International Journal of Forecasting

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Series handle: repec:eee:intfor

2009, Volume 25, Issue 3

• 432-434 Victor Zarnowitz 1919-2009
  by Klein, Philip A. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 435-440 Fleeing the Nazis, surviving the Gulag, and arriving in the free world: My life and times
  by Guerard Jr., John B. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 441-451 Mining the past to determine the future: Problems and possibilities
  by Hand, David J. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 452-455 Mining the past to determine the future: Comments
  by Price, Simon [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 456-460 Mining the past to determine the future: Comments
  by Crone, Sven F. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 461-462 Mining the past to determine the future: Rejoinder
  by Hand, David J. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 463-466 Introduction to time series monitoring
  by Gorr, Wilpen L. & Ord, J. Keith [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 467-483 How does improved forecasting benefit detection? An application to biosurveillance
  by Lotze, Thomas H. & Shmueli, Galit [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 484-497 Empirical calibration of time series monitoring methods using receiver operating characteristic curves
  by Cohen, Jacqueline & Garman, Samuel & Gorr, Wilpen [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 498-517 Expectation-based scan statistics for monitoring spatial time series data
  by Neill, Daniel B. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 518-525 Monitoring processes with changing variances
  by Ord, J. Keith & Koehler, Anne B. & Snyder, Ralph D. & Hyndman, Rob J. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 526-530 Incorporating a tracking signal into a state space model
  by Snyder, Ralph D. & Koehler, Anne B. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 531-549 Modeling tourism: A fully identified VECM approach
  by Bonham, Carl & Gangnes, Byron & Zhou, Ting [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 550-566 Bayesian portfolio selection using a multifactor model
  by Ando, Tomohiro [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 567-586 Optimal forecasting with heterogeneous panels: A Monte Carlo study
  by Trapani, Lorenzo & Urga, Giovanni [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 587-601 Stock returns and the short-run predictability of health expenditure: Some empirical evidence
  by Wang, Zijun [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 602-628 Multi-step forecasting in emerging economies: An investigation of the South African GDP
  by Chevillon, Guillaume [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 629-630 Richard S. Markovits , Truth or Economics: On the Definition, Prediction, and Relevance of Economic Efficiency, Yale University Press, New Haven (2008), p. x+507 pp.
  by Allen, P. Geoffrey [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 630-631 The Art of Modeling Dynamic Systems. Forecasting for Chaos, Randomness and Determinism. Foster Morrison, Dover Publications, Inc. (2008), p. 385 Paperback. US$ 22.95, ISBN-10, 0-486-46295-1
  by Samohyl, Robert Wayne [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 632-634 Svetlozar, T. Rachev, John S.J. Hsu, B.S. Bagasheva and F.J. Fabozzi , Bayesian Methods in Finance, John Wiley and Sons, USA (2008) ISBN 978-0-471-92083-0 (hardcover), $95, 329 pages
  by Maté, Carlos [Downloadable! (restricted)]

• 215-217 Forecasting returns and risk in financial markets using linear and nonlinear models
  by Clements, Michael P. & Milas, Costas & van Dijk, Dick [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 218-238 Optimal combinations of realised volatility estimators
  by Patton, Andrew J. & Sheppard, Kevin [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 239-258 Joint modeling of call and put implied volatility
  by Ahoniemi, Katja & Lanne, Markku [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 259-281 On forecasting daily stock volatility: The role of intraday information and market conditions
  by Fuertes, Ana-Maria & Izzeldin, Marwan & Kalotychou, Elena [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 282-303 Forecasting S&P 500 volatility: Long memory, level shifts, leverage effects, day-of-the-week seasonality, and macroeconomic announcements
  by Martens, Martin & van Dijk, Dick & de Pooter, Michiel [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 304-327 Asymmetric effects and long memory in the volatility of Dow Jones stocks
  by Scharth, Marcel & Medeiros, Marcelo C. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 328-350 On the macroeconomic causes of exchange rate volatility
  by Morana, Claudio [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 351-372 Differences in housing price forecastability across US states
  by Rapach, David E. & Strauss, Jack K. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 373-399 Non-linear predictability in stock and bond returns: When and where is it exploitable?
  by Guidolin, Massimo & Hyde, Stuart & McMillan, David & Ono, Sadayuki [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 400-417 Forecasting exchange rates with a large Bayesian VAR
  by Carriero, A. & Kapetanios, G. & Marcellino, M. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 418-428 Testing for threshold effect in ARFIMA models: Application to US unemployment rate data
  by Lahiani, A. & Scaillet, O. [Downloadable! (restricted)]

