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Los ciclos económicos departamentales en Colombia, 1960-2011

Author

Listed:
  • Fredy Vásquez Bedoya
  • Sergio Iván Restrepo Ochoa
  • Mauricio Lopera Castaño
  • María Isabel Restrepo Estrada

Abstract

En este trabajo se estima el ciclo del PIB nacional y de algunos departamentos entre 1960 y 2011 usando el modelo de tendencia lineal local de Nelson y Plosser, así como el coeficiente de correlación entre el componente cíclico de las series del PIB departamental y nacional para clasificar sus co-movimientos. El estudio revela una diversidad de comportamientos de las fluctuaciones económicas departamentales con respecto a la nacional y, además, que las economías departamentales fuertemente procíclicas son las más diversificadas y más ricas.

Suggested Citation

  • Fredy Vásquez Bedoya & Sergio Iván Restrepo Ochoa & Mauricio Lopera Castaño & María Isabel Restrepo Estrada, 2014. "Los ciclos económicos departamentales en Colombia, 1960-2011," Revista de Economía Institucional, Universidad Externado de Colombia - Facultad de Economía, vol. 16(30), pages 271-295, January-J.
    • Handle: RePEc:rei:ecoins:v:16:y:2014:i:30:p:271-295
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    File URL: http://www.uexternado.edu.co/facecono/ecoinstitucional/workingpapers/fvasquez30.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    ciclos económicos; técnicas de filtrado; análisis shift-share;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C80 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Data Collection and Data Estimation Methodology; Computer Programs - - - General
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • R11 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Regional Economic Activity: Growth, Development, Environmental Issues, and Changes

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