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Forecasting: theory and practice

Author

Listed:
  • Petropoulos, Fotios
  • Apiletti, Daniele
  • Assimakopoulos, Vassilios
  • Babai, Mohamed Zied
  • Barrow, Devon K.
  • Ben Taieb, Souhaib
  • Bergmeir, Christoph
  • Bessa, Ricardo J.
  • Bijak, Jakub
  • Boylan, John E.
  • Browell, Jethro
  • Carnevale, Claudio
  • Castle, Jennifer L.
  • Cirillo, Pasquale
  • Clements, Michael P.
  • Cordeiro, Clara
  • Cyrino Oliveira, Fernando Luiz
  • De Baets, Shari
  • Dokumentov, Alexander
  • Ellison, Joanne
  • Fiszeder, Piotr
  • Franses, Philip Hans
  • Frazier, David T.
  • Gilliland, Michael
  • Gönül, M. Sinan
  • Goodwin, Paul
  • Grossi, Luigi
  • Grushka-Cockayne, Yael
  • Guidolin, Mariangela
  • Guidolin, Massimo
  • Gunter, Ulrich
  • Guo, Xiaojia
  • Guseo, Renato
  • Harvey, Nigel
  • Hendry, David F.
  • Hollyman, Ross
  • Januschowski, Tim
  • Jeon, Jooyoung
  • Jose, Victor Richmond R.
  • Kang, Yanfei
  • Koehler, Anne B.
  • Kolassa, Stephan
  • Kourentzes, Nikolaos
  • Leva, Sonia
  • Li, Feng
  • Litsiou, Konstantia
  • Makridakis, Spyros
  • Martin, Gael M.
  • Martinez, Andrew B.
  • Meeran, Sheik
  • Modis, Theodore
  • Nikolopoulos, Konstantinos
  • Önkal, Dilek
  • Paccagnini, Alessia
  • Panagiotelis, Anastasios
  • Panapakidis, Ioannis
  • Pavía, Jose M.
  • Pedio, Manuela
  • Pedregal, Diego J.
  • Pinson, Pierre
  • Ramos, Patrícia
  • Rapach, David E.
  • Reade, J. James
  • Rostami-Tabar, Bahman
  • Rubaszek, Michał
  • Sermpinis, Georgios
  • Shang, Han Lin
  • Spiliotis, Evangelos
  • Syntetos, Aris A.
  • Talagala, Priyanga Dilini
  • Talagala, Thiyanga S.
  • Tashman, Len
  • Thomakos, Dimitrios
  • Thorarinsdottir, Thordis
  • Todini, Ezio
  • Trapero Arenas, Juan Ramón
  • Wang, Xiaoqian
  • Winkler, Robert L.
  • Yusupova, Alisa
  • Ziel, Florian

Abstract

Forecasting has always been at the forefront of decision making and planning. The uncertainty that surrounds the future is both exciting and challenging, with individuals and organisations seeking to minimise risks and maximise utilities. The large number of forecasting applications calls for a diverse set of forecasting methods to tackle real-life challenges. This article provides a non-systematic review of the theory and the practice of forecasting. We provide an overview of a wide range of theoretical, state-of-the-art models, methods, principles, and approaches to prepare, produce, organise, and evaluate forecasts. We then demonstrate how such theoretical concepts are applied in a variety of real-life contexts.

Suggested Citation

  • Petropoulos, Fotios & Apiletti, Daniele & Assimakopoulos, Vassilios & Babai, Mohamed Zied & Barrow, Devon K. & Ben Taieb, Souhaib & Bergmeir, Christoph & Bessa, Ricardo J. & Bijak, Jakub & Boylan, Joh, 2022. "Forecasting: theory and practice," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(3), pages 705-871.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:intfor:v:38:y:2022:i:3:p:705-871
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2021.11.001
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    • Fotios Petropoulos & Daniele Apiletti & Vassilios Assimakopoulos & Mohamed Zied Babai & Devon K. Barrow & Souhaib Ben Taieb & Christoph Bergmeir & Ricardo J. Bessa & Jakub Bijak & John E. Boylan & Jet, 2020. "Forecasting: theory and practice," Papers 2012.03854, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2022.

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    11. Katarzyna Maciejowska & Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafa{l} Weron, 2022. "Forecasting Electricity Prices," Papers 2204.11735, arXiv.org.
    12. Rossi, Barbara, 2013. "Advances in Forecasting under Instability," Handbook of Economic Forecasting, in: G. Elliott & C. Granger & A. Timmermann (ed.), Handbook of Economic Forecasting, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 1203-1324, Elsevier.
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