Information about:
Herman O. Stekler

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Lists

1. Number of Works
2. Number of Distinct Works
3. Number of Distinct Works, Weighted by Number of Authors

Working papers

1. Tara M. Sinclair & Fred Joutz & Herman O. Stekler, 2009. "Can the Fed Predict the State of the Economy?," Working Papers 2009-001, The George Washinton University, Department of Economics, Research Program on Forecasting. [Downloadable!]

2. H.O. Stekler & Kazuta Sakamoto, 2008. "Evaluating Current Year Forecasts Made During the Year: A Japanese Example," Working Papers 2008-005, The George Washinton University, Department of Economics, Research Program on Forecasting. [Downloadable!]

3. Tara M. Sinclair & Fred Joutz & Herman O. Stekler, 2008. "Are 'unbiased' forecasts really unbiased? Another look at the Fed forecasts," Working Papers 2008-010, The George Washinton University, Department of Economics, Research Program on Forecasting. [Downloadable!]

4. Herman O. Stekler, 2008. "Evaluating Consensus Forecasts," Working Papers 2008-7, The George Washinton University, Department of Economics, Research Program on Forecasting. [Downloadable!]

5. Herman O. Stekler, 2008. "What Do We Know About G-7 Macro Forecasts?," Working Papers 2008-9, The George Washinton University, Department of Economics, Research Program on Forecasting. [Downloadable!]

6. Edward N. Gamber & Tara M. Sinclair & H.O. Stekler & Elizabeth Reid, 2008. "Multivariate Forecast Errors and the Taylor Rule," Working Papers 2008-002, The George Washinton University, Department of Economics, Research Program on Forecasting, revised Aug 2008. [Downloadable!]

7. ChiUng Song & Bryan L. Boulier & Herman O. Stekler, 2008. "Measuring Consensus in Binary Forecasts: NFL Game Predictions," Working Papers 2008-6, The George Washinton University, Department of Economics, Research Program on Forecasting. [Downloadable!]
   Published as:
   • Song, ChiUng & Boulier, Bryan L. & Stekler, Herman O., 2009. "Measuring consensus in binary forecasts: NFL game predictions," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 25(1), pages 182-191. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

8. Herman O. Stekler, 2007. "Sports Forecasting," Working Papers 2007-1, The George Washinton University, Department of Economics, Research Program on Forecasting, revised Jan 2007. [Downloadable!]

9. Kajal Lahiri & Herman O. Stekler & Wenxiong Yao & Peg Young, 2003. "Monthly Output Index for the U.S. Transportation Sector," Discussion Papers 03-12, University at Albany, SUNY, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]

10. Robert Fildes & Herman Stekler, 1999. "The state of macroeconomic forecasting," Working Papers 000020, Lancaster University Management School, Economics Department. [Downloadable!]
    Published as:
    • Fildes, Robert & Stekler, Herman, 2002. "The state of macroeconomic forecasting," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 24(4), pages 435-468, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

11. H. O. Stekler, 1969. "Economic forecasts: evaluation procedures and results," Staff Studies 51, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).

12. H. O. Stekler, 1969. "Some problems in forecasting inventory investment," Staff Studies 52, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).

1. Song, ChiUng & Boulier, Bryan L. & Stekler, Herman O., 2009. "Measuring consensus in binary forecasts: NFL game predictions," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 25(1), pages 182-191. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
   Other versions:
   • ChiUng Song & Bryan L. Boulier & Herman O. Stekler, 2008. "Measuring Consensus in Binary Forecasts: NFL Game Predictions," Working Papers 2008-6, The George Washinton University, Department of Economics, Research Program on Forecasting. [Downloadable!]

2. Stekler, H.O., 2007. "The future of macroeconomic forecasting: Understanding the forecasting process," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 23(2), pages 237-248. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

3. Fred Joutz & Michael P. Clements & Herman O. Stekler, 2007. "An evaluation of the forecasts of the federal reserve: a pooled approach," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 22(1), pages 121-136. [Downloadable!]

