable!]
    5. Maurizio Bovi, 2003. "Nonparametric Analysis Of The International Business Cycles," ISAE Working Papers 37, ISAE - Institute for Studies and Economic Analyses - (Rome, ITALY). [Downloadable!]

  12. Herman K. van Dijk & Andrew Harvey & Thomas Trimbur, 2004. "Cyclical components in economic time series: A Bayesian approach," Econometric Society 2004 Australasian Meetings 105, Econometric Society. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:

    Cited by:

    1. Gonzalo Llosa & Shirley Miller, 2005. "Using additional information in estimating the output gap in Peru: a multivariate unobserved component approach," Working Papers 2005-004, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú. [Downloadable!]
    2. Gonzalo Llosa/Shirley Miller, 2004. "Using additional information in estimating output gap in Peru: a multivariate unobserved component approach," Econometric Society 2004 Latin American Meetings 243, Econometric Society. [Downloadable!]
    3. Richard Kleijn & Herman K. van Dijk, 2006. "Bayes model averaging of cyclical decompositions in economic time series," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 21(2), pages 191-212. [Downloadable!]

  13. Harvey, A.C. & Trimbur, T.M. & Dijk, H.K. van, 2004. "Bayes estimates of the cyclical component in twentieth centruy US gross domestic product," Econometric Institute Report EI 2004-45 Revision_Date:, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute. [Downloadable!]

    Cited by:

    1. Ferroni, Filippo, 2009. "Trend agnostic one step estimation of DSGE models," MPRA Paper 14550, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]

  14. Andrew Harvey, 2004. "Trend estimation, signal-noise ratios and the frequency of observations," Econometric Society 2004 Australasian Meetings 343, Econometric Society.

    Cited by:

    1. Alessandra Iacobucci & Alain Noullez, 2004. "A Frequency Selective Filter for Short-Length Time Series," Documents de Travail de l'OFCE 2004-05, Observatoire Francais des Conjonctures Economiques (OFCE). [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    2. Tucker S. McElroy & Thomas M. Trimbur, 2007. "Continuous time extraction of a nonstationary signal with illustrations in continuous low-pass and band-pass filtering," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2007-68, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.). [Downloadable!]

  15. Harvey, A. & Bates, D., 2003. "Multivariate Unit Root Tests and Testing for Convergence," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 0301, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge. [Downloadable!]

    Cited by:

    1. Fischer, Christoph, 2007. "An assessment of the trends in international price competitiveness among EMU countries," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 2007,08, Deutsche Bundesbank, Research Centre. [Downloadable!]
    2. Alina M. Spiru, 2008. "Inflation Convergence In Central And Eastern European Economies," Romanian Economic Business Review, Romanian-American University, vol. 3(4), pages 14-34, Winter. [Downloadable!]
    3. Jönsson, Kristian, 2003. "Cross-sectional dependency and size distortion in a small-sample homogeneous panel-data unit root test," Working Papers 2003:10, Lund University, Department of Economics.
      Other versions:
    4. Fabio Busetti & Silvia Fabiani & Andrew Harvey, 2006. "Convergences of prices and rates of inflation," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 575, Bank of Italy, Economic Research Department. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    5. GRENADE, Kari & MOORE, Winston, 2008. "Co-Movements Between Foreign And Domestic Interest Rates In A Fixed Exchange Rate Regime: The Case Of The Eccu And The Us," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 8(1), pages 119-130. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    6. Pesaran, M.H., 2003. "A Simple Panel Unit Root Test in the Presence of Cross Section Dependence," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 0346, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    7. Fabio Busetti & Lorenzo Forni & Andrew Harvey & Fabrizio Venditti, 2006. "Inflation convergence and divergence within the European Monetary Union," Working Paper Series 574, European Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    8. Fischer, Christoph & Porath, Daniel, 2006. "A reappraisal of the evidence on PPP: a systematic investigation into MA roots in panel unit root tests and their implications," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 2006,23, Deutsche Bundesbank, Research Centre. [Downloadable!]
    9. Alina Spiru, 2007. "Inflation convergence in the new EU member states," Working Papers 005221, Lancaster University Management School, Economics Department. [Downloadable!]
    10. David E.A. Giles & Hui Feng, 2003. "Testing For Convergence in Output and in 'Well-Being' in Industrialized Countries," Econometrics Working Papers 0302, Department of Economics, University of Victoria. [Downloadable!]

  16. Vasco M.Carvalho & Andrew C.Harvey, 2002. "Growth, Cycles and Convergence in US Regional Time Series," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 0221, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge. [Downloadable!]
    Published as:

    Cited by:

    1. Dimitris , Chrsitopoulos & Miguel , Leon-Ledesma, 2009. "International Output Convergence, Breaks, and Asymmetric Adjustment," MPRA Paper 14566, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
    2. Robert Dixon, 2007. "Common Cycles in Labour Market Separation Rates for Australian States," Department of Economics - Working Papers Series 991, The University of Melbourne. [Downloadable!]

  17. A.C. Harvey & T.M. Trimbur & H.K. Van Dijk, 2002. "Cyclical components in economic time series," Econometric Institute Report 293, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:

    Cited by:

    1. Richard Kleijn & Herman K. van Dijk, 2006. "Bayes model averaging of cyclical decompositions in economic time series," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 21(2), pages 191-212. [Downloadable!]

  18. Andrew Harvey, 2002. "Trends, Cycles and Convergence," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 155, Central Bank of Chile. [Downloadable!]

    Cited by:

    1. 300, 2004. "Persistence and the Role of Exchange Rate and Interest Rate Inertia in Monetary Policy," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 300, Central Bank of Chile. [Downloadable!]
    2. Rodrigo Caputo, 2004. "Exchange Rates, Inflation and Monetary Policy Objectives in Open Economies: The Experience of Chile," Econometric Society 2004 Latin American Meetings 298, Econometric Society. [Downloadable!]
    3. Rodrigo Caputo, 2004. "Exchange Rates and Monetary Policy in Open Economies: The Experience of Chile in the Nineties," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 272, Central Bank of Chile. [Downloadable!]
    4. Lavan Mahadeva and Paul Robinson, 2004. "Unit Root Testing in a Central Bank," Handbooks, Centre for Central Banking Studies, Bank of England, number 22. [Downloadable!]
    5. Rodrigo Caputo, 2004. "External Shocks and Monetary Policy: Does it Pay to Respond to Exchange Rate Deviations?," Econometric Society 2004 Australasian Meetings 300, Econometric Society. [Downloadable!]

  19. Busettti, F. & Harvey, A., 2002. "Testing for Drift in a Time Series," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 0237, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge. [Downloadable!]

    Cited by:

    1. Fabio Busetti & Andrew Harvey, 2007. "Testing for trend," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 614, Bank of Italy, Economic Research Department. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    2. Fabio Busetti & Silvia Fabiani & Andrew Harvey, 2006. "Convergences of prices and rates of inflation," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 575, Bank of Italy, Economic Research Department. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:

  20. Harvey, A. & Vasco Carvalho, 2002. "Models for Converging Economies," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 0216, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge. [Downloadable!]

    Cited by:

    1. Mike Artis & Hans-Martin Krolzig & Juan Toro, 2002. "The European Business Cycle," Economic Working Papers at Centro de Estudios Andaluces E2002/19, Centro de Estudios Andaluces. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    2. Haldrup, Niels, . "Empirical analysis of price data in the delineation of the relevant geographical market in competition analysis," Economics Working Papers 2003-9, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus. [Downloadable!]
    3. Andrew Harvey, 2002. "Trends, Cycles and Convergence," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 155, Central Bank of Chile. [Downloadable!]
    4. Arbia, G., 2004. "Alternative approaches to regional convergence exploiting both spatial and temporal information," Estudios de Economía Aplicada, Estudios de Economía Aplicada, vol. 22, pages 1-18, Diciembre. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    5. Christian Proaño Acosta, 2007. "Inflation Differentials and Business Cycle Fluctuations in the European Monetary Union," IMK Working Paper 05-2007, IMK at the Hans Boeckler Foundation, Macroeconomic Policy Institute. [Downloadable!]
    6. Massimiliano Affinito & Fabio Farabullini, 2006. "An empirical analysis of national differences in the retail bank interest rates of the euro area," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 589, Bank of Italy, Economic Research Department. [Downloadable!]
    7. Fabio Busetti & Lorenzo Forni & Andrew Harvey & Fabrizio Venditti, 2006. "Inflation convergence and divergence within the European Monetary Union," Working Paper Series 574, European Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    8. Rob Luginbuhl & Siem Jan Koopman, 2003. "Convergence in European GDP Series," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 03-031/4, Tinbergen Institute. [Downloadable!]
    9. Rob Luginbuhl & Siem Jan Koopman, 2004. "Convergence in European GDP series: a multivariate common converging trend-cycle decomposition," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 19(5), pages 611-636. [Downloadable!]

  21. Harvey, A.C. & Trimbur, T.M., 2001. "General Model-based Filters for Extracting Cycles and Trends in Economic Time Series," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 0113, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge. [Downloadable!]
    Published as:

    Cited by:

    1. Ard den Reijer, 2006. "The Dutch business cycle: which indicators should we monitor?," DNB Working Papers 100, Netherlands Central Bank, Research Department. [Downloadable!]
    2. Michael ARTIS & Massimiliano MARCELLINO & Tommaso PROIETTI, 2002. "Dating the Euro Area Business Cycle," Economics Working Papers ECO2002/24, European University Institute. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    3. Bassanetti, Antonio & Döpke, Jörg & Torrini, Roberto & Zizza, Roberta, 2006. "Capital, labour and productivity: What role do they play in the potential GPD weakness of France, Germany and Italy?," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 2006,09, Deutsche Bundesbank, Research Centre. [Downloadable!]
    4. Kum Hwa Oh & Eric Zivot & Drew Creal, 2006. "The Relationship between the Beveridge-Nelson Decomposition andUnobserved Component Models with Correlated Shocks," Working Papers UWEC-2006-16-FC, University of Washington, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
    5. Roberta Zizza, 2006. "A measure of output gap for Italy through structural time series models," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 33(5), pages 481-496, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    6. Anthony Garratt & Donald Robertson & Stephen Wright, 2005. "Permanent vs Transitory Components and Economic Fundamentals," Birkbeck Working Papers in Economics and Finance 0501, Birkbeck, Department of Economics, Mathematics & Statistics. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    7. Jonas Dovern & Ulrich Fritsche & Jiri Slacalek, 2009. "Disagreement among Forecasters in G7 Countries," Macroeconomics and Finance Series 200906, Hamburg University, Department Wirtschaft und Politik. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    8. Matteo Pelagatti & Valeria Negri, 2008. "Milan’s Cycle as an Accurate Leading Indicator for the Italian Business Cycle," Working Papers 20080601, Università degli Studi di Milano-Bicocca, Dipartimento di Statistica. [Downloadable!]
    9. Andrew Harvey, 2002. "Trends, Cycles and Convergence," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 155, Central Bank of Chile. [Downloadable!]
    10. Pierre Perron & Tatsuma Wada, 2005. "Let’s Take a Break: Trends and Cycles in US Real GDP," Boston University - Department of Economics - Working Papers Series wp2009-006, Boston University - Department of Economics, revised Feb 2009. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    11. Cayen, Jean-Philippe & van Norden, Simon, 2004. "The reliability of Canadian output gap estimates," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 2004,29, Deutsche Bundesbank, Research Centre. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    12. Tommaso PROIETTI & Alberto MUSSO & Thomas WESTERMANN, 2002. "Estimating Potential Output and the Output Gap for the Euro Area: a Model-Based Production Function Approach," Economics Working Papers ECO2002/09, European University Institute. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    13. Luati, Alessandra & Proietti, Tommaso, 2009. "Hyper-spherical and Elliptical Stochastic Cycles," MPRA Paper 15169, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
    14. Tamim Bayoumi & Thomas Helnling, 2003. "Are They All in the Same Boat? The 2000-2001 Growth Slowdown and the G-7 Business Cycle Linkages," IMF Working Papers 03/46, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
    15. Gebhard Flaig & Timo Wollmershäuser, 2007. "Does the Euro-zone Diverge? A Stress Indicator for Analyzing Trends and Cycles in Real GDP and Inflation," CESifo Working Paper Series CESifo Working Paper No. , CESifo Group Munich. [Downloadable!]
    16. Matthieu Lemoine, 2005. "A model of the stochastic convergence between business cycles," Documents de Travail de l'OFCE 2005-05, Observatoire Francais des Conjonctures Economiques (OFCE). [Downloadable!]
    17. Beate Schirwitz, 2009. "A comprehensive German business cycle chronology," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 37(2), pages 287-301, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    18. Robert Dixon & David Shepherd, 2006. "The Cyclical Dynamics and Volatility of Australian Output and Employment," Department of Economics - Working Papers Series 968, The University of Melbourne. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    19. Arturo Estrella, 2007. "Extracting business cycle fluctuations: what do time series filters really do?," Staff Reports 289, Federal Reserve Bank of New York. [Downloadable!]
    20. Mark W. Watson, 2007. "How accurate are real-time estimates of output trends and gaps?," Economic Quarterly, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, issue Spr, pages 143-161. [Downloadable!]
    21. James Mitchell & Michael Massmann, 2004. "Reconsidering the evidence: are Eurozone business cycles converging?," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2003 67, Money Macro and Finance Research Group. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    22. Harvey, A., 2008. "Modeling the Phillips curve with unobserved components," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 0805, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge. [Downloadable!]
    23. Proietti, Tommaso, 2008. "Structural Time Series Models for Business Cycle Analysis," MPRA Paper 6854, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    24. Joanne S. Ercolani, 2007. "Cyclical Trends in Continuous Time Models," Discussion Papers 07-13, Department of Economics, University of Birmingham. [Downloadable!]
    25. Jean-Philippe Cotis & Jonathan Coppel, 2005. "Business Cycle Dynamics in OECD Countries: Evidence, Causes and Policy Implications," RBA Annual Conference Volume, in: Christopher Kent & David Norman (ed.), The Changing Nature of the Business Cycle Reserve Bank of Australia. [Downloadable!]
    26. Claudio Morana & Nuno Cassola, 2003. "Volatility of interest rates in the euro area: evidence from high frequency data," Working Paper Series 235, European Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
    27. Alessandra Iacobucci & Alain Noullez, 2004. "A Frequency Selective Filter for Short-Length Time Series," Documents de Travail de l'OFCE 2004-05, Observatoire Francais des Conjonctures Economiques (OFCE). [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    28. Rafael Doménech & Víctor Gómez, 2005. "Ciclo económico y desempleo estructural en la economía española," Investigaciones Economicas, Fundación SEPI, vol. 29(2), pages 259-288, May. [Downloadable!]
    29. Siem Jan Koopman & Kai Ming Lee, 2005. "Measuring Asymmetric Stochastic Cycle Components in U.S. Macroeconomic Time Series," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 05-081/4, Tinbergen Institute. [Downloadable!]
    30. Christophe Planas & Alessandro Rossi & Gabriele Fiorentini, 2008. "The marginal likelihood of Structural Time Series Models, with application to the euroareaa nd US NAIRU," Working Paper Series 21-08, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis, revised Jan 2008. [Downloadable!]
    31. Matteo M. Pelagatti, 2005. "Business cycle and sector cycles," Econometrics 0503006, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
    32. Alvaro Angeriz & Philip Arestis, 2007. "Assessing Inflation Targeting Through Intervention Analysis," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2006 87, Money Macro and Finance Research Group. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    33. Siem Jan Koopman & Soon Yip Wong, 2006. "Extracting Business Cycles using Semi-parametric Time-varying Spectra with Applications to US Macroeconomic Time Series," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 06-105/4, Tinbergen Institute. [Downloadable!]
    34. Tucker S. McElroy & Thomas M. Trimbur, 2007. "Continuous time extraction of a nonstationary signal with illustrations in continuous low-pass and band-pass filtering," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2007-68, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.). [Downloadable!]
    35. Diego J. Pedregal, 2003. "Filter-Design and Model-Based Analysis of Economic Cycles," Economic Working Papers at Centro de Estudios Andaluces E2003/13, Centro de Estudios Andaluces. [Downloadable!]
    36. Olivier Darné & Amélie Charles, 2008. "The impact of outliers on transitory and permanent components in macroeconomic time series," Economics Bulletin, Economics Bulletin, vol. 3(60), pages 1-9. [Downloadable!]

  22. Jared Bernstein & Andrew Harvey, 2000. "Measurement and Testing of Inequality from Time Series of Deciles with an Application to U.S. Wages," Econometric Society World Congress 2000 Contributed Papers 0861, Econometric Society. [Downloadable!]
    Published as:

    Cited by:

    1. Higson, C. & Holly, S. & Kattuman, P. & S. Platis, 2001. "The Business Cycle, Macroeconomic Shocks and the Cross Section: The Growth of UK Quoted Companies," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 0114, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    2. Tommaso Proietti, 2005. "Convergence in Italian regional per-capita GDP," Applied Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 37(5), pages 497-506, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    3. Busettti, F. & Harvey, A., 2007. "Tests of time-invariance," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 0657, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    4. DeRossi, G. & Harvey, A., 2006. "Time-Varying Quantiles," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 0649, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge. [Downloadable!]
    5. Alvaro Angeriz & Philip Arestis, 2007. "Assessing Inflation Targeting Through Intervention Analysis," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2006 87, Money Macro and Finance Research Group. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:

  23. A. C. Harvey & Siem Jan Koopman, 2000. "Computing Observation Weights for Signal Extraction and Filtering," Econometric Society World Congress 2000 Contributed Papers 0888, Econometric Society. [Downloadable!]
    Published as:

    Cited by:

    1. Fabio Busetti, 2001. "The use of preliminary data in econometric forecasting: an application with the Bank of Italy Quarterly Model," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 437, Bank of Italy, Economic Research Department. [Downloadable!]
    2. Roberta Zizza, 2006. "A measure of output gap for Italy through structural time series models," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 33(5), pages 481-496, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    3. Elena Angelini & Gonzalo Camba-Mendez & Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin & Gerhard Rünstler, 2008. "Short-Term Forecasts of Euro Area GDP Growth," ECARES Working Papers 2008_035, Université Libre de Bruxelles, Ecares. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    4. Andrés González Gómez & Lavan Mahadeva & Diego Rodríguez & Luis Eduardo Rojas, 2009. "Monetary Policy Forecasting In A Dsge Model With Data That Is Uncertain, Unbalanced And About The Future," BORRADORES DE ECONOMIA 005480, BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    5. Drew Creal & Siem Jan Koopman & Eric Zivot, 2008. "The Effect of the Great Moderation on the U.S. Business Cycle in a Time-varying Multivariate Trend-cycle Model," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 08-069/4, Tinbergen Institute. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    6. Marta Banbura & Gerhard Rünstler, 2007. "A look into the factor model black box - publication lags and the role of hard and soft data in forecasting GDP," Working Paper Series 751, European Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
    7. Harvey, A. & Koopman, S.J., 1999. "Signal extraction and the formulation of unobserved components models," Discussion Paper 44, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    8. Harvey, A.C. & Trimbur, T.M., 2001. "General Model-based Filters for Extracting Cycles and Trends in Economic Time Series," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 0113, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    9. Tommaso Proietti, 2006. "Measuring Core Inflation by Multivariate Structural Time Series Models," CEIS Research Paper 83, Tor Vergata University, CEIS. [Downloadable!]
    10. Roberto Iannaccone & Edoardo Otranto, 2003. "Signal Extraction in Continuous Time and the Generalized Hodrick- Prescott Filter," Econometrics 0311002, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
    11. Siem Jan Koopman & Soon Yip Wong, 2008. "Spline Smoothing over Difficult Regions," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 08-114/4, Tinbergen Institute. [Downloadable!]

  24. Nyblom, Jukka & Harvey, Andrew, 1999. "Tests of Common Stochastic Trends," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 9902, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    Published as:

    Cited by:

    1. Jönsson, Kristian, 2004. "Testing for Stationarity in Panel Data Models when Disturbances are Cross-Sectionally Correlated," Working Papers 2004:17, Lund University, Department of Economics, revised 26 Nov 2004. [Downloadable!]
    2. I. A. Moosa & J. L. Baxter, 2002. "Modelling the trend and seasonals within an AIDS model of the demand for alcoholic beverages in the United Kingdom," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 17(2), pages 95-106. [Downloadable!]
    3. John T. Barkoulas & Christopher F. Baum & Atreya Chakraborty, 2000. "Forward Premiums and Market Efficiency: Panel Unit-root Evidence from the Term Structure of Forward Premiums," Boston College Working Papers in Economics 461, Boston College Department of Economics, revised 13 Jun 2001. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    4. James Morley & Tara M. Sinclair, 2005. "Testing for Stationarity and Cointegration in an Unobserved Components Framework," Computing in Economics and Finance 2005 451, Society for Computational Economics. [Downloadable!]
    5. Matteo Pelagatti & Valeria Negri, 2008. "Milan’s Cycle as an Accurate Leading Indicator for the Italian Business Cycle," Working Papers 20080601, Università degli Studi di Milano-Bicocca, Dipartimento di Statistica. [Downloadable!]
    6. Tommaso Proietti, 2005. "Convergence in Italian regional per-capita GDP," Applied Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 37(5), pages 497-506, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    7. Fabio Busetti & Andrew C Harvey, 1998. "Testing for the Presence of a Random Walk in Series with Structural Breaks - (Now published in Journal of Time Series Analysis, 22 (2001), pp.127-150.)," STICERD - Econometrics Paper Series /1998/365, Suntory and Toyota International Centres for Economics and Related Disciplines, LSE. [Downloadable!]
    8. Fabio Busetti, 2006. "Tests of seasonal integration and cointegration in multivariate unobserved component models," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 21(4), pages 419-438. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    9. Kirstin Hubrich & Helmut Lütkepohl & Pentti Saikkonen, 2001. "A Review Of Systems Cointegration Tests," Econometric Reviews, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 20(3), pages 247-318. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
      Other versions:
    10. Josep Lluís Carrion-i-Silvestre & Andreu Sansó, 2005. "Testing the Null of Cointegration with Structural Breaks," DEA Working Papers 10, Universitat de les Illes Balears, Departament d'Economía Aplicada. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    11. Arvid Raknerud, . "A State Space Approach for Estimating VAR Models for Panel Data with Latent Dynamic Components," Discussion Papers 295, Research Department of Statistics Norway. [Downloadable!]
    12. Jen-Je Su, 2003. "On the power of the multivariate KPSS test of stationarity against fractionally integrated alternatives," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 10(10), pages 637-641, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    13. Esa Mangeloja, 2003. "Structural testing of Business Cycles," Macroeconomics 0308004, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
    14. Busettti, F. & Harvey, A., 2007. "Tests of time-invariance," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 0657, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    15. Paul Beaudry & Franck Portier, 2004. "Stock Prices, News and Economic Fluctuations," NBER Working Papers 10548, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
      Other versions:
    16. Siem Jan Koopman & André Lucas & Bernd Schwaab, 2008. "Forecasting Cross-Sections of Frailty-Correlated Default," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 08-029/4, Tinbergen Institute. [Downloadable!]
    17. Giancarlo Bruno & Marco Malgarini, 2002. "An Indicator of Economic Sentiment for the Italian Economy," ISAE Working Papers 28, ISAE - Institute for Studies and Economic Analyses - (Rome, ITALY). [Downloadable!]
    18. Jushan Bai & Serena Ng, 2001. "A PANIC Attack on Unit Roots and Cointegration," Boston College Working Papers in Economics 519, Boston College Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    19. Jukka Nyblom & Andrew Harvey, 2001. "Testing against smooth stochastic trends," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 16(3), pages 415-429. [Downloadable!]
    20. Harvey, A. & Vasco Carvalho, 2002. "Models for Converging Economies," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 0216, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge. [Downloadable!]
    21. Ulrich Müller & Mark W. Watson, 2009. "Low-Frequency Robust Cointegration Testing," NBER Working Papers 15292, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    22. Ralf Brüggemann, 2006. "Sources of German unemployment: a structural vector error correction analysis," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 31(2), pages 409-431, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
      Other versions:
    23. Nielsen, Morten Oe., . "Multivariate Lagrange Multiplier Tests for Fractional Integration," Economics Working Papers 2002-18, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:

