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Estimating the Price and Income Elasticities of Crude Oil Import Demand for Turkey

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  • Ismail Kavaz

    (Department of Economics, Bingol University, Turkey.)

Abstract

In this study, the price and income elasticities of Turkey's imported crude oil demand are analysed. In this context, annual time series data covering the period 1970-2018 are preferred for imported crude oil, real price for crude oil and real GDP. As known, Turkey is an energy dependent country especially in fossil fuels. Therefore, estimating Turkey's crude oil demand equations is very significant to analyse the consumption trend and the future expectations in terms of this energy resource. This study employs Harvey's Structural Time Series Modelling Method (STSM) with the underlying energy demand trend (UEDT) concept for determining the relations among income, price and crude oil import demand. The empirical results show that the income and price elasticities of crude oil demand in Turkey are 0.66 and -0.11, respectively. The estimated elasticities suggest that income and price elasticities for the imported crude oil demand are inelastic.

Suggested Citation

  • Ismail Kavaz, 2020. "Estimating the Price and Income Elasticities of Crude Oil Import Demand for Turkey," International Econometric Review (IER), Econometric Research Association, vol. 12(2), pages 98-111, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:erh:journl:v:12:y:2020:i:2:p:98-111
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Crude Oil Import Demand; Elasticity Estimates; Turkey;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • Q41 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Demand and Supply; Prices

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