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Stationarity Tests Under Time-Varying Second Moments

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Author Info
Cavaliere, Giuseppe
Taylor, A.M. Robert

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Abstract

in this paper we analyze the effects of a very general class of time-varying variances on well-known stationarity tests of the i(0) null hypothesis. our setup allows, among other things, for both single and multiple breaks in variance, smooth transition variance breaks, and (piecewise-) linear trending variances. we derive representations for the limiting distributions of the test statistics under variance breaks in the errors of i(0), i(1), and near-i(1) data generating processes, demonstrating the dependence of these representations on the precise pattern followed by the variance processes. monte carlo methods are used to quantify the effects of fixed and smooth transition single breaks and trending variances on the size and power properties of the tests. finally, bootstrap versions of the tests are proposed that provide a solution to the inference problem.we are grateful to peter phillips, a co-editor, and two anonymous referees whose comments on an earlier draft have led to a considerable improvement in the paper.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by Cambridge University Press in its journal Econometric Theory.

Volume (Year): 21 (2005)
Issue (Month): 06 (December)
Pages: 1112-1129
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Handle: RePEc:cup:etheor:v:21:y:2005:i:06:p:1112-1129_05

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  1. Giuseppe Cavaliere & David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & A.M. Robert Taylor, 2008. "Testing for Unit Roots in the Presence of a Possible Break in Trend and Non-Stationary Volatility," CREATES Research Papers 2008-62, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus. [Downloadable!]
  2. Busettti, F. & Harvey, A., 2007. "Tests of time-invariance," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 0657, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  3. Giuseppe Cavaliere & Anders Rahbek & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2008. "Testing for Co-integration in Vector Autoregressions with Non-Stationary Volatility," Discussion Papers 08-34, University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  4. Charles S. Bos & Siem Jan Koopman & Marius Ooms, 2007. "Long memory modelling of inflation with stochastic variance and structural breaks," CREATES Research Papers 2007-44, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
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