  25. Harvey, A. & Koopman, S.J., 1999. "Signal extraction and the formulation of unobserved components models," Discussion Paper 44, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research. [Downloadable!]
    Published as:

    Cited by:

    1. Ralph D Snyder, 2005. "A Pedant's Approach to Exponential Smoothing," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 5/05, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics. [Downloadable!]
    2. Tommaso Proietti, 2002. "Some Reflections on Trend-Cycle Decompositions with Correlated Components," Econometrics 0209002, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    3. Kum Hwa Oh & Eric Zivot & Drew Creal, 2006. "The Relationship between the Beveridge-Nelson Decomposition andUnobserved Component Models with Correlated Shocks," Working Papers UWEC-2006-16-FC, University of Washington, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
    4. A. C. Harvey & Siem Jan Koopman, 2000. "Computing Observation Weights for Signal Extraction and Filtering," Econometric Society World Congress 2000 Contributed Papers 0888, Econometric Society. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    5. Heather M. Anderson & Chin Nam Low & Ralph Snyder, 2004. "Single Source of Error State Space Approach to the Beveridge Nelson Decomposition," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 21/04, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    6. Rob J Hyndman & Maxwell L. King & Ivet Pitrun & Baki Billah, 2002. "Local Linear Forecasts Using Cubic Smoothing Splines," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 10/02, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics. [Downloadable!]
    7. J Keith Ord & Ralph D Snyder & Anne B Koehler & Rob J Hyndman & Mark Leeds, 2005. "Time Series Forecasting: The Case for the Single Source of Error State Space," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 7/05, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics. [Downloadable!]
    8. Tommaso Proietti, 2007. "Band Spectral Estimation for Signal Extraction," CEIS Research Paper 104, Tor Vergata University, CEIS. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    9. Philip Kostov & John Lingard, 2004. "Recurrence analysis techniques for non-stationary and non-linear data," Microeconomics 0409003, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
    10. Gary Koop & Simon Potter, 2007. "A flexible approach to parametric inference in nonlinear time series models," Staff Reports 285, Federal Reserve Bank of New York. [Downloadable!]
    11. Ralph D. Snyder, 2004. "Exponential Smoothing: A Prediction Error Decomposition Principle," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 15/04, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics. [Downloadable!]
    12. Charles S. Bos & Neil Shephard, 2004. "Inference for Adaptive Time Series Models: Stochastic Volatility and Conditionally Gaussian State Space Form," Economics Papers 2004-W02, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    13. DeRossi, G. & Harvey, A., 2007. "Quantiles, Expectiles and Splines," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 0660, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    14. Busettti, F. & Harvey, A., 2007. "Tests of time-invariance," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 0657, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    15. Siem Jan Koopman & Charles S. Bos, 2002. "Time Series Models with a Common Stochastic Variance for Analysing Economic Time Series," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 02-113/4, Tinbergen Institute. [Downloadable!]
    16. Tommaso Proietti, 2006. "Measuring Core Inflation by Multivariate Structural Time Series Models," CEIS Research Paper 83, Tor Vergata University, CEIS. [Downloadable!]
    17. James Mitchell & Michael Massmann, 2004. "Reconsidering the evidence: are Eurozone business cycles converging?," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2003 67, Money Macro and Finance Research Group. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    18. DeRossi, G. & Harvey, A., 2006. "Time-Varying Quantiles," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 0649, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge. [Downloadable!]
    19. Chin Nam Low & Heather Anderson & Ralph Snyder, 2006. "Beveridge-Nelson Decomposition with Markov Switching," Melbourne Institute Working Paper Series wp2006n14, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, The University of Melbourne. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    20. Thomas B. King, 2005. "Labor productivity and job-market flows: trends, cycles, and correlations," Supervisory Policy Analysis Working Papers 2005-04, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. [Downloadable!]
    21. B. Jungbacker & S.J. Koopman, 2005. "Model-based Measurement of Actual Volatility in High-Frequency Data," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 05-002/4, Tinbergen Institute. [Downloadable!]

  26. Fabio Busetti & Andrew C Harvey, 1998. "Testing for the Presence of a Random Walk in Series with Structural Breaks - (Now published in Journal of Time Series Analysis, 22 (2001), pp.127-150.)," STICERD - Econometrics Paper Series /1998/365, Suntory and Toyota International Centres for Economics and Related Disciplines, LSE. [Downloadable!]

    Cited by:

    1. Jushan Bai; Josep Lluís Carrion-i-Silvestre, 2004. "Structural changes, common stochastic trends and unit roots in panel data," Econometric Society 2004 North American Summer Meetings 345, Econometric Society. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    2. Yoichi Arai & Eiji Kurozumi, 2005. "Testing for the Null Hypothesis of Cointegration with Structural Breaks," CIRJE F-Series CIRJE-F-319, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo. [Downloadable!]
    3. Kaddour Hadri & Yao Rao, 2006. "Panel Stationarity Test with Structural Breaks," Research Papers 200615, University of Liverpool Management School. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    4. Tommaso PROIETTI & Alberto MUSSO & Thomas WESTERMANN, 2002. "Estimating Potential Output and the Output Gap for the Euro Area: a Model-Based Production Function Approach," Economics Working Papers ECO2002/09, European University Institute. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    5. Josep Lluis Carrion Silvestre & Tomas del Barrio Castro & Enrique Lopez Bazo, 2003. "Breaking the panels. An application to the GDP per capita," Working Papers in Economics 97, Universitat de Barcelona. Espai de Recerca en Economia. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    6. Tommaso Proietti & Alberto Musso, 2007. "Growth accounting for the Euro area - a structural approach," Working Paper Series 804, European Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
    7. Westerlund, Joakim & Edgerton , David, 2006. "New Improved Tests for Cointegration with Structural Breaks," Working Papers 2006:3, Lund University, Department of Economics.
      Other versions:

  27. Ghysels, E. & Harvey, A. & Renault, E., 1996. "Stochastic Volatility," Cahiers de recherche 9613, Universite de Montreal, Departement de sciences economiques. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:

    Cited by:

    1. Robert F. Engle & Jeffrey R. Russell, 1994. "Forecasting Transaction Rates: The Autoregressive Conditional Duration Model," NBER Working Papers 4966, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    2. Éric Jacquier & Nicholas G. Polson & Peter E. Rossi, 1999. "Stochastic Volatility: Univariate and Multivariate Extensions," CIRANO Working Papers 99s-26, CIRANO. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    3. Jean-Pierre Fouque & George Papanicolaou & K. Sircar, 1999. "Financial Modeling in a Fast Mean-Reverting Stochastic Volatility Environment," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer, vol. 6(1), pages 37-48, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    4. Sassan Alizadeh & Michael W. Brandt & Francis X. Diebold, 1999. "Range-Based Estimation of Stochastic Volatility Models or Exchange Rate Dynamics are More Interesting Than You Think," Center for Financial Institutions Working Papers 00-28, Wharton School Center for Financial Institutions, University of Pennsylvania. [Downloadable!]
    5. Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Neil Shephard, 2003. "Econometrics of testing for jumps in financial economics using bipower variation," Economics Papers 2003-W21, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    6. Eric Ghysels & Christian Gouriéroux & Joanna Jasiak, 1995. "Market Time and Asset Price Movements Theory and Estimation," CIRANO Working Papers 95s-32, CIRANO. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    7. Björn Hansson & Peter Hördahl, 2005. "Forecasting variance using stochastic volatility and GARCH," European Journal of Finance, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 11(1), pages 33-57, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    8. Malmsten, Hans & Teräsvirta, Timo, 2004. "Stylized Facts of Financial Time Series and Three Popular Models of Volatility," Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 563, Stockholm School of Economics, revised 03 Sep 2004. [Downloadable!]
    9. John Y. Campbell & Martin Lettau & Burton G. Malkiel & Yexiao Xu, 2000. "Have Individual Stocks Become More Volatile? An Empirical Exploration of Idiosyncratic Risk," NBER Working Papers 7590, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
      Other versions:
    10. Hurvich, Cliiford & Wang, Yi, 2006. "A Pure-Jump Transaction-Level Price Model Yielding Cointegration, Leverage, and Nonsynchronous Trading Effects," MPRA Paper 1413, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    11. Pedro L. Valls Pereira, 2004. "How Persistent is Volatility? An Answer with Stochastic Volatility Models with Markov Regime Switching State Equations," Finance Lab Working Papers flwp_59, Finance Lab, Ibmec São Paulo. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    12. Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Neil Shephard, 2004. "A feasible central limit theory for realised volatility under leverage," OFRC Working Papers Series 2004fe03, Oxford Financial Research Centre. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    13. Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Francis X. Diebold & Paul Labys, 1999. "The Distribution of Exchange Rate Volatility," Center for Financial Institutions Working Papers 99-08, Wharton School Center for Financial Institutions, University of Pennsylvania. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    14. Belton Fleisher & Dongwei Su, 1998. "Why Does Return Volatility Differ in Chinese Stock Markets?," Working Papers 98-03, Ohio State University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    15. Gropp, Reint Eberhard & Kadareija, Arjan, 2007. "Stale information, shocks and volatility," ZEW Discussion Papers 07-012, ZEW - Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung / Center for European Economic Research. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    16. Joel Hasbrouck, 1999. "Trading Fast and Slow: Security Market Events in Real Time," New York University, Leonard N. Stern School Finance Department Working Paper Seires 99-012, New York University, Leonard N. Stern School of Business-. [Downloadable!]
    17. H. L. Leon & DeLisle Worrell, . "Price Volatility and Financial Instability," IMF Working Papers 01/60, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
    18. Peter Bossaert & Eric Ghysels & Christian Gouriéroux, 1996. "Arbitrage Based Pricing When Volatility Is Stochastic," CIRANO Working Papers 96s-20, CIRANO. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    19. Elena Andreou & Eric Ghysels, 2001. "Detecting Mutiple Breaks in Financial Market Volatility Dynamics," CIRANO Working Papers 2001s-65, CIRANO. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    20. Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev, 1996. "Heterogeneous Information Arrivals and Return Volatility Dynamics: Uncovering the Long-Run in High Frequency Returns," NBER Working Papers 5752, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
      Other versions:
    21. Shinichi Aihara, Arunabha Bagchi, 2000. "Estimation of stochastic volatility in the Hull–White model," Applied Mathematical Finance, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 7(3), pages 153-181, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    22. L. C. G. Rogers & Fanyin Zhou, 2008. "Estimating correlation from high, low, opening and closing prices," Quantitative Finance Papers 0804.0162, arXiv.org. [Downloadable!]
    23. Luc Bauwens & Pierre Giot & Joachim Grammig & David Veredas, 2000. "A Comparison of Financial Duration Models via Density Forecasts," Econometric Society World Congress 2000 Contributed Papers 0810, Econometric Society. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    24. Marsh, Terry A. & Takao Kobayashi, 1998. ""The Work of Fischer Black, Robert Merton, and Myron Scholes, and its Continuing Legacy"," CIRJE F-Series 98-F-4, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo. [Downloadable!]
    25. Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Neil Shephard, 2001. "Normal modified stable processes," Economics Papers 2001-W6, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    26. Chris M. Strickland & Catherine S. Forbes & Gael M. Martin, 2003. "Bayesian Analysis of the Stochastic Conditional Duration Model," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 14/03, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    27. Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Neil Shephard, 2005. "Variation, jumps, market frictions and high frequency data in financial econometrics," OFRC Working Papers Series 2005fe08, Oxford Financial Research Centre. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    28. Per Frederiksen & Morten Ørregaard Nielsen, 2008. "Bias-reduced estimation of long memory stochastic volatility," CREATES Research Papers 2008-35, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    29. Tobias Adrian & Joshua Rosenberg, 2006. "Stock returns and volatility: pricing the short-run and long-run components of market risk," Staff Reports 254, Federal Reserve Bank of New York. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    30. Peter M Robinson, 2001. "The Memory of Stochastic Volatility Models," STICERD - Econometrics Paper Series /2001/410, Suntory and Toyota International Centres for Economics and Related Disciplines, LSE. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    31. Vyacheslav Abramov & Fima Klebaner, 2007. "Estimation and Prediction of a Non-Constant Volatility," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer, vol. 14(1), pages 1-23, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    32. Francis X. Diebold, 2004. "The Nobel Memorial Prize for Robert F. Engle," PIER Working Paper Archive 04-010, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    33. Jean-Francois Richard & Roman Liesenfeld, 2007. "Classical and Bayesian Analysis of Univariate and Multivariate Stochastic Volatility Models," Working Papers 322, University of Pittsburgh, Department of Economics, revised Jan 2004. [Downloadable!]
    34. Elena Andreou & Eric Ghysels, 2003. "Test for Breaks in the Conditional Co-Movements of Asset Returns," University of Cyprus Working Papers in Economics 3-2003, University of Cyprus Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    35. Kim Christensen & Silja Kinnebrock & Mark Podolskij, 2009. "Pre-averaging estimators of the ex-post covariance matrix in noisy diffusion models with non-synchronous data," CREATES Research Papers 2009-45, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus. [Downloadable!]
    36. Lüders, Erik & Peisl, Bernhard, 2001. "How do investors' expectations drive asset prices?," ZEW Discussion Papers 01-15, ZEW - Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung / Center for European Economic Research. [Downloadable!]
    37. Mark Machina & Clive Granger, 2002. "Structurally-Induced Volatility Clustering," University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series 2002-15, Department of Economics, UC San Diego. [Downloadable!]
    38. Thomas Busch & Bent Jesper Christensen & Morten Ørregaard Nielsen, 2005. "Forecasting Exchange Rate Volatility in the Presence of Jumps," Working Papers 1187, Queen's University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
    39. Jeremy Large, 2007. "Estimating Quadratic Variation When Quoted Prices Change by a Constant Increment," Economics Series Working Papers 340, University of Oxford, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
    40. Darsinos, T. & Satchell, S.E., 2001. "Bayesian Analysis of the Black-Scholes Option Price," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 0102, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge. [Downloadable!]
    41. Hashem Pesaran & Paolo Zaffaroni & Banca d'Italia), 2004. "Model Averaging and Value-at-Risk based Evaluation of Large Multi Asset Volatility Models for Risk Management," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2004 101, Money Macro and Finance Research Group. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    42. Carmen Broto & Esther Ruiz, 2002. "Estimation Methods For Stochastic Volatility Models: A Survey," Statistics and Econometrics Working Papers ws025414, Universidad Carlos III, Departamento de Estadística y Econometría. [Downloadable!]
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    43. Pieter J. van der Sluis, 1997. "Computationally Attractive Stability Tests for the Efficient Method of Moments," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 97-087/4, Tinbergen Institute. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    44. Sangjoon Kim, Neil Shephard & Siddhartha Chib, . "Stochastic volatility: likelihood inference and comparison with ARCH models," Economics Papers W26, revised version of W, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    45. Liudas Giraitis & Peter M Robinson, 2001. "Parametric Estimation under Long-Range Dependence," STICERD - Econometrics Paper Series /2001/416, Suntory and Toyota International Centres for Economics and Related Disciplines, LSE. [Downloadable!]
    46. Javier De Peña & Luis A. Gil-Alana, 2003. "Testing of Nonstationary Cycles in Financial Time Series Data," Faculty Working Papers 15/03, School of Economics and Business Administration, University of Navarra. [Downloadable!]
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    47. Neil Shephard & Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Asger Lunde, 2006. "Subsampling realised kernels," Economics Series Working Papers 278, University of Oxford, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    48. Marc Henry & Peter M Robinson, 1998. "Long and Short Memory Conditional Heteroscedasticity in Estimating the Memory Parameter of Levels - (Now published in Econometric Theory, 15 (1999), pp.299-336.)," STICERD - Econometrics Paper Series /1998/357, Suntory and Toyota International Centres for Economics and Related Disciplines, LSE. [Downloadable!]
    49. Siem Jan Koopman & Neil Shephard, 2002. "Testing the Assumptions Behind the Use of Importance Sampling," Economics Papers 2002-W17, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford. [Downloadable!]
    50. Ole E Barndorff-Nielsen & Peter Hansen & Asger Lunde & Neil Shephard, 2006. "Designing realised kernels to measure the ex-post variation of equity prices in the presence of noise," OFRC Working Papers Series 2006fe05, Oxford Financial Research Centre. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    51. J. Jimenez & R. Biscay & T. Ozaki, 2005. "Inference Methods for Discretely Observed Continuous-Time Stochastic Volatility Models: A Commented Overview," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer, vol. 12(2), pages 109-141, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    52. Neil Shephard & Torben G. Andersen, 2008. "Stochastic Volatility: Origins and Overview," Economics Series Working Papers 389, University of Oxford, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    53. Joshua Rosenberg & Robert F. Engle, 2000. "Empirical Pricing Kernels," New York University, Leonard N. Stern School Finance Department Working Paper Seires 99-014, New York University, Leonard N. Stern School of Business-. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    54. M. Angeles Carnero & Daniel Peña & Esther Ruiz, 2004. "Detecting Level Shifts In The Presence Of Conditional Heteroscedasticity," Working Papers. Serie AD 2004-06, Instituto Valenciano de Investigaciones Económicas, S.A. (Ivie). [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    55. E. Platen, . "A Minimal Financial Market Model," Sonderforschungsbereich 373 2000-91, Humboldt Universitaet Berlin.
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    56. Xibin Zhang & Maxwell L. King, 2004. "Box-Cox Stochastic Volatility Models with Heavy-Tails and Correlated Errors," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 26/04, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    57. Carrasco, Marine & Chernov, Mikhaël & Florens, Jean-Pierre & Ghysels, Eric, 2000. "Efficient Estimation of Jump Diffusions and General Dynamic Models with a Continuum of Moment Conditions," IDEI Working Papers 116, Institut d'Économie Industrielle (IDEI), Toulouse, revised 2002. [Downloadable!]
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    58. Siddhartha Chib & Michael K Pitt & Neil Shephard, 2004. "Likelihood based inference for diffusion driven models," Economics Papers 2004-W20, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford. [Downloadable!]
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    59. Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Bent Nielsen & Neil Shephard & Carla Ysusi, 2002. "Measuring and forecasting financial variability using realised variance with and without a model," Economics Papers 2002-W21, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford. [Downloadable!]
    60. H. L"Utkepohl, . "Statistische Modellierung von Volatilit"aten," Sonderforschungsbereich 373 1996-70, Humboldt Universitaet Berlin.
    61. Yongmiao Hong & Yoon-Jin Lee, 2007. "Detecting Misspecifications in Autoregressive Conditional Duration Models," Caepr Working Papers 2007-019, Center for Applied Economics and Policy Research, Economics Department, Indiana University Bloomington. [Downloadable!]
    62. Clifford Hurvich & Eric Moulines & Philippe Soulier, 2004. "Estimating Long Memory in Volatility," Econometrics 0412006, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
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    63. Daniel B. Nelson, 1994. "Asymptotically Optimal Smoothing with ARCH Models," NBER Technical Working Papers 0161, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    64. Jonathan Wright, 2002. "Log-Periodogram Estimation Of Long Memory Volatility Dependencies With Conditionally Heavy Tailed Returns," Econometric Reviews, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 21(4), pages 397-417. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
      Other versions:
    65. Günter Franke & Erik Lüders, 2004. "Why Do Asset Prices Not Follow Random Walks?," CoFE Discussion Paper 04-05, Center of Finance and Econometrics, University of Konstanz. [Downloadable!]
    66. C. Renner & J. Peinke & R. Friedrich, 2001. "Markov properties of high frequency exchange rate data," Quantitative Finance Papers cond-mat/0102494, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2001. [Downloadable!]
    67. Jeremy Large, 2005. "Estimating quadratic variation when quoted prices jump by a constant increment," OFRC Working Papers Series 2005fe05, Oxford Financial Research Centre. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    68. Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Francis X. Diebold,, 2003. "Some Like it Smooth, and Some Like it Rough: Untangling Continuous and Jump Components in Measuring, Modeling, and Forecasting Asset Return Volatility," CFS Working Paper Series 2003/35, Center for Financial Studies. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    69. Casas, Isabel & Gao, Jiti, 2006. "Econometric estimation in long-range dependent volatility models: Theory and practice," MPRA Paper 11981, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Aug 2007. [Downloadable!]
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    70. Günter Franke & Erik Lüders, 2005. "Return Predictability and Stock Market Crashes in a Simple Rational Expectations Model," CoFE Discussion Paper 05-05, Center of Finance and Econometrics, University of Konstanz. [Downloadable!]
    71. Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Neil Shephard, 2001. "Econometric Analysis of Realised Covariation: High Frequency Covariance, Regression and Correlation in Financial Economics," Economics Papers 2002-W13, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford, revised 18 Mar 2002. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    72. Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Peter Reinhard Hansen & Asger Lunde & Neil Shephard, 2008. "Multivariate realised kernels: consistent positive semin-definite estimators of the covariation of equity prices with noise and non-synchronous trading," Economics Series Working Papers 397, University of Oxford, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    73. Christian Gourieroux & Joann Jasiak, 2001. "Dynamic Factor Models," Econometric Reviews, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 20(4), pages 385-424. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    74. Neil Shephard, 2005. "Stochastic Volatility," Economics Papers 2005-W17, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford. [Downloadable!]
    75. Nour Meddahi & Éric Renault, 2000. "Temporal Aggregation of Volatility Models," CIRANO Working Papers 2000s-22, CIRANO. [Downloadable!]
    76. Philip Arestis & Kostas Mouratidis, 2002. "Is There A Trade-Off Between Inflation Variability And Output-Gap Variability in The EMU Countries?," Economics Working Paper Archive 359, Levy Economics Institute, The. [Downloadable!]
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    77. Claudio Morana, 2004. "Frequency domain principal components estimation of fractionally cointegrated processes," Working Paper Series 321, European Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
    78. Thomas Flury & Neil Shephard, 2008. "Bayesian inference based only on simulated likelihood: particle filter analysis of dynamic economic models," Economics Series Working Papers 413, University of Oxford, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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    79. María García Centeno & Román Mínguez Salido, 2009. "Estimation of Asymmetric Stochastic Volatility Models for Stock-Exchange Index Returns," International Advances in Economic Research, Springer, vol. 15(1), pages 71-87, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    80. Sijing Zong & Cornelis A. Los & Nyonyo Kyaw, 2004. "Persistence Characteristics of Latin American Financial Markets," Finance 0411013, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
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    81. Josu Arteche, 2005. "Semiparametric estimation in perturbed long memory series," BILTOKI 200502, Universidad del País Vasco - Departamento de Economía Aplicada III (Econometría y Estadística). [Downloadable!]
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    82. Jun Yu, 2004. "Asymmetric Response of Volatility: Evidence from Stochastic Volatility Models and Realized Volatility," Working Papers 24-2004, Singapore Management University, School of Economics. [Downloadable!]
    83. W. Härdle & T. Kleinow & A. Korostelev & C. Logeay, . "Semiparametric Diffusion Estimation and Application to a Stock Market Index," Sonderforschungsbereich 373 2001-24, Humboldt Universitaet Berlin.
    84. Ekaterini Panopoulou & B. Groom & P. Koundouri & Theologos Pantelidis, 2005. "Discounting the distant future: How much does model selection affect the certainty equivalent rate?," Economics, Finance and Accounting Department Working Paper Series n1480105, Department of Economics, Finance and Accounting, National University of Ireland - Maynooth. [Downloadable!]
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    85. Drew Creal & Siem Jan Koopman & Andre Lucas, 2009. "A General Framework for Observation Driven Time-Varying Parameter Models," Global COE Hi-Stat Discussion Paper Series gd08-038, Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University. [Downloadable!]
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    86. David Veredas & Juan M. Rodríguez-Poo & Antoni Espasa, 2001. "On The (Intradaily) Seasonality And Dynamics Of A Financial Point Process: A Semiparametric Approach," Statistics and Econometrics Working Papers ws013321, Universidad Carlos III, Departamento de Estadística y Econometría. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    87. Günter Franke & Erik Lüders, 2006. "Return Predictability and Stock Market Crashes in a Simple Rational Expectations Model¤," CoFE Discussion Paper 06-05, Center of Finance and Econometrics, University of Konstanz. [Downloadable!]
    88. Catherine Doz & Éric Renault, 2004. "Conditionally Heteroskedastic Factor Models: Identification and Instrumental Variables Estimation," CIRANO Working Papers 2004s-37, CIRANO. [Downloadable!]
    89. Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Neil Shephard, 2003. "Impact of jumps on returns and realised variances: econometric analysis of time-deformed Levy processes," Economics Papers 2003-W12, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford. [Downloadable!]
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    90. Peter Christoffersen & Redouane Elkamhi & Bruno Feunou & Kris Jacobs, 2009. "Option Valuation with Conditional Heteroskedasticity and Non-Normality," CREATES Research Papers 2009-33, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus. [Downloadable!]
    91. Siddhartha Chib & Yasuhiro Omori & Manabu Asai, 2007. "Multivariate stochastic volatility," CIRJE F-Series CIRJE-F-488, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo. [Downloadable!]
    92. Thomas Mikosch, 2004. "Is it really long memory we see in financial returns?," Econometrics 0412002, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
    93. René Garcia & Richard Luger & Éric Renault, 2001. "Asymmetric Smiles, Leverage Effects and Structural Parameters," CIRANO Working Papers 2001s-01, CIRANO. [Downloadable!]
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    94. Julio Rodríguez & Esther Ruiz, 2003. "A Powerful Test For Conditional Heteroscedasticity For Financial Time Series With Highly Persistent Volatilities," Statistics and Econometrics Working Papers ws036716, Universidad Carlos III, Departamento de Estadística y Econometría. [Downloadable!]
    95. Elena Andreou & Eric Ghysels, 2004. "The Impact of Sampling Frequency and Volatility Estimators on Change-Point Tests," CIRANO Working Papers 2004s-25, CIRANO. [Downloadable!]
    96. Karoll Gómez Portilla & Santiago Gallón Gómez, 2007. "Distribución condicional de los retornos de la tasa de cambio colombiana: un ejercicio empírico a partir de modelos GARCH multivariados," REVISTA DE ECONOMÍA DEL ROSARIO, UNIVERSIDAD DEL ROSARIO - FACULTAD DE ECONOMÍA. [Downloadable!]
    97. Stanislav Anatolyev & Dmitry Shakin, 2007. "Trade intensity in the Russian stock market: dynamics, distribution and determinants," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 17(2), pages 87-104, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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    98. Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Neil Shephard, 2001. "Realised power variation and stochastic volatility models," Economics Papers 2001-W18, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford. [Downloadable!]
    99. M. Hashem Pesaran & Christoph Schleicher & Paolo Zaffaroni, 2008. "Model Averaging in Risk Management with an Application to Futures Markets," CESifo Working Paper Series CESifo Working Paper No. , CESifo Group Munich. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    100. Gabriele Fiorentini & Enrique Sentana & Neil Shephard, 2003. "Likelihood-Based Estimation Of Latent Generalised Arch Structures," Working Papers. Serie AD 2003-06, Instituto Valenciano de Investigaciones Económicas, S.A. (Ivie). [Downloadable!]
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    101. Sascha Mergner & Jan Bulla, 2005. "Time-varying Beta Risk of Pan-European Industry Portfolios: A Comparison of Alternative Modeling Techniques," Finance 0510029, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
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    102. Alessandro Rossi & Giampiero M. Gallo, 2002. "Volatility Estimation via Hidden Markov Models," Econometrics Working Papers Archive wp2002_14, Universita' degli Studi di Firenze, Dipartimento di Statistica "G. Parenti". [Downloadable!]
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    103. Frey, Rüdiger, 1997. "Derivative Asset Analysis in Models with Level-Dependent and Stochastic Volatility," Discussion Paper Serie B 401, University of Bonn, Germany. [Downloadable!]
    104. Nigel Wilkins, 2004. "Indirect Estimation of Long Memory Volatility Models," Econometric Society 2004 Far Eastern Meetings 459, Econometric Society. [Downloadable!]
    105. René Garcia & Eric Ghysels & Éric Renault, 2004. "The Econometrics of Option Pricing," CIRANO Working Papers 2004s-04, CIRANO. [Downloadable!]
    106. Antonio Mele & Fabio Fornari, 1999. "ARCH Models and Option Pricing: the Continuous-Time Connection," Computing in Economics and Finance 1999 113, Society for Computational Economics. [Downloadable!]
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    107. Francis X. Diebold & Jinyong Hahn & Anthony S. Tay, 1998. "Real-Time Multivariate Density Forecast Evaluation and Calibration: Monitoring the Risk of High-Frequency Returns on Foreign Exchange," NBER Working Papers 6845, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
      Other versions:
    108. Xibin Zhang & Maxwell L. King, 2003. "Estimation of Asymmetric Box-Cox Stochastic Volatility Models Using MCMC Simulation," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 10/03, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics. [Downloadable!]
    109. Andrew Patton, 2006. "Volatility Forecast Comparison using Imperfect Volatility Proxies," Research Paper Series 175, Quantitative Finance Research Centre, University of Technology, Sydney. [Downloadable!]
    110. Pieter J. van der Sluis, 1998. "EmmPack 1.01: C/C++ Code for Use with Ox for Estimation of Univariate Stochastic Volatility Models with the Efficient Method of Moments," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 98-021/4, Tinbergen Institute. [Downloadable!]
    111. Drost, F.C. & Werker, B.J.M., 2001. "Semiparametric duration models," Discussion Paper 11, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research. [Downloadable!]
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    112. Eric Ghysels & Christian Gouriéroux & Joanna Jasiak, 1995. "Trading Patterns, Time Deformation and Stochastic Volatility in Foreign Exchange Markets," CIRANO Working Papers 95s-42, CIRANO. [Downloadable!]
    113. Andrea Beltratti & Claudio Morana, 2005. "Structural Breaks and Common Factors in the Volatility of the Fama-French Factor Portfolios," ICER Working Papers 23-2005, ICER - International Centre for Economic Research. [Downloadable!]
    114. Helena Veiga, 2006. "A Two Factor Long Memory Stochastic Volatility Model," Statistics and Econometrics Working Papers ws061303, Universidad Carlos III, Departamento de Estadística y Econometría. [Downloadable!]
    115. Gary Koop & Herman K. van Dijk, 1999. "Testing for Integration using Evolving Trend and Seasonals Models: A Bayesian Approach," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 99-072/4, Tinbergen Institute. [Downloadable!]
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    116. Eugenie Hol & Siem Jan Koopman, 2000. "Forecasting the Variability of Stock Index Returns with Stochastic Volatility Models and Implied Volatility," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 00-104/4, Tinbergen Institute. [Downloadable!]
    117. Alberto Mora-Galan & Ana Perez & Esther Ruiz, 2004. "Stochastic Volatility Models And The Taylor Effect," Statistics and Econometrics Working Papers ws046315, Universidad Carlos III, Departamento de Estadística y Econometría. [Downloadable!]
    118. Nikolaus Hautsch & Yangguoyi Ou, 2008. "Discrete-Time Stochastic Volatility Models and MCMC-Based Statistical Inference," SFB 649 Discussion Papers SFB649DP2008-063, Sonderforschungsbereich 649, Humboldt University, Berlin, Germany. [Downloadable!]
    119. Christian Gollier, 2005. "Optimal Portfolio Management for Individual Pension Plans," CESifo Working Paper Series CESifo Working Paper No. , CESifo Group Munich. [Downloadable!]
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    120. Mark Broadie & Jérôme B. Detemple & Eric Ghysels & Olivier Torrès, 1996. "Nonparametric Estimation of American Options Exercise Boundaries and Call Prices," CIRANO Working Papers 96s-24, CIRANO. [Downloadable!]
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    121. René Garcia & Éric Renault, 1999. "Latent Variable Models for Stochastic Discount Factors," CIRANO Working Papers 99s-47, CIRANO. [Downloadable!]
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    122. Nour Meddahi, 2001. "An Eigenfunction Approach for Volatility Modeling," CIRANO Working Papers 2001s-70, CIRANO. [Downloadable!]
    123. Catherine Doz & Eric Renault, 2004. "Conditionaly Heteroskedastic Factor Models : Identificationand Instrumental variables Estmation," THEMA Working Papers 2004-13, THEMA (THéorie Economique, Modélisation et Applications), Université de Cergy-Pontoise. [Downloadable!]
    124. Fernandes, Marcelo & Grammig, Joachim, 2003. "A family of autoregressive conditional duration models," Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 501, Graduate School of Economics, Getulio Vargas Foundation (Brazil). [Downloadable!]
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    125. Klaassen, F., 1999. "Have exchange rates become more closely tied? : evidence from a new multivariate garch model," Discussion Paper 10, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research. [Downloadable!]
    126. Christian Dunis & Jason Laws & Stéphane Chauvin, 2003. "FX volatility forecasts and the informational content of market data for volatility," European Journal of Finance, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 9(3), pages 242-272, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    127. Robin G. de Vilder & Marcel P. Visser, 2007. "Proxies for daily volatility," PSE Working Papers 2007-11, PSE (Ecole normale supérieure). [Downloadable!]
    128. Ana Pérez & Esther Ruiz, 2001. "Modelos De Memoria Larga Para Series Económicas Y Financieras," Documentos de Trabajo de Estadística y Econometría ds010101, Universidad Carlos III, Departamento de Estadística y Econometría. [Downloadable!]
    129. Oleg Korenok & Stanislav Radchenko, 2005. "The smooth transition autoregressive target zone model with the Gaussian stochastic volatility and TGARCH error terms with applications," Working Papers 0505, VCU School of Business, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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    130. Giovanni De Luca & Giampiero Gallo, 2006. "Time-varying Mixing Weights in Mixture Autoregressive Conditional Duration Models," Econometrics Working Papers Archive wp2006_12, Universita' degli Studi di Firenze, Dipartimento di Statistica "G. Parenti". [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    131. Christian Gollier, 2004. "Optimal Dynamic Portfolio Risk with First-Order and Second-Order Predictability," The B.E. Journal of Theoretical Economics, Berkeley Electronic Press, vol. 0(1). [Downloadable!]
    132. Eric Ghysels & Joanna Jasiak, 1997. "GARCH for Irregularly Spaced Data: The ACD-GARCH Model," CIRANO Working Papers 97s-06, CIRANO. [Downloadable!]
    133. Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Neil Shephard, 2001. "Estimating quadratic variation using realised volatility," Economics Papers 2001-W20, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford, revised 01 Nov 2001. [Downloadable!]
    134. Aliou Diop & Dominique Guegan, 2003. "Extreme Distribution of a Generalized Stochastic Volatility Model," Post-Print halshs-00188535_v1, HAL. [Downloadable!]
    135. Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Neil Shephard, 2002. "Estimating quadratic variation using realized variance," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 17(5), pages 457-477. [Downloadable!]
    136. Adam Clements & Stan Hurn & Scott White, 2006. "Estimating Stochastic Volatility Models Using a Discrete Non-linear Filter. Working paper #3," NCER Working Paper Series 3, National Centre for Econometric Research. [Downloadable!]
    137. Mikhail Chernov & Eric Ghysels, 1998. "What Data Should Be Used to Price Options?," CIRANO Working Papers 98s-22, CIRANO. [Downloadable!]
    138. PREMINGER, Arie & HAFNER, Christian M., 2006. "Deciding between GARCH and stochastic volatility via strong decision rules," CORE Discussion Papers 2006042, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE). [Downloadable!]
    139. Rohit Deo & Mengchen Hsieh & Clifford Hurvich, 2005. "Tracing the Source of Long Memory in Volatility," Econometrics 0501005, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
    140. John M. Maheu & Thomas H. McCurdy, 2001. "Nonlinear Features of Realized FX Volatility," CIRANO Working Papers 2001s-42, CIRANO. [Downloadable!]
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    141. Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Sven Erik Graversen & Jean Jacod & Neil Shephard, 2005. "Limit theorems for bipower variation in financial econometrics," OFRC Working Papers Series 2005fe09, Oxford Financial Research Centre. [Downloadable!]
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    142. Ramdan Dridi & Eric Renault, 2000. "Semi-Parametric Indirect Inference," STICERD - Econometrics Paper Series /2000/392, Suntory and Toyota International Centres for Economics and Related Disciplines, LSE. [Downloadable!]
    143. Per Frederiksen & Frank S. Nielsen & Morten Ørregaard Nielsen, 2008. "Local polynomial Whittle estimation of perturbed fractional processes," CREATES Research Papers 2008-29, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus. [Downloadable!]
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    144. Makoto Takahashi & Yasuhiro Omori & Toshiaki Watanabe, 2007. "Estimating Stochastic Volatility Models Using Daily Returns and Realized Volatility Simultaneously," CIRJE F-Series CIRJE-F-515, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    145. Liudas Giraitis & Peter M Robinson & Donatas Surgailis, 2000. "A Model for Long Memory Conditional Heteroscedasticity - (Now published in Annals of Applied Probability, 10 (2000), pp.1002-1024.)," STICERD - Econometrics Paper Series /2000/382, Suntory and Toyota International Centres for Economics and Related Disciplines, LSE. [Downloadable!]
    146. Harvey, A. & Koopman, S.J., 1999. "Signal extraction and the formulation of unobserved components models," Discussion Paper 44, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research. [Downloadable!]
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    147. Fernandes, Marcelo & Grammig, Joachim, 2003. "Nonparametric specification tests for conditional duration models," Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 502, Graduate School of Economics, Getulio Vargas Foundation (Brazil). [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    148. Noureddine Krichene, 2003. "Modeling Stochastic Volatility with Application to Stock Returns," IMF Working Papers 03/125, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
    149. Hisashi Tanizaki, 2001. "Nonlinear and Non-Gaussian State Space Modeling Using Sampling Techniques," Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Springer, vol. 53(1), pages 63-81, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    150. Adam Clements & Scott White, 2005. "Non-linear filtering with state dependant transition probabilities: A threshold (size effect) SV model," School of Economics and Finance Discussion Papers and Working Papers Series 191, School of Economics and Finance, Queensland University of Technology. [Downloadable!]
    151. Sébastien Laurent & Luc Bauwens & Jeroen V. K. Rombouts, 2006. "Multivariate GARCH models: a survey," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 21(1), pages 79-109. [Downloadable!]
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    152. Clifford Ball & Walter Torous, 2000. "Stochastic Correlation Across International Stock Markets," University of California at Los Angeles, Anderson Graduate School of Management 1063, Anderson Graduate School of Management, UCLA. [Downloadable!]
    153. Roman Liesenfeld & Robert C. Jung, 2000. "Stochastic volatility models: conditional normality versus heavy-tailed distributions," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 15(2), pages 137-160. [Downloadable!]
    154. Roberto Casarin & Domenico sartore, 2008. "Matrix-State Particle Filter for Wishart Stochastic Volatility Processes," Working Papers 0816, University of Brescia, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
    155. Bent Jesper Christensen & Morten Ørregaard Nielsen, 2005. "The Implied-Realized Volatility Relation with Jumps in Underlying Asset Prices," Working Papers 1186, Queen's University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
    156. Eric Ghysels & Andrew Harvey & Éric Renault, 1995. "Stochastic Volatility," CIRANO Working Papers 95s-49, CIRANO. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    157. Yasuhiro Omori & Siddhartha Chib & Neil Shephard & Jouchi Nakajima, 2004. "Stochastic Volatility with Leverage: Fast Likelihood Inference," CIRJE F-Series CIRJE-F-297, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    158. Marc Henry & Paolo Zaffaroni, 2002. "The long range dependence paradigm for macroeconomics and finance," Discussion Papers 0102-19, Columbia University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
    159. Mengchen Hsieh & Clifford Hurvich & Philippe Soulier, 2004. "Asymptotics for Duration-Driven Long Range Dependent Processes," Econometrics 0412009, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
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    160. Siem Jan Koopman & Eugenie Hol Uspensky, 2002. "The stochastic volatility in mean model: empirical evidence from international stock markets," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 17(6), pages 667-689. [Downloadable!]
    161. Liudas Giraitis & Remigijus Leipus & Peter M Robinson & Donatas Surgailis, 2003. "LARCH, Leverage and Long Memory," STICERD - Econometrics Paper Series /2003/460, Suntory and Toyota International Centres for Economics and Related Disciplines, LSE. [Downloadable!]
    162. Éric Jacquier & Nicholas G. Polson & Peter E. Rossi, 1995. "Models and Priors for Multivariate Stochastic Volatility," CIRANO Working Papers 95s-18, CIRANO. [Downloadable!]
    163. Pieter J. van der Sluis, 1997. "Post-Sample Prediction Tests for the Efficient Method of Moments," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 97-054/4, Tinbergen Institute. [Downloadable!]
    164. Eric Ghysels & Christian Gouriéroux & Joanna Jasiak, 1996. "Kernel Autocorrelogram for Time Deformed Processes," CIRANO Working Papers 96s-19, CIRANO. [Downloadable!]
    165. Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Neil Shephard, 2000. "Econometric analysis of realised volatility and its use in estimating stochastic volatility models," Economics Papers 2001-W4, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford, revised 05 Jul 2001. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    166. Tim Bollerslev & Hao Zhou, 2001. "Estimating stochastic volatility diffusion using conditional moments of integrated volatility," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2001-49, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.). [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    167. Lucchetti, Riccardo & Palomba, Giulio, 2008. "Nonlinear Adjustment in US Bond Yields: an Empirical Analysis with Conditional Heteroskedasticity," MPRA Paper 11571, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
    168. Lüders, Erik & Schröder, Michael, 2004. "Modeling Asset Returns : A Comparison of Theoretical and Empirical Models," ZEW Discussion Papers 04-19, ZEW - Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung / Center for European Economic Research. [Downloadable!]
    169. Jiang, G. & Sluis, P.J. van der, 2000. "Index option pricing models with stochastic volatility and stochastic interest rates," Discussion Paper 36, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research. [Downloadable!]
    170. A. Mele, 2000. "Fundamental Properties of Bond Prices in Models of the Short-Term Rate," THEMA Working Papers 2000-39, THEMA (THéorie Economique, Modélisation et Applications), Université de Cergy-Pontoise. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    171. Siem Jan Koopman & Charles S. Bos, 2002. "Time Series Models with a Common Stochastic Variance for Analysing Economic Time Series," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 02-113/4, Tinbergen Institute. [Downloadable!]
    172. Ming Liu & Harold H. Zhang, . "Specification Tests in the Efficient Method of Moments Framework with Application to the Stochastic Volatility Models," Computing in Economics and Finance 1997 93, Society for Computational Economics. [Downloadable!]
    173. Kian Teng Kwek & Kuan Nee Koay, 2006. "Exchange rate volatility and volatility asymmetries: an application to finding a natural dollar currency," Applied Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 38(3), pages 307-323, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    174. Eric Ghysels & Pedro Santa-Clara & Rossen Valkanov, 2004. "Predicting Volatility: Getting the Most out of Return Data Sampled at Different Frequencies," NBER Working Papers 10914, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
      Other versions:
    175. Esther Ruiz & Helena Veiga, 2006. "Modelling Long-Memory Volatilities With Leverage Effect: Almsv Versus Fiegarch," Statistics and Econometrics Working Papers ws066016, Universidad Carlos III, Departamento de Estadística y Econometría. [Downloadable!]
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    176. Peter F. Christoffersen & Francis X. Diebold, 2004. "Financial Asset Returns, Direction-of-Change Forecasting, and Volatility Dynamics," CFS Working Paper Series 2004/08, Center for Financial Studies. [Downloadable!]
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    177. Pieter J. van der Sluis, 1998. "Structural Stability Tests with Unknown Breakpoint for the Efficient Method of Moments with Application to Stochastic Volatility Models," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 98-055/4, Tinbergen Institute. [Downloadable!]
    178. John M Maheu & Thomas H McCurdy, 2007. "Modeling foreign exchange rates with jumps," Working Papers tecipa-279, University of Toronto, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
    179. Tina Hviid Rydberg & Neil Shephard, 2000. "BIN Models for Trade-by-Trade Data. Modelling the Number of Trades in a Fixed Interval of Time," Econometric Society World Congress 2000 Contributed Papers 0740, Econometric Society. [Downloadable!]
    180. Das, Sanjiv Ranjan & Uppal, Raman, 2002. "Systemic Risk and International Portfolio Choice," CEPR Discussion Papers 3305, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    181. René Garcia & Éric Renault, 1998. "Risk Aversion, Intertemporal Substitution, and Option Pricing," CIRANO Working Papers 98s-02, CIRANO. [Downloadable!]
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    182. Michael W. Brandt & Qiang Kang, 2002. "On the Relationship Between the Conditional Mean and Volatility of Stock Returns: A Latent VAR Approach," NBER Working Papers 9056, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    183. Liesenfeld, Roman & Richard, Jean-François, 2006. "Improving MCMC Using Efficient Importance Sampling," Economics Working Papers 2006,05, Christian-Albrechts-University of Kiel, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
    184. Terry Marsh & Takao Kobayashi, 2001. "The Contributions of Professors Fischer Black, Robert Merton, and Myron Scholes to the Financial Services Industry," CIRJE F-Series CIRJE-F-120, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo. [Downloadable!]
    185. Per Bjarte Solibakke, 2003. "Validity of discrete-time stochastic volatility models in non-synchronous equity markets," European Journal of Finance, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 9(5), pages 420-448, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    186. Violetta Dalla & Liudas Giraitis & Javier Hidalgo, 2006. "Consistent estimation of the memory parameterfor nonlinear time series," STICERD - Econometrics Paper Series /2006/497, Suntory and Toyota International Centres for Economics and Related Disciplines, LSE. [Downloadable!]
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    187. Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Neil Shephard, 2003. "Power and bipower variation with stochastic volatility and jumps," Economics Papers 2003-W17, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    188. Jurgen A. Doornik & David F. Hendry & Neil Shephard, . "Computationally-intensive Econometrics using a Distributed Matrix-programming Language," Economics Papers 2001-W22, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford. [Downloadable!]
    189. Harvey, A. & Chakravarty, T., 2008. "Beta-t-(E)GARCH," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 0840, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge. [Downloadable!]
    190. Liesenfeld, Roman & Richard, Jean-François, 2004. "Classical and Bayesian Analysis of Univariate and Multivariate Stochastic Volatility Models," Economics Working Papers 2004,12, Christian-Albrechts-University of Kiel, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
    191. Elena Andreou & Eric Ghysels, 2004. "Monitoring for Disruptions in Financial Markets," CIRANO Working Papers 2004s-26, CIRANO. [Downloadable!]
    192. Mendes, Rui Vilela & Oliveira, Maria J., 2008. "A Data-Reconstructed Fractional Volatility Model," Economics Discussion Papers 2008-22, Kiel Institute for the World Economy. [Downloadable!]
    193. Claudio Morana & Nuno Cassola, 2003. "Volatility of interest rates in the euro area: evidence from high frequency data," Working Paper Series 235, European Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
    194. Peter M Robinson & Paolo Zaffaroni, 2005. "Pseudo-Maximum Likelihood Estimation of ARCH(8) Models," STICERD - Econometrics Paper Series /2005/495, Suntory and Toyota International Centres for Economics and Related Disciplines, LSE. [Downloadable!]
    195. Tim Bollerslev & Eric Ghysels, 1994. "On Periodic Autogressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity," CIRANO Working Papers 94s-03, CIRANO. [Downloadable!]
    196. Jouchi Nakajima, 2008. "EGARCH and Stochastic Volatility: Modeling Jumps and Heavy-tails for Stock Returns," IMES Discussion Paper Series 08-E-23, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan. [Downloadable!]
    197. George J. Jiang & Pieter J. van der Sluis, 1998. "Pricing Stock Options under Stochastic Volatility and Stochastic Interest Rates with Efficient Method of Moments Estimation," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 98-067/4, Tinbergen Institute. [Downloadable!]
    198. S. Bordignon & D. Raggi, 2008. "Volatility, Jumps and Predictability of Returns: a Sequential Analysis," Working Papers 636, Dipartimento Scienze Economiche, Universita' di Bologna. [Downloadable!]
    199. Kathryn M. Dominguez, 1999. "The Market Microstructure of Central Bank Intervention," NBER Working Papers 7337, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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    200. Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Francis X. Diebold & Paul Labys, 2001. "Modeling and Forecasting Realized Volatility," NBER Working Papers 8160, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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    201. Nour Meddahi, 2002. "ARMA Representation of Two-Factor Models," CIRANO Working Papers 2002s-92, CIRANO. [Downloadable!]
    202. Javier Gómez Biscarri & Fernando Pérez de Gracia, 2002. "Stock Market Cycles and Stock Market Development in Spain," Faculty Working Papers 01/02, School of Economics and Business Administration, University of Navarra. [Downloadable!]
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    203. Benoit Mandelbrot & Adlai Fisher & Laurent Calvet, 1997. "A Multifractal Model of Asset Returns," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1164, Cowles Foundation, Yale University. [Downloadable!]
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    204. Mikhail Chernov & A. Ronald Gallant & Eric Ghysels & George Tauchen, 1999. "A New Class of Stochastic Volatility Models with Jumps: Theory and Estimation," CIRANO Working Papers 99s-48, CIRANO. [Downloadable!]
    205. Jing-zhi Huang & Liuren Wu, 2004. "Specification Analysis of Option Pricing Models Based on Time-Changed Levy Processes," Econometric Society 2004 North American Winter Meetings 405, Econometric Society. [Downloadable!]
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    206. Ester Ruiz & Fernando Lorenzo, 1998. "The relation between the level and uncertainty of inflation," Documentos de Trabajo (working papers) 0698, Department of Economics - dECON. [Downloadable!]
    207. Siem Jan Koopman & Eugenie Hol Uspensky, 2000. "The Stochastic Volatility in Mean Model," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 00-024/4, Tinbergen Institute. [Downloadable!]
    208. Pitt, Michael K, 2002. "Smooth Particle Filters for Likelihood Evaluation and Maximisation," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 651, University of Warwick, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
    209. Eric Ghysels & Valentin Patilea & Éric Renault & Olivier Torrès, 1997. "Nonparametric Methods and Option Pricing," CIRANO Working Papers 97s-19, CIRANO. [Downloadable!]
    210. M. Angeles Carnero & Daniel Peña & Esther Ruiz, 2001. "Outliers And Conditional Autoregressive Heteroscedasticity In Time Series," Statistics and Econometrics Working Papers ws010704, Universidad Carlos III, Departamento de Estadística y Econometría. [Downloadable!]
    211. Amigues, J-P & Favard, P, Gaudet, G & Moreaux, M, 1996. "On the Optimal Order of Natural Resource Use When the Capacity of the Inexhaustible Substitute is Limited," Cahiers de recherche 9628, Universite de Montreal, Departement de sciences economiques. [Downloadable!]
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    212. Nunzio Cappuccio & Diego Lubian & Davide Raggi, 2006. "Investigating asymmetry in US stock market indexes: evidence from a stochastic volatility model," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 16(6), pages 479-490, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    213. Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev, 1996. "DM-Dollar Volatility: Intraday Activity Patterns, Macroeconomic Announcements, and Longer Run Dependencies," NBER Working Papers 5783, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    214. Nuno Cassola & Claudio Morana, 2006. "Volatility of interest rates in the euro area: Evidence from high frequency data," European Journal of Finance, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 12(6-7), pages 513-528, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    215. Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Neil Shephard, 2001. "Higher order variation and stochastic volatility models," Economics Papers 2001-W8, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford. [Downloadable!]
    216. Nunzio Cappuccio & Diego Lubian & Davide Raggi, 2003. "MCMC Bayesian Estimation of a Skew-GED Stochastic Volatily Model," Working Papers 7, Università di Verona, Dipartimento di Scienze economiche. [Downloadable!]
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    217. Bengt Holmstrom & Jean Tirole, 1998. "LAPM: A Liquidity-based Asset Pricing Model," NBER Working Papers 6673, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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    218. Adlai Fisher & Laurent Calvet & Benoit Mandelbrot, 1997. "Multifractality of Deutschemark/US Dollar Exchange Rates," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1166, Cowles Foundation, Yale University. [Downloadable!]
    219. Dimitrios Thomakos & Tao Wang, 2007. "'Optimal' Probabilistic Predictions for Financial Returns," Working Papers 0006, University of Peloponnese, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
    220. Josu Arteche, 2002. "Gaussian Semiparametric Estimation in Long Memory in Stochastic Volatility and Signal Plus Noise Models," BILTOKI 200202, Universidad del País Vasco - Departamento de Economía Aplicada III (Econometría y Estadística). [Downloadable!]
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    221. Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Neil Shephard, 2001. "How accurate is the asymptotic approximation to the distribution of realised volatility?," Economics Papers 2001-W16, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford. [Downloadable!]
    222. Wolfgang Hardle & Torsten Kleinow & Alexander Korostelev & Camille Logeay & Eckhard Platen, 2001. "Semiparametric Diffusion Estimation and Application to a Stock Market Model," Research Paper Series 51, Quantitative Finance Research Centre, University of Technology, Sydney. [Downloadable!]
    223. Scott I. White & Adam E. Clements & Stan Hurn, 2004. "Discretised Non-Linear Filtering for Dynamic Latent Variable Models: with Application to Stochastic Volatility," Econometric Society 2004 Australasian Meetings 46, Econometric Society. [Downloadable!]
    224. Luc, BAUWENS & Fausto Galli, 2007. "Efficient importance sampling for ML estimation of SCD models," Discussion Papers (ECON - Département des Sciences Economiques) 2007032, Université catholique de Louvain, Département des Sciences Economiques. [Downloadable!]
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  28. Andrew C Harvey & Andrew Scott, 1994. "Seasonality in Dynamic Regression Models," CEP Discussion Papers dp0184, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE.
    Published as:

    Cited by:

    1. Alan Carruth & Andrew Dickerson, 2003. "An asymmetric error correction model of UK consumer spending," Applied Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 35(6), pages 619-630, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    2. Lester C. Hunt & Guy Judge & Yashushi Ninomiya, 2000. "Modelling Technical Progress: An Application of the Stochastic Trend Model to UK Energy Demand," Surrey Energy Economics Centre (SEEC), Department of Economics Discussion Papers (SEEDS) 99, Surrey Energy Economics Centre (SEEC), Department of Economics, University of Surrey. [Downloadable!]
    3. Antônio Aguirre & Andreu Sansó, 1999. "Using different null hypotheses to test for seasonal unit roots in economic time series," Textos para Discussão Cedeplar-UFMG td124, Cedeplar, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais. [Downloadable!]
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    4. Siem Jan Koopman & Kai Ming Lee, 2008. "Seasonality with Trend and Cycle Interactions in Unobserved Components Models," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 08-028/4, Tinbergen Institute. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    5. Lester C Hunt & Guy Judge & Yasushi Ninomiya, 2003. "Modelling Underlying Energy Demand Trends," Surrey Energy Economics Centre (SEEC), Department of Economics Discussion Papers (SEEDS) 105, Surrey Energy Economics Centre (SEEC), Department of Economics, University of Surrey. [Downloadable!]
    6. F. Butter & S. Koopman, 2001. "Interaction between structural and cyclical shocks in production and employment," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer, vol. 137(2), pages 273-296, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    7. Martyn Duffy, 2006. "Tobacco consumption and policy in the United Kingdom," Applied Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 38(11), pages 1235-1257, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    8. Svend Hylleberg, 2006. "Seasonal Adjustment," Economics Working Papers 2006-04, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus. [Downloadable!]
    9. Stephen Bazen & Velayoudom Marimoutou, 2000. "Looking for a Needle in a Haystack? A Structural Time Series Model of the Relationship Between Teenage Employment and Minimum Wages in the United States," Econometric Society World Congress 2000 Contributed Papers 0495, Econometric Society. [Downloadable!]
    10. Talla M. Al-Deehani, 2006. "Seasonality as an unobservable component: the case of Kuwait stock market," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 16(6), pages 471-478, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    11. Khalid Al-Saad & Imad A. Moosa, 2005. "Seasonality in stock returns: evidence from an emerging market," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 15(1), pages 63-71, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    12. Jalles, Joao Tovar, 2009. "Structural Time Series Models and the Kalman Filter: a concise review," FEUNL Working Paper Series wp541, Universidade Nova de Lisboa, Faculdade de Economia. [Downloadable!]
    13. Mark T. Hon & Soo-Keong Yong, 2004. "The price of owning a car: an analysis of auction quota premium in Singapore," Applied Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 36(7), pages 739-751, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

Articles

  1. De Rossi, Giuliano & Harvey, Andrew, 2009. "Quantiles, expectiles and splines," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 152(2), pages 179-185, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:

    See citations under working paper version above.

  2. Busetti, Fabio & Harvey, Andrew, 2008. "Testing For Trend," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 24(01), pages 72-87, February. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:

    See citations under working paper version above.

  3. Carvalho, Vasco & Harvey, Andrew & Trimbur, Thomas, 2007. "A Note on Common Cycles, Common Trends, and Convergence," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 25, pages 12-20, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

    Cited by:

    1. Matteo Pelagatti & Valeria Negri, 2008. "Milan’s Cycle as an Accurate Leading Indicator for the Italian Business Cycle," Working Papers 20080601, Università degli Studi di Milano-Bicocca, Dipartimento di Statistica. [Downloadable!]

  4. Fabio Busetti & Lorenzo Forni & Andrew Harvey & Fabrizio Venditti, 2007. "Inflation Convergence and Divergence within the European Monetary Union," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 3(2), pages 95-121, June. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:

    See citations under working paper version above.

  5. Harvey, Andrew C. & Trimbur, Thomas M. & Van Dijk, Herman K., 2007. "Trends and cycles in economic time series: A Bayesian approach," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 140(2), pages 618-649, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:

    See citations under working paper version above.

  6. Fabio Busetti & Silvia Fabiani & Andrew Harvey, 2006. "Convergence of Prices and Rates of Inflation," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 68(s1), pages 863-877, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:

    See citations under working paper version above.

  7. Andrew C. Harvey & Vasco M. Carvalho, 2005. "Convergence in the trends and cycles of Euro-zone income," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 20(2), pages 275-289. [Downloadable!]

    Cited by:

    1. Eickmeier, Sandra, 2006. "Comovements and heterogeneity in the Comovements and heterogeneity in the dynamic factor model," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 2006,31, Deutsche Bundesbank, Research Centre. [Downloadable!]
    2. Robert-Paul Berben & W. Jos Jansen, 2005. "Bond Market and Stock Market Integration in Europe," DNB Working Papers 060, Netherlands Central Bank, Research Department. [Downloadable!]

  8. Carvalho, Vasco M. & Harvey, Andrew C., 2005. "Growth, cycles and convergence in US regional time series," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 21(4), pages 667-686. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:

    See citations under working paper version above.

  9. Busetti, Fabio & Harvey, Andrew, 2003. "Seasonality Tests," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 21(3), pages 420-36, July.

    Cited by:

    1. Tommaso Proietti & Cecilia Frale, 2007. "New proposals for the quantification of qualitative survey data," CEIS Research Paper 98, Tor Vergata University, CEIS. [Downloadable!]
    2. Siem Jan Koopman & Marius Ooms & Irma Hindrayanto, 2006. "Periodic Unobserved Cycles in Seasonal Time Series with an Application to US Unemployment," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 06-101/4, Tinbergen Institute. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    3. Fabio Busetti, 2006. "Tests of seasonal integration and cointegration in multivariate unobserved component models," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 21(4), pages 419-438. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    4. E. Andersson & D. Bock & M. Frisén, 2006. "Some statistical aspects of methods for detection of turning points in business cycles," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 33(3), pages 257-278, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    5. Svend Hylleberg, 2006. "Seasonal Adjustment," Economics Working Papers 2006-04, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus. [Downloadable!]

  10. Andrew C. Harvey & Thomas M. Trimbur, 2003. "General Model-Based Filters for Extracting Cycles and Trends in Economic Time Series," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 85(2), pages 244-255, 03. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:

    See citations under working paper version above.

  11. Fabio Busetti & Andrew Harvey, 2003. "Further Comments On Stationarity Tests In Series With Structural Breaks At Unknown Points," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 24(2), pages 137-140, 03. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

    Cited by:

    1. Kaddour Hadri & Yao Rao, 2006. "Panel Stationarity Test with Structural Breaks," Research Papers 200615, University of Liverpool Management School. [Downloadable!]
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  12. Andrew Harvey & Jared Bernstein, 2003. "Measurement and Testing of Inequality from Time Series of Deciles with an Application to U.S. Wages," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 85(1), pages 141-152, 08. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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    See citations under working paper version above.

  13. Koopman, Siem Jan & Harvey, Andrew, 2003. "Computing observation weights for signal extraction and filtering," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 27(7), pages 1317-1333, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:

    See citations under working paper version above.

  14. Jukka Nyblom & Andrew Harvey, 2001. "Testing against smooth stochastic trends," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 16(3), pages 415-429. [Downloadable!]

    Cited by:

    1. Guilhem Bentoglio & Jacky Fayolle & Matthieu Lemoine, 2002. "Unity and Plurality of the European Cycle," Documents de Travail de l'OFCE 2002-03, Observatoire Francais des Conjonctures Economiques (OFCE). [Downloadable!]
    2. Busetti, F. & Harvey, A., 2008. "When is a copula constant? A test for changing relationships," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 0841, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge. [Downloadable!]
    3. Busettti, F. & Harvey, A., 2007. "Tests of time-invariance," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 0657, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    4. Siem Jan Koopman & André Lucas & Marius Ooms & Kees van Montfort & Victor van der Geest, 2007. "Estimating Systematic Continuous-time Trends in Recidivism using a Non-Gaussian Panel Data Model," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 07-027/4, Tinbergen Institute. [Downloadable!]
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    5. DeRossi, G. & Harvey, A., 2006. "Time-Varying Quantiles," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 0649, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge. [Downloadable!]
    6. C.S. Bos & S.J. Koopman & M. Ooms, 2007. "Long Memory Modelling of Inflation with Stochastic Variance and Structural Breaks," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 07-099/4, Tinbergen Institute. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:

  15. Harvey, Andrew, 2001. "Testing in Unobserved Components Models," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 20(1), pages 1-19, January.

    Cited by:

    1. Frits Bijleveld & Jacques Commandeur & Phillip Gould & Siem Jan Koopman, 2005. "Model-based Measurement of Latent Risk in Time Series with Applications," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 05-118/4, Tinbergen Institute. [Downloadable!]
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    2. Tommaso Proietti, 2002. "Some Reflections on Trend-Cycle Decompositions with Correlated Components," Econometrics 0209002, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
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    3. Tommaso PROIETTI & Alberto MUSSO & Thomas WESTERMANN, 2002. "Estimating Potential Output and the Output Gap for the Euro Area: a Model-Based Production Function Approach," Economics Working Papers ECO2002/09, European University Institute. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    4. Fabio Busetti, 2006. "Tests of seasonal integration and cointegration in multivariate unobserved component models," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 21(4), pages 419-438. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    5. Giancarlo Bruno & Marco Malgarini, 2002. "An Indicator of Economic Sentiment for the Italian Economy," ISAE Working Papers 28, ISAE - Institute for Studies and Economic Analyses - (Rome, ITALY). [Downloadable!]
    6. Fabio Nieto & Eliana González, 2005. "A Note onTesting for Unit Roots in the Unobservable Trend Component of a Structural Model," Revista Colombiana de Estadística, REVISTA COLOMBIANA DE ESTADISTICA. [Downloadable!]
    7. Patrick Wilson & Simon Stevenson & Ralf Zurbruegg, 2007. "Foreign Property Shocks and the Impact on Domestic Securitized Real Estate Markets: An Unobserved Components Approach," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 34(3), pages 407-424, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    8. Christophe Planas & Alessandro Rossi & Gabriele Fiorentini, 2008. "The marginal likelihood of Structural Time Series Models, with application to the euroareaa nd US NAIRU," Working Paper Series 21-08, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis, revised Jan 2008. [Downloadable!]
    9. Guro Børnes Ringlund, Knut Einar Rosendahl and Terje Skjerpen, 2004. "Does oilrig activity react to oil price changes? An empirical investigation," Discussion Papers 372, Research Department of Statistics Norway. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:

  16. Nyblom, Jukka & Harvey, Andrew, 2000. "Tests Of Common Stochastic Trends," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 16(02), pages 176-199, April. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:

    See citations under working paper version above.

  17. Andrew Harvey & Siem Jan Koopman, 2000. "Signal extraction and the formulation of unobserved components models," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 3(1), pages 84-107.
    Other versions:

    See citations under working paper version above.

  18. Proietti, Tommaso & Harvey, Andrew, 2000. "A Beveridge-Nelson smoother," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 67(2), pages 139-146, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

    Cited by:

    1. Tommaso Proietti, 2002. "Some Reflections on Trend-Cycle Decompositions with Correlated Components," Econometrics 0209002, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    2. Kum Hwa Oh & Eric Zivot & Drew Creal, 2006. "The Relationship between the Beveridge-Nelson Decomposition andUnobserved Component Models with Correlated Shocks," Working Papers UWEC-2006-16-FC, University of Washington, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
    3. J Keith Ord & Ralph D Snyder & Anne B Koehler & Rob J Hyndman & Mark Leeds, 2005. "Time Series Forecasting: The Case for the Single Source of Error State Space," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 7/05, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics. [Downloadable!]
    4. Tommaso Proietti, 2009. "The Multistep Beveridge-Nelson Decomposition," EERI Research Paper Series EERI_RP_2009_24, Economics and Econometrics Research Institute (EERI). [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    5. Harvey, A. & Koopman, S.J., 1999. "Signal extraction and the formulation of unobserved components models," Discussion Paper 44, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    6. Proietti, Tommaso, 2008. "Direct and iterated multistep AR methods for difference stationary processes," MPRA Paper 10859, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 01 Apr 2009. [Downloadable!]
    7. Tommaso Proietti, 2004. "Forecasting and Signal Extraction with Misspecified Models," Econometrics 0401002, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:

  19. Andrew Harvey & Chia-Hui Chung, 2000. "Estimating the underlying change in unemployment in the UK," Journal Of The Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 163(3), pages 303-309. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

    Cited by:

    1. A. C. Harvey & Siem Jan Koopman, 2000. "Computing Observation Weights for Signal Extraction and Filtering," Econometric Society World Congress 2000 Contributed Papers 0888, Econometric Society. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    2. Roberta Zizza, 2006. "A measure of output gap for Italy through structural time series models," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 33(5), pages 481-496, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    3. Tommaso Proietti, 2007. "Band Spectral Estimation for Signal Extraction," CEIS Research Paper 104, Tor Vergata University, CEIS. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    4. Andrew Harvey, 2002. "Trends, Cycles and Convergence," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 155, Central Bank of Chile. [Downloadable!]
    5. Lind, Jo Thori, 2004. "Repeated surveys and the Kalman filter," Memorandum 19/2004, Oslo University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    6. Cecilia Frale & David Veredas, 2008. "A Monthly Volatility Index for the US Economy," ECARES Working Papers 2008_008, Université Libre de Bruxelles, Ecares. [Downloadable!]
    7. Viv Hall & John McDermott, 2007. "A Quarterly Post-World War II Real GDP Series for New Zealand," Working Papers 07_13, Motu Economic and Public Policy Research. [Downloadable!]
    8. Javier J. Pérez & Diego J. Pedregal, 2008. "Should quarterly government finance statistics be used for fiscal surveillance in Europe?," Working Paper Series 937, European Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
    9. Jo Thori Lind, 2002. "Small continuous surveys and the Kalman filter," Discussion Papers 333, Research Department of Statistics Norway. [Downloadable!]
    10. Tommaso Proietti, 2004. "Temporal Disaggregation by State Space Methods: Dynamic Regression Methods Revisited," Econometrics 0411011, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    11. Frale, Cecilia & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Mazzi, Gian Luigi & Proietti, Tommaso, 2008. "A Monthly Indicator of the Euro Area GDP," CEPR Discussion Papers 7007, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
      Other versions:
    12. Proietti, Tommaso, 2008. "Estimation of Common Factors under Cross-Sectional and Temporal Aggregation Constraints: Nowcasting Monthly GDP and its Main Components," MPRA Paper 6860, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]

  20. Harvey, Andrew & Streibel, Mariane, 1998. "Testing for a slowly changing level with special reference to stochastic volatility," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 87(1), pages 167-189, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

    Cited by:

    1. Busetti, F. & Harvey, A., 2008. "When is a copula constant? A test for changing relationships," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 0841, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge. [Downloadable!]
    2. Alberto Mora-Galan & Ana Perez & Esther Ruiz, 2004. "Stochastic Volatility Models And The Taylor Effect," Statistics and Econometrics Working Papers ws046315, Universidad Carlos III, Departamento de Estadística y Econometría. [Downloadable!]
    3. Busettti, F. & Harvey, A., 2007. "Tests of time-invariance," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 0657, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    4. DeRossi, G. & Harvey, A., 2006. "Time-Varying Quantiles," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 0649, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge. [Downloadable!]
    5. Harvey, A. & Chakravarty, T., 2008. "Beta-t-(E)GARCH," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 0840, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge. [Downloadable!]

  21. Harvey, Andrew & Koopman, Siem Jan & Riani, Marco, 1997. "The Modeling and Seasonal Adjustment of Weekly Observations," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 15(3), pages 354-68, July.

    Cited by:

    1. Rodriguez, Gloria Martin & Hernandez, Jose Juan Caceres, 2005. "Evolving Seasonal Pattern of Tenerife Tomato Exports," 2005 International Congress, August 23-27, 2005, Copenhagen, Denmark 24501, European Association of Agricultural Economists. [Downloadable!]
    2. Marius Ooms & Björn de Groot & Siem Jan Koopman, 1999. "Time-Series Modelling of Daily Tax Revenues," Computing in Economics and Finance 1999 312, Society for Computational Economics. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    3. Alberto Cabrero & Gonzalo Camba-Mendez & Astrid Hirsch & Fernando Nieto, 2002. "Modelling the daily banknotes in circulation in the context of the liquidity management of the European Central Bank," Working Paper Series 142, European Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
    4. Rodriguez, Gloria Martin & Hernandez, Jose Juan Caceres, 2002. "Canary Island Tomato Exports: A Structural Analysis of Seasonality," 2002 International Congress, August 28-31, 2002, Zaragoza, Spain 24901, European Association of Agricultural Economists. [Downloadable!]
    5. Rudrani Bhattacharya, 2008. "Early Warnings of Inflation in India," Working Papers id:1682, esocialsciences.com. [Downloadable!]
    6. S.J. Koopman & P.H.B.F. Franses, 2001. "Constructing seasonally adjusted data with time-varying confidence intervals," Econometric Institute Report 210, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    7. Marek Hlavacek & Michael Konak & Josef Cada, 2005. "The Application of Structured Feedforward Neural Networks to the Modelling of Daily Series of Currency in Circulation," Working Papers 2005/11, Czech National Bank, Research Department. [Downloadable!]
    8. Bhattacharya, Rudrani & Patnaik, Ila & Shah, Ajay, 2008. "Early warnings of inflation in India," Working Papers 08/54, National Institute of Public Finance and Policy. [Downloadable!]
    9. Alberto Cabrero & Gonzalo Camba-Mendez & Astrid Hirsch & Fernando Nieto, 2002. "Modelling the daily banknotes in circulation in the context of the liquidity management of the European Central Bank," Banco de España Working Papers 0211, Banco de España. [Downloadable!]
    10. Jalles, Joao Tovar, 2009. "Structural Time Series Models and the Kalman Filter: a concise review," FEUNL Working Paper Series wp541, Universidade Nova de Lisboa, Faculdade de Economia. [Downloadable!]

