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Indirect estimation of large conditionally heteroskedastic factor models, with an application to the Dow 30 stocks

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Author Info
Sentana, Enrique
Calzolari, Giorgio
Fiorentini, Gabriele

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Abstract

We derive indirect estimators of conditionally heteroskedastic factor models in which the volatilities of common and idiosyncratic factors depend on their past unobserved values by calibrating the score of a Kalman-filter approximation with inequality constraints on the auxiliary model parameters. We also propose alternative indirect estimators for large-scale models, and explain how to apply our procedures to many other dynamic latent variable models. We analyse the small sample behaviour of our indirect estimators and several likelihood-based procedures through an extensive Monte Carlo experiment with empirically realistic designs. Finally, we apply our procedures to weekly returns on the Dow 30 stocks.

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File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/B6VC0-4SVC5S9-1/2/9cedd544ffc97df93e6b4ec11d7279e0
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Publisher Info
Article provided by Elsevier in its journal Journal of Econometrics.

Volume (Year): 146 (2008)
Issue (Month): 1 (September)
Pages: 10-25
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Handle: RePEc:eee:econom:v:146:y:2008:i:1:p:10-25

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Web page: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/jeconom

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Related research
Keywords: ARCH Idiosyncratic risk Inequality constraints Kalman filter Sequential estimators Simulation estimators Volatility;

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