• 1-2 A change of editors
  by Hyndman, Rob J. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 3-23 Effective forecasting and judgmental adjustments: an empirical evaluation and strategies for improvement in supply-chain planning
  by Fildes, Robert & Goodwin, Paul & Lawrence, Michael & Nikolopoulos, Konstantinos [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 24-26 Comments on "Effective forecasting and judgmental adjustments: An empirical evaluation and strategies for improvement in supply-chain planning"
  by Sanders, Nada R. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 27-29 Comments on "Effective forecasting and judgmental adjustments: An empirical evaluation and strategies for improvement in supply-chain planning"
  by Flores, Benito E. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 30-31 Comments on "Effective forecasting and judgmental adjustments: An empirical evaluation and strategies for improvement in supply-chain planning"
  by Önkal, Dilek [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 32-34 Reply to Commentaries by Flores, Önkal and Sanders
  by Fildes, Robert & Goodwin, Paul & Lawrence, Michael & Nikolopoulos, Konstantinos [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 35-47 Properties of expert adjustments on model-based SKU-level forecasts
  by Franses, Philip Hans & Legerstee, Rianne [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 48-61 Forecast accuracy measures for exception reporting using receiver operating characteristic curves
  by Gorr, Wilpen L. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 62-73 On the importance of verifying forecasting results
  by Yalta, A. Talha & Jenal, Olaf [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 74-80 A real time evaluation of Bank of England forecasts of inflation and growth
  by Groen, Jan J.J. & Kapetanios, George & Price, Simon [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 81-102 Real time representation of the UK output gap in the presence of model uncertainty
  by Garratt, Anthony & Lee, Kevin & Mise, Emi & Shields, Kalvinder [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 103-118 Forecasting European industrial production with singular spectrum analysis
  by Hassani, Hossein & Heravi, Saeed & Zhigljavsky, Anatoly [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 119-127 The cyclical component factor model
  by Dahl, Christian M. & Hansen, Henrik & Smidt, John [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 128-145 A time deformation model and its time-varying autocorrelation: An application to US unemployment data
  by Vijverberg, Chu-Ping C. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 146-166 Hierarchical forecasts for Australian domestic tourism
  by Athanasopoulos, George & Ahmed, Roman A. & Hyndman, Rob J. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 167-181 The accuracy and efficiency of the Consensus Forecasts: A further application and extension of the pooled approach
  by Ager, P. & Kappler, M. & Osterloh, S. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 182-191 Measuring consensus in binary forecasts: NFL game predictions
  by Song, ChiUng & Boulier, Bryan L. & Stekler, Herman O. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 192-207 Forecasting histogram time series with k-nearest neighbours methods
  by Arroyo, Javier & Maté, Carlos [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 208-209 Book review
  by Goodwin, Paul [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 209-211 Douglas C. Montgomery, Cheryl L. Jennings and Murat Kulahci , Introduction to Time Series Analysis and Forecasting, Wiley (2008) ISBN 978-0-471-65397-4, p. 446 $115
  by Sloboda, Brian [Downloadable! (restricted)]