4. Song, ChiUng & Boulier, Bryan L. & Stekler, Herman O., 2007. "The comparative accuracy of judgmental and model forecasts of American football games," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 23(3), pages 405-413. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

5. Heilemann, Ullrich & Stekler, Herman, 2007. "Introduction to "The future of macroeconomic forecasting"," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 23(2), pages 159-165. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

6. Stekler, H.O., 2007. "Significance tests harm progress in forecasting: Comment," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 23(2), pages 329-330. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

7. Stekler, H.O., 2006. "Ray C. Fair, Estimating How the Economy Works, Harvard University Press, Cambridge MA, USA (2004) ISBN 0674-01546-0 295 pp., $65," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 22(2), pages 409-410. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

8. Bryan L. Boulier & H. O. Stekler & Sarah Amundson, 2006. "Testing the efficiency of the National Football League betting market," Applied Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 38(3), pages 279-284, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

9. Koning, Alex J. & Franses, Philip Hans & Hibon, Michele & Stekler, H.O., 2005. "The M3 competition: Statistical tests of the results," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 21(3), pages 397-409. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

10. Robert Goldfarb & H. O. Stekler & Joel David, 2005. "Methodological issues in forecasting: Insights from the egregious business forecast errors of late 1930," Journal of Economic Methodology, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 12(4), pages 517-542, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

11. Stekler, H. O. & Petrei, G., 2003. "Diagnostics for evaluating the value and rationality of economic forecasts," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 19(4), pages 735-742. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

12. Boulier, Bryan L. & Stekler, H. O., 2003. "Predicting the outcomes of National Football League games," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 19(2), pages 257-270. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

13. Stekler, H. O., 2003. "Improving our ability to predict the unusual event," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 19(2), pages 161-163. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

14. Fildes, Robert & Stekler, Herman, 2002. "The state of macroeconomic forecasting," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 24(4), pages 435-468, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
    • Robert Fildes & Herman Stekler, 1999. "The state of macroeconomic forecasting," Working Papers 000020, Lancaster University Management School, Economics Department. [Downloadable!]

15. Robert S. Goldfarb & H. O. Stekler, 2002. "Wheat from Chaff: Meta-Analysis as Quantitative Literature Review: Comment," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 16(3), pages 225-226, Summer. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

16. Fildes, Robert & Stekler, Herman, 2002. "Reply to the comments on 'The state of macroeconomic forecasting'," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 24(4), pages 503-505, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

17. Robert S. Goldfarb & H. O. Stekler, 2001. "Combining the Results of rationality Studies: What Did We know and When Did We know It?," Indian Economic Review, Department of Economics, Delhi School of Economics, vol. 36(1), pages 269-300, January.

18. Boulier, Bryan L & Stekler, H O, 2001. "The Term Spread As a Cyclical Indicator: A Forecasting Evaluation," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 11(4), pages 403-409, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

19. Bryan L. Boulier & H. O. Stekler & Jeremy Dutra, 2001. "Measuring the Onset of the Great Depression: Then and Now," Indian Economic Review, Department of Economics, Delhi School of Economics, vol. 36(1), pages 137-151, January.

20. Stekler, H. O., 2001. "Irrational Exuberance: Robert Shiller, Princeton University Press, Princeton, 2000. Hardcover, 296 pages, ISBN 0-691-05062-7, $27.95," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 17(2), pages 295-297. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

21. Joutz, Fred & Stekler, H. O., 2000. "An evaluation of the predictions of the Federal Reserve," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 16(1), pages 17-38. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

22. Stekler, Herman O., 2000. "Book review," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 16(1), pages 137-138. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

23. Boulier, Bryan L. & Stekler, H. O., 2000. "The term spread as a monthly cyclical indicator: an evaluation," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 66(1), pages 79-83, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

24. Fintzen, David & Stekler, H. O., 1999. "Why did forecasters fail to predict the 1990 recession?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 15(3), pages 309-323, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

25. Boulier, Bryan L. & Stekler, H. O., 1999. "Are sports seedings good predictors?: an evaluation," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 15(1), pages 83-91, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