  22. Harvey, Andrew, 1997. "Trends, Cycles and Autoregressions," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 107(440), pages 192-201, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

    Cited by:

    1. Bhaskara Rao, 2005. "Estimating Short and Long Run Relationships: A Guide to the Applied Economist," Econometrics 0508013, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    2. Lester C. Hunt & Guy Judge & Yashushi Ninomiya, 2000. "Modelling Technical Progress: An Application of the Stochastic Trend Model to UK Energy Demand," Surrey Energy Economics Centre (SEEC), Department of Economics Discussion Papers (SEEDS) 99, Surrey Energy Economics Centre (SEEC), Department of Economics, University of Surrey. [Downloadable!]
    3. Imad Moosa & Jae Kim, 2004. "Direct and indirect forecasting of the money multiplier and velocity of circulation in the United Kingdom," International Economic Journal, Korean International Economic Association, vol. 18(1), pages 103-118, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    4. Byamugisha, Frank F.K., 1999. "How land registration affects financial development and economic growth in Thailand," Policy Research Working Paper Series 2241, The World Bank. [Downloadable!]
    5. Suzanne McCoskey & Chihwa Kao, 1999. "A Monte Carlo Comparison of Tests for Cointegration in Panel Data," Center for Policy Research Working Papers 3, Center for Policy Research, Maxwell School, Syracuse University. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    6. Lester C Hunt & Guy Judge & Yasushi Ninomiya, 2003. "Modelling Underlying Energy Demand Trends," Surrey Energy Economics Centre (SEEC), Department of Economics Discussion Papers (SEEDS) 105, Surrey Energy Economics Centre (SEEC), Department of Economics, University of Surrey. [Downloadable!]
    7. Regina Kaiser & Agustín Maravall, 2002. "A Complete Model-Based Interpretation of the Hodrick-Prescott Filter: Spuriousness Reconsidered," Banco de España Working Papers 0208, Banco de España. [Downloadable!]
    8. John Dimitropoulos & Lester C. Hunt & Guy Judge, 2005. "Estimating underlying energy demand trends using UK annual data," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 12(4), pages 239-244, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
      Other versions:
    9. Rao, B. Bhaskara & Rao, Gyaneshwar, 2007. "Structural breaks and energy efficiency in Fiji," MPRA Paper 3258, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    10. Lavan Mahadeva and Paul Robinson, 2004. "Unit Root Testing in a Central Bank," Handbooks, Centre for Central Banking Studies, Bank of England, number 22. [Downloadable!]
    11. Rao, B. Bhaskara, 2007. "Deterministic and stochastic trends in the time series models: A guide for the applied economist," MPRA Paper 3580, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
    12. Stephen Bazen & Velayoudom Marimoutou, 2000. "Looking for a Needle in a Haystack? A Structural Time Series Model of the Relationship Between Teenage Employment and Minimum Wages in the United States," Econometric Society World Congress 2000 Contributed Papers 0495, Econometric Society. [Downloadable!]
    13. Khalid Al-Saad & Imad A. Moosa, 2005. "Seasonality in stock returns: evidence from an emerging market," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 15(1), pages 63-71, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    14. James B. Bullard & John Duffy, 2004. "Learning and structural change in macroeconomic data," Working Papers 2004-016, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. [Downloadable!]
    15. Abdulnasser Hatemi-J & Eduardo Roca, 2006. "Calculating the optimal hedge ratio: constant, time varying and the Kalman Filter approach," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 13(5), pages 293-299, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

  23. Harvey, Andrew C & Shephard, Neil, 1996. "Estimation of an Asymmetric Stochastic Volatility Model for Asset Returns," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 14(4), pages 429-34, October.

    Cited by:

    1. Sassan Alizadeh & Michael W. Brandt & Francis X. Diebold, 1999. "Range-Based Estimation of Stochastic Volatility Models or Exchange Rate Dynamics are More Interesting Than You Think," Center for Financial Institutions Working Papers 00-28, Wharton School Center for Financial Institutions, University of Pennsylvania. [Downloadable!]
    2. Björn Hansson & Peter Hördahl, 2005. "Forecasting variance using stochastic volatility and GARCH," European Journal of Finance, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 11(1), pages 33-57, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    3. Pedro L. Valls Pereira, 2004. "How Persistent is Volatility? An Answer with Stochastic Volatility Models with Markov Regime Switching State Equations," Finance Lab Working Papers flwp_59, Finance Lab, Ibmec São Paulo. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    4. Carmen Broto & Esther Ruiz, 2002. "Estimation Methods For Stochastic Volatility Models: A Survey," Statistics and Econometrics Working Papers ws025414, Universidad Carlos III, Departamento de Estadística y Econometría. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    5. Pascale VALERY (HEC-Montreal) & Jean-Marie Dufour (University of Montreal), 2004. "A simple estimation method and finite-sample inference for a stochastic volatility model," Econometric Society 2004 North American Summer Meetings 153, Econometric Society. [Downloadable!]
    6. Xibin Zhang & Maxwell L. King, 2004. "Box-Cox Stochastic Volatility Models with Heavy-Tails and Correlated Errors," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 26/04, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    7. María García Centeno & Román Mínguez Salido, 2009. "Estimation of Asymmetric Stochastic Volatility Models for Stock-Exchange Index Returns," International Advances in Economic Research, Springer, vol. 15(1), pages 71-87, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    8. Almut E. D. Veraart & Luitgard A. M. Veraart, 2009. "Stochastic volatility and stochastic leverage," CREATES Research Papers 2009-20, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus. [Downloadable!]
    9. Almut E. D. Veraart, 2008. "Impact of time–inhomogeneous jumps and leverage type effects on returns and realised variances," CREATES Research Papers 2008-57, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus. [Downloadable!]
    10. Jun Yu, 2004. "Asymmetric Response of Volatility: Evidence from Stochastic Volatility Models and Realized Volatility," Working Papers 24-2004, Singapore Management University, School of Economics. [Downloadable!]
    11. Xibin Zhang & Maxwell L. King, 2003. "Estimation of Asymmetric Box-Cox Stochastic Volatility Models Using MCMC Simulation," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 10/03, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics. [Downloadable!]
    12. Pieter J. van der Sluis, 1998. "EmmPack 1.01: C/C++ Code for Use with Ox for Estimation of Univariate Stochastic Volatility Models with the Efficient Method of Moments," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 98-021/4, Tinbergen Institute. [Downloadable!]
    13. Helena Veiga, 2006. "A Two Factor Long Memory Stochastic Volatility Model," Statistics and Econometrics Working Papers ws061303, Universidad Carlos III, Departamento de Estadística y Econometría. [Downloadable!]
    14. Adam Clements & Scott White, 2005. "Nonlinear Filtering for Stochastic Volatility Models with Heavy Tails and Leverage," School of Economics and Finance Discussion Papers and Working Papers Series 192, School of Economics and Finance, Queensland University of Technology. [Downloadable!]
    15. Nikolaus Hautsch & Yangguoyi Ou, 2008. "Discrete-Time Stochastic Volatility Models and MCMC-Based Statistical Inference," SFB 649 Discussion Papers SFB649DP2008-063, Sonderforschungsbereich 649, Humboldt University, Berlin, Germany. [Downloadable!]
    16. Kin-Yip Ho & Ka Cheng Tsui, 2004. "Volatility Dynamics of the Tokyo Stock Exchange: A Sectoral Analysis based on the Multivariate GARCH Approach," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2004 12, Money Macro and Finance Research Group. [Downloadable!]
    17. Federico M. Bandi & Roberto Reno, 2009. "Nonparametric Stochastic Volatility," Global COE Hi-Stat Discussion Paper Series gd08-035, Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University. [Downloadable!]
    18. Adam Clements & Stan Hurn & Scott White, 2006. "Estimating Stochastic Volatility Models Using a Discrete Non-linear Filter. Working paper #3," NCER Working Paper Series 3, National Centre for Econometric Research. [Downloadable!]
    19. Manabu Asai & Michael McAleer, 2005. "Asymmetric Multivariate Stochastic Volatility," DEA Working Papers 12, Universitat de les Illes Balears, Departament d'Economía Aplicada. [Downloadable!]
    20. María José Rodríguez & Esther Ruiz, 2009. "GARCH models with leverage effect : differences and similarities," Statistics and Econometrics Working Papers ws090302, Universidad Carlos III, Departamento de Estadística y Econometría. [Downloadable!]
    21. Adam Clements & Scott White, 2005. "Non-linear filtering with state dependant transition probabilities: A threshold (size effect) SV model," School of Economics and Finance Discussion Papers and Working Papers Series 191, School of Economics and Finance, Queensland University of Technology. [Downloadable!]
    22. Yasuhiro Omori & Siddhartha Chib & Neil Shephard & Jouchi Nakajima, 2004. "Stochastic Volatility with Leverage: Fast Likelihood Inference," CIRJE F-Series CIRJE-F-297, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    23. Naoto Kunitomo & Seisho Sato, 2001. "A Generalized SSAR Model and Predictive Distribution with an Application to VaR," CIRJE F-Series CIRJE-F-122, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo. [Downloadable!]
    24. Siem Jan Koopman & Eugenie Hol Uspensky, 2002. "The stochastic volatility in mean model: empirical evidence from international stock markets," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 17(6), pages 667-689. [Downloadable!]
    25. Tim Bollerslev & Hao Zhou, 2001. "Estimating stochastic volatility diffusion using conditional moments of integrated volatility," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2001-49, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.). [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    26. Jiang, G. & Sluis, P.J. van der, 2000. "Index option pricing models with stochastic volatility and stochastic interest rates," Discussion Paper 36, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research. [Downloadable!]
    27. Esther Ruiz & Helena Veiga, 2006. "Modelling Long-Memory Volatilities With Leverage Effect: Almsv Versus Fiegarch," Statistics and Econometrics Working Papers ws066016, Universidad Carlos III, Departamento de Estadística y Econometría. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    28. Pieter J. van der Sluis, 1998. "Structural Stability Tests with Unknown Breakpoint for the Efficient Method of Moments with Application to Stochastic Volatility Models," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 98-055/4, Tinbergen Institute. [Downloadable!]
    29. Malik, Sheheryar & Pitt, Michael K, 2009. "Modelling Stochastic Volatility with Leverage and Jumps : A Simulated Maximum Likelihood Approach via Particle Filtering," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 897, University of Warwick, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
    30. Yacine Ait-Sahalia & Robert Kimmel, 2004. "Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Stochastic Volatility Models," NBER Working Papers 10579, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    31. Michael W. Brandt & Qiang Kang, 2002. "On the Relationship Between the Conditional Mean and Volatility of Stock Returns: A Latent VAR Approach," NBER Working Papers 9056, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    32. Per Bjarte Solibakke, 2003. "Validity of discrete-time stochastic volatility models in non-synchronous equity markets," European Journal of Finance, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 9(5), pages 420-448, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    33. George J. Jiang & Pieter J. van der Sluis, 1998. "Pricing Stock Options under Stochastic Volatility and Stochastic Interest Rates with Efficient Method of Moments Estimation," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 98-067/4, Tinbergen Institute. [Downloadable!]
    34. Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Almut E. D. Veraart, 2009. "Stochastic volatility of volatility in continuous time," CREATES Research Papers 2009-25, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus. [Downloadable!]
    35. Siem Jan Koopman & Eugenie Hol Uspensky, 2000. "The Stochastic Volatility in Mean Model," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 00-024/4, Tinbergen Institute. [Downloadable!]
    36. Sassan Alizadeh & Michael W. Brandt & Francis X. Diebold, 2001. "High- and Low-Frequency Exchange Rate Volatility Dynamics: Range-Based Estimation of Stochastic Volatility Models," NBER Working Papers 8162, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

  24. Harvey, Andrew & Scott, Andrew, 1994. "Seasonality in Dynamic Regression Models," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 104(427), pages 1324-45, November. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:

    See citations under working paper version above.

  25. Harvey, Andrew & Ruiz, Esther & Shephard, Neil, 1994. "Multivariate Stochastic Variance Models," Review of Economic Studies, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 61(2), pages 247-64, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

    Cited by:

    1. Éric Jacquier & Nicholas G. Polson & Peter E. Rossi, 1999. "Stochastic Volatility: Univariate and Multivariate Extensions," CIRANO Working Papers 99s-26, CIRANO. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    2. Chris M Strickland & Gael Martin & Catherine S Forbes, 2006. "Parameterisation and Efficient MCMC Estimation of Non-Gaussian State Space Models," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 22/06, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    3. Sassan Alizadeh & Michael W. Brandt & Francis X. Diebold, 1999. "Range-Based Estimation of Stochastic Volatility Models or Exchange Rate Dynamics are More Interesting Than You Think," Center for Financial Institutions Working Papers 00-28, Wharton School Center for Financial Institutions, University of Pennsylvania. [Downloadable!]
    4. Viviana Fernández, 2002. "How Sensitive is Volatility to Exchange Rate Regimes?," Documentos de Trabajo 135, Centro de Economía Aplicada, Universidad de Chile. [Downloadable!]
    5. Jonathan Manton & Anton Muscatelli & Vikram Krishnamurthy & Stan Hurn, . "Modelling Stock Market Excess Returns by Markov Modulated Gaussian Noise," Working Papers 9806, Department of Economics, University of Glasgow. [Downloadable!]
    6. Nour Meddahi, 2002. "A theoretical comparison between integrated and realized volatility," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 17(5), pages 479-508. [Downloadable!]
    7. Björn Hansson & Peter Hördahl, 2005. "Forecasting variance using stochastic volatility and GARCH," European Journal of Finance, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 11(1), pages 33-57, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    8. Gianni Amisano & Roberto Casarin, 2008. "Particle Filters for Markov-Switching Stochastic-Correlation Models," Working Papers 0814, University of Brescia, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
    9. Fernandez, C. & Steel, M.F.J., 1997. "On the dangers of modelling through continuous distributions : a Bayesian perspective," Discussion Paper 5, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    10. Pedro L. Valls Pereira, 2004. "How Persistent is Volatility? An Answer with Stochastic Volatility Models with Markov Regime Switching State Equations," Finance Lab Working Papers flwp_59, Finance Lab, Ibmec São Paulo. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    11. George Chacko & Luis M. Viceira, 1999. "Dynamic Consumption and Portfolio Choice with Stochastic Volatility in Incomplete Markets," NBER Working Papers 7377, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
      Other versions:
    12. Alejandro Islas Camargo & Francisco Venegas Martínez, 2003. "Pricing Derivatives Securities with Prior Information on Long- Memory Volatility," Economia Mexicana NUEVA EPOCA, , vol. 0(1), pages 103-134, January-J. [Downloadable!]
    13. Mark J. Jensen & John M. Maheu, 2008. "Bayesian semiparametric stochastic volatility modeling," Working Paper 2008-15, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    14. Soosung Hwang & Pedro Valls Pereira, 2006. "Small sample properties of GARCH estimates and persistence," European Journal of Finance, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 12(6-7), pages 473-494, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
      Other versions:
    15. Angela J. Black & David G. McMillan, 2004. "Long run trends and volatility spillovers in daily exchange rates," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 14(12), pages 895-907, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    16. Araújo, Fabio & Issler, João Victor & Fernandes, Marcelo, 2005. "Estimating the Stochastic Discount Factor without a Utility Function," Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 583, Graduate School of Economics, Getulio Vargas Foundation (Brazil). [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    17. Vyacheslav Abramov & Fima Klebaner, 2007. "Estimation and Prediction of a Non-Constant Volatility," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer, vol. 14(1), pages 1-23, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    18. Elena Andreou & Eric Ghysels, 2003. "Test for Breaks in the Conditional Co-Movements of Asset Returns," University of Cyprus Working Papers in Economics 3-2003, University of Cyprus Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    19. Hashem Pesaran & Paolo Zaffaroni & Banca d'Italia), 2004. "Model Averaging and Value-at-Risk based Evaluation of Large Multi Asset Volatility Models for Risk Management," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2004 101, Money Macro and Finance Research Group. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    20. Carmen Broto & Esther Ruiz, 2002. "Estimation Methods For Stochastic Volatility Models: A Survey," Statistics and Econometrics Working Papers ws025414, Universidad Carlos III, Departamento de Estadística y Econometría. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    21. Sangjoon Kim, Neil Shephard & Siddhartha Chib, . "Stochastic volatility: likelihood inference and comparison with ARCH models," Economics Papers W26, revised version of W, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    22. Pascale VALERY (HEC-Montreal) & Jean-Marie Dufour (University of Montreal), 2004. "A simple estimation method and finite-sample inference for a stochastic volatility model," Econometric Society 2004 North American Summer Meetings 153, Econometric Society. [Downloadable!]
    23. Feng, Yuanhua & Yu, Keming, 2006. "Nonparametric estimation of time-varying covariance matrix in a slowly changing vector random walk model," MPRA Paper 1597, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
    24. K. Triantafyllopoulos, 2008. "Multivariate stochastic volatility with Bayesian dynamic linear models," Quantitative Finance Papers 0802.0214, arXiv.org. [Downloadable!]
    25. Christian Bontemps & Nour Meddahi, 2002. "Testing Normality: A GMM Approach," CIRANO Working Papers 2002s-63, CIRANO. [Downloadable!]
    26. Hwai-Chung Ho, 2007. "Estimation errors of the Sharpe ratio for long-memory stochastic volatility models," Quantitative Finance Papers math/0702812, arXiv.org. [Downloadable!]
    27. H. L"Utkepohl, . "Statistische Modellierung von Volatilit"aten," Sonderforschungsbereich 373 1996-70, Humboldt Universitaet Berlin.
    28. Marçal, Emerson F. & Valls Pereira, Pedro L., 2008. "Testando A Hipótese De Contágio A Partir De Modelos Multivariados De Volatilidade
      [Testing the contagion hypotheses using multivariate volatility models]      ," MPRA Paper 10356, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
    29. Siem Jan Koopman & Borus Jungbacker & Eugenie Hol, 2004. "Forecasting Daily Variability of the S&P 100 Stock Index using Historical, Realised and Implied Volatility Measurements," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 04-016/4, Tinbergen Institute. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    30. Neil Shephard, 2005. "Stochastic Volatility," Economics Papers 2005-W17, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford. [Downloadable!]
    31. Nour Meddahi & Éric Renault, 2000. "Temporal Aggregation of Volatility Models," CIRANO Working Papers 2000s-22, CIRANO. [Downloadable!]
    32. BOUEZMARNI, Taoufik & ROMBOUTS, Jeroen V. K., 2006. "Nonparametric density estimation for positive time series," CORE Discussion Papers 2006085, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE). [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    33. Alejandro Rodriguez & Esther Ruiz, 2008. "Bootstrap prediction intervals in State Space models," Statistics and Econometrics Working Papers ws081104, Universidad Carlos III, Departamento de Estadística y Econometría. [Downloadable!]
    34. BONTEMPS, Christian & MEDDAHI, Nour, 2002. "Testing Normality : A GMM Approach," Cahiers de recherche 2002-14, Universite de Montreal, Departement de sciences economiques. [Downloadable!]
    35. In Kim & In-Seok Baek & Jaesun Noh & Sol Kim, 2007. "The role of stochastic volatility and return jumps: reproducing volatility and higher moments in the KOSPI 200 returns dynamics," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 29(1), pages 69-110, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    36. Marcus Pramor & Natalia T. Tamirisa, 2006. "Common Volatility Trends in the Central and Eastern European Currencies and the Euro," IMF Working Papers 06/206, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
    37. Daniel B. Nelson, 1994. "Asymptotic Filtering Theory for Multivariate ARCH Models," NBER Technical Working Papers 0162, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    38. David S. Bates, 2003. "Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Latent Affine Processes," NBER Working Papers 9673, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    39. Catherine Doz & Éric Renault, 2004. "Conditionally Heteroskedastic Factor Models: Identification and Instrumental Variables Estimation," CIRANO Working Papers 2004s-37, CIRANO. [Downloadable!]
    40. Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Neil Shephard, 2003. "Impact of jumps on returns and realised variances: econometric analysis of time-deformed Levy processes," Economics Papers 2003-W12, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    41. Siddhartha Chib & Yasuhiro Omori & Manabu Asai, 2007. "Multivariate stochastic volatility," CIRJE F-Series CIRJE-F-488, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo. [Downloadable!]
    42. M. V. Cacdac Warnock & Francis E. Warnock, 2000. "The declining volatility of U.S. employment: was Arthur Burns right?," International Finance Discussion Papers 677, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.). [Downloadable!]
    43. Oscar Martinez & Jose Olmo, 2008. "A Nonlinear Threshold Model for the Dependence of Extremes of Stationary Sequences," City University Economics Discussion Papers 08/08, Department of Economics, City University, London. [Downloadable!]
    44. Busetti, F. & Harvey, A., 2008. "When is a copula constant? A test for changing relationships," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 0841, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge. [Downloadable!]
    45. M. Hashem Pesaran & Christoph Schleicher & Paolo Zaffaroni, 2008. "Model Averaging in Risk Management with an Application to Futures Markets," CESifo Working Paper Series CESifo Working Paper No. , CESifo Group Munich. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    46. Sascha Mergner & Jan Bulla, 2005. "Time-varying Beta Risk of Pan-European Industry Portfolios: A Comparison of Alternative Modeling Techniques," Finance 0510029, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    47. Pieter J. van der Sluis, 1998. "EmmPack 1.01: C/C++ Code for Use with Ox for Estimation of Univariate Stochastic Volatility Models with the Efficient Method of Moments," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 98-021/4, Tinbergen Institute. [Downloadable!]
    48. Eric Ghysels & Christian Gouriéroux & Joanna Jasiak, 1995. "Trading Patterns, Time Deformation and Stochastic Volatility in Foreign Exchange Markets," CIRANO Working Papers 95s-42, CIRANO. [Downloadable!]
    49. Fernandez, C. & Steel, M., 1996. "On Bayesian inference under sampling from scale mixtures of normals," Discussion Paper 2, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research. [Downloadable!]
    50. George Chacko & Peter Tufano & Geoffrey Verter, 2000. "Cephalon, Inc. Taking Risk Management Theory Seriously," NBER Working Papers 7748, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    51. Adam Clements & Scott White, 2005. "Nonlinear Filtering for Stochastic Volatility Models with Heavy Tails and Leverage," School of Economics and Finance Discussion Papers and Working Papers Series 192, School of Economics and Finance, Queensland University of Technology. [Downloadable!]
    52. Eugenie Hol & Siem Jan Koopman, 2000. "Forecasting the Variability of Stock Index Returns with Stochastic Volatility Models and Implied Volatility," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 00-104/4, Tinbergen Institute. [Downloadable!]
    53. Hafner, Christian M. & Manner, Hans, 2008. "Dynamic stochastic copula models: Estimation, inference and applications," Research Memoranda 043, Maastricht : METEOR, Maastricht Research School of Economics of Technology and Organization. [Downloadable!]
    54. Jose A. Lopez, 1995. "Evaluating the predictive accuracy of volatility models," Research Paper 9524, Federal Reserve Bank of New York. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    55. Gregory H. Bauer & Keith Vorkink, 2007. "Multivariate Realized Stock Market Volatility
      ," Working Papers 07-20, Bank of Canada. [Downloadable!]
    56. Alberto Mora-Galan & Ana Perez & Esther Ruiz, 2004. "Stochastic Volatility Models And The Taylor Effect," Statistics and Econometrics Working Papers ws046315, Universidad Carlos III, Departamento de Estadística y Econometría. [Downloadable!]
    57. Nikolaus Hautsch & Yangguoyi Ou, 2008. "Discrete-Time Stochastic Volatility Models and MCMC-Based Statistical Inference," SFB 649 Discussion Papers SFB649DP2008-063, Sonderforschungsbereich 649, Humboldt University, Berlin, Germany. [Downloadable!]
    58. Jun Yu & Zhenlin Yang & Xibin Zhang, 2002. "A Class of Nonlinear Stochastic Volatility Models and Its Implications on Pricing Currency Options," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 17/02, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics. [Downloadable!]
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    59. Nour Meddahi, 2001. "An Eigenfunction Approach for Volatility Modeling," CIRANO Working Papers 2001s-70, CIRANO. [Downloadable!]
    60. Catherine Doz & Eric Renault, 2004. "Conditionaly Heteroskedastic Factor Models : Identificationand Instrumental variables Estmation," THEMA Working Papers 2004-13, THEMA (THéorie Economique, Modélisation et Applications), Université de Cergy-Pontoise. [Downloadable!]
    61. Tims, B. & Mahieu, R.J., 2003. "A Range-Based Multivariate Model for Exchange Rate Volatility," Research Paper ERS-2003-022-F&A Revision, Erasmus Research Institute of Management (ERIM), ERIM is the joint research institute of the Rotterdam School of Management, Erasmus University and the Erasmus School of Economics (ESE) at Erasmus Uni. [Downloadable!]
    62. Charles S. Bos & Neil Shephard, 2004. "Inference for Adaptive Time Series Models: Stochastic Volatility and Conditionally Gaussian State Space Form," Economics Papers 2004-W02, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford. [Downloadable!]
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    63. Junji Shimada & Yoshihiko Tsukuda, 2004. "Estimation of Stochastic Volatility Models : An Approximation to the Nonlinear State Space," Econometric Society 2004 Far Eastern Meetings 611, Econometric Society. [Downloadable!]
    64. Jun Yu & Renate Meyer, 2004. "Multivariate Stochastic Volatility Models: Bayesian Estimation and Model Comparison," Working Papers 23-2004, Singapore Management University, School of Economics. [Downloadable!]
    65. Christian Dunis & Jason Laws & Stéphane Chauvin, 2003. "FX volatility forecasts and the informational content of market data for volatility," European Journal of Finance, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 9(3), pages 242-272, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    66. Heather Anderson & Fashid Vahid, 2005. "Forecasting the Volatility of Australian Stock Returns: Do Common Factors Help?," ANUCBE School of Economics Working Papers 2005-451, Australian National University, College of Business and Economics, School of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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    67. Peter Christoffersen & Kris Jacobs & Karim Mimouni, 2007. "Models for S&P500 Dynamics: Evidence from Realized Volatility, Daily Returns, and Option Prices," CREATES Research Papers 2007-37, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus. [Downloadable!]
    68. Oleg Korenok & Stanislav Radchenko, 2005. "The smooth transition autoregressive target zone model with the Gaussian stochastic volatility and TGARCH error terms with applications," Working Papers 0505, VCU School of Business, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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    69. Matthieu Lemoine, 2005. "A model of the stochastic convergence between business cycles," Documents de Travail de l'OFCE 2005-05, Observatoire Francais des Conjonctures Economiques (OFCE). [Downloadable!]
    70. Viviana Fernández, 2003. "Interest Rate Volatility and Nominalization," Documentos de Trabajo 153, Centro de Economía Aplicada, Universidad de Chile. [Downloadable!]
    71. Gerard Gannon, 2004. "Simultaneous Volatility Transmissions and Spillover Effects: US and Hong Kong Stock and Futures Markets," Accounting, Finance, Financial Planning and Insurance Series 2004_09, Deakin University, Faculty of Business and Law, School of Accounting, Economics and Finance. [Downloadable!]
    72. Adam Clements & Stan Hurn & Scott White, 2006. "Estimating Stochastic Volatility Models Using a Discrete Non-linear Filter. Working paper #3," NCER Working Paper Series 3, National Centre for Econometric Research. [Downloadable!]
    73. Arnaud Doucet & Vladislav Tadić, 2003. "Parameter estimation in general state-space models using particle methods," Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Springer, vol. 55(2), pages 409-422, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    74. PREMINGER, Arie & HAFNER, Christian M., 2006. "Deciding between GARCH and stochastic volatility via strong decision rules," CORE Discussion Papers 2006042, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE). [Downloadable!]
    75. Mikhail Chernov & Eric Ghysels, 1998. "What Data Should Be Used to Price Options?," CIRANO Working Papers 98s-22, CIRANO. [Downloadable!]
    76. Manabu Asai & Michael McAleer, 2005. "Asymmetric Multivariate Stochastic Volatility," DEA Working Papers 12, Universitat de les Illes Balears, Departament d'Economía Aplicada. [Downloadable!]
    77. Nigel Meade, Gerry R. Salkin, 2000. "The selection of multinational equity portfolios: forecasting models and estimation risk," European Journal of Finance, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 6(3), pages 259-279, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    78. Ramdan Dridi & Eric Renault, 2000. "Semi-Parametric Indirect Inference," STICERD - Econometrics Paper Series /2000/392, Suntory and Toyota International Centres for Economics and Related Disciplines, LSE. [Downloadable!]
    79. Vuorenmaa , Tommi, 2005. "A wavelet analysis of scaling laws and long-memory in stock market volatility," Research Discussion Papers 27/2005, Bank of Finland. [Downloadable!]
    80. Robert Engle, 2004. "Risk and Volatility: Econometric Models and Financial Practice," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 94(3), pages 405-420, June. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    81. Diana Zhumabekova & Mardi Dungey, 2001. "Factor analysis of a model of stock market returns using simulation-based estimation techniques," Pacific Basin Working Paper Series 01-08, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco. [Downloadable!]
    82. Ying Chen & Wolfgang Härdle & Seok-Oh Jeong, 2004. "Nonparametric Risk Management with Generalized Hyperbolic Distributions," SFB 649 Discussion Papers SFB649DP2005-001, Sonderforschungsbereich 649, Humboldt University, Berlin, Germany, revised Aug 2005. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    83. Ram Bhar & Carl Chiarella & Toan Pham, 2000. "Modeling the Currency Forward Risk Premium: Theory and Evidence," Research Paper Series 41, Quantitative Finance Research Centre, University of Technology, Sydney. [Downloadable!]
    84. Noureddine Krichene, 2003. "Modeling Stochastic Volatility with Application to Stock Returns," IMF Working Papers 03/125, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
    85. Ana Pérez & Esther Ruiz, 2001. "PROPERTIES OF THE SAMPLE AUTOCORRELATIONS IN AUTOREGRESSIVE STOCHASTIC VOLATlLITY MODELS," Statistics and Econometrics Working Papers ws011208, Universidad Carlos III, Departamento de Estadística y Econometría. [Downloadable!]
    86. Sébastien Laurent & Luc Bauwens & Jeroen V. K. Rombouts, 2006. "Multivariate GARCH models: a survey," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 21(1), pages 79-109. [Downloadable!]
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    87. Philip Arestis & Kostas Mouratidis, 2002. "Credibility of EMS Interest Rate Policies: A Markov Regime-Switching Approach," Economics Working Paper Archive 361, Levy Economics Institute, The. [Downloadable!]
    88. Ronald Mahieu & Peter Schotman, 1994. "Stochastic volatility and the distribution of exchange rate news," Discussion Paper / Institute for Empirical Macroeconomics 96, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis. [Downloadable!]
    89. Roman Liesenfeld & Robert C. Jung, 2000. "Stochastic volatility models: conditional normality versus heavy-tailed distributions," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 15(2), pages 137-160. [Downloadable!]
    90. Yasuhiro Omori & Siddhartha Chib & Neil Shephard & Jouchi Nakajima, 2004. "Stochastic Volatility with Leverage: Fast Likelihood Inference," CIRJE F-Series CIRJE-F-297, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo. [Downloadable!]
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    91. Denis Pelletier, 2004. "Regime Switching for Dynamic Correlations," Econometric Society 2004 North American Summer Meetings 230, Econometric Society. [Downloadable!]
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    92. Siem Jan Koopman & Eugenie Hol Uspensky, 2002. "The stochastic volatility in mean model: empirical evidence from international stock markets," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 17(6), pages 667-689. [Downloadable!]
    93. Lucia Alessi & Matteo Barigozzi & Marco Capasso, 2006. "Generalized Dynamic Factor Model + GARCH
      Exploiting Multivariate Information for Univariate Prediction      ," LEM Papers Series 2006/13, Laboratory of Economics and Management (LEM), Sant'Anna School of Advanced Studies, Pisa, Italy. [Downloadable!]
    94. Éric Jacquier & Nicholas G. Polson & Peter E. Rossi, 1995. "Models and Priors for Multivariate Stochastic Volatility," CIRANO Working Papers 95s-18, CIRANO. [Downloadable!]
    95. Andrew J. Patton & Kevin Sheppard, 2008. "Evaluating Volatility and Correlation Forecasts," OFRC Working Papers Series 2008fe22, Oxford Financial Research Centre. [Downloadable!]
    96. Giorgio Canarella & Stephen M. Miller & Stephen K. Pollard, 2008. "Dynamic Stock Market Interactions between the Canadian, Mexican, and the United States Markets: The NAFTA Experience," Working papers 2008-49, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    97. Joshua V. Rosenberg, 2003. "Nonparametric pricing of multivariate contingent claims," Staff Reports 162, Federal Reserve Bank of New York. [Downloadable!]
    98. Nolan, C. & Chadha, J.S., 1999. "Inflation Targeting, Transparency and Interest Rate Volatility: Ditching 'Monetary Mystique' in the UK," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 9921, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    99. Jiang, G. & Sluis, P.J. van der, 2000. "Index option pricing models with stochastic volatility and stochastic interest rates," Discussion Paper 36, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research. [Downloadable!]
    100. Siem Jan Koopman & Charles S. Bos, 2002. "Time Series Models with a Common Stochastic Variance for Analysing Economic Time Series," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 02-113/4, Tinbergen Institute. [Downloadable!]
    101. Michel Beine & Charles S. Bos & Sebastian Laurent, 2005. "The Impact of Central Bank FX Interventions on Currency Components," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 05-103/4, Tinbergen Institute. [Downloadable!]
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    102. George Athanasopoulos & Heather M. Anderson & Farshid Vahid, 2007. "Nonlinear autoregressive leading indicator models of output in G-7 countries," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 22(1), pages 63-87. [Downloadable!]
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    103. C.M. Hafner & H. Herwartz, 2002. "Testing for vector autoregressive dynamics under heteroskedasticity," Econometric Institute Report 288, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute. [Downloadable!]
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    104. Malik, Sheheryar & Pitt, Michael K, 2009. "Modelling Stochastic Volatility with Leverage and Jumps : A Simulated Maximum Likelihood Approach via Particle Filtering," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 897, University of Warwick, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
    105. BAUWENS, Luc & VEREDAS, David, 1999. "The stochastic conditional duration model: a latent factor model for the analysis of financial durations," CORE Discussion Papers 1999058, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE). [Downloadable!]
    106. Michael W. Brandt & Qiang Kang, 2002. "On the Relationship Between the Conditional Mean and Volatility of Stock Returns: A Latent VAR Approach," NBER Working Papers 9056, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    107. Per Bjarte Solibakke, 2003. "Validity of discrete-time stochastic volatility models in non-synchronous equity markets," European Journal of Finance, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 9(5), pages 420-448, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    108. Violetta Dalla & Liudas Giraitis & Javier Hidalgo, 2006. "Consistent estimation of the memory parameterfor nonlinear time series," STICERD - Econometrics Paper Series /2006/497, Suntory and Toyota International Centres for Economics and Related Disciplines, LSE. [Downloadable!]
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    109. Charles S. Bos & Phillip Gould, 2007. "Dynamic Correlations and Optimal Hedge Ratios," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 07-025/4, Tinbergen Institute. [Downloadable!]
    110. Francis X. Diebold & Jose A. Lopez, 1995. "Measuring Volatility Dynamics," NBER Technical Working Papers 0173, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    111. Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Neil Shephard, 2003. "Power and bipower variation with stochastic volatility and jumps," Economics Papers 2003-W17, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford. [Downloadable!]
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    112. Robert F. Engle & Kevin Sheppard, 2001. "Theoretical and Empirical Properties of Dynamic Conditional Correlation Multivariate GARCH," University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series 2001-15, Department of Economics, UC San Diego. [Downloadable!]
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    113. Kleppe, Tore Selland & Skaug, Hans J., 2008. "Simulated maximum likelihood for general stochastic volatility models: a change of variable approach," MPRA Paper 12022, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
    114. Harvey, A. & Chakravarty, T., 2008. "Beta-t-(E)GARCH," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 0840, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge. [Downloadable!]
    115. Marco Lombardi & Giorgio Calzolari, 2006. "Indirect estimation of alpha-stable stochastic volatility models," Econometrics Working Papers Archive wp2006_07, Universita' degli Studi di Firenze, Dipartimento di Statistica "G. Parenti". [Downloadable!]
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    116. George J. Jiang & Pieter J. van der Sluis, 1998. "Pricing Stock Options under Stochastic Volatility and Stochastic Interest Rates with Efficient Method of Moments Estimation," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 98-067/4, Tinbergen Institute. [Downloadable!]
    117. Jaroslava HLOUSKOVA & Kurt SCHMIDHEINY & Martin WAGNER, 2004. "Multistep Predictions for Multivariate GARCH Models: Closed Form Solution and the Value for Portfolio Management," Cahiers de Recherches Economiques du Département d'Econométrie et d'Economie politique (DEEP) 04.10, Université de Lausanne, Faculté des HEC, DEEP. [Downloadable!]
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    118. Harvey, A., 2008. "Dynamic distributions and changing copulas," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 0839, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge. [Downloadable!]
    119. Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Luis A. Gil-Alana, 2005. "Modelling Stochastic Volatility In Asset Returns Using Fractionally Integrated Semiparametric Techniques," Economics and Finance Discussion Papers 05-10, Economics and Finance Section, School of Social Sciences, Brunel University. [Downloadable!]
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    120. Nour Meddahi, 2002. "ARMA Representation of Two-Factor Models," CIRANO Working Papers 2002s-92, CIRANO. [Downloadable!]
    121. Perry Sadorsky, 2005. "Stochastic volatility forecasting and risk management," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 15(2), pages 121-135, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    122. Christian N. Brinch, 2008. "Simulated Maximum Likelihood using Tilted Importance Sampling," Discussion Papers 540, Research Department of Statistics Norway. [Downloadable!]
    123. Michael K Pitt & Neil Shephard, . "Filtering via simulation: auxiliary particle filters," Economics Papers 1997-W13, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford. [Downloadable!]
    124. Laurent E. Calvet & Adlai J. Fisher & Samuel B. Thompson, 2004. "Volatility Comovement: A Multifrequency Approach," NBER Technical Working Papers 0300, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
      Other versions:
    125. Bontemps, Christian & Meddahi, Nour, 2007. "Testing Distributional Assumptions: A GMM Approach," IDEI Working Papers 486, Institut d'Économie Industrielle (IDEI), Toulouse. [Downloadable!]
    126. Ester Ruiz & Fernando Lorenzo, 1998. "The relation between the level and uncertainty of inflation," Documentos de Trabajo (working papers) 0698, Department of Economics - dECON. [Downloadable!]
    127. Siem Jan Koopman & Eugenie Hol Uspensky, 2000. "The Stochastic Volatility in Mean Model," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 00-024/4, Tinbergen Institute. [Downloadable!]
    128. Pitt, Michael K, 2002. "Smooth Particle Filters for Likelihood Evaluation and Maximisation," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 651, University of Warwick, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
    129. Cayetano Gea, CGC, 2007. "Studying the Properties of the Correlation Trades," MPRA Paper 11263, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
    130. Charles S. Bos, 2008. "Model-based Estimation of High Frequency Jump Diffusions with Microstructure Noise and Stochastic Volatility," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 08-011/4, Tinbergen Institute. [Downloadable!]
    131. Mohamadou Fadiga & Yongsheng Wang, 2009. "A multivariate unobserved component analysis of US housing market," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer, vol. 33(1), pages 13-26, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    132. Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Nour Meddahi, 2002. "Analytic Evaluation of Volatility Forecasts," CIRANO Working Papers 2002s-90, CIRANO. [Downloadable!]
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    133. Marçal, Emerson F. & Valls Pereira , Pedro L., 2008. "Testing the Hypothesis of Contagion using Multivariate Volatility Models," MPRA Paper 15623, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
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    134. Jaroslava Hlouskova & Kurt Schmidheiny & Martin Wagner, 2002. "Multistep Predictions from Multivariate ARMA-GARCH: Models and their Value for Portfolio Management," Diskussionsschriften dp0212, Universitaet Bern, Departement Volkswirtschaft. [Downloadable!]
    135. Sassan Alizadeh & Michael W. Brandt & Francis X. Diebold, 2001. "High- and Low-Frequency Exchange Rate Volatility Dynamics: Range-Based Estimation of Stochastic Volatility Models," NBER Working Papers 8162, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    136. Josu Arteche, 2002. "Gaussian Semiparametric Estimation in Long Memory in Stochastic Volatility and Signal Plus Noise Models," BILTOKI 200202, Universidad del País Vasco - Departamento de Economía Aplicada III (Econometría y Estadística). [Downloadable!]
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    137. Neil Shephard & Michael K Pitt, 1995. "Likelihood analysis of non-Gaussian parameter driven models," Economics Papers 15 & 108., Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford. [Downloadable!]
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    138. Lucia Alessi & Matteo Barigozzi & Marco Capasso, 2006. "Dynamic Factor GARCH: Multivariate Volatility Forecast for a Large Number of Series," LEM Papers Series 2006/25, Laboratory of Economics and Management (LEM), Sant'Anna School of Advanced Studies, Pisa, Italy. [Downloadable!]
    139. Scott I. White & Adam E. Clements & Stan Hurn, 2004. "Discretised Non-Linear Filtering for Dynamic Latent Variable Models: with Application to Stochastic Volatility," Econometric Society 2004 Australasian Meetings 46, Econometric Society. [Downloadable!]

  26. Harvey, A C & Jaeger, A, 1993. "Detrending, Stylized Facts and the Business Cycle," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 8(3), pages 231-47, July-Sept. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

    Cited by:

    1. David Aadland, 2002. "Detrending Time-Aggregated Data," Working Papers 2002-05, Utah State University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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    2. J. J. Reeves & C. A. Blyth & C. M. Triggs & J. P. Small, . "The Hodrick-Prescott Filter, a Generalisation, and a New Procedure for Extracting an Empirical Cycle from a Series," Reports 9602, University of Auckland, Department of Economics.
    3. Cristina Fernández & Andrés González, 2000. "Integracion Y Vulnerabilidad Externa En Colombia," BORRADORES DE ECONOMIA 002901, BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA. [Downloadable!]
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    4. Matthias Mohr, 2005. "A trend-cycle(-season) filter," Working Paper Series 499, European Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
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    5. Ard den Reijer, 2006. "The Dutch business cycle: which indicators should we monitor?," DNB Working Papers 100, Netherlands Central Bank, Research Department. [Downloadable!]
    6. Athanasios Orphanides & Simon van Norden, 1999. "The reliability of output gap estimates in real time," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 1999-38, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.). [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    7. Ben Smit & Le Roux Burrows, 2002. "Estimating potential output and output gaps for the South African economy," Working Papers 05/2002, Stellenbosch University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
    8. Albert Jaeger, 2003. "The ECB's Money Pillar: An Assessment," IMF Working Papers 03/82, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
    9. Bruno Giancarlo & Edoardo Otranto, 2004. "Dating the Italian BUsiness Cycle: A Comparison of Procedures," ISAE Working Papers 41, ISAE - Institute for Studies and Economic Analyses - (Rome, ITALY). [Downloadable!]
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    10. Tommaso Proietti, 2004. "On the Model-Based Interpretation of Filters and the Reliability of Trend-Cycle Estimates," Econometrics 0403007, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
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    11. Tatsuma Wada & Pierre Perron, 2006. "State Space Model with Mixtures of Normals: Specifications and Applications to International Data," Boston University - Department of Economics - Working Papers Series WP2006-029, Boston University - Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
    12. Carmine Trecroci & Juan Vega, 2002. "The information content of M3 for future inflation in the Euro area," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer, vol. 138(1), pages 22-53, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    13. Maria Silgoner & Jesus Crespo Cuaresma & Gerhard Reitschuler, 2004. "The fiscal smile - on the effectiveness and limits of fiscal stabilizers," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2003 87, Money Macro and Finance Research Group. [Downloadable!]
    14. Shigeyuki Hamori & Shin-Ichi Kitasaka, 1997. "The characteristics of the business cycle in Japan," Applied Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 29(9), pages 1105-1113, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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    15. Michael Artis & Toshihiro Okubo, 2008. "Globalization and Business Cycle Transmission," Discussion Paper Series 232, Research Institute for Economics & Business Administration, Kobe University. [Downloadable!]
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    16. Tommaso Proietti, 2002. "Some Reflections on Trend-Cycle Decompositions with Correlated Components," Econometrics 0209002, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
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    17. Bassanetti, Antonio & Döpke, Jörg & Torrini, Roberto & Zizza, Roberta, 2006. "Capital, labour and productivity: What role do they play in the potential GPD weakness of France, Germany and Italy?," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 2006,09, Deutsche Bundesbank, Research Centre. [Downloadable!]
    18. Janine Aron & John Muellbauer & Coen Pretorius, 2004. "A Framework for Forecasting the Components of the Consumer Price," Development and Comp Systems 0409054, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
    19. Drew Creal & Siem Jan Koopman & André Lucas, 2008. "A General Framework for Observation Driven Time-Varying Parameter Models," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 08-108/4, Tinbergen Institute. [Downloadable!]
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    20. Michael Artis & Massimiliano Marcellino & Tommaso Proietti, 2004. "Characterising the Business Cycle for Accession Countries," Econometrics 0403006, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    21. Knetsch, Thomas A., 2004. "The Inventory Cycle of the German Economy," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 2004,09, Deutsche Bundesbank, Research Centre. [Downloadable!]
    22. Tatsuma Wada & Pierre Perron, 2005. "An Alternative Trend-Cycle Decomposition using a State Space Model with Mixtures of Normals: Specifications and Applications to International Data," Boston University - Department of Economics - Working Papers Series WP2005-44, Boston University - Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    23. Alasdair Scott, 2000. "Stylised facts from output gap measures," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series DP2000/07, Reserve Bank of New Zealand. [Downloadable!]
    24. Choi, Woon Gyu, 1999. "Estimating the Discount Rate Policy Reaction Function of the Monetary Authority," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 14(4), pages 379-401, July-Aug.. [Downloadable!]
    25. 300, 2004. "Persistence and the Role of Exchange Rate and Interest Rate Inertia in Monetary Policy," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 300, Central Bank of Chile. [Downloadable!]
    26. Edoardo Otranto, 2005. "Extraction of Common Signal from Series with Different Frequency," Econometrics 0502011, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
    27. Ron Smith & M. Hashem Pesaran, 2007. "Monetary Policy Transmission and the Phillips Curve in a Global Context," Kiel Working Papers 1366, Kiel Institute for the World Economy. [Downloadable!]
    28. Kevin Ross & Angel J. Ubide, 2001. "Mind the Gap: What is the Best Measure of Slack in the Euro Area?," IMF Working Papers 01/203, International Monetary Fund.
    29. Troy Matheson, 2005. "Factor model forecasts for New Zealand," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series DP2005/01, Reserve Bank of New Zealand. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    30. Kum Hwa Oh & Eric Zivot & Drew Creal, 2006. "The Relationship between the Beveridge-Nelson Decomposition andUnobserved Component Models with Correlated Shocks," Working Papers UWEC-2006-16-FC, University of Washington, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
    31. Ting Qin & Walter Enders, 2007. "Modeling Smooth Structural Changes in the Trend of US Real GDP," Working Papers 2008-09 Classification-E3, Saint Cloud State University, Department of Economics, revised Feb 2008. [Downloadable!]
    32. Guillaume Chevillon, 2004. "A Comparison of Multi-step GDP Forecasts for South Africa," Economics Series Working Papers 212, University of Oxford, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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    33. P. A. Tinsley & Reva Krieger, 1997. "Asymmetric adjustments of price and output," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 1997-31, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.). [Downloadable!]
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    34. Yin-wong Cheung & Jude Yuen, 2004. "The Suitability of A Greater China Currency Union," Working Papers 122004, Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research. [Downloadable!]
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    35. St-Amant, P. & van Norden, S., 1997. "Measurement of the Output Gap: A Discussion of Recent Research at the Bank of Canada," Technical Reports 79, Bank of Canada. [Downloadable!]
    36. Guilhem Bentoglio & Jacky Fayolle & Matthieu Lemoine, 2002. "Unity and Plurality of the European Cycle," Documents de Travail de l'OFCE 2002-03, Observatoire Francais des Conjonctures Economiques (OFCE). [Downloadable!]
    37. Siem Jan Koopman & André Lucas, 2003. "Business and Default Cycles for Credit Risk," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 03-062/2, Tinbergen Institute, revised 09 Jan 2003. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    38. Roberta Zizza, 2006. "A measure of output gap for Italy through structural time series models," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 33(5), pages 481-496, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    39. Vitek, Francis, 2006. "Measuring the Stance of Monetary Policy in a Small Open Economy: A Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Approach," MPRA Paper 802, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
    40. Bernd Suessmuth, 2002. "National and Supranational Business Cycles (1960-2000): A multivariate description of central G7 and EURO15 NIPA aggregates," CESifo Working Paper Series CESifo Working Paper No. , CESifo Group Munich. [Downloadable!]
    41. Hildegart Ahumada & María Lorena Garegnani, 2000. "Assesing HP Filter Performance for Argentina and U.S. Macro Aggregates," Journal of Applied Economics, Universidad del CEMA, vol. 0, pages 257-284, November. [Downloadable!]
    42. Feridun, Mete, 2006. "Long-Run Relationship between Economic Growth and Stock Returns: An Empirical Investigation on Canada and the United States," MPRA Paper 737, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
    43. Francis X. Diebold & Lutz Kilian, 1997. "Measuring Predictability: Theory and Macroeconomic Applications," NBER Technical Working Papers 0213, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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    44. Butler, L, 1996. "The Bank of Canada's New Quarterly Porjection Model Part 4 : A Semi- Structural Method to Estimate Potential Output : Combining Economic Theory with a Time-Series Filter," Technical Reports 77, Bank of Canada. [Downloadable!]
    45. Elmar Mertens, 2005. "Puzzling Comovements between Output and Interest Rates? Multiple Shocks are the Answer," Working Papers 05.05, Swiss National Bank, Study Center Gerzensee. [Downloadable!]
    46. Dees, Stephane & Pesaran, Hashem & Smith, L. Vanessa & Smith, Ron P., 2008. "Identification of New Keynesian Phillips Curves from a Global Perspective," IZA Discussion Papers 3298, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA). [Downloadable!]
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    47. Morten O. Ravn & Harald Uhlig, 2001. "On Adjusting the HP-Filter for the Frequency of Observations," CESifo Working Paper Series CESifo Working Paper No. , CESifo Group Munich. [Downloadable!]
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    48. S. Adnan H. A. S., Bukhari & Safdar Ullah, Khan, 2008. "Estimating Output Gap for Pakistan Economy:Structural and Statistical Approaches," MPRA Paper 9736, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 20 Jun 2008. [Downloadable!]
    49. Janine Aron & John Muellbauer, 2008. "New methods for forecasting inflation and its sub-components: application to the USA," Economics Series Working Papers 406, University of Oxford, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
    50. Bob Hart & Jim Malley, 1999. "On the Cyclicality and Stability of Real Earnings," Working Papers 1999_13, Department of Economics, University of Glasgow. [Downloadable!]
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    51. Kapetanios, G., 1999. "Threshold Models for Trended Time Series," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 9905, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge. [Downloadable!]
    52. Frederic Dufourt, 2000. "Dynamic Properties of the New Neoclassical Synthesis Model of Business Cycle," Econometric Society World Congress 2000 Contributed Papers 0389, Econometric Society. [Downloadable!]
    53. Cook, S., 2004. "On the Detection of Business Cycles Asymmetry in 22 Countries, 1870-1994," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 4(1). [Downloadable!]
    54. Angelica E. Njuguna & Stephen N. Karingi & Mwangi S. Kimenyi, 2005. "Measuring Potential Output and Output Gap and Macroeconomic Policy: The Case of Kenya," Working papers 2005-45, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
    55. James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson, 1998. "Business Cycle Fluctuations in U.S. Macroeconomic Time Series," NBER Working Papers 6528, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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    56. de Silva, Ashton, 2007. "A multivariate innovations state space Beveridge Nelson decomposition," MPRA Paper 5431, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
    57. Carlos Enrique Carrasco Gutierrez & Fábio Augusto Reis Gomes, 2006. "Evidence About Mercosur’S Business Cycle," Anais do XXXIV Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 34th Brazilian Economics Meeting] 179, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pósgraduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics]. [Downloadable!]
    58. Richard Dennis, 1997. "A measure of monetary conditions," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series G97/1, Reserve Bank of New Zealand. [Downloadable!]
    59. Janine Aron & John Muellbauer, 2000. "Estimating Monetary Policy Rules for South Africa," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 89, Central Bank of Chile. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    60. Michael Artis & Toshihiro Okubo, 2008. "The Intranational Business Cycle: Evidence from Japan," Discussion Paper Series 221, Research Institute for Economics & Business Administration, Kobe University. [Downloadable!]
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    61. Jorg Scheibe, 2003. "The Chinese Output Gap During the Reform Period 1978-2002," Economics Series Working Papers 179, University of Oxford, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
    62. Francisco J. André & Javier J. Pérez, 2005. "Robust stylized facts on comovement for the Spanish economy," Applied Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 37(4), pages 453-462, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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    63. Simon van Norden, 2002. "Filtering for Current Analysis," Working Papers 02-28, Bank of Canada. [Downloadable!]
    64. Andrew Harvey, 2002. "Trends, Cycles and Convergence," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 155, Central Bank of Chile. [Downloadable!]
    65. Hart, Robert A. & Malley, James R. & Woitek, Ulrich, 2001. "Real Wages and the Cycle: The View from the Frequency Domain," IZA Discussion Papers 325, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA). [Downloadable!]
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    66. Klaus Weyerstraß, . "Methoden der Schätzung des gesamtwirtschaftlichen Produktionspotentials und der Produktionslücke," IWH Discussion Papers 142, Halle Institute for Economic Research. [Downloadable!]
    67. Gonzalo Llosa & Shirley Miller, 2005. "Using additional information in estimating the output gap in Peru: a multivariate unobserved component approach," Working Papers 2005-004, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú. [Downloadable!]
    68. Michael J. Dueker & Charles R. Nelson, 2003. "Business cycle detrending of macroeconomic data via a latent business cycle index," Working Papers 2002-025, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. [Downloadable!]
    69. Naci H. Mocan & Kudret Topyan, 1993. "Illicit Drug Use and Health: Analysis and Projections of New York City Birth Outcomes Using a Kalman Filter Model," NBER Working Papers 4359, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    70. Jesús Cuaresma & Ernest Gnan & Doris Ritzberger-Gruenwald, 2004. "Searching for the natural rate of interest: a euro area perspective," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 31(2), pages 185-204, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    71. Aaron Drew & Ben Hunt, 1998. "The Forecasting and Policy System: preparing economic projections," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series G98/7, Reserve Bank of New Zealand. [Downloadable!]
    72. Aaron Drew & Ben Hunt, 1998. "The Forecasting and Policy System: stochastic simulations of the core model," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series G98/6, Reserve Bank of New Zealand. [Downloadable!]
    73. Stephan Sauer & Jan-Egbert Sturm, 2003. "Using Taylor Rules to Understand ECB Monetary Policy," CESifo Working Paper Series CESifo Working Paper No. , CESifo Group Munich. [Downloadable!]
    74. Cayen, Jean-Philippe & van Norden, Simon, 2004. "The reliability of Canadian output gap estimates," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 2004,29, Deutsche Bundesbank, Research Centre. [Downloadable!]
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    75. Tommaso PROIETTI & Alberto MUSSO & Thomas WESTERMANN, 2002. "Estimating Potential Output and the Output Gap for the Euro Area: a Model-Based Production Function Approach," Economics Working Papers ECO2002/09, European University Institute. [Downloadable!]
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    76. Steven Cook, 2000. "An International Perspective on Asymmetries in Consumers' Expenditure," Empirica, Springer, vol. 27(3), pages 283-293, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    77. Martin Petri & Tahsin Saadi-Sedik, 2006. "To Smooth or Not to Smooth - The Impact of Grants and Remittances on the Equilibrium Real Exchange Rate in Jordan," IMF Working Papers 06/257, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
    78. Rodrigo Caputo, 2004. "Exchange Rates, Inflation and Monetary Policy Objectives in Open Economies: The Experience of Chile," Econometric Society 2004 Latin American Meetings 298, Econometric Society. [Downloadable!]
    79. Julia Darby & Robert A Hart & Michaela Vecchi, 1998. "Labour Force Participation and the Business Cycle: A Comparative Analysis of Europe, Japan and the United States," Working Papers 9802, Department of Economics, University of Glasgow. [Downloadable!]
    80. Alasdair Scott, 2000. "A multivariate unobserved components model of cyclical activity," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series DP2000/04, Reserve Bank of New Zealand. [Downloadable!]
    81. Dufourt, 2005. "Dynamic General Equilibrium Models and the Beveridge-Nelson Facts," Macroeconomics 0501003, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
    82. Vitek, Francis, 2006. "Monetary Policy Analysis in a Small Open Economy: A Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Approach," MPRA Paper 800, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
    83. Anthony Garratt & Kevin Lee & Emi Mise & Kalvinder Shields, 2006. "Real Time Representation of the UK Output Gap in the Presence of Trend Uncertainty," Birkbeck Working Papers in Economics and Finance 0618, Birkbeck, Department of Economics, Mathematics & Statistics. [Downloadable!]
    84. Luis Eduardo Arango & Carlos Esteban Posada, . "El Desempleo en Colombia," Borradores de Economia 176, Banco de la Republica de Colombia. [Downloadable!]
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    85. José Sánchez-fung, 2005. "Estimating a monetary policy reaction function for the dominican republic," International Economic Journal, Korean International Economic Association, vol. 19(4), pages 563-577, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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    86. Steven Cook, 2000. "Durability and Asymmetry in UK Consumers' Expenditure," International Review of Applied Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 14(1), pages 113-121, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    87. Paul Conway & Ben Hunt, 1997. "Estimating potential output: a semi-structural approach," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series G97/9, Reserve Bank of New Zealand. [Downloadable!]
    88. L Christopher Plantier & Ozer Karagedikli, 2005. "Do so-called multivariate filters have better revision properties? An empirical analysis," Computing in Economics and Finance 2005 250, Society for Computational Economics. [Downloadable!]
    89. Donald S. Allen, 1997. "Filtering permanent cycles with complex unit roots," Working Papers 1997-001, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. [Downloadable!]
    90. Lindor Esteban Martín Lucero, 2001. "Reseña:Indice de Producción Industrial y sus ciclos," Working Papers 70, FIEL. [Downloadable!]
    91. David Cobham & Peter Macmillan & David G. Mcmillan, 2004. "The inflation/output variability trade-off: further evidence," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 11(6), pages 347-350, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    92. Jesus Crespo Cuaresma & Ernest Gnan & Doris Ritzberger-Gruenwald, 2003. "Searching for the Natural Rate of Interest: A Euro-Area Perspective," Working Papers 84, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank). [Downloadable!]
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    93. Randal J. Verbrugge, 1998. "A cross-country investigation of macroeconomic asymmetries," Macroeconomics 9809017, EconWPA, revised 30 Sep 1998. [Downloadable!]
    94. Marco Gallegati & Mauro Gallegati, 2005. "Wavelet variance and correlation analyses of output in G7 countries," Macroeconomics 0512017, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
    95. Michael R. Pakko, 1997. "The cyclical relationship between output and prices: an analysis in the frequency domain," Working Papers 1997-007, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. [Downloadable!]
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    96. Kevin Nell, 2000. "Imported Inflation in South Africa: An Empirical Study," Studies in Economics 0005, Department of Economics, University of Kent. [Downloadable!]
    97. Gordon de Brouwer, 1998. "Estimating Output Gaps," RBA Research Discussion Papers rdp9809, Reserve Bank of Australia. [Downloadable!]
    98. Michael Artis & Toshihiro Okubo, 2009. "The UK Intranational Trade Cycle," SERC Discussion Papers 0019, Spatial Economics Research Centre, LSE. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    99. Rodríguez, Gabriel, 2009. "Using A Forward-Looking Phillips Curve to Estimate the Output Gap in Peru," Working Papers 2009-010, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú. [Downloadable!]
    100. Gabor Vadas & Zsolt Darvas, 2005. "Univariate Potential Output Estimations for Hungary," Macroeconomics 0512009, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
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    101. Karl Taylor & Robert McNabb, 2007. "Business Cycles and the Role of Confidence: Evidence for Europe," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 69(2), pages 185-208, 04. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
      Other versions:
    102. Harm Bandholz & Michael Funke, 2003. "Die Konstruktion und Schätzung eines Frühindikators für die Konjunkturentwicklung in der Freien und Hansestadt Hamburg," Quantitative Macroeconomics Working Papers 20305, Hamburg University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
    103. Hahn, Franz & Ruenstler, Gerhard, 1996. "Potential Output, the Natural Rate of Unemployment, and the Phillips Curve in a Multivariate Structural Time Series Framework," Economics Series 33, Institute for Advanced Studies. [Downloadable!]
    104. Andrew Rennison, 2003. "Comparing Alternative Output-Gap Estimators: A Monte Carlo Approach," Working Papers 03-8, Bank of Canada. [Downloadable!]
    105. Harvey, A. & Koopman, S.J., 1999. "Signal extraction and the formulation of unobserved components models," Discussion Paper 44, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research. [Downloadable!]
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    106. Julien GARNIER, 2003. "Has the Similarity of Business Cycles in Europe Increased with the Monetary Integration," Economics Working Papers ECO2003/12, European University Institute. [Downloadable!]
    107. Kichian, Maral, 1999. "Measuring Potential Output within a State-Space Framework," Working Papers 99-9, Bank of Canada. [Downloadable!]
    108. Loukoianova, E. & Vahey, S.P. & Elizabeth C. Wakerly, 2002. "A Real Time Tax Smoothing Based Fiscal Policy Rule," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 0235, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge. [Downloadable!]
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    109. Janine Aron, 2000. "Monetary Transmission and Policy Rules in South Africa," Econometric Society World Congress 2000 Contributed Papers 1627, Econometric Society. [Downloadable!]
    110. de Silva, Ashton, 2008. "Forecasting macroeconomic variables using a structural state space model," MPRA Paper 11060, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
    111. Lucas Navarro & Raimundo Soto, 2001. "Procyclical productivity : evidence from an emerging economy," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 109, Central Bank of Chile. [Downloadable!]
    112. Raimundo Soto & Raphael Bergoeing, 2002. "Testing Real Business Cycle Models in an Emerging Economy," Documentos de Trabajo 219, Instituto de Economía. Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile.. [Downloadable!]
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    113. Melisso Boschi & Alessandro Girardi, 2005. "Euro Area inflation: long-run determinants and short-run dynamics," ISAE Working Papers 60, ISAE - Institute for Studies and Economic Analyses - (Rome, ITALY). [Downloadable!]
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    114. Randal J. Verbrugge, 1998. "Local Complementarities and Aggregate Fluctuations," Macroeconomics 9809016, EconWPA, revised 30 Sep 1998. [Downloadable!]
    115. Ossama Mikhail & Curtis J. Eberwein & Jagdish Handa, 2003. "Testing and Estimating Persistence in Canadian Unemployment," Econometrics 0311004, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
    116. Javier J. Pérez & Jesús Rodríguez López & Carlos Usabiaga, 2002. "Análisis Dinámico de la Relación entre Ciclo Económico y Ciclo del Desempleo en Andalucía en Comparación con el Resto de España," Economic Working Papers at Centro de Estudios Andaluces E2002/07, Centro de Estudios Andaluces. [Downloadable!]
    117. Kenneth A. Froot & Paul G. J. O'Connell, 2003. "The Risk Tolerance of International Investors," NBER Working Papers 10157, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    118. Arturo Estrella, 2007. "Extracting business cycle fluctuations: what do time series filters really do?," Staff Reports 289, Federal Reserve Bank of New York. [Downloadable!]
    119. Ulrich Woitek, 1998. "A Note on the Baxter-King Filter," Working Papers 9813, Department of Economics, University of Glasgow. [Downloadable!]
    120. Heejoon Kang, 2006. "Inappropriate Detrending and Spurious Cointegration," Working Papers 2006-14, Indiana University, Kelley School of Business, Department of Business Economics and Public Policy. [Downloadable!]
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    121. Kevin S. Nell, 2000. "Is Low Inflation a Precondition for Faster Growth? The Case of South Africa," Studies in Economics 0011, Department of Economics, University of Kent. [Downloadable!]
    122. Giuseppe Parigi & Stefano Siviero, 2000. "An Investment-Function-Based Measure of Capacity Utilisation. Potential Output and Utilised Capacity in the Bank of Italy's Quarterly Model," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 367, Bank of Italy, Economic Research Department. [Downloadable!]
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    123. Harding, Don & Pagan, Adrian, 2001. "Extracting, Using and Analysing Cyclical Information," MPRA Paper 15, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
    124. Timothy Cogley, 1997. "Evaluating non-structural measures of the business cycle," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, pages 3-21. [Downloadable!]
    125. James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson, 2001. "Forecasting Output and Inflation: The Role of Asset Prices," NBER Working Papers 8180, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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    126. Regina Kaiser & Agustín Maravall, 2002. "A Complete Model-Based Interpretation of the Hodrick-Prescott Filter: Spuriousness Reconsidered," Banco de España Working Papers 0208, Banco de España. [Downloadable!]
    127. Vitek, Francis, 2006. "Measuring the Stance of Monetary Policy in a Closed Economy: A Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Approach," MPRA Paper 801, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
    128. Guay, A & St-Amant, P, 1996. "Do Mechanical Filters Provide a Good Approximation of Business Cycles?," Technical Reports 78, Bank of Canada. [Downloadable!]
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    129. Harm Bandholz & Michael Funke, 2001. "In Search of Leading Indicators of Economic Activity in Germany," CESifo Working Paper Series CESifo Working Paper No. , CESifo Group Munich. [Downloadable!]
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    130. Yin-wong Cheung & Jude Yuen, 2005. "An Output Perspective on a Northeast Asia Currency Union," Working Papers 162005, Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research. [Downloadable!]
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    131. David E. Giles & Chad N. Stroomer, 2004. "Identifying the Cycle of a Macroeconomic Time-Series Using Fuzzy Filtering," Econometrics Working Papers 0406, Department of Economics, University of Victoria. [Downloadable!]
    132. James Mitchell & Michael Massmann, 2004. "Reconsidering the evidence: are Eurozone business cycles converging?," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2003 67, Money Macro and Finance Research Group. [Downloadable!]
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    133. Peter Backé & Jarko Fidrmuc & Thomas Reininger & Franz Schardax, 2002. "Price Dynamics in Central and Eastern European EU Accession Countries," Working Papers 61, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank). [Downloadable!]
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    134. Yang-Woo Kim, 1996. "Are prices countercyclical? Evidence from East Asian countries," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, issue Sep, pages 69-82. [Downloadable!]
    135. Aaron Drew & Benjamin Hunt, 1999. "Efficient simple policy rules and the implications of potential output uncertainty," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series G99/5, Reserve Bank of New Zealand. [Downloadable!]
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    136. Muellbauer, John & Nunziata, Luca, 2001. "Credit, the Stock Market and Oil: Forecasting US GDP," CEPR Discussion Papers 2906, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    137. Alain Guay & Pierre St-Amant, 1997. "Do the Hodrick-Prescott and Baxter-King Filters Provide a Good Approximation of Business Cycles?," Cahiers de recherche CREFE / CREFE Working Papers 53, CREFE, Université du Québec à Montréal. [Downloadable!]
    138. Pacheco Jim�Nez, J.F., 2001. "Business cycles in small open economies: the case of Costa Rica," Working Papers - General Series 330, Institute of Social Studies. [Downloadable!]
    139. Stephen Millard & Andrew Scott & Marianne Sensier, . "Business cycles and the labour market can theory fit the facts?," Bank of England working papers 93, Bank of England. [Downloadable!]
    140. Joanne S. Ercolani, 2007. "Cyclical Trends in Continuous Time Models," Discussion Papers 07-13, Department of Economics, University of Birmingham. [Downloadable!]
    141. Amado Peiró, 2002. "Macroeconomic Synchronization Between G3 Countries," Working Papers. Serie EC 2002-16, Instituto Valenciano de Investigaciones Económicas, S.A. (Ivie). [Downloadable!]
    142. Siem Jan Koopman & André Lucas & Pieter Klaassen, 2002. "Pro-Cyclicality, Empirical Credit Cycles, and Capital Buffer Formation," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 02-107/2, Tinbergen Institute. [Downloadable!]
    143. Rodrigo Caputo, 2004. "Exchange Rates and Monetary Policy in Open Economies: The Experience of Chile in the Nineties," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 272, Central Bank of Chile. [Downloadable!]
    144. Nelson H Barbosa-Filho, 2005. "Estimating potential output: a survey of the alternative methods and their applications to Brazil," Macroeconomics 0503003, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
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    145. Víctor Gómez & Pilar Bengoechea, 2000. "Estimación del componente cíclico de las series económicas con filtros pasabanda," Investigaciones Economicas, Fundación SEPI, vol. 24(2), pages 473-485, May. [Downloadable!]
    146. Roberto Iannaccone & Edoardo Otranto, 2003. "Signal Extraction in Continuous Time and the Generalized Hodrick- Prescott Filter," Econometrics 0311002, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
    147. Lucas Navarro & Raimundo Soto, 2006. "Procyclical Productivity in Manufacturing," Cuadernos de Economía (Latin American Journal of Economics), Instituto de Economía. Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile., vol. 43(127), pages 193-220. [Downloadable!]
    148. Gonzalo Camba-Méndez & George Kapetanios, 2004. "Forecasting euro area inflation using dynamic factor measures of underlying inflation," Working Paper Series 402, European Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
    149. Silvia Sgherri, 2005. "Long-Run Productivity Shifts and Cyclical Fluctuations: Evidence for Italy," IMF Working Papers 05/228, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
    150. Tedds, Lindsay, 1998. "What Goes Up Must Come Down (But Not Necessarily at the Same Rate): Testing for Asymmetry in New Zealand Time Series," MPRA Paper 4214, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
    151. Maria-Helena A. Dias & Joilson Dias & Charles L. Evans, 2004. "Estimation Of The Cyclical Component Of Economic Time Series," Anais do XXXII Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 32th Brazilian Economics Meeting] 104, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pósgraduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics]. [Downloadable!]
    152. Valle e Azevedo, João, 2007. "Interpretation of the Effects of Filtering Integrated Time Series," MPRA Paper 6574, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
    153. Siem Jan Koopman & Kai Ming Lee, 2005. "Measuring Asymmetric Stochastic Cycle Components in U.S. Macroeconomic Time Series," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 05-081/4, Tinbergen Institute. [Downloadable!]
    154. Amado Peiró, 2000. "Economic Comovements In European Countries," Working Papers. Serie EC 2000-19, Instituto Valenciano de Investigaciones Económicas, S.A. (Ivie). [Downloadable!]
    155. Filippo Altissimo & Domenico J. Marchetti & Gian Paolo Oneto, 2000. "The Italian Business Cycle; Coincident and Leading Indicators and Some Stylized Facts," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 377, Bank of Italy, Economic Research Department. [Downloadable!]
    156. Christophe Planas & Alessandro Rossi & Gabriele Fiorentini, 2008. "The marginal likelihood of Structural Time Series Models, with application to the euroareaa nd US NAIRU," Working Paper Series 21-08, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis, revised Jan 2008. [Downloadable!]
    157. Steven Cook, 1999. "Cyclicality and Durability: Evidence from U.S. Consumers' Expediture," Journal of Applied Economics, Universidad del CEMA, vol. 0, pages 299-310, November. [Downloadable!]
    158. Moisa Altar & Ciprian Necula & Gabriel Bobeica, 2009. "A Robust Assessment of the Romanian Business Cycle," Advances in Economic and Financial Research - DOFIN Working Paper Series 28, Bucharest University of Economics, Center for Advanced Research in Finance and Banking - CARFIB. [Downloadable!]
    159. Vitek, Francis, 2006. "Monetary Policy Analysis in a Closed Economy: A Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Approach," MPRA Paper 797, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
    160. Paul Conway & Ben Hunt, 1998. "Estimating the potential output of the New Zealand economy," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Bulletin, Reserve Bank of New Zealand, vol. 61, September. [Downloadable!]
    161. Matteo M. Pelagatti, 2005. "Business cycle and sector cycles," Econometrics 0503006, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
    162. Iris Claus, 1999. "Estimating potential output for New Zealand: a structural VAR approach," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series DP2000/03, Reserve Bank of New Zealand. [Downloadable!]
    163. Gebhard Flaig, 2002. "Unoberserved Components Models for Quarterly German GDP," CESifo Working Paper Series CESifo Working Paper No. , CESifo Group Munich. [Downloadable!]
    164. Gonzalo Llosa/Shirley Miller, 2004. "Using additional information in estimating output gap in Peru: a multivariate unobserved component approach," Econometric Society 2004 Latin American Meetings 243, Econometric Society. [Downloadable!]
    165. Paul Conway & David Frame, 2000. "A spectral analysis of New Zealand output gaps using Fourier and wavelet techniques," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series DP2000/06, Reserve Bank of New Zealand. [Downloadable!]
    166. Martin Keene & Peter Thomson, 2007. "An Analysis of Tax Revenue Forecast Errors," Treasury Working Paper Series 07/02, New Zealand Treasury. [Downloadable!]
    167. Jean-Philippe Cayen & Simon van Norden, 2002. "La fiabilité des estimations de l'écart de production au Canada," Working Papers 02-10, Bank of Canada. [Downloadable!]
    168. Klaus Reiner Schenk-Hoppé, . "Economic Growth and Business Cycles: A Critical Comment on Detrending Time Series (Revised Version)," IEW - Working Papers iewwp054, Institute for Empirical Research in Economics - IEW. [Downloadable!]
    169. Jim Malley & Robert A Hart & Ulrich Woitek, 2003. "Manufacturing Earnings and Cycles: New Evidence," Working Papers 2002_16, Department of Economics, University of Glasgow. [Downloadable!]
    170. Andrea Bassanini & Stefano Scarpetta & Ignazio Visco, 2000. "Knowledge technology and economic growth: recent evidence from OECD countries," Research series 200005-2, National Bank of Belgium. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    171. Celsa Machado, 2001. "Measuring Business Cycles: The Real Business Cycle Approach and Related Controversies," FEP Working Papers 107, Universidade do Porto, Faculdade de Economia do Porto. [Downloadable!]
    172. Alvaro Angeriz & Philip Arestis, 2007. "Assessing Inflation Targeting Through Intervention Analysis," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2006 87, Money Macro and Finance Research Group. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    173. Rodrigo Caputo, 2004. "External Shocks and Monetary Policy: Does it Pay to Respond to Exchange Rate Deviations?," Econometric Society 2004 Australasian Meetings 300, Econometric Society. [Downloadable!]
    174. Siem Jan Koopman & Soon Yip Wong, 2006. "Extracting Business Cycles using Semi-parametric Time-varying Spectra with Applications to US Macroeconomic Time Series," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 06-105/4, Tinbergen Institute. [Downloadable!]
    175. Mark Schweitzer & David Tinsley, . "The UK labour force participation rate: business cycle and trend influences," Bank of England working papers 228, Bank of England. [Downloadable!]
    176. Rob Luginbuhl & Siem Jan Koopman, 2003. "Convergence in European GDP Series," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 03-031/4, Tinbergen Institute. [Downloadable!]
    177. Odile Chagny & Jörg Döpke, 2001. "Measures of the Output Gap in the Euro-Zone: An Empirical Assessment of Selected Methods," Kiel Working Papers 1053, Kiel Institute for the World Economy. [Downloadable!]
    178. Olivier Darné & Amélie Charles, 2008. "The impact of outliers on transitory and permanent components in macroeconomic time series," Economics Bulletin, Economics Bulletin, vol. 3(60), pages 1-9. [Downloadable!]
    179. Barot, Bharat, 2002. "Growth and Business Cycles for the Swedish Economy 1963-1999," Working Paper 79, National Institute of Economic Research.
      Other versions:
    180. Tahsin Saadi-Sedik & Joannes Mongardini, 2003. "Estimating Indexes of Coincident and Leading Indicators: An Application to Jordan," IMF Working Papers 03/170, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
    181. Carmine Trecroci & Juan Luis Vega-Croissier, 2000. "The information content of M3 for future inflation," Working Paper Series 33, European Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
    182. Steven Cook & Alan Speight, 2005. "A deeper look at asymmetries in UK consumers’ expenditure: the nonparametric analysis of 100 disaggregates," Applied Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 37(8), pages 893-900, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    183. Tatiana Cesaroni & Carmine Pappalardo, 2008. "Long run and short run dynamics in italian manufacturing labour productivity," Economics Bulletin, Economics Bulletin, vol. 3(15), pages 1-11. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    184. Kaloyan Ganev, 2004. "Statistical estimates of the deviations from the macroeconomic potential. An application to the economy of Bulgaria," Macroeconomics 0409010, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
    185. Gebhard Flaig, 2003. "Time Series Properties of the German Monthly Production Index," CESifo Working Paper Series CESifo Working Paper No. , CESifo Group Munich. [Downloadable!]
    186. Chantal Dupasquier & Alain Guay & Pierre St-Amant, 1997. "A Comparison of Alternative Methodologies for Estimating Potential Output and the Output Gap," Working Papers 97-5, Bank of Canada. [Downloadable!]
    187. Jesus Crespo-Cuaremsa & Ernest Gnan & Doris Ritzberger-Gruenwald, 2003. "Searching for the natural rate of interest: a euro area perspective," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Monetary policy in a changing environment, volume 19, pages 60-80 Bank for International Settlements. [Downloadable!]
    188. Joao Valle e Azevedo & Siem Jan Koopman & Antonio Rua, 2003. "Tracking Growth and the Business Cycle: a Stochastic Common Cycle Model for the Euro Area," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 03-069/4, Tinbergen Institute. [Downloadable!]

  27. Harvey, Andrew C & Koopman, Siem Jan, 1992. "Diagnostic Checking of Unobserved-Components Time Series Models," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 10(4), pages 377-89, October.

    Cited by:

    1. Michael ARTIS & Massimiliano MARCELLINO & Tommaso PROIETTI, 2002. "Dating the Euro Area Business Cycle," Economics Working Papers ECO2002/24, European University Institute. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    2. Sérgio Kannebley Júnior & Amaury Patrick Gremaud & Ricardo de Almeida Rennó, 2001. "A Tendência Secular dos Termos de Troca Brasileiros Revisitida - 1850 a 2000," Anais do XXIX Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 29th Brazilian Economics Meeting] 018, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pósgraduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics]. [Downloadable!]
    3. Michael Artis & Massimiliano Marcellino & Tommaso Proietti, 2004. "Characterising the Business Cycle for Accession Countries," Econometrics 0403006, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    4. Claudio Morana, 2000. "Measuring core inflation in the Euro area," Working Paper Series 36, European Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
    5. Marius Ooms & Björn de Groot & Siem Jan Koopman, 1999. "Time-Series Modelling of Daily Tax Revenues," Computing in Economics and Finance 1999 312, Society for Computational Economics. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    6. P. A. Scuffham, 2003. "Economic factors and traffic crashes in New Zealand," Applied Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 35(2), pages 179-188, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    7. Gilles Teyssière, 2005. "Structural time series modelling with STAMP 6.02," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 20(4), pages 571-577. [Downloadable!]
    8. Arvid Raknerud, Terje Skjerpen and Anders Rygh Swensen, 2003. "A linear demand system within a Seemingly Unrelated Time Series Equation framework," Discussion Papers 345, Research Department of Statistics Norway. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    9. S.J. Koopman & P.H.B.F. Franses, 2001. "Constructing seasonally adjusted data with time-varying confidence intervals," Econometric Institute Report 210, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    10. Koopman, S.J. & Shephard, N. & Doornik, J.A., 1998. "Statistical algorithms for models in state space using ssfpack 2.2," Discussion Paper 141, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    11. Hahn, Franz & Ruenstler, Gerhard, 1996. "Potential Output, the Natural Rate of Unemployment, and the Phillips Curve in a Multivariate Structural Time Series Framework," Economics Series 33, Institute for Advanced Studies. [Downloadable!]
    12. Lester C Hunt & Guy Judge & Yasushi Ninomiya, 2003. "Modelling Underlying Energy Demand Trends," Surrey Energy Economics Centre (SEEC), Department of Economics Discussion Papers (SEEDS) 105, Surrey Energy Economics Centre (SEEC), Department of Economics, University of Surrey. [Downloadable!]
    13. William Barnett & Philippe de Peretti, 2009. "Admissible Clustering of Aggregator Components: A Necessary and Sufficient Stochastic Semi-Nonparametric Test for Weak Separability," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS 200904, University of Kansas, Department of Economics, revised Jan 2009. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    14. M. Ooms & J.A. Doornik, 1999. "Inference and forecasting for fractional autoregressive integrated moving average models; with an application to US and UK inflation," Econometric Institute Report 171, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    15. John Dimitropoulos & Lester C. Hunt & Guy Judge, 2005. "Estimating underlying energy demand trends using UK annual data," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 12(4), pages 239-244, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
      Other versions:
    16. Majid Ahmadian & Mona Chitnis & Lester C. Hunt, 2007. "Gasoline Demand, Pricing Policy and Social Welfare in Iran," Surrey Energy Economics Centre (SEEC), Department of Economics Discussion Papers (SEEDS) 117, Surrey Energy Economics Centre (SEEC), Department of Economics, University of Surrey. [Downloadable!]
    17. Georges Prat & Remzi Uctum, 2008. "The dynamics of ex-ante risk premia in the foreign exchange market: Evidence from the yen/usd exchange rate Using survey data," EconomiX Working Papers 2008-2, University of Paris West - Nanterre la Défense, EconomiX. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    18. Mark W. French, 2001. "Estimating changes in trend growth of total factor productivity: Kalman and H-P filters versus a Markov-switching framework," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2001-44, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.). [Downloadable!]
    19. Jalles, Joao Tovar, 2009. "Structural Time Series Models and the Kalman Filter: a concise review," FEUNL Working Paper Series wp541, Universidade Nova de Lisboa, Faculdade de Economia. [Downloadable!]
    20. Mark T. Hon & Soo-Keong Yong, 2004. "The price of owning a car: an analysis of auction quota premium in Singapore," Applied Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 36(7), pages 739-751, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    21. Steffen Henzel, 2008. "Learning Trend Inflation – Can Signal Extraction Explain Survey Forecasts?," Ifo Working Paper Series Ifo Working Paper No. 55, Ifo Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich. [Downloadable!]
    22. Carmen Broto & Esther Ruiz, 2008. "Testing for conditional heteroscedasticity in the components of inflation," Banco de España Working Papers 0812, Banco de España. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:

  28. Harvey, Andrew & Ruiz, Esther & Sentana, Enrique, 1992. "Unobserved component time series models with Arch disturbances," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 52(1-2), pages 129-157. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

    Cited by:

    1. Enrique Sentana & Giorgio Calzolari & Gabriele Fiorentini, 2004. "Indirect Estimation Of Conditionally Heteroskedastic Factor Models," Working Papers wp2004_0409, CEMFI. [Downloadable!]
    2. Gabriele Fiorentini & Giorgio Calzolari, 1997. "-A Tobit Model With Garch Errors," Working Papers. Serie AD 1997-13, Instituto Valenciano de Investigaciones Económicas, S.A. (Ivie). [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    3. Blake LeBaron, . "Technical Trading Rules and Regime Shifts in Foreign Exchange," Working papers _007, University of Wisconsin - Madison. [Downloadable!]
    4. Drew Creal & Siem Jan Koopman & André Lucas, 2008. "A General Framework for Observation Driven Time-Varying Parameter Models," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 08-108/4, Tinbergen Institute. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    5. Rossi, Eduardo & Spazzini, Filippo, 2008. "Model and distribution uncertainty in multivariate GARCH estimation: a Monte Carlo analysis," MPRA Paper 12260, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
    6. Chang-jin Kim & N. Kundan Kishor & Charles R Nelson, 2006. "A Time-Varying Parameter Model for a Forward-Looking Monetary Policy Rule Based on Real-Time Data," Working Papers UWEC-2007-32, University of Washington, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
    7. J Keith Ord & Ralph D Snyder & Anne B Koehler & Rob J Hyndman & Mark Leeds, 2005. "Time Series Forecasting: The Case for the Single Source of Error State Space," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 7/05, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics. [Downloadable!]
    8. James D. Hamilton, 2008. "Macroeconomics and ARCH," NBER Working Papers 14151, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    9. Tim Bollerslev, 2008. "Glossary to ARCH (GARCH)," CREATES Research Papers 2008-49, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus. [Downloadable!]
    10. Robert F. Engle & Neil Shephard & Kevin Sheppard, 2008. "Fitting vast dimensional time-varying covariance models," Economics Series Working Papers 403, University of Oxford, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    11. Nour Meddahi & Éric Renault, 2000. "Temporal Aggregation of Volatility Models," CIRANO Working Papers 2000s-22, CIRANO. [Downloadable!]
    12. Michel Normandin, 1999. "The Integration of Financial Markets and the Conduct of Monetary Policies: The Case of Canada and the United States," Cahiers de recherche CREFE / CREFE Working Papers 67, CREFE, Université du Québec à Montréal. [Downloadable!]
    13. Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Peter F. Christoffersen & Francis X. Diebold, 2005. "Practical Volatility and Correlation Modeling for Financial Market Risk Management," CFS Working Paper Series 2005/02, Center for Financial Studies. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    14. Toni Gravelle & James C. Morley, 2005. "A Kalman filter approach to characterizing the Canadian term structure of interest rates," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 15(10), pages 691-705, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    15. Cecilia Frale & David Veredas, 2008. "A Monthly Volatility Index for the US Economy," ECARES Working Papers 2008_008, Université Libre de Bruxelles, Ecares. [Downloadable!]
    16. M. Hashem Pesaran & Christoph Schleicher & Paolo Zaffaroni, 2008. "Model Averaging in Risk Management with an Application to Futures Markets," CESifo Working Paper Series CESifo Working Paper No. , CESifo Group Munich. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    17. Christian Pierdzioch & Andrea Schertler, 2007. "Sources of Predictability of European Stock Markets for High-technology Firms," European Journal of Finance, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 13(1), pages 1-27, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    18. Gabriele Fiorentini & Enrique Sentana & Neil Shephard, 2003. "Likelihood-Based Estimation Of Latent Generalised Arch Structures," Working Papers. Serie AD 2003-06, Instituto Valenciano de Investigaciones Económicas, S.A. (Ivie). [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    19. Carmen Broto, 2008. "Inflation targeting in Latin America: Empirical analysis using GARCH models," Banco de España Working Papers 0826, Banco de España. [Downloadable!]
    20. Mervyn King & Enrique Sentana & Sushil Wadhwani, 1990. "Volatiltiy and Links Between National Stock Markets," NBER Working Papers 3357, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
      Other versions:
    21. Charles S. Bos & Neil Shephard, 2004. "Inference for Adaptive Time Series Models: Stochastic Volatility and Conditionally Gaussian State Space Form," Economics Papers 2004-W02, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    22. Elcyon Caiado Rocha Lima, 2003. "The NAIRU, Unemployment and the Rate of Inflation in Brazil," Revista Brasileira de Economia, Graduate School of Economics, Getulio Vargas Foundation (Brazil), vol. 57(4), April. [Downloadable!]
    23. M. Hashem Pesaran & Paolo Zaffaroni, 2004. "Model Averaging and Value-at-Risk Based Evaluation of Large Multi Asset Volatility Models for Risk Management," CESifo Working Paper Series CESifo Working Paper No. , CESifo Group Munich. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    24. Silvia Sgherri & Tamim Bayoumi, 2004. "Monetary Magic? How the Fed Improved the Supply Side of the Economy," Econometric Society 2004 Far Eastern Meetings 422, Econometric Society. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    25. Marc Saez Zafra & Jorge V. Pérez Rodríguez, 1994. "Modelos autorregresivos para la varianza condicionada heteroscedastica (ARCH)," Estudios de Economía Aplicada, Estudios de Economía Aplicada, vol. 2, pages 71-106, Diciembre. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    26. Diana Zhumabekova & Mardi Dungey, 2001. "Factor analysis of a model of stock market returns using simulation-based estimation techniques," Pacific Basin Working Paper Series 01-08, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco. [Downloadable!]
    27. Kichian, Maral, 1999. "Measuring Potential Output within a State-Space Framework," Working Papers 99-9, Bank of Canada. [Downloadable!]
    28. andrés M. Alonso & Carolina Garcia-Martos & Julio Rodriguez & Maria Jesus Sanchez, 2008. "Seasonal dynamic factor analysis and bootstrap inference : application to electricity market forecasting," Statistics and Econometrics Working Papers ws081406, Universidad Carlos III, Departamento de Estadística y Econometría. [Downloadable!]
    29. Luca Benati, . "Affine term structure models for the foreign exchange risk premium," Bank of England working papers 291, Bank of England. [Downloadable!]
    30. Yue Fang, 2000. "When Should Time be Continuous? Volatility Modeling and Estimation of High-Frequency Data," Econometric Society World Congress 2000 Contributed Papers 0843, Econometric Society. [Downloadable!]
    31. Francis Vitek, 2002. "An Empirical Analysis of Dynamic Interrelationships Among Inflation, Inflation Uncertainty, Relative Price Dispersion, and Output Growth," Working Papers 02-39, Bank of Canada. [Downloadable!]
    32. L. Pozzi, 2005. "Income uncertainty and aggregate consumption," Research series 200511-2, National Bank of Belgium. [Downloadable!]
    33. Silvia Sgherri & Tamim Bayoumi, 2004. "Monetary Magic? How the Fed Improved the Flexibility of the U.S. Economy," IMF Working Papers 04/24, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
    34. Mohamed Saidane & Christian Lavergne, 2007. "A structured variational learning approach for switching latent factor models," AStA Advances in Statistical Analysis, Springer, vol. 91(3), pages 245-268, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    35. Lorenzo Pozzi, 2007. "Idiosyncratic Labour Income Risk and Aggregate Consumption: an Unobserved Component Approach," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 07-069/2, Tinbergen Institute. [Downloadable!]
    36. Francis X. Diebold & Jose A. Lopez, 1995. "Measuring Volatility Dynamics," NBER Technical Working Papers 0173, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    37. Wen-Ling Lin & Robert F. Engle & Takatoshi Ito, 1991. "Do Bulls and Bears Move Across Borders? International Transmission of Stock Returns and Volatility as the World Turns," NBER Working Papers 3911, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
      Other versions:
    38. Michael K Pitt & Neil Shephard, . "Filtering via simulation: auxiliary particle filters," Economics Papers 1997-W13, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford. [Downloadable!]
    39. Pitt, Michael K, 2002. "Smooth Particle Filters for Likelihood Evaluation and Maximisation," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 651, University of Warwick, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
    40. Michel Normandin, 2003. "Canadian and U.S. Financial Markets: Testing the International Integration Hypothesis Under Time-Varying Conditional Volatility," Cahiers de recherche 03-08, HEC Montréal, Institut d'économie appliquée. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    41. PASCUAL, Roberto & VEREDAS, David, 2006. "Does the open limit order book matter in explaining long run volatility ?," CORE Discussion Papers 2006110, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE). [Downloadable!]
    42. Carmen Broto & Esther Ruiz, 2008. "Testing for conditional heteroscedasticity in the components of inflation," Banco de España Working Papers 0812, Banco de España. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    43. Lucia Alessi & Matteo Barigozzi & Marco Capasso, 2006. "Dynamic Factor GARCH: Multivariate Volatility Forecast for a Large Number of Series," LEM Papers Series 2006/25, Laboratory of Economics and Management (LEM), Sant'Anna School of Advanced Studies, Pisa, Italy. [Downloadable!]

  29. Harvey, Andrew C & Marshall, Pablo, 1991. "Inter-fuel Substitution, Technical Change and the Demand for Energy in the UK Economy," Applied Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 23(6), pages 1077-86, June.

    Cited by:

    1. Charles Perrings & David Stern, 2000. "Modelling Loss of Resilience in Agroecosystems: Rangelands in Botswana," Environmental & Resource Economics, European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 16(2), pages 185-210, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    2. David I. Stern, 2005. "The Effect of NAFTA on Energy and Environmental Efficiency in Mexico," Rensselaer Working Papers in Economics 0511, Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
    3. Kurt Kratena & Michael Wüger, 2008. "Combining a Demand System with the Household Production Approach. Modelling Energy Demand in Selected European Countries," WIFO Working Papers 311, WIFO. [Downloadable!]
    4. David I. Stern, 2004. "Diffusion of Emissions Abating Technology," Rensselaer Working Papers in Economics 0420, Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
    5. Kurt Kratena & Michael Wüger, 2003. "The Role of Technology in Interfuel Substitution: A Combined Cross-Section and Time Series Approach," WIFO Working Papers 204, WIFO. [Downloadable!]

  30. Harvey, Andrew & Snyder, Ralph D., 1990. "Structural time series models in inventory control," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 6(2), pages 187-198, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

    Cited by:

    1. K. Triantafyllopoulos, 2008. "Multivariate stochastic volatility with Bayesian dynamic linear models," Quantitative Finance Papers 0802.0214, arXiv.org. [Do