• 561-565 Energy forecasting
  by Taylor, James W. & Espasa, Antoni [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 566-587 An hourly periodic state space model for modelling French national electricity load
  by Dordonnat, V. & Koopman, S.J. & Ooms, M. & Dessertaine, A. & Collet, J. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 588-602 Forecasting the electricity load from one day to one week ahead for the Spanish system operator
  by Cancelo, José Ramón & Espasa, Antoni & Grafe, Rosmarie [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 603-615 A smooth transition periodic autoregressive (STPAR) model for short-term load forecasting
  by Amaral, Luiz Felipe & Souza, Reinaldo Castro & Stevenson, Maxwell [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 616-629 Input space to neural network based load forecasters
  by Alves da Silva, Alexandre P. & Ferreira, Vitor H. & Velasquez, Roberto M.G. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 630-644 Modeling and forecasting short-term electricity load: A comparison of methods with an application to Brazilian data
  by Soares, Lacir J. & Medeiros, Marcelo C. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 645-658 An evaluation of methods for very short-term load forecasting using minute-by-minute British data
  by Taylor, James W. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 659-678 A nonlinear mixed effects model for the prediction of natural gas consumption by individual customers
  by Brabec, Marek & Konár, Ondrej & Pelikán, Emil & Malý, Marek [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 679-693 Adaptive combination of forecasts with application to wind energy
  by Sánchez, Ismael [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 694-709 Short-term wind power forecasting using evolutionary algorithms for the automated specification of artificial intelligence models
  by Jursa, René & Rohrig, Kurt [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 710-727 Bayesian density forecasting of intraday electricity prices using multivariate skew t distributions
  by Panagiotelis, Anastasios & Smith, Michael [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 728-743 A new approach to characterizing and forecasting electricity price volatility
  by Chan, Kam Fong & Gray, Philip & van Campen, Bart [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 744-763 Forecasting spot electricity prices: A comparison of parametric and semiparametric time series models
  by Weron, Rafal & Misiorek, Adam [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 764-785 Forecasting electricity prices: The impact of fundamentals and time-varying coefficients
  by Karakatsani, Nektaria V. & Bunn, Derek W. [Downloadable! (restricted)]

• 323-342 Stochastic population forecasts using functional data models for mortality, fertility and migration
  by Hyndman, Rob J. & Booth, Heather [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 343-353 Aggregation across countries in stochastic population forecasts
  by Alho, Juha [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 354-367 Evaluating a three-dimensional panel of point forecasts: The Bank of England Survey of External Forecasters
  by Boero, Gianna & Smith, Jeremy & Wallis, Kenneth F. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 368-385 Real-time squared: A real-time data set for real-time GDP forecasting
  by Golinelli, Roberto & Parigi, Giuseppe [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 386-398 Real-time forecasting of German GDP based on a large factor model with monthly and quarterly data
  by Schumacher, Christian & Breitung, Jörg [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 399-413 Automatic leading indicators versus macroeconometric structural models: A comparison of inflation and GDP growth forecasting
  by Qin, Duo & Cagas, Marie Anne & Ducanes, Geoffrey & Magtibay-Ramos, Nedelyn & Quising, Pilipinas [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 414-431 Measuring and testing Granger causality over the spectrum: An application to European production expectation surveys
  by Lemmens, Aurélie & Croux, Christophe & Dekimpe, Marnik G. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 432-448 Multimodality in GARCH regression models
  by Doornik, Jurgen A. & Ooms, Marius [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 449-461 A Portfolio Index GARCH model
  by Asai, Manabu & McAleer, Michael [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 462-479 Can idiosyncratic volatility help forecast stock market volatility?
  by Taylor, Nicholas [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 480-489 Quarterly beta forecasting: An evaluation
  by Hooper, Vincent J. & Ng, Kevin & Reeves, Jonathan J. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 490-497 Forecasting bond yields in the Brazilian fixed income market
  by Vicente, José & Tabak, Benjamin M. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 498-512 On the forecasting performance of a small-scale DSGE model
  by Rubaszek, Michal & Skrzypczynski, Pawel [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 513-524 Exponentially weighted information criteria for selecting among forecasting models
  by Taylor, James W. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 525-534 Empirical evidence on individual, group and shrinkage seasonal indices
  by Chen, Huijing & Boylan, John E. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 535-550 A bootstrap-based non-parametric forecast density
  by Manzan, Sebastiano & Zerom, Dawit [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 551-552 ,The Black Swan. The impact of the highly improbable .Nassim Nicholas Taleb and Allen Lane, Editors, Hardcover (2007) 366 pages, ISBN: 978-0713-99995-2, £20, Paperback, ISBN 978-0141-03459-1, £8.99
  by Goodwin, Paul [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 552-553 Francis X. Diebold, Editor, Elements of Forecasting (4th ed.), Thomson, South-Western: Ohio, US (2007) ISBN 978-0-324-35904-6, p. 458 Hardcover
  by Fildes, Robert [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 553-554 Advances in Business and Management Forecasting, Kenneth D. Lawrence & Michael D. Geurts (Eds.), (vol. 5), Elsevier: JAI Press, Hardback, 305 pages, ISBN: 978-0-7623-1478-2
  by Syntetos, Aris A. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 557-557 Call for Papers: Special issue of the International Journal of Forecasting on tourism forecasting
  by Hyndman, Rob J. [Downloadable! (restricted)]

