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Business Cycles in the United Kingdom: Facts and Fictions

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Author Info
Blackburn, Keith
Ravn, Morten O

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Abstract

This paper documents the statistical properties of the contemporary business fluctuations in the United Kingdom. The authors study the period 1956-90 using quarterly, detrended data on key aggregate variables. They compute selected moments of the data, compare their results with those for the United States, and rigorously test for dynamic instabilities. The authors' findings confirm the existence of substantive cyclical regularities, both across countries and across time. Some notable cross-country differences are also identified. Conclusions about stability are shown to be potentially sensitive to the method of testing. In general, cross-correlations are appreciably more stable than standard deviations. Copyright 1992 by The London School of Economics and Political Science.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by London School of Economics and Political Science in its journal Economica.

Volume (Year): 59 (1992)
Issue (Month): 236 (November)
Pages: 383-401
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Handle: RePEc:bla:econom:v:59:y:1992:i:236:p:383-401

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  2. P J Pérez, 2001. "Cyclical Properties in the Main Western Economies," Centre for Growth and Business Cycle Research Discussion Paper Series 33, Economics, The Univeristy of Manchester. [Downloadable!]
  3. Ernst A. Boehm, 2001. "The Contribution of Economic Indicator Analysis to Understanding and Forecasting Business Cycles," Melbourne Institute Working Paper Series wp2001n17, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, The University of Melbourne. [Downloadable!]
  4. Karl Taylor & Robert McNabb, 2007. "Business Cycles and the Role of Confidence: Evidence for Europe," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 69(2), pages 185-208, 04. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  5. Charles Bean & Jens D.J. Larsen & Kalin Nikolov, 2002. "Financial frictions and the monetary transmission mechanism: theory; evidence and policy implications," Working Paper Series 113, European Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
  6. Ravn, M.O. & Uhlig, H., 1997. "On adjusting the hp-filter for the frequency of observations," Discussion Paper 50, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research. [Downloadable!]
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  7. Hope Corman & H. Naci Mocan, 1996. "A Time-Series Analysis of Crime and Drug Use in New York City," NBER Working Papers 5463, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  9. Hope Corman & H. Naci Mocan, 2000. "A Time-Series Analysis of Crime, Deterrence, and Drug Abuse in New York City," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 90(3), pages 584-604, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  10. Dixon, R. & Shepherd, D., 2000. "Trends and Cycles in Australian State and Territory Unemployment Rates," Department of Economics - Working Papers Series 730, The University of Melbourne. [Downloadable!]
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  11. Guilhem Bentoglio & Jacky Fayolle & Matthieu Lemoine, 2002. "Unity and Plurality of the European Cycle," Documents de Travail de l'OFCE 2002-03, Observatoire Francais des Conjonctures Economiques (OFCE). [Downloadable!]
  12. Christian Zimmermann, 1995. "International Trade over the Business Cycle: Stylized Facts and Remaining Puzzles," Cahiers de recherche CREFE / CREFE Working Papers 37, CREFE, Université du Québec à Montréal, revised Aug 1997. [Downloadable!]
  13. Galindev Ragchaasuren, 2005. "Another Look at Modelling Leisure in the Utility Function: an application in RBC theory Discussion paper 588 has been withdrawn," Economics Discussion Papers 588, University of Essex, Department of Economics.
  14. Erinç Yeldan & Kývýlcým Metin-Özcan & Ebru Voyvoda, 1999. "Dynamics of Macroeconomic Adjustment in a Globalized Developing Economy : Growth, Accumulation and Distribution, Turkey 1969-1998," Departmental Working Papers 995, Bilkent University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  15. Royuela, Vicente, 2000. "International Real Business Cycles: Can A Two Countries Two Sectors Model Solve The Quantity Anomaly?," ERSA conference papers ersa00p203, European Regional Science Association. [Downloadable!]
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