26. Joutz, Frederick L. & Stekler, H. O., 1999. "An Evaluation of Federal Reserve Forecasting: Comment," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 21(1), pages 179-187, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

27. Joutz, Frederick L & Stekler, H O, 1998. "Data Revisions and Forecasting," Applied Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 30(8), pages 1011-16, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

28. Schnader, M H & Stekler, H O, 1998. "Sources of Turning Point Forecast Errors," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 5(8), pages 519-21, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

29. Stekler, H. O., 1997. "Diagnosing unemployment : Edmond Malinvaud, (Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 1994), pp. 156, $34.95, ISBN 0-521-44533-7," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 13(2), pages 299-299, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

30. Kolb, R. A. & Stekler, H. O., 1996. "Is there a consensus among financial forecasters?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 12(4), pages 455-464, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

31. Robert S. Goldfarb & H. O. Stekler, 1996. "Information Problems for Policy Analysis and Forecasting," Eastern Economic Journal, Eastern Economic Association, vol. 22(1), pages 47-56, Winter. [Downloadable!]

32. Stekler, H. O., 1995. "Kiplinger's looking ahead: 70 years of forecasts from the Kiplinger Washington letter : 1993, (Kiplinger Books, Washington, DC) $29.95, ISBN 0-938721-31-3," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 11(3), pages 492-493, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

33. Stekler, H. O. & Beckstead, R. W., 1995. "Modeling fully employed economies," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 12(2), pages 205-210, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

34. Stekler, H. O., 1994. "Dating turning points in the business cycle: Michael D. Boldin, Journal of business, 67, 97-131," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 10(3), pages 475-475, November. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

35. Fildes, Robert & Stekler, Herman, 1994. "Introduction," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 10(4), pages 609-609, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

36. Stekler, H. O., 1994. "Business cycles, indicators, and forecasting : James H. Stock and Mark W. Watson, (eds.), 1994, National Bureau of Economic Research, studies in business cycles, vol. 28, (University of Chicago pres," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 10(2), pages 385-386, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

37. Kolb, R. A. & Stekler, H. O., 1993. "Are economic forecasts significantly better than naive predictions? An appropriate test," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 9(1), pages 117-120, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

38. Stekler, H. O., 1993. "Forecasting elections : Michael S. Lewis-Beck and Tom W. Rice, 1992, (CQ Press, Washington, DC), 163 pp., paperback $18.95, ISBN 0-8718 7-600-0," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 9(2), pages 274-275, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

39. Stekler, H. O., 1992. "Comparative performance of U.S. econometric models : Lawrence R. Klein, (ed.), (Oxford University Press, New York, 1991) pp. 325, $45.00," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 7(4), pages 539-540, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

40. Kolb, R A & Stekler, H O, 1992. "Information Content of Long-Term Employment Forecasts," Applied Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 24(6), pages 593-96, June.

41. Schnader, M. H. & Stekler, H. O., 1991. "Do consensus forecasts exist?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 7(2), pages 165-170, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

42. Stekler, H O & Schnader, M H, 1991. "Evaluating Predictions of Change: An Application to Inflation Forecasts," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 1(3), pages 135-37, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

43. Stekler, H. O., 1991. "Macroeconomic forecast evaluation techniques," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 7(3), pages 375-384, November. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

44. Stekler, H. O., 1991. "Market and survey forecasts of the three-month treasury bill rate : R.W. Hafer, Scott E. Hein and S. Scott MacDonald, Journal of Business (1991) forthcoming," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 7(2), pages 252-253, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

45. Stekler, H. O., 1990. "Forecasting methods for management : Spyros Makridakis and Steven C. Wheelwright, Fifth Edition (Wiley, New York, 1989), pp. 470, $52.95 (hard), $27.15, [UK pound]15.95 (soft)," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 6(4), pages 563-564, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

46. Schnader, M H & Stekler, H O, 1990. "Evaluating Predictions of Change," Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 63(1), pages 99-107, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

47. Stekler, H. O., 1990. "Forecasting industrial bottlenecks : An analysis of alternative approaches," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 7(3), pages 263-274, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