• 189-192 US presidential election forecasting: An introduction
  by Campbell, James E. & Lewis-Beck, Michael S. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 193-208 Forecasting the presidential primary vote: Viability, ideology and momentum
  by Steger, Wayne P. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 209-217 It's about time: Forecasting the 2008 presidential election with the time-for-change model
  by Abramowitz, Alan I. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 218-226 The economy and the presidential vote: What leading indicators reveal well in advance
  by Erikson, Robert S. & Wlezien, Christopher [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 227-236 Forecasting presidential elections: When to change the model
  by Lewis-Beck, Michael S. & Tien, Charles [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 237-258 Forecasting non-incumbent presidential elections: Lessons learned from the 2000 election
  by Sidman, Andrew H. & Mak, Maxwell & Lebo, Matthew J. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 259-271 Evaluating U.S. presidential election forecasts and forecasting equations
  by Campbell, James E. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 272-284 Campaign trial heats as election forecasts: Measurement error and bias in 2004 presidential campaign polls
  by Pickup, Mark & Johnston, Richard [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 285-300 Prediction market accuracy in the long run
  by Berg, Joyce E. & Nelson, Forrest D. & Rietz, Thomas A. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 301-309 The keys to the white house: An index forecast for 2008
  by Lichtman, Allan J. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 310-321 The state of presidential election forecasting: The 2004 experience
  by Jones Jr., Randall J. [Downloadable! (restricted)]

• 1-18 Elusive return predictability
  by Timmermann, Allan [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 19-21 Elusive return predictability: Discussion
  by Brown, Stephen J. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 22-28 Elusive return predictability: Discussion
  by Hendry, David F. & Reade, J. James [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 29-30 Reply to the discussion of Elusive Return Predictability
  by Timmermann, Allan [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 31-33 Merging models and experts
  by Franses, Philip Hans [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 34-75 The financial analyst forecasting literature: A taxonomy with suggestions for further research
  by Ramnath, Sundaresh & Rock, Steve & Shane, Philip [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 76-86 Consensus and uncertainty: Using forecast probabilities of output declines
  by Clements, Michael P. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 87-100 Macroeconomic forecasting with matched principal components
  by Heij, Christiaan & van Dijk, Dick & Groenen, Patrick J.F. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 101-121 Out-of-sample forecasting of unemployment rates with pooled STVECM forecasts
  by Milas, Costas & Rothman, Philip [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 122-133 Are combination forecasts of S&P 500 volatility statistically superior?
  by Becker, Ralf & Clements, Adam E. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 134-150 Forecasting industry-level CPI and PPI inflation: Does exchange rate pass-through matter?
  by Bhattacharya, Prasad S. & Thomakos, Dimitrios D. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 151-162 Model selection, estimation and forecasting in INAR(p) models: A likelihood-based Markov Chain approach
  by Bu, Ruijun & McCabe, Brendan [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 163-169 Simple robust averages of forecasts: Some empirical results
  by Jose, Victor Richmond R. & Winkler, Robert L. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 170-174 Exponential smoothing in the telecommunications data
  by Gardner Jr., Everette S. & Diaz-Saiz, Joaquin [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 175-176 Kenneth G. Stewart , Introduction to Applied Econometrics, Thomson Brooks/Cole, Belmont (2005) ISBN 0-534-36916-2 Hardcover, 913 pages
  by Mamingi, Nlandu [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 177-179 Peter G.M. Swann, Putting econometrics in its place: A new direction in applied economics , Edward Elgar, Cheltenham (2006) ISBN 978 1 85898 305 9 xiv + 250 pp.
  by Allen, P. Geoffrey [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 179-183 Thomas B. Fomby and Dek Terrell, Editors, Econometric analysis of financial and economic time series, Advances in Econometrics, Volume 20, Part 2, Elsevier Ltd. (2006) 352 pages, Price, $105, ISBN-10: 0-7623-1273-4, ISBN-13: 978-0-7623-1273-3
  by Öller, Lars-Erik [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 183-184 Nicolas Carnot, Vincent Koen and Bruno Tissot, Economic Forecasting , Palgrave Macmillan (2005) ISBN 1-4039-3653-6 (hardback), £65, ISBN 1-4039-3653-4 (paperback), $22.50, 315pp.
  by Öller, Lars-Erik & Stockhammar, Pär [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 186-186 Special issue on decision making and planning under low levels of predictability
  by Makridakis, Spyros & Taleb, Nassim Nicholas [Downloadable! (restricted)]

