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The M3 competition: Statistical tests of the results

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Author Info

  • Koning, Alex J.
  • Franses, Philip Hans
  • Hibon, Michele
  • Stekler, H.O.

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File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/B6V92-4F011CS-1/2/53b7026849c6c1659a592a5451b122eb
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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Elsevier in its journal International Journal of Forecasting.

Volume (Year): 21 (2005)
Issue (Month): 3 ()
Pages: 397-409

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Handle: RePEc:eee:intfor:v:21:y:2005:i:3:p:397-409

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Web page: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/ijforecast

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References

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  1. Soong, W. C., 2001. "Exact simultaneous confidence intervals for multiple comparisons with the mean," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 37(1), pages 33-47, July.
  2. Flores, Benito E. & Pearce, Stephen L., 2000. "The use of an expert system in the M3 competition," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 16(4), pages 485-496.
  3. Stekler, H. O., 1991. "Macroeconomic forecast evaluation techniques," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 7(3), pages 375-384, November.
  4. Makridakis, Spyros & Hibon, Michele, 2000. "The M3-Competition: results, conclusions and implications," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 16(4), pages 451-476.
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Cited by:
  1. Crone, Sven F. & Hibon, Michèle & Nikolopoulos, Konstantinos, 2011. "Advances in forecasting with neural networks? Empirical evidence from the NN3 competition on time series prediction," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 27(3), pages 635-660, July.
  2. Stekler, H.O., 2007. "Significance tests harm progress in forecasting: Comment," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 23(2), pages 329-330.
  3. Gorr, Wilpen L. & Schneider, Matthew J., 2013. "Large-change forecast accuracy: Reanalysis of M3-Competition data using receiver operating characteristic analysis," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 29(2), pages 274-281.
  4. Yelland, Phillip M., 2010. "Bayesian forecasting of parts demand," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 26(2), pages 374-396, April.
  5. Rob J. Hyndman & Anne B. Koehler, 2005. "Another Look at Measures of Forecast Accuracy," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 13/05, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
  6. Franses, Ph.H.B.F., 2009. "Forecasting Sales," Econometric Institute Research Papers EI 2009-29, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.
  7. Armstrong, J. Scott, 2007. "Significance tests harm progress in forecasting," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 23(2), pages 321-327.

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