IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/aah/create/2008-35.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Bias-reduced estimation of long memory stochastic volatility

Author

Listed:
  • Per Frederiksen
  • Morten Ørregaard Nielsen

    (School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus, Denmark and CREATES)

Abstract

We propose to use a variant of the local polynomial Whittle estimator to estimate the memory parameter in volatility for long memory stochastic volatility models with potential nonstation- arity in the volatility process. We show that the estimator is asymptotically normal and capable of obtaining bias reduction as well as a rate of convergence arbitrarily close to the parametric rate, n1=2. A Monte Carlo study is conducted to support the theoretical results, and an analysis of daily exchange rates demonstrates the empirical usefulness of the estimators

Suggested Citation

  • Per Frederiksen & Morten Ørregaard Nielsen, 2008. "Bias-reduced estimation of long memory stochastic volatility," CREATES Research Papers 2008-35, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
  • Handle: RePEc:aah:create:2008-35
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://repec.econ.au.dk/repec/creates/rp/08/rp08_35.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    Other versions of this item:

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Sun, Yixiao & Phillips, Peter C. B., 2003. "Nonlinear log-periodogram regression for perturbed fractional processes," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 115(2), pages 355-389, August.
    2. Andersen T. G & Bollerslev T. & Diebold F. X & Labys P., 2001. "The Distribution of Realized Exchange Rate Volatility," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 96, pages 42-55, March.
    3. Fabienne Comte & Eric Renault, 1998. "Long memory in continuous‐time stochastic volatility models," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 8(4), pages 291-323, October.
    4. Ray, Bonnie K & Tsay, Ruey S, 2000. "Long-Range Dependence in Daily Stock Volatilities," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 18(2), pages 254-262, April.
    5. Clifford M. Hurvich & Eric Moulines & Philippe Soulier, 2005. "Estimating Long Memory in Volatility," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 73(4), pages 1283-1328, July.
    6. Baillie, Richard T. & Bollerslev, Tim & Mikkelsen, Hans Ole, 1996. "Fractionally integrated generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 74(1), pages 3-30, September.
    7. Ghysels, E. & Harvey, A. & Renault, E., 1995. "Stochastic Volatility," Papers 95.400, Toulouse - GREMAQ.
    8. Ding, Zhuanxin & Granger, Clive W. J. & Engle, Robert F., 1993. "A long memory property of stock market returns and a new model," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 1(1), pages 83-106, June.
    9. Frederiksen, Per & Nielsen, Frank S. & Nielsen, Morten Ørregaard, 2012. "Local polynomial Whittle estimation of perturbed fractional processes," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 167(2), pages 426-447.
    10. Haldrup, Niels & Nielsen, Morten Orregaard, 2007. "Estimation of fractional integration in the presence of data noise," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 51(6), pages 3100-3114, March.
    11. Deo, Rohit S. & Hurvich, Clifford M., 2001. "On The Log Periodogram Regression Estimator Of The Memory Parameter In Long Memory Stochastic Volatility Models," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 17(4), pages 686-710, August.
    12. Bollerslev, Tim & Ole Mikkelsen, Hans, 1996. "Modeling and pricing long memory in stock market volatility," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 73(1), pages 151-184, July.
    13. Breidt, F. Jay & Crato, Nuno & de Lima, Pedro, 1998. "The detection and estimation of long memory in stochastic volatility," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 83(1-2), pages 325-348.
    14. Andersen, Torben G. & Bollerslev, Tim & Diebold, Francis X. & Ebens, Heiko, 2001. "The distribution of realized stock return volatility," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 61(1), pages 43-76, July.
    15. Donald W. K. Andrews & Yixiao Sun, 2004. "Adaptive Local Polynomial Whittle Estimation of Long-range Dependence," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 72(2), pages 569-614, March.
    16. Arteche, Josu, 2004. "Gaussian semiparametric estimation in long memory in stochastic volatility and signal plus noise models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 119(1), pages 131-154, March.
    17. Clifford M. Hurvich & Bonnie K. Ray, 1995. "Estimation Of The Memory Parameter For Nonstationary Or Noninvertible Fractionally Integrated Processes," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 16(1), pages 17-41, January.
    18. Clifford M. Hurvich & Bonnie K. Ray, 2003. "The Local Whittle Estimator of Long-Memory Stochastic Volatility," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 1(3), pages 445-470.
    19. Baillie, Richard T., 1996. "Long memory processes and fractional integration in econometrics," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 73(1), pages 5-59, July.
    20. Carlos Velasco, 2003. "Gaussian Semi‐parametric Estimation of Fractional Cointegration," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 24(3), pages 345-378, May.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Frederiksen, Per & Nielsen, Frank S. & Nielsen, Morten Ørregaard, 2012. "Local polynomial Whittle estimation of perturbed fractional processes," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 167(2), pages 426-447.
    2. Jensen Mark J., 2016. "Robust estimation of nonstationary, fractionally integrated, autoregressive, stochastic volatility," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 20(4), pages 455-475, September.
