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Nonparametric density estimation for positive time series

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  • Bouezmarni, Taoufik
  • Rombouts, Jeroen V.K.

Abstract

The Gaussian kernel density estimator is known to have substantial problems for bounded random variables with high density at the boundaries. For independent and identically distributed data, several solutions have been put forward to solve this boundary problem. In this paper, we propose the gamma kernel estimator as a density estimator for positive time series data from a stationary [alpha]-mixing process. We derive the mean (integrated) squared error and asymptotic normality. In a Monte Carlo simulation, we generate data from an autoregressive conditional duration model and a stochastic volatility model. We study the local and global behavior of the estimator and we find that the gamma kernel estimator outperforms the local linear density estimator and the Gaussian kernel estimator based on log-transformed data. We also illustrate the good performance of the h-block cross-validation method as a bandwidth selection procedure. An application to data from financial transaction durations and realized volatility is provided.

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  • Bouezmarni, Taoufik & Rombouts, Jeroen V.K., 2010. "Nonparametric density estimation for positive time series," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 54(2), pages 245-261, February.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:csdana:v:54:y:2010:i:2:p:245-261
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    JEL classification:

    • C41 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Duration Analysis; Optimal Timing Strategies
    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models

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