The purchasing power parity puzzle relates to the adjustment of real exchange rates. Real exchange rates are extremely volatile, suggesting that temporary shocks emanate from the monetary sector. But the half-life of real exchange rate deviations is extremely large -- 2.5 to 5 years. This half-life seems too large to be explained by the slow adjustment of nominal prices. We offer a different interpretation. We maintain that nominal exchange rates and prices need not converge at the same rate, as is implicit in rational-expectations sticky-price models of the exchange rate. Evidence from an unobserved components model for nominal prices and nominal exchange rates that imposes relative purchasing power parity in the long run indicates that nominal exchange rates converge much more slowly than nominal prices. The real puzzle is why nominal exchange rates converge so slowly.
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Paper provided by National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc in its series NBER Working Papers with number
8550.
Length: Date of creation: Oct 2001 Date of revision: Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:8550
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Find related papers by JEL classification: F3 - International Economics - - International Finance F4 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance
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References listed on IDEAS Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
Maurice Obstfeld & Alan C. Stockman, 1985.
"Exchange-Rate Dynamics,"
NBER Working Papers
1230, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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Other versions:
Obstfeld, Maurice & Stockman, Alan C., 1985.
"Exchange-rate dynamics,"
Handbook of International Economics,
in: R. W. Jones & P. B. Kenen (ed.), Handbook of International Economics, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 18, pages 917-977
Elsevier.
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