• 533-538 Long-run income forecasting
  by Ahlburg, Dennis & Lindh, Thomas [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 539-551 Long-term forecasting and evaluation
  by Granger, Clive W.J. & Jeon, Yongil [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 553-567 Demographically based global income forecasts up to the year 2050
  by Lindh, Thomas & Malmberg, Bo [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 569-585 Does age structure forecast economic growth?
  by Bloom, David E. & Canning, David & Fink, Gunther & Finlay, Jocelyn E. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 587-602 The effects of age structure on economic growth: An application of probabilistic forecasting to India
  by Prskawetz, A. & Kogel, T. & Sanderson, W.C. & Scherbov, S. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 603-619 Who gains from the demographic dividend? Forecasting income by age
  by Lee, Sang-Hyop & Mason, Andrew [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 621-635 Income growth in the 21st century: Forecasts with an overlapping generations model
  by de la Croix, David & Docquier, Frederic & Liegeois, Philippe [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 637-653 Long term projections of carbon emissions
  by McKibbin, Warwick J. & Pearce, David & Stegman, Alison [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 655-677 Macroeconomic forecasting using structural factor analysis
  by Liu, Dandan & Jansen, Dennis W. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 679-693 Evaluating factor forecasts for the UK: The role of asset prices
  by Zaher, Fadi [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 695-705 Predictive financial models of the euro area: A new evaluation test
  by Panopoulou, Ekaterini [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 707-715 Optimal prediction under LINLIN loss: Empirical evidence
  by Ulu, Yasemin [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 717-719 Nonparametric econometrics: Theory and practice
  by Sloboda, Brian [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 719-720 Thomas F. Wallace and Robert A. Stahl , Sales Forecasting: A New Approach, T.F. Wallace & Co. (2006) ISBN: 0-9674884-1-9 (paper), $44.95, 166 pages
  by Fildes, Robert [Downloadable! (restricted)]

• 343-345 Judgement in forecasting
  by Parackal, Mathew & Goodwin, Paul & O'Connor, Marcus [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 347-364 When do purchase intentions predict sales?
  by Morwitz, Vicki G. & Steckel, Joel H. & Gupta, Alok [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 365-376 Structured analogies for forecasting
  by Green, Kesten C. & Armstrong, J. Scott [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 377-390 Providing support for the use of analogies in demand forecasting tasks
  by Lee, Wing Yee & Goodwin, Paul & Fildes, Robert & Nikolopoulos, Konstantinos & Lawrence, Michael [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 391-404 The process of using a forecasting support system
  by Goodwin, Paul & Fildes, Robert & Lawrence, Michael & Nikolopoulos, Konstantinos [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 405-413 The comparative accuracy of judgmental and model forecasts of American football games
  by Song, ChiUng & Boulier, Bryan L. & Stekler, Herman O. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 415-426 Predicting Wimbledon 2005 tennis results by mere player name recognition
  by Scheibehenne, Benjamin & Broder, Arndt [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 427-445 Judgemental bootstrapping of technical traders in the bond market
  by Batchelor, Roy & Kwan, Tai Yeong [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 445-447 Forecasting of software development work effort: Introduction
  by Armstrong, J. Scott [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 449-462 Forecasting of software development work effort: Evidence on expert judgement and formal models
  by Jorgensen, Magne [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 463-464 Is task complexity an exception to the superiority of mechanized judgement, or a barrier to it?
  by Dana, Jason [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 465-467 Information asymmetry and aggregation rules: A comment on Jorgensen (2007)
  by Hogarth, Robin M. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 469-471 Difficulty and complexity as factors in software effort estimation
  by Collopy, Fred [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 473-474 How should we compare forecasting models with expert judgement?
  by Jorgensen, Magne [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 475-495 Organizational factors in sales forecasting management
  by Davis, Donna F. & Mentzer, John T. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 497-511 Does past volatility affect investors' price forecasts and confidence judgements?
  by Du, Ning & Budescu, David V. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 513-529 Forecasting and analyzing insurance companies' ratings
  by Van Gestel, Tony & Martens, David & Baesens, Bart & Feremans, Daniel & Huysmans, Johan & Vanthienen, Jan [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 529-531 John Geweke, Contemporary Bayesian Econometrics and Statistics, Wiley, New Jersey (2005) (Hardcover, 300 pages) ISBN: 0-471-67932-1
  by Paap, Richard [Downloadable! (restricted)]