    3. Artiach, Miguel & Arteche, Josu, 2012. "Doubly fractional models for dynamic heteroscedastic cycles," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 56(6), pages 2139-2158.
    4. Javier Haulde & Morten Ørregaard Nielsen, 2022. "Fractional integration and cointegration," CREATES Research Papers 2022-02, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    5. Marie Busch & Philipp Sibbertsen, 2018. "An Overview of Modified Semiparametric Memory Estimation Methods," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 6(1), pages 1-21, March.
    6. Adam McCloskey, 2012. "Estimation of the Long-Memory Stochastic Volatility Model Parameters that is Robust to Level Shifts and Deterministic Trends," Working Papers 2012-17, Brown University, Department of Economics.
    7. Adam McCloskey, 2013. "Estimation of the long-memory stochastic volatility model parameters that is robust to level shifts and deterministic trends," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 34(3), pages 285-301, May.
    8. Per Frederiksen & Frank S. Nielsen, 2008. "Estimation of Dynamic Models with Nonparametric Simulated Maximum Likelihood," CREATES Research Papers 2008-59, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Frederiksen, Per & Nielsen, Frank S. & Nielsen, Morten Ørregaard, 2012. "Local polynomial Whittle estimation of perturbed fractional processes," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 167(2), pages 426-447.
    2. Javier Haulde & Morten Ørregaard Nielsen, 2022. "Fractional integration and cointegration," CREATES Research Papers 2022-02, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    3. Eduardo Rossi & Paolo Santucci de Magistris, 2014. "Estimation of Long Memory in Integrated Variance," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 33(7), pages 785-814, October.
    4. Per Frederiksen & Frank S. Nielsen, 2008. "Estimation of Dynamic Models with Nonparametric Simulated Maximum Likelihood," CREATES Research Papers 2008-59, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    5. Jensen Mark J., 2016. "Robust estimation of nonstationary, fractionally integrated, autoregressive, stochastic volatility," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 20(4), pages 455-475, September.
    6. Andersen, Torben G. & Varneskov, Rasmus T., 2021. "Consistent inference for predictive regressions in persistent economic systems," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 224(1), pages 215-244.
    7. Clifford M. Hurvich & Eric Moulines & Philippe Soulier, 2005. "Estimating Long Memory in Volatility," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 73(4), pages 1283-1328, July.
    8. Katsumi Shimotsu, 2006. "Simple (but Effective) Tests Of Long Memory Versus Structural Breaks," Working Paper 1101, Economics Department, Queen's University.
    9. Arteche, J., 2006. "Semiparametric estimation in perturbed long memory series," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 51(4), pages 2118-2141, December.
    10. Isao Ishida & Toshiaki Watanabe, 2009. "Modeling and Forecasting the Volatility of the Nikkei 225 Realized Volatility Using the ARFIMA-GARCH Model," CARF F-Series CARF-F-145, Center for Advanced Research in Finance, Faculty of Economics, The University of Tokyo.
    11. Jonathan Wright, 2002. "Log-Periodogram Estimation Of Long Memory Volatility Dependencies With Conditionally Heavy Tailed Returns," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 21(4), pages 397-417.
    12. Rohit Deo & Meng-Chen Hsieh & Clifford M. Hurvich & Philippe Soulier, 2007. "Long Memory in Nonlinear Processes," Papers 0706.1836, arXiv.org.
    13. Carmen Broto & Esther Ruiz, 2004. "Estimation methods for stochastic volatility models: a survey," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 18(5), pages 613-649, December.
    14. Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Peter F. Christoffersen & Francis X. Diebold, 2005. "Volatility Forecasting," PIER Working Paper Archive 05-011, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
    15. Andersen, Torben G. & Bollerslev, Tim & Christoffersen, Peter F. & Diebold, Francis X., 2006. "Volatility and Correlation Forecasting," Handbook of Economic Forecasting, in: G. Elliott & C. Granger & A. Timmermann (ed.), Handbook of Economic Forecasting, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 15, pages 777-878, Elsevier.
    16. Martin, Gael M. & Nadarajah, K. & Poskitt, D.S., 2020. "Issues in the estimation of mis-specified models of fractionally integrated processes," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 215(2), pages 559-573.
    17. Dalla, Violetta, 2015. "Power transformations of absolute returns and long memory estimation," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 1-18.
    18. Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Francis X. Diebold & Paul Labys, 1999. "The Distribution of Exchange Rate Volatility," New York University, Leonard N. Stern School Finance Department Working Paper Seires 99-059, New York University, Leonard N. Stern School of Business-.
    19. John Cotter & Simon Stevenson, 2008. "Modeling Long Memory in REITs," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 36(3), pages 533-554, September.
    20. Marie Busch & Philipp Sibbertsen, 2018. "An Overview of Modified Semiparametric Memory Estimation Methods," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 6(1), pages 1-21, March.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Bias reduction; local Whittle estimation; long memory stochastic volatility model;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C14 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods: General
    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:aah:create:2008-35. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: the person in charge (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.econ.au.dk/afn/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.