48. Kolb, R. A. & Stekler, H. O., 1990. "The lead and accuracy of macroeconomic forecasts," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 12(1), pages 111-123. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

49. Stekler, H. O., 1989. "Econometrics and structural change : Lyle D. Broemeling and Hiroki Tsurumi, (Marcel Dekker, New York, 1987) pp. 266, $59.75," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 5(2), pages 289-290. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

50. Stekler, Herman O., 1988. "Who forecasts better? : Herman O. Stekler, Journal of Business and Economic Statistics 5 (1987) 155-158," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 4(4), pages 631-631. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

51. Lee, Douglas & Stekler, H. O., 1987. "Modeling high levels of defense expenditures: A Vietnam," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 9(3), pages 437-453. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

52. Stekler, H O, 1987. "Who Forecasts Better? [Economic Forecasts and Their Assessment]," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 5(1), pages 155-58, January.

53. Stekler, H O, 1987. "The Effect of Data Revisions and Additional Observations on Time-Series Estimates," Applied Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 19(3), pages 347-53, March.

54. Thomas, R. William & Stekler, H. O., 1983. "A regional forecasting model for construction activity," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 13(4), pages 557-577, November. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

55. Stekler, H. O. & Thomas, R. William, 1981. "Employment impact of public construction," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 7(3), pages 295-299. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

56. Stekler, H. O. & Thomas, R. William, 1980. "Forecasts of a regional construction model : An evaluation," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 6(4), pages 387-392. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

57. Thomas, R. William & Stekler, H. O., 1979. "Forecasts of construction activity for states," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 4(2), pages 195-199. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

58. Stekler, L. E. & Stekler, H. O., 1979. "Data revisions in the U.S. international transactions statistics," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 4(1), pages 45-49. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

59. Stekler, H O, 1976. "The Savings Rate as a Tool of Economic Analysis," Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 49(2), pages 189-93, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

60. Chang, S S L & Stekler, H O, 1976. "Optimal Stabilization Policies for Deterministic and Stochastic Linear Systems: Comments," Review of Economic Studies, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 43(1), pages 185-90, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

61. Chang, S S L & Stekler, H O, 1976. "Simultaneous Control of Prices and Output," Economica, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 43(171), pages 275-86, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

62. Stekler, H. O., 1976. "Economic forecasting and contracyclical stabilization policy," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 5(3-4), pages 225-236. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

63. Stekler, H O, 1975. "Why do Forecasters Underestimate?," Economic Inquiry, Oxford University Press, vol. 13(3), pages 445-49, September.

64. Stekler, H O, 1974. "An Analysis of Turning Point Forecasts: A Polite Reply," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 64(4), pages 728-29, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

65. Stekler, H O, 1972. "An Analysis of Turning Point Forecasts," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 62(4), pages 724-29, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

66. Enzler, Jared J & Stekler, H O, 1971. "An Analysis of the 1968-69 Economic Forecasts," Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 44(3), pages 271-81, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

67. Stekler, H O, 1969. "Evaluation of Econometric Inventory Forecasts," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 51(1), pages 77-83, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

68. H. O. Stekler, 1968. "Forecasting the GNP Price Deflator," Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 41, pages 431. [Downloadable!]

69. H. O. Stekler, 1968. "An Evaluation of Quarterly Judgmental Economic Forecasts," Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 41, pages 329. [Downloadable!]

70. H. O. Stekler, 1967. "The Federal Budget as a Short-Term Forecasting Tool," Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 40, pages 280. [Downloadable!]

71. H. O. Stekler, 1961. "A Simulation of the Forecasting Performance of the Diffusion Index," Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 35, pages 196. [Downloadable!]

72. S. S. Alexander & H. O. Stekler, 1959. "Forecasting Industrial Production--Leading Series versus Autoregression," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 67, pages 402. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

1. S. S. L. Chang & H. O. Stekler, 1977. "Fuzziness In Economic Systems, Its Modeling And Control," NBER Chapters, in: Annals of Economic and Social Measurement, Volume 6, number 2, pages 35-44 National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!]

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This page was last updated on 2009-12-2.