• 159-165 Introduction to "The future of macroeconomic forecasting"
  by Heilemann, Ullrich & Stekler, Herman [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 167-187 How far ahead can we forecast? Evidence from cross-country surveys
  by Isiklar, Gultekin & Lahiri, Kajal [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 189-203 Bias in macroeconomic forecasts
  by Batchelor, Roy [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 205-217 Quantifying the quality of macroeconomic variables
  by Oller, Lars-Erik & Teterukovsky, Alex [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 219-236 A comparison of methods for the construction of composite coincident and leading indexes for the UK
  by Carriero, Andrea & Marcellino, Massimiliano [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 237-248 The future of macroeconomic forecasting: Understanding the forecasting process
  by Stekler, H.O. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 249-258 Qualitative business surveys and the assessment of employment -- A case study for Germany
  by Abberger, Klaus [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 259-275 Leading indicators for euro area government deficits
  by Perez, Javier J. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 277-287 The timing and accuracy of leading and lagging business cycle indicators: A new approach
  by Seip, Knut Lehre & McNown, Robert [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 289-305 The information content of the Bond-Equity Yield Ratio: Better than a random walk?
  by Giot, Pierre & Petitjean, Mikael [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 307-320 Forecasting realized exchange rate volatility by decomposition
  by Lanne, Markku [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 321-327 Significance tests harm progress in forecasting
  by Armstrong, J. Scott [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 329-330 Significance tests harm progress in forecasting: Comment
  by Stekler, H.O. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 331-332 Comments on "significance tests harm progress in forecasting"
  by Ord, Keith [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 333-334 Should we be using significance tests in forecasting research?
  by Goodwin, Paul [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 335-336 Statistical significance tests are unnecessary even when properly done and properly interpreted: Reply to commentaries
  by Armstrong, J. Scott [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 337-339 Dek Terrell and Thomas B. Fomby, Editors, Advances in Econometrics, Econometric Analysis of Financial and Economic Time Series Vol. 20, Part A, JAI Press (2006) ISBN 0-7623-1274-2 379 pp., Part A
  by Sloboda, Brian W. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 339-342 P.E. Tetlock, Expert political judgment: How good is it? How can we know?, Princeton University Press (2006) ISBN 978-0-691-12871-9 Paperback, 352 pp.
  by Tschoegl, Adrian E. & Armstrong, J. Scott [Downloadable! (restricted)]

• 1-13 Combining density forecasts
  by Hall, Stephen G. & Mitchell, James [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 15-28 Using forecasts of forecasters to forecast
  by Nolte, Ingmar & Pohlmeier, Winfried [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 29-45 Accuracy of GDP growth forecasts for transition countries: Ten years of forecasting assessed
  by Krkoska, Libor & Teksoz, Utku [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 47-69 Business and consumer expectations and macroeconomic forecasts
  by Claveria, Oscar & Pons, Ernest & Ramos, Raul [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 71-84 Forecasting exchange rates: A robust regression approach
  by Preminger, Arie & Franck, Raphael [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 85-100 Optimal design of early warning systems for sovereign debt crises
  by Fuertes, Ana-Maria & Kalotychou, Elena [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 101-114 Forecasting spot and forward prices in the international freight market
  by Batchelor, Roy & Alizadeh, Amir & Visvikis, Ilias [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 115-126 Non-linear forecasting of stock returns: Does volume help?
  by McMillan, David G. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 127-145 Institutional and individual sentiment: Smart money and noise trader risk?
  by Schmeling, Maik [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 147-152 Increase in mean square forecast error when omitting a needed covariate
  by Ledolter, Johannes [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 152-153 New Introduction to Multiple Time Series Analysis, Helmut Lutkepohl. Springer-Verlag (2005), ISBN 3-540-40172-5 (hardcover), 149.95 [euro], ISBN 3-540-26239-3 (softcover), 54.95 [euro], 764 pages
  by Taylor, Robert [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 154-155 Advances in Business and Management Forecasting(volume 4), Kenneth D. Lawrence & Michael D. Geurts (eds), Elsevier: JAI Press, Hardback, 302 pages, ISBN: 0-7623-1281-5
  by Syntetos, A.A. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 155-157 Corrigendum to "Stable seasonal pattern models for forecast revision: A comparative study" [International Journal of Forecasting, 22 (2006), 799-818]
  by Yelland, Phillip M. [Downloadable! (restricted)]

• 637-666 Exponential smoothing: The state of the art--Part II
  by Gardner, Everette Jr. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 667-670 Discussion
  by Koehler, Anne [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 671-672 Discussion
  by Taylor, James W. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 673-676 Discussion
  by Snyder, Ralph [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 677-677 Discussion
  by Lawton, Richard [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 679-688 Another look at measures of forecast accuracy
  by Hyndman, Rob J. & Koehler, Anne B. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 689-706 Modeling voter choice to predict the final outcome of two-stage elections
  by A. Kamakura, Wagner & Afonso Mazzon, Jose & De Bruyn, Arnaud [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 707-724 Density forecasting for the efficient balancing of the generation and consumption of electricity
  by Taylor, James W. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 725-733 On predictive distributions of public net liabilities
  by Alho, Juha M. & Vanne, Reijo [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 735-749 A useful tool for forecasting the Euro-area business cycle phases
  by Bengoechea, Pilar & Camacho, Maximo & Perez-Quiros, Gabriel [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 751-770 Restricted forecasting with VAR models: An analysis of a test for joint compatibility between restrictions and forecasts
  by Gomez, Nicolas & Guerrero, Victor M. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 771-780 Testing Granger Causality in the presence of threshold effects
  by Li, Jing [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 781-798 Forecasting an accumulated series based on partial accumulation II: A new Bayesian method for short series with stable seasonal patterns
  by Mendoza, Manuel & de Alba, Enrique [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 799-818 Stable seasonal pattern models for forecast revision: A comparative study
  by Yelland, Phillip M. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 819-819 `Modelling non-stationary economic time series'
  by Chatfield, Chris [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 821-821 John T. Mentzer and Mark A. Moon, Sales forecasting management: A demand management approach (2nd edition), Sage Publications, Thousand Oaks, London (2005) ISBN 1-4129-0571-0 Softcover, 347 pages
  by Syntetos, A. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 823-824 John E. Hanke and Dean W. Wichern, Business Forecasting (8th Edition), Pearson, Prentice Hall, New Jersey (2005) ISBN 0-13-122856-0 Softcover (software enclosed), 535 pages
  by Syntetos, A.A. [Downloadable! (restricted)]

• 413-414 Twenty-five years of forecasting
  by Hyndman, Rob J. & Ord, J. Keith [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 415-432 The forecasting journals and their contribution to forecasting research: Citation analysis and expert opinion
  by Fildes, Robert [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 433-441 Making progress in forecasting
  by Armstrong, J. Scott & Fildes, Robert [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 443-473 25 years of time series forecasting
  by De Gooijer, Jan G. & Hyndman, Rob J. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 475-492 Twenty-five years of progress, problems, and conflicting evidence in econometric forecasting. What about the next 25 years?
  by Allen, P. Geoffrey & Morzuch, Bernard J. [Downloadable! (restricted)]

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This page was last updated on 